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To represent, lead and serve the airline industryChanging business realitiesChanging business realitiesof airline industry...
Markets almost back on trackMarkets almost back on track市场几乎回到正规市场几乎回到正规Source: IATAInternational air freight and passenge...
Air cargo gains share from trade reboundAir cargo gains share from trade rebound空运从贸易复苏中获益空运从贸易复苏中获益World trade in goods a...
Business travel revives premium businessBusiness travel revives premium business商务出行推动两舱收益商务出行推动两舱收益Busines confidence and...
Geography mattersGeography matters 地理因素地理因素Source: IATAGrowth in passenger numbers by market-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%2...
Growth of Chinese Aviation IndustryGrowth of Chinese Aviation Industry中国航空业的发展中国航空业的发展Source: IATA1400480AircraftsAircraft...
But there is much more potentialBut there is much more potential更大的发展潜力更大的发展潜力Source: IATA3.00.3Seats perSeats perpersonpe...
Some regions back in profit, some notSome regions back in profit, some not部分地区已开始盈利部分地区已开始盈利Source: ICAO, IATAAirline net ...
Industry profits see good cyclical upturnIndustry profits see good cyclical upturn行业利润呈循环上升趋势行业利润呈循环上升趋势Global commercial ...
ChallengesChallenges 挑战挑战 Fuel price is raising from 24 % to 26 % of operating costs Unused capacity Wide body utiliza...
Fares turning up but so are fuel pricesFares turning up but so are fuel prices票价和油价上涨票价和油价上涨Source: IATA and PlattsAverage...
Capacity starting to outpace demandCapacity starting to outpace demand承载量承载量//运力开始超过需求运力开始超过需求International air travel and...
To sum upTo sum up…… 总结以上内容总结以上内容 Strong cyclical rebound in travel Airlines still financially fragile Some potential u...
IATA and CHINAIATA and CHINA –– areas of cooperationareas of cooperation国际航协与中国国际航协与中国-- 合作领域合作领域 Simplifying the busines...
IATA in CIATA in CHINAHINA -- a Human Resources perspectivea Human Resources perspective从人力资源的角度看国际航协在中国从人力资源的角度看国际航协在中国 ...
Building the winning coalition: I.LEADBuilding the winning coalition: I.LEAD打造胜利的团队打造胜利的团队
To represent, lead and serve the airline industry
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China Travel Sky 2010 Airline Conference

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Presentation at the China Travel Sky Airline Conference, Guangzhou, September 2010

Publié dans : Voyages, Business
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China Travel Sky 2010 Airline Conference

  1. 1. To represent, lead and serve the airline industryChanging business realitiesChanging business realitiesof airline industryof airline industryGuido GianassoChina Travel Sky 2010 Airline ConferenceGuangzhou, 1st December 2010航空领域的现况改变航空领域的现况改变
  2. 2. Markets almost back on trackMarkets almost back on track市场几乎回到正规市场几乎回到正规Source: IATAInternational air freight and passenger volumesseasonally adjusted1601802002202402602005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010RPK,billions91011121314FTK,billionsFTKRPK
  3. 3. Air cargo gains share from trade reboundAir cargo gains share from trade rebound空运从贸易复苏中获益空运从贸易复苏中获益World trade in goods and air FTKsSource: Netherlands CPB and IATA8910111213142000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010BillionFTKs90100110120130140150160170indexofworldtrade,2000=100International FTKs(left scale)World goods tradevolumes(right scale)Source: IATA, Netherlands CPB
  4. 4. Business travel revives premium businessBusiness travel revives premium business商务出行推动两舱收益商务出行推动两舱收益Busines confidence and premium travel growth55657585951051152006 2007 2008 2009 2010Confidenceindex-30-25-20-15-10-50510152025%changeoveryearPremium travel(right scale)Businessconfidence(left scale)Source: IATA, Haver
  5. 5. Geography mattersGeography matters 地理因素地理因素Source: IATAGrowth in passenger numbers by market-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%2006 2007 2008 2009 2010ChangeoveryearMiddle-East - AsiaWithin AsiaNorth & MidPacificWithin- EuropeNorth Atlantic
  6. 6. Growth of Chinese Aviation IndustryGrowth of Chinese Aviation Industry中国航空业的发展中国航空业的发展Source: IATA1400480AircraftsAircrafts5.7 M1.6 MDomestic seatsDomestic seatsper weekper week2010201020002000
  7. 7. But there is much more potentialBut there is much more potential更大的发展潜力更大的发展潜力Source: IATA3.00.3Seats perSeats perpersonperson300 M1.300 MPopulationPopulationUSUSCHINACHINA
  8. 8. Some regions back in profit, some notSome regions back in profit, some not部分地区已开始盈利部分地区已开始盈利Source: ICAO, IATAAirline net profits by region-6-4-20246Europe Asia-Pacific N America L America Middle east AfricaUS$billion2009 2010 2011
  9. 9. Industry profits see good cyclical upturnIndustry profits see good cyclical upturn行业利润呈循环上升趋势行业利润呈循环上升趋势Global commercial airline profitability-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.01995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010F2011F%revenues-20-15-10-505101520US$billionNet losses(right scale)EBIT margin (left scale)Source: ICAO, IATA
  10. 10. ChallengesChallenges 挑战挑战 Fuel price is raising from 24 % to 26 % of operating costs Unused capacity Wide body utilization 7.8% down1400 aircrafts to be received in 2010 Cost of labor / Trade Unions issues
  11. 11. Fares turning up but so are fuel pricesFares turning up but so are fuel prices票价和油价上涨票价和油价上涨Source: IATA and PlattsAverage international fares and jet kerosene prices3003203403603804004202006 2007 2008 2009 2010US$perone-wayfare100150200250300350400450UScentspergallonJet kerosene price(right scale)Average one-wayinternational fare(left scale)
  12. 12. Capacity starting to outpace demandCapacity starting to outpace demand承载量承载量//运力开始超过需求运力开始超过需求International air travel and capacityseasonally adjusted185195205215225235245255265Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11RPKbillion250260270280290300310320330ASKbillionASKs(right scale)RPKs(left scale)Source: IATA
  13. 13. To sum upTo sum up…… 总结以上内容总结以上内容 Strong cyclical rebound in travel Airlines still financially fragile Some potential upside to travel demand Potential downside look larger
  14. 14. IATA and CHINAIATA and CHINA –– areas of cooperationareas of cooperation国际航协与中国国际航协与中国-- 合作领域合作领域 Simplifying the business (Bar coded, Boardingpasses) => target is 100 % at yearend (China is at 43%) E-freight (Tianjin is the only airport in the e-freightprogram) Air China has five FAST TRAVEL projects Environment – the targets are:1.5% improvement of fuel efficiency annually up to2020)Carbon neutral growth from 2020Cutting emissions in half by 2050, compared to 2005
  15. 15. IATA in CIATA in CHINAHINA -- a Human Resources perspectivea Human Resources perspective从人力资源的角度看国际航协在中国从人力资源的角度看国际航协在中国 Office established in 1994 (3 employees) Now Regional Office with 90 employees from 5countries Chinese employees are the second national groupin IATA IATA training activities in China grow In 2007 IATA launches the IATA INTERCULTURALLEADERSHIP ENGAGEMENT and DEVELOPMENT(I.LEAD) Program in Beijing
  16. 16. Building the winning coalition: I.LEADBuilding the winning coalition: I.LEAD打造胜利的团队打造胜利的团队
  17. 17. To represent, lead and serve the airline industry

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