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Page 1 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Our BookBuilderTM
portfolios aim at building the children's education fund so they do not leave
school burdened like a borax mule with vitality sapping debt. Build your own deal book. Run your
online trading income account with our “likeables” because you need "to save your own bacon."
Several quarters in a row now, the ‘professional’ portfolio managers
have shown they are confused, do not know. It is proverbial to learn
and gain wisdom, Proverbs 8:5 in fact, but provably the portfolio
management class have no wisdom, only their confusion1
. Brute
methods of pension, insurance, ETFs and mutual funds, blinked and
lost $trillions of your money controlled in pension funds, insurance
and banking instruments. Your money, put up for grabs in their zero-
sum bubble2
where their indiscretion and confusion costs us all.
All our charity portfolios need to reload and rebuild. Fight the foolishness, buy back at less than the
stoploss and greater than SF. Hold’em is the best strategy when such panicked movers play, ‘Ain’t
Mis-behavin’ Wink’n, Blink’n and Naughty as traders’ reaction to wild externalities, wild gossip
they ply on each other. Balance sheet fundamentals of what makes ‘likeable’ firms slowly change.
We suffered the Great Rotation/dilution of Quantitative Eating. China only slipped to 6% growth.
India’s median income is now 20% higher than Russians. There are a lot more joining the muddle
class. We discourage the quick fix of fossil fuelling developing economies. Look to new economies
without fossil fuel. The world cannot afford more pollution as China used to grow its Yuan.
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours. Keeping it yours is your intention when you
save. We enable you to build value. Build your own deal book in your online trading account to
keep your capital safe and growing in value. Keep your money and obtain a hopeful return, yours.
The financial products industry covets spending your savings for themselves. They
do not see your pocket as their restraint, rather their opportunity. These Artful
Dodgers are just skilled pick-pockets, in suits they bought with your cash. Avoid
these ‘Goats’ that come to just eat your grass, graze your wallet, and leave. Do not
loan them your pocket-book on empty promises they have never delivered. Avoid
these traps laid by financial products conspiring to artfully exploit the small investor
of hard-won savings. Don’t give them your wallet. “Save your own bacon."
"for the value of money is also perishable." Jean-Baptiste Say , 1803
What investors expect of financial products is a way to secure their hard earned savings while
growing their wealth. The circularity of ‘investment talk’ is what Alice gets at the Tea Party.
“Take some more tea,” the March Hare said to Alice very earnestly.
“I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take more.”
“You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.”
Pretty much, they have taken it all before you arrived. “Alice, meet Dr. Artful Dodger.”
“
Page 2 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Holding on to the value of what you have created is fundamental. Ancient wisdom is the feast we
enjoy today will not be on our table tomorrow. You work earn save and build for a hope filled
future when you can do what is in your heart and skills to take-on doing for yourself. Cash only has
a temporary value that time erodes. Cash is powerful only when it is engaged in business processes
creating more wealth, adding value. Cash must be invested to hold and grow, adding value, earning
an income. Invest with ‘likeables’ for your income
Wall Street pillages your wallet. They say that is their job, making markets and venture capital
loans by running your money. Your want to keep what you have, but earn income on it. You want
your capital safe earning income hopefully above inflation. Wall Street disclaims talk about or do
anything about income. They are selling risk, to you, and they’re good at selling risk3
for their fees.
But, what can the small investor do with $5,000? With our ‘likeables’ we show, because, we can.
The Risk Price is our benchmark measure against the share price. It is our fundamental arbiter in
segregating the B-class of firms4
worthy of investment. The $toploss settings we publish for these
public portfolios should do the job of saving equity from serious harm due to market gossip induced
volatility. We shun the likely rude wealth takers, the N-class, that are not “likeables.” We
reasonably analyse balance sheets to identify and shun those doppelgangers of corporate fiction.
You want to keep your money, hopefully, gain an income, above the corrosive rate of inflation. Our
“likeables” stocks portfolios do this while being risk averse. The full history of trades made in these
portfolios in real time is shown. Our charity portfolios are proof of long term gain!
BookBuilder™ portfolios are of just our lowest cost "likeables" our methods identify. Because we
can, our proprietary information is given freely in charity to enable small investors to keep their
savings growing into their wealth. Our method is proven in long term portfolios earnings
consistently exceeding inflation. Grow your earned savings for children’s tuition, nest building or
retirement income. Because you need to “save your own bacon" run your online trading account.
Our calculated Risk Price (SF) is provably the least stock price at which the company is “likeable”
so we can use “risk aversion”. Equities trading above our SF benchmark Risk Price are those
investors tend to like. Two of three continue to rise due investors’ behaviour. These are “likeables”
revealed by their Risk Price. This is based on new theory we prove works in the real world.
By using the mean 52 week price range to set the $topLoss on each, usually, the ‘laggards’ will be
cut before they damage capital safety. With gossip driven burst of market bubbles we needed to
narrow that ratio to avoid the damage. Now we need to decide the time to return to larger gap. By
knowing the Risk Price as a bottom reference we can also exit and buy-back at a lower price to
recover. Then continue making substantial gains as markets rebounds. This is what we do when
using the more active “collaring options5
” to profitably buy lower or exit. By reinvesting cash to
capital the portfolio grows in value through the long term while always remaining "as good as cash”
liquid whenever time comes you need some cash from dividends running your income portfolio.
“
Page 3 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Throughout the immediate past year and half confused portfolio managers moved the massive
holdings6
they claim in your name on news and gossip churn they and their confrere’s make-up.
They are like the Mock Turtle “only took the regular courses” but have no proof. Volatility they and
their confreres make “surprising news” because they never know where they are. Convictions they
have, and plenty more7
are now finally indicted, but no reasons can they offer. No help for you
comes from them, just their litigation bill, you pay for out of their fees. Those Artful Dodgers’
baseless gambling with your money always pays them first, for their ‘reasons’ that do not help you.
Their rumours ping-pong nervous and unsure. They did not read or connect dots even when told,
Taper-talk fear was hot-air volatility8
tales, wagging ‘fat0tails’ dogs gossip. The ‘dollar per word’
market mavens floated on Quantitative Eating. Yeah, the Fed said rates will rise when they see
‘full’ employment. One critic said, “no crisis, no trades, no money made.”
Current ‘Grexit’ crisis extends back to British, Dutch, French and German banks pursuing high
profits in derivative backed loans to Greek firms, in 2007. In 2010 IMF and ECB took over those
loans to save those banks €214 Bn loses on their risky business. By law, the public is liable for PLC
defaults, as greatest of unsecured creditors. Which public, whose pockets pay for bank folly, is the
question. FSB is sending bankers back to the Medieval Diet of high reserves and bland fees9
.
Austerity hangs everyone out to dry. Even before Keynes, US President Herbert Hoover in 1931
proposed international financial debt moratorium to fight the Great Depression. It was bank
management failure of due diligence in creating unwarranted credit bubble margin lending leading
to crash the liquidity needed for sound businesses of society that made ‘Hoovervilles’. Mellon
partisan politicking saved bankers their balance sheets at greater public expense for PLC defaults.
Demand grows economies. The business process creates ‘new money’ covering debt carried.
Cash must be engaged in effective business processes to gain from value added by valiant business
enterprises. Cash on balance sheets should be allocated to serve new demand and innovation
creating jobs in the real economy as consumers spend and demand. Managers using QE cashroll for
buying-in shares is an austerity measure that just helps them to their share-package and cash
bonuses, not help to shareholders10
, or growing business with trading connections creating worth.
Despite long evident strong real growth, capitalization in jobs creation by innovation has lagged,
along with political leadership overwrought on fugitive tales from their dog-walkers.
Some mavens called DJI to hit 2000, by December 2014! The real economy is doing well but more
slowly than those fast-buck-per-word mavens want for their fees hand-over-fist. The dollar-per-
word market mavens and Artful Dodger portfolio managers have no reasons. It is just gossip driving
their gambles with your money, absent a rigged game. No crisis, no trades, they make no money!
All 4 of StockTakers NYSE portfolios had doubled in less than 3 years. As our public charity
portfolios show our reasoned balance sheet analysis of firms managing their business debt structure
is proven method. Rooted in oil and minerals glut the TSX struggles to lesser gain, but can grin too.
“
Page 4 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
We call that proof, evidence our method tends to 26% IRR gains. Those were outlier results in
mixed markets confused by conventions, newspeak, jargon and aphorisms of the confused that do
not know, and will not bother to learn. This past year the froth blow off shows the real economy
steady and slow, but still far ahead of population growth in three-fold GDP growth ratio.
We show our risk averse, capital safe, liquid investing method based on Risk Price works very
likably. All the gossip and volatility the ‘dollar-per-word’ market mavens have mumbled is their
business model ‘news’ for your trading. Those mavens whacked markets setback the August 2014
portfolios, just as in Q1-2013, trimming our outlier results. ‘Be Calm and Carry-on’ $toploss resets
ride out waves market mavens make. Our simple risk averse $toploss does well for the long term.
After riding the sad last year, the NYSE portfolio 3 year proof is 96.00%, i.e., 25.15% IRR pa. The
27 month NYSE rode half of its time through sad news to prove 35.31%, or 14.50% IRR pa. Nice.
Cash is powerful only when invested as capital to hold and grow value, adding to your wealth. Let
others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model that rarely works. So called “financial advisors” at
institutions are risk sellers, Capital Appreciation Robbers, CAR sellers of ‘funky chicken’ products
for fee-taking leaving none for you. Do not give those Artful Dodgers your wallet
Less risk for more reward sounds unusual but “likeables” prove risk aversion is rewarded. Our
proprietary information given in charity empowers small investors to “save your own bacon.” But
you can be charitable. Consider paying-forward our charity by donating our usual 2&20 fee to
social charity. Good social and corporate works deserve11
your help building society’s wealth.
We seek accredited investors to advance what we have proven. Meanwhile enjoy our charity
providing TaxCharityTM
and BookBuilderTM
portfolios as public service, because we can. Use our
proprietary “likeables” information for the small investor to save your own bacon. Set the
$topLosses indicated and get on with earning income from your business you know best. Expand
your portfolio. You are ready for riding through more waves from comic behaviours in politics
infused market gossip. Grow your wallet, ride those waves. You know how to work and save, so
“save your own bacon” with our “likeables.” Accredited investors should call us for 12% bond12
.
BookBuilderTM
Portfolios Update List – 31 January 2016
NYSE BookBuilderTM
"likeables" Firms
(30 November 2012)
Market
Price
Symbol SF
(Risk Price)
Stop/Loss
(See prior posts for early trading history)
Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each
Callaway Golf Co. ($9.0 stopLoss 11jan16) 9.00 ELY 7 8.5
Huntington Bancshares Inc. ($10.8 stopLoss 04jan16) 10.80 HBAN 9 8.1
Janus Capital Group Inc. ($13.4 stopLoss 07jan16) 13.40 JNS 10 11.6
NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0
Peoples United Financial Inc. ($15.8 stopLoss 04jan16) 15.80 PBCT 14 14.0
ShoreTel Inc. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) 8.50 SHOR 6 6.7
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
“
Page 5 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Atmel Corporation 8.06 ATML:US 7 7.3
Callaway Golf Co. ($8.4 stopLoss 03feb16) 8.71 ELY 7 8.5
Gannett Company Inc. ($13.9 stopLoss 17feb16) 14.84 GCI:US 12 14.0
Janus Capital Group Inc. ($11.3 stopLoss 02feb16) 12.23 JNS:US 10 11.6
Peoples United Financial Inc. ($13.9 stopLoss 03feb16) 14.37 PBCT:US 14 14.0
ShoreTel Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 03feb16) 8.21 SHOR 6 6.7
Talmer Bancorp Inc. ($15.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 16.06 TLMR 14 16.0
Wendys International Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 09feb16) 10.23 WEN:US 6 8.8
NYSE BookBuilderTM
2012 Portfolio *100
Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012
9588.50 /5460.00 Gain 39.0
months
75.61%
IRR pa 18.92%
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jan16) 4.00
Net Cash * 100 (after stoploss sales) 8030.00
Net Current Cash Forward * 100 8034.00
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Incorporated 7.39 ACHN 2 6.2
First Horizon National Corp 12.02 FHN:US 10 11.2
Gannett Company Inc 9.89 GCI:US 12 14.0
Himax Technologies Incorporated 15.33 HIMX:US 7 9.2
Logitech International S.A. 10.13 LOGI 8 14.6
Annaly Capital Management Incorporated 5.84 NLY 10 9.7
Wendys International Incorporated 9.37 WEN:US 6 8.8
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after no buy-ins 31oct15) 95.00
Cash Dividends earned 363.50
Total Cash Available 458.50
NYSE BookBuilderTM
2012 Portfolio *100
Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012
9588.50 /5460.00 Gain 39.0
months
75.61%
IRR pa 18.92%
Stop-loss settings intend to defend capital from unusual negative market volatility in case of such
irrational market mavens’ pressures of Q3-2014 through Q3-2015. Irrationally volatile swings
occurred without regard for reason as stock prices sharply rebounded. Capital was defended by
stoploss settings as intended but you must rebuild the portfolio with successive replacement buy-
ins as shown below. Staying in the market is the way to gain back.
We have progressively tightened our stoploss settings to less than a standard deviation on a 52
week rolling range13
of a stock’s price. That does incur an added ‘churn’ cost of buying after
selling at the triggered stoploss setting. That is a consequence of exercising capital safety. There
“
Page 6 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
are benefits to doing that.
New NYSE 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares
(31 August 2013 )
4397.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 31sep15 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) ACHN 2 6.2
Carrefour SA ADR ($6.3 stopLoss 13nov15) CRRFY:US 5 4.9
Monster Worldwide Inc. ($5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 2.0
Office Depot Inc. ($6.8 stopLoss 19nov15) ODP 4 4.3
Rite Aid Corporation 7.95 RAD:US 6 7.4
ShoreTel Inc. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.7
Buy-ins 30nov15 *100 shares each
Mitsubishi UFJ Fin’l Inc. ADS ($6.2 stopLoss 11dec15) MTU:US 6 3.7
Office Depot Inc. ($6.1 stopLoss 07dec15) ODP 4 4.3
Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each
ChemoCentryx Inc. ($7.4 stopLoss 04jan16) CCXI 6 2.2
Callaway Golf Co. ($9.0 stopLoss 11jan16) ELY 7 8.5
Monster Worldwide Inc. ( $5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 2.0
Office Depot Inc. ($5.2 stopLoss 12jan16) ODP 4 4.3
ShoreTel Inco. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.7
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 5.70 ACHN 2 6.2
Callaway Golf Co. ($8.4 stopLoss 03feb16) 8.40 ELY 7 8.5
JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd ADS ($8.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 8.30 JASO: 8 8.2
Office Depot Inc 5.08 ODP 4 4.3
SLM Corporation ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 5.70 SLM 6 4.9
ShoreTel Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 03feb16) 7.70 SHOR 6 6.7
BookBuildersTM
2013 NYSE Current Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013
5081.60 /4397.00 Gain 30.0
months
15.57%
IRR pa 5.96%
This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is cause for celebratory
hats and horns. This portfolio has gone through 18 months of volatile and negative market
behaviour, more than half of its interval. This portfolio has demonstrated resilience even using the
less effective stoploss regime. We know the pursuit of framing options to collar exit or holds
guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative.
Over these thirty months this portfolio has trebled the performance of the hedge funds. This
“
Page 7 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
portfolio has proven stunningly better result for the small investor than any conventional finance
industry product. The resulting gain obtained is vastly better than any fund, bond or mortgage
and always is liquid for the small investor needing access in emergency to use their own wealth.
Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 14.00
Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss) 3380.00
Net Current Cash * 3394.00
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
BAE Systems PLC ORD 7.05 BAESF:US 6 6.7
Frontier Communications Corp 5.41 FTR:US 5 4.7
Opko Health Incorporated 9.30 OPK 9 7.3
Sirius XM Radio Inc. 3.72 SIRI:NASDAQ 3 3.5
ShoreTel Incorporated 7.39 SHOR 6 6.7
ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) 3.25 ZTCOY:US 3 2.8
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jul2015) 15.00
Cash Dividends earned 113.30
Total Cash Available 128.30
BookBuildersTM
2013 NYSE Current Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013
5081.60 /4397.00 Gain 30.0
months
15.57%
IRR pa 5.96%
(Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings)
Peoples United Financial Incorporated 14.61 PBCT:US 14 14.0
Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation 25.36 SWHC:US 12 23.0
Western Union Company 18.26 WU:US 16 17.2
Vigilance while these below are nearing but still trading below Risk Price and not yet “likeables” so are
still not risk averse buy-ins.
Alcoa Inc 8.93 AA:US 10 7.4
Camtek Limited 1.91 CAMT 3 1.5
LM Ericsson Telephone Company 9.18 ERIC:NASDAQ 11 8.4
BookBuildersTM
New NYSE 2014 Portfolio
Set 31 August 2014
4925.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 30nov15 *100 shares each
Carrefour SA ADR ($5.9 stopLoss 11dec15) CRRFY:US 5 4.9
MFA Financial Inc. ($6.6 stopLoss 14dec15) MFA 7 6.4
NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0
Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($4.0 stopLoss 08dec15) SIRI:NASDAQ 3 3.5
“
Page 8 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
ZTE Corporation ADR ($3.9 stopLoss 07jan16) ZTCOY:US 3 2.8
Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each
BAE Systems PLC ORD ($7.1 stopLoss 19jan16) BAESF:US 6 6.7
NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0
Carrefour SA ADR ($7.1 stopLoss 06jan16) CRRFY:US 5 4.9
Rite Aid Corporation 7.95 RAD:US 6 7.4
SLM Corporation ($6.0 stopLoss 07jan16) SLM 6 4.9
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 5.40 ACHN 2 6.2
MFA Financial Incorporated 6.81 MFA 7 6.4
NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0
Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.6 stopLoss 08feb16) 3.60 SIRI 3 3.5
ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) 3.25 ZTCOY:US 3 2.8
BookBuildersTM
New NYSE 2014 Portfolio
(including dividends*) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014
3748.00 /4925.00 Gain 18.0
months
76.10%
Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 14.00
Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss sales) 930.00
Net Current Cash 944.00
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Frontier Communications Corp 5.41 FTR:US 5 4.7
Sirius XM Radio Inc. 3.72 SIRI 3 3.5
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jan16) 14.00
Cash Dividends earned 35.00
Total Cash Available 49.00
BookBuildersTM
New NYSE 2014 Portfolio
(including dividends*) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014
3748.00 /4925.00 Gain 18.0
months
76.10%
Fund managers are sitting on your money to lose it in their ‘Great Rotation’ to buy bonds, a churn
which will freeze into ill-liquid lower interest less than inflation now to be discounted even more
later when sold to regain liquidity. For this they claim fees, they win twice, so you lose twice. The
pool of low price point range of ‘likeables’ is now smaller. The August 2014 started portfolio
seems an unwelcome outlier, dogged by this group of low price ‘likeables’ in a highly negative
volatility range. We stay in the market, to resist loss and wait for the rebound, always liquid. This
portfolio is on a long hill to climb back up but only staying in the market can make that climb.
The biggest miscall of the market gossips ‘sky fall’ driving volatility is that world gross production
“
Page 9 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
still exceeds world population growth by a factor of 3. The world economy is growing. Consumers
of high value added production remain consuming near 13 times more than population growth in
the Euro-American nations. That should be aligned if the world economies were near stagnant.
High value added production of Chinese (Indian Bengal Bay peninsula and Indonesian archipelago
and others are not far behind) workshops to the world still exceeds the population growth of high
income nations buying high value consumer goods by a factor of 13. The rising aspirations of a
middle class consuming high value goods is being felt worldwide not just in the G8 economies.
Chinese domestic consumption from its household formations is its own internal problem, while
households’ formation buying durable goods in the rest of the developing world is still rising.
These factors are driven by patents technology and money rents paid to leading Euro-American
corporations. The Euro-American consumers’ appetites expressed as their GDPs are still rising at
more than quintuple their rate of population growth though a seventh of the world. Durable goods
needed to supply new households forming in Europe for war refugees rebuilding lives and
opportunities will stimulate welcoming economies. Employment is rising there as lately reported.
The five thousand year rivalry of tribal fiefs in their plundering for middle east spoils regardless of
religious spurs will spoil over oil decline as fuel is overtaken by innovating entrepreneurship. The
finest individuals of those fractious intrigues have escaped servility to seek their individual agency
among the developed economies giving refuge for their energy and range. Those that do not return
will spur innovation and growth in the receiving nations the middle east will be permanently
denied the human resource agency ‘Arab Spring’ was about. The amiable educated and more able
with finer dispositions will stay in refuge nation’s safety. The belligerents with short views return.
The greatest export of the occident is the inspiration of individual agency that lies at the core of
capitalism. We embrace the innovative when acting to our better angels, because that which can be
made to work will enhance us all. We grant our finances and licence to architects of future
business in their promise and our expectation they will enhance our expectations. That is what lies
at the core of capitalism. The flow of ‘credit float’ we express to build those dreams ‘raises all our
boats’ and why we created the fictitious person, the corporation, as a society bears as public
liability the costs of its failure as we enjoy its success and promise. We invest in the hopeful return
of a future income coming from that inspired act of highest charity, investment, just as
Maimonides encouraged that we might gain strength to earn our own way through that endeavour.
These are the fundamentals driving international trade and macroeconomics the gossips are blind
from seeing. However as one pundit said, politics is all local, so is conventional vision of
economics, plagued by not seeing the larger view. Volatility will settle as these notions make their
corrective impact until market gossips find some other sky falling. As another pundit reminded,
Stay Calm and Carry On. Stick to our knitting and climb back. By our effort dark times diminish.
“
Page 10 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Engage “Likeables” and save your own bacon.
Equities that tend to hold their value and gain are better than cash. We like risk aversion, Capital
Safety and Liquidity because we have proven that works, for low risk and high AlphaSmartTM
gains.
For small savings it is needful but arbitrary you stock your portfolio from the low price-point end of
"likeables" found in the market. These “likeables” are used in the BookBuildersTM
fitting criteria
for small investor portfolio needs. What is essential in your portfolios is that you buy a full
complement of at least eight or preferably more equities at any time. (We prefer equal blocks of
100 shares. That allows us 'collaring options' an aggressive exit strategy to maximize gains (instead
of passive stop-loss) as many “likeables” rebound so ‘collaring’ lets us hold through volatility and
earn more gains14
).
Do not expect perfect of Risk Price. Tendency for gain is not the same as pin-the-point on the mule
as most claim, encourage or seek. Let others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model. Risk Price is
what investors need to know. Risk aversion comes of a diverse range of our “likeables” in your
portfolio. Our proprietary “likeables” information allows small investors to save your own bacon.
TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM
“Likeables”
Portfolio (set 30 November 2012)
Market
Price
Symbol SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
(See prior posts for early trading history)
Buy-ins 31jul2015 *100 shares each
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ($7 stopLoss 10aug15) AAV 5 6.2
Choice Properties REIT ($11.1 stopLoss 21aug15) CHP.UN 10 12.1
Chorus Aviation Inc. (($5.7 stopLoss 21aug15) CHR.B 5 5.5
Heroux-Devtek Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 12.30 HRX 9 12.2
Buy-ins 31aug2015 *100 shares each
BlackBerry Limited. ($9.0 stopLoss 25sep15) BB 8 9.2
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 5.5
Extendicare Inc. ($9.4 stopLoss 04dec15) EXE 7 8.4
Martinrea Intl Inc. ($11.0 stopLoss 22sep15) MRE 10 7.5
NovaGold Resources Inc. ($4.4 stopLoss 06nov15) NG 4 5.9
Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.2 stopLoss 06nov15) PG 2 2.8
Buy-ins 30sepl2015 *100 shares each
Cott Corp. ($12.6 stopLoss 10nov14) BCB 8 15.2
Choice Properties REIT ($11.4 stopLoss 06nov15) CHP.UN 10 12.1
Martinrea International Inc. ($10.4 stopLoss 26nov15) MRE 10 7.5
Buy-ins 30nov2015 *100 shares each
Air Canada ($9.5 stopLoss 07jan16) AC.TO 8 5.5
Aecon Group Inc. ($14.5 stopLoss 08jan16) ARE 14 12.8
BlackBerry Ltd. ($11.7 stopLoss 06jan16) BB 8 9.2
Just Energy Group Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) JE 6 7.0
Martinrea International Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 14jan16) MRE 10 7.5
“
Page 11 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Buy-ins 31dec2015 *100 shares each
Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.3 stopLoss 15jan16) ASR 3 2.5
Lake Shore Gold Corp. 1.82 LSG 0 1.6
NovaGold Resources Inc. ($5.5 stopLoss 12jan16) NG 4 5.9
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
Aecon Group Inc. ($13.7 stopLoss 02feb16) 13.70 ARE 14 12.8
BlackBerry Ltd. ($9.3 stopLoss 09feb16) 9.30 BB 8 9.2
Cott Corp. ($13.6 stopLoss 08feb16) 13.60 BCB 8 15.2
CAE Inc. ($14.2 stopLoss 01feb16) 14.20 CAE 13 14.4
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) 5.10 CHR.B 5 5.5
Just Energy Group Inc. ($8.8 stopLoss 10feb16) 8.80 JE 6 7.0
.
TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio Value
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012
8398.10 /6391.00 Gain 39.0
months
31.26%
IRR pa 8.73%
Net Current Cash after 31jan16 Buy-ins *100 shares 27.00
Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sales) 7690.00
Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 7717.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. 10.41 AQN 9 9.8
Choice Properties REIT 12.47 CHP.UN 10 12.1
Celestica Inc. 13.93 CLS 10 12.7
Chartwell Snrs Hsg REIT 12.96 CSH.UN 10 12.4
Guyana Goldfields Inc. 4.35 GUY 3 3.9
Just Energy Group Inc. 7.92 JE 6 7.0
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 8.17 KGI 4 7.4
NovaGold Resources Inc. 6.70 NG 4 5.9
Net Current Cash after 31dec15 Buy-ins *100 shares 26.00
Cash Dividends earned 307.09
Total Cash Available 333.09
TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio Value
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012
8398.10 /6391.00 Gain 39.0
months
31.26%
IRR pa 8.73%
Removal of ‘Quantitative Eating’ combined with oil and gas bloat made unusual down-side
volatility in all markets these past 18 months. To fuel that, older Greece and newer China issues
added spooky gossip, a ‘sea-change’ of stoplosses was triggered by these gossip storylines.
“
Page 12 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Balance sheets did not flip-flop. Portfolio managers did, unrelated to ‘fundamentals’ of value
investing15
. Our tighter $toploss values reduced risk of loss. All of the stocks in our public
portfolios16
simply rebounded. Most, still trading well above Risk Price can be bought back for
less. Take the ‘short-sell’ bonus and buy those back. We hear the ‘mooing’ as higher
employment spreads through Europe despite stagnant oil price; and, Russian and Chinese
theatres of proxy conflict. Less gossip, more go-sip a tea on your earned break, gets things done.
Collaring options we prefer using give more gains but requires a lot more attention. Stoploss is a
simpler approach. Again we must rebuild for gain hopeful calmer markets will soon return. Price
has no mass - gravity like gossip fluctuates, apparently both being ‘dark energy’ forces.
Political shift to fuller renewal of infrastructure is now at forefront with income equality. All the
‘canards’ and other ‘Daffy’ ‘Donalds” walk the political stage of this season while the real
economy slowly inches recovery forward, absorbing those persons’ abuse of ‘credit float’ in the
sea of moral hazard they had created. Manager avatars like ‘Donald’ have much to account.
The reality that ‘treacle-down’ never worked is roosting, as much as, austerity is impoverishing
in hard times when innovation and investment are needed to ‘credit float’ warranted investment
in valiant business processes and enterprises in the real economy. Austerity drains ‘credit float’
from worthy enterprises as otherwise add worth and wealth in their business process, making
‘money’ to put in our pockets and allocate as we wish or save in ‘likeable’ equities hopeful of
gain. Cash is better ‘cached’ into capital-creating ‘likeables’ equities, adding worth for you.
New TSX 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares
Set 31 August 2013
6282.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 31aug2015*100 shares each
BlackBerry Limited ($9.0 stopLoss 25sep15) BB 8 9.2
Heroux-Devtek Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 12.30 HRX 9 12.2
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 12nov15) KGI 4 7.4
Martinrea Intl Inc. ($11.0 stopLoss 22sep15) MRE 10 7.5
Buy-ins 30sep2015*100 shares each
Altius Minerals Corp. ($11.8 stopLoss 06nov15) ALS 9 8.0
ATS Automtn Tooling Sys Inc. ($13.2 stopLoss 05nov15) ATA 11 8.7
RONA inc. ($13.0 stopLoss 09nov15) RON 12 20.8
Buy-ins 31oct2015*100 shares each
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 5.1
Silver Standard Resources Inc. ($8.4 stopLoss 05nov15) SSO.TO 8 5.4
Buy-ins 30nov2015*100 shares each
“
Page 13 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ($6.5 stopLoss 11jan16) AAV 5 6.2
Algonquin Power & Utls Corp. ($10.5 stopLoss 18jan16) AQN 9 9.8
Altius Minerals Corp. ($11.0 stopLoss 03dec15) ALS 9 8.0
ATS Automation Tool Sys. Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 07dec15) ATA 11 8.7
Just Energy Group Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) JE 6 7.0
Silver Standard Resources Inc. ($6.5 stopLoss 14jan16) SSO.TO 8 6.7
Buy-ins 31dec2015*100 shares each
Altius Minerals Corp. ($9.5 stopLoss 07jan16) ALS 9 8.0
ATS Automation Tlg Sys Inc. ($10.9 stopLoss 05jan16) ATA 11 8.7
Lake Shore Gold Corp. 1.82 LSG 0 1.6
Buy-ins 31jan16*100 shares each
ATS Automtn Tool Systems Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 03feb16) 9.80 ATA 11 8.8
Choice Properties REIT ($11.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 11.70 CHP.UN 10 12.1
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) 5.10 CHR.B 5 5.7
Intertape Polymer Grp Inc. 16.23 ITP 15 14.9
Just Energy Group Inc. ($8.8 stopLoss 10feb16) 8.80 JE 6 7.0
NovaGold Resources Inc. 6.70 NG 4 5.9
New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013
7453.40 /6282.00 Gain 30.0
months
18.65%
IRR pa 7.08%
Net Current Cash after 31jan16 Buy-ins *100 shares 21.00
Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sakes) 4770.00
Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 4791.00
(See prior posts for early trading history)
SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 29feb16*100 shares each
Extendicare Incorporated 9.07 EXE 7 8.4
Guyana Goldfields Inc. 4.35 GUY 3 3.9
Just Energy Group Inc. 7.92 JE 6 7.0
Northland Power Inc. 19.02 NPI 15 18.4
OceanaGold Corporation 3.74 OGC 2 3.3
Premier Gold Mines Limited 3.22 PG 2 2.8
Net Current Cash after 31dec15 *100 share Buy-ins 59.00
Cash Dividends earned 187.40
Total Cash Available 246.40
New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013
7453.40 /6282.00 Gain 30.0
months
18.65%
IRR pa 7.08%
“
Page 14 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
(Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings)
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 6.88 AAV 5 6.2
Choice Properties REIT 12.47 CHP.UN 10 12.1
Great Canadian Gaming Corp 18.61 GC 14 16.4
BookBuilderTM
New TSX 2014 “Likeables”
$5,000 Portfolio (31 August 2014 *100 share Buy-ins)
4871.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 30jun2015 *100 shares each
Algonquin Power & Utilis Corp. ($9.2 stopLoss 09jul15) AQN 9 11.0
Heroux-Devtek Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 12.30 HRX 9 12.3
Buy-ins 31jul2015 *100 shares each
Atlantic Power Corp. ($3 stopLoss 06aug15) ATP 3 2.4
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 12nov15) KGI 4 4.6
Lundin Mining Corp. ($4.2 stopLoss 19aug15) LUN 5 3.0
Nevsun Resources Ltd. ($4 stopLoss 05aug15) NSU 4 3.5
Buy-ins 31aug2015 *100 shares each
Extendicare Inc. ($9.4 stopLoss 04dec15) EXE 7 8.8
Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($3.2 stopLoss 26oct15) GUY 3 3.4
NovaGold Resources Inc. ($4.4 stopLoss 06nov15) NG 4 5.5
OceanaGold Corp. ($2.0 stopLoss 28sep15) OGC 2 2.7
Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.2 stopLoss 06nov15) PG 2 2.3
Semafo Inc. ($3.0 stopLoss 03sep15) SMF 3 3.2
Buy-ins 30sep2015 *100 shares each
Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.6 stopLoss 30oct15) ASR 3 2.0
Western Forest Products Inc. ($2.1 stopLoss 07jan16) WEF 1 1.9
Buy-ins 31oct2015 *100 shares each
Lake Shore Gold Corp. ($1.0 stopLoss 23nov15) LSG 0 1.2
OceanaGold Corp. ($2.3 stopLoss 20nov15) OGC 2 2.7
Western Forest Products Inc. ($2.1 stopLoss 07jan16) WEF 1 1.9
Buy-ins 30nov2015 *100 shares each
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 5.1
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 8.17 KGI 4 4.6
OceanaGold Corp. ($2.4 stopLoss 07dec15) OGC 2 2.7
Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.5 stopLoss 18jan16) PG 2 2.3
Buy-ins 31dec2015 *100 shares each
Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.5 stopLoss 20jul15) ASR 3 2.0
Guyana Goldfields Inc. 4.35 GUY 3 3.4
Lake Shore Gold Corp. 1.82 LSG 0 1.2
NovaGold Resources Inc. ($5.5 stopLoss 12jan16) NG 4 5.5
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
“
Page 15 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) 5.10 CHR.B 5 5.1
BlackBerry Limited ($9.3 stopLoss 09feb16) 9.30 BB 8 9.2
Premier Gold Mines Limited 3.22 PG 2 2.3
Western Forest Products Inc. ($1.9 stopLoss 03feb16) 1.90 WEF 1 1.9
BookBuilderTM
New TSX 2014 “Likeables”
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014
4726.20 /4871.00 Gain 18.0
months
97.03%
Net Current Cash (after 29feb16 *100 share Buy-ins) 44.00
Net Cash * 100 (on stoploss sales) 2860.00
Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 2904.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 6.88 AAV 5 6.2
Extendicare Incorporated 9.07 EXE 7 8.4
Just Energy Group Inc. 7.92 JE 6 7.0
Nevsun Resources Ltd. 4.40 NSU 4 4.0
Net Current Cash after 31dec15 Buy-ins *100 shares 77.00
Cash Dividends earned 54.20
Total Cash Available 131.20
BookBuilderTM
New TSX 2014 “Likeables”
(including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014
4726.20 /4871.00 Gain 18.0
months
97.03%
This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is cause for celebratory
hats and horns. This portfolio has gone through 18 months of volatile and negative market
behaviour, its entire interval. The TSX is still down at 82.96% over the interval. This month this
portfolio is 15.91% higher than the TSX, is demonstrating resilience even using the less effective
stoploss regime. The modest ’short sell’ of not buying back at higher price than stoploss has
limited capital erosion during these negative times, while showing the long term tendency for
gain by staying in the market as it will gyrate on gossip.
Risk Price is about knowing more than the rest, more than conventional fundamentals offer to the
investor at any scale of portfolio. We know the pursuit of framing options to collar exit or holds
guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative. That takes too much attention for the small investor
who just wants to save and build wealth hopeful of gains better than inflation in the long term
and be liquid all the while ready for difficult times.
“
Page 16 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
Vigilance while these below are nearing but still trading below Risk Price and not yet “likeables” so are
still not risk averse buy-ins.
Artis Real Estate Investment Trust 12.40 AX.UN 14 11.6
Enerflex Ltd. 10.34 EFX 19 8.9
NuVista Energy Ltd. 4.42 NVA 8 2.9
Engage “likeables” and save your own bacon.
The conventional investment industry cannot prove any of their assumptions underlying their
methods, whose results are 1.03:1, like17
a coin toss. Avoid those Artful Dodgers playing dice with
your wallet. Investors need a real compass18
. Risk Price shows their way19
. Our TaxCharityTM
gives
proof. In the spirit and tradition of real science of Bacon and Newton we feign nothing; our
demonstrations are in real time with real consequences obtaining real benefit to investors’ wallets,
because we can.
In our Modal Geometry theory of the firm we make only two assumptions, clearly as follows:
1. there is a balance sheet of the firm (that the rule of law governs its information is possibly
weak assumption but at an accuracy to at least the modest degree accountants are prepared
to be responsible for); and,
2. the firm will vigorously negotiate, “what it owns” (in order to stay in business “what is
owed to it” with “what it owes” and vice versa, to make the best of what it has, that is in its
trading connections).
The Modal Geometry theory of the firm has unfolded more by rigourous observation in the real
world of corporate ledgers relation to balance sheets. That is aided with logic, epistemology, and
some powerful mathematics, real science, not conventional assumptions with little relevance but
gossip.
Our reasons for having any equity in our portfolios are clear, concise and consistent. “likeables” are
equities shown valued by investors, tending to continuing gain, which investors have demonstrated
a determination to buy and hold at stock prices above the Risk Price. “AlphaSmartTM
gains, Capital
Safety and Liquidity” are consequences we obtain through risk aversion that our Risk Price
enables. That is proven.
Proof is positive, in our TaxCharityTM
and BookBuilderTM
portfolios extending our proprietary
information to small investors. The BST-Solo50KTM
and ABC-ZsTM
suit larger wallets. Because
we can, while the entire financial industry is so busy blowing bubbles20
with cash from your wallet.
Know What You Have. Have What You Know.
Our risk averse view works. The proof of our method is clear and forthrightly shown. Of course we
require 2&20 fees for doing that, or utilize our 12% Bond. Mail us for our help.
“
Page 17 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
It is the price of risk21
because that’s the price at which we can reasonably expect to get our money
back with a possible and hopeful return that exceeds the rate of inflation. That proof is here in your
hands, as we continue to show as above, because, we can.
Know What You Have, and only, Have What You Know.
Our view is risk averse. Of course we require 2&20 fees for doing that. Mail us for our help.
Hans Goetze,
Architypes Inc. architypes@gmail.com and StockTakers Limited
Head Office
76 Midridge Close SE
Calgary, AB
T2X 1G1
351 Chemin Boulanger
Sutton, PQ
J0E 2K0
450 538-1270
1
http://riskwerk.com/2012/06/05/economics-is-confusing/
2
http://riskwerk.com/2015/08/27/pi-extreme-economics-the-worlds-bubble-wrap/
3
‘Father’ of Modern Portfolio Theory, Peter L. Bernstein, became disaffected realizing it was exposing investors to risk
while productive way for making the professionals a living http://www.e-m-h.org/Bernstein1999.pdf
4
E. Goetze,“The Modal Geometry of the Firm and the Balance Sheet Worth of the Trading Connections”, 2006
5
http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/
6
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block-
capitalism-reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email
7
banks have paid nearly $230 billion in litigation costs since 2009 http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/13/us-
banking-litigation-research-idUSKBN0KM10G20150113
8
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/only-a-black-swan-will-bring-back-stock-volatility-2014-05-18 These Goldilocks
and the Black Swans are confused by the tales even the VIXens siren to investors.
9
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/medieval-diet
10
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block-
capitalism-reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email
11
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-corporate-social-on-our-best
12
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/stocktakers-12-bond
13
http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/
14
http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/03/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market/
http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/21/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market-2/
http://riskwerk.com/2013/08/10/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market-3/
15
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Intelligent_Investor
16
http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/18/the-real-intelligent-investor/
17
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-grail-and-the-goat-portfolios on North American markets the combined
average result of ‘managers’ investment models is 1.03:1, statistically no better than monkeys tossing coins or dice as compared to
Risk Price driven ‘likeables’ portfolio showing 2.28:1 of the equities gain for long periods, the rest is ‘gardening’
18
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/orienteering-among-magpies
19
http://riskwerk.com/2012/08/26/the-price-of-risk/
20
http://riskwerk.com/2013/10/14/asset-bubbles-day-october-14-2013/
“
Page 18 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
29 February 2016 Update
21
http://riskwerk.com/2012/08/26/the-price-of-risk/

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BookBuilderTM 29feb16

  • 1. “ Page 1 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Our BookBuilderTM portfolios aim at building the children's education fund so they do not leave school burdened like a borax mule with vitality sapping debt. Build your own deal book. Run your online trading income account with our “likeables” because you need "to save your own bacon." Several quarters in a row now, the ‘professional’ portfolio managers have shown they are confused, do not know. It is proverbial to learn and gain wisdom, Proverbs 8:5 in fact, but provably the portfolio management class have no wisdom, only their confusion1 . Brute methods of pension, insurance, ETFs and mutual funds, blinked and lost $trillions of your money controlled in pension funds, insurance and banking instruments. Your money, put up for grabs in their zero- sum bubble2 where their indiscretion and confusion costs us all. All our charity portfolios need to reload and rebuild. Fight the foolishness, buy back at less than the stoploss and greater than SF. Hold’em is the best strategy when such panicked movers play, ‘Ain’t Mis-behavin’ Wink’n, Blink’n and Naughty as traders’ reaction to wild externalities, wild gossip they ply on each other. Balance sheet fundamentals of what makes ‘likeable’ firms slowly change. We suffered the Great Rotation/dilution of Quantitative Eating. China only slipped to 6% growth. India’s median income is now 20% higher than Russians. There are a lot more joining the muddle class. We discourage the quick fix of fossil fuelling developing economies. Look to new economies without fossil fuel. The world cannot afford more pollution as China used to grow its Yuan. BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours. Keeping it yours is your intention when you save. We enable you to build value. Build your own deal book in your online trading account to keep your capital safe and growing in value. Keep your money and obtain a hopeful return, yours. The financial products industry covets spending your savings for themselves. They do not see your pocket as their restraint, rather their opportunity. These Artful Dodgers are just skilled pick-pockets, in suits they bought with your cash. Avoid these ‘Goats’ that come to just eat your grass, graze your wallet, and leave. Do not loan them your pocket-book on empty promises they have never delivered. Avoid these traps laid by financial products conspiring to artfully exploit the small investor of hard-won savings. Don’t give them your wallet. “Save your own bacon." "for the value of money is also perishable." Jean-Baptiste Say , 1803 What investors expect of financial products is a way to secure their hard earned savings while growing their wealth. The circularity of ‘investment talk’ is what Alice gets at the Tea Party. “Take some more tea,” the March Hare said to Alice very earnestly. “I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take more.” “You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.” Pretty much, they have taken it all before you arrived. “Alice, meet Dr. Artful Dodger.”
  • 2. “ Page 2 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Holding on to the value of what you have created is fundamental. Ancient wisdom is the feast we enjoy today will not be on our table tomorrow. You work earn save and build for a hope filled future when you can do what is in your heart and skills to take-on doing for yourself. Cash only has a temporary value that time erodes. Cash is powerful only when it is engaged in business processes creating more wealth, adding value. Cash must be invested to hold and grow, adding value, earning an income. Invest with ‘likeables’ for your income Wall Street pillages your wallet. They say that is their job, making markets and venture capital loans by running your money. Your want to keep what you have, but earn income on it. You want your capital safe earning income hopefully above inflation. Wall Street disclaims talk about or do anything about income. They are selling risk, to you, and they’re good at selling risk3 for their fees. But, what can the small investor do with $5,000? With our ‘likeables’ we show, because, we can. The Risk Price is our benchmark measure against the share price. It is our fundamental arbiter in segregating the B-class of firms4 worthy of investment. The $toploss settings we publish for these public portfolios should do the job of saving equity from serious harm due to market gossip induced volatility. We shun the likely rude wealth takers, the N-class, that are not “likeables.” We reasonably analyse balance sheets to identify and shun those doppelgangers of corporate fiction. You want to keep your money, hopefully, gain an income, above the corrosive rate of inflation. Our “likeables” stocks portfolios do this while being risk averse. The full history of trades made in these portfolios in real time is shown. Our charity portfolios are proof of long term gain! BookBuilder™ portfolios are of just our lowest cost "likeables" our methods identify. Because we can, our proprietary information is given freely in charity to enable small investors to keep their savings growing into their wealth. Our method is proven in long term portfolios earnings consistently exceeding inflation. Grow your earned savings for children’s tuition, nest building or retirement income. Because you need to “save your own bacon" run your online trading account. Our calculated Risk Price (SF) is provably the least stock price at which the company is “likeable” so we can use “risk aversion”. Equities trading above our SF benchmark Risk Price are those investors tend to like. Two of three continue to rise due investors’ behaviour. These are “likeables” revealed by their Risk Price. This is based on new theory we prove works in the real world. By using the mean 52 week price range to set the $topLoss on each, usually, the ‘laggards’ will be cut before they damage capital safety. With gossip driven burst of market bubbles we needed to narrow that ratio to avoid the damage. Now we need to decide the time to return to larger gap. By knowing the Risk Price as a bottom reference we can also exit and buy-back at a lower price to recover. Then continue making substantial gains as markets rebounds. This is what we do when using the more active “collaring options5 ” to profitably buy lower or exit. By reinvesting cash to capital the portfolio grows in value through the long term while always remaining "as good as cash” liquid whenever time comes you need some cash from dividends running your income portfolio.
  • 3. “ Page 3 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Throughout the immediate past year and half confused portfolio managers moved the massive holdings6 they claim in your name on news and gossip churn they and their confrere’s make-up. They are like the Mock Turtle “only took the regular courses” but have no proof. Volatility they and their confreres make “surprising news” because they never know where they are. Convictions they have, and plenty more7 are now finally indicted, but no reasons can they offer. No help for you comes from them, just their litigation bill, you pay for out of their fees. Those Artful Dodgers’ baseless gambling with your money always pays them first, for their ‘reasons’ that do not help you. Their rumours ping-pong nervous and unsure. They did not read or connect dots even when told, Taper-talk fear was hot-air volatility8 tales, wagging ‘fat0tails’ dogs gossip. The ‘dollar per word’ market mavens floated on Quantitative Eating. Yeah, the Fed said rates will rise when they see ‘full’ employment. One critic said, “no crisis, no trades, no money made.” Current ‘Grexit’ crisis extends back to British, Dutch, French and German banks pursuing high profits in derivative backed loans to Greek firms, in 2007. In 2010 IMF and ECB took over those loans to save those banks €214 Bn loses on their risky business. By law, the public is liable for PLC defaults, as greatest of unsecured creditors. Which public, whose pockets pay for bank folly, is the question. FSB is sending bankers back to the Medieval Diet of high reserves and bland fees9 . Austerity hangs everyone out to dry. Even before Keynes, US President Herbert Hoover in 1931 proposed international financial debt moratorium to fight the Great Depression. It was bank management failure of due diligence in creating unwarranted credit bubble margin lending leading to crash the liquidity needed for sound businesses of society that made ‘Hoovervilles’. Mellon partisan politicking saved bankers their balance sheets at greater public expense for PLC defaults. Demand grows economies. The business process creates ‘new money’ covering debt carried. Cash must be engaged in effective business processes to gain from value added by valiant business enterprises. Cash on balance sheets should be allocated to serve new demand and innovation creating jobs in the real economy as consumers spend and demand. Managers using QE cashroll for buying-in shares is an austerity measure that just helps them to their share-package and cash bonuses, not help to shareholders10 , or growing business with trading connections creating worth. Despite long evident strong real growth, capitalization in jobs creation by innovation has lagged, along with political leadership overwrought on fugitive tales from their dog-walkers. Some mavens called DJI to hit 2000, by December 2014! The real economy is doing well but more slowly than those fast-buck-per-word mavens want for their fees hand-over-fist. The dollar-per- word market mavens and Artful Dodger portfolio managers have no reasons. It is just gossip driving their gambles with your money, absent a rigged game. No crisis, no trades, they make no money! All 4 of StockTakers NYSE portfolios had doubled in less than 3 years. As our public charity portfolios show our reasoned balance sheet analysis of firms managing their business debt structure is proven method. Rooted in oil and minerals glut the TSX struggles to lesser gain, but can grin too.
  • 4. “ Page 4 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update We call that proof, evidence our method tends to 26% IRR gains. Those were outlier results in mixed markets confused by conventions, newspeak, jargon and aphorisms of the confused that do not know, and will not bother to learn. This past year the froth blow off shows the real economy steady and slow, but still far ahead of population growth in three-fold GDP growth ratio. We show our risk averse, capital safe, liquid investing method based on Risk Price works very likably. All the gossip and volatility the ‘dollar-per-word’ market mavens have mumbled is their business model ‘news’ for your trading. Those mavens whacked markets setback the August 2014 portfolios, just as in Q1-2013, trimming our outlier results. ‘Be Calm and Carry-on’ $toploss resets ride out waves market mavens make. Our simple risk averse $toploss does well for the long term. After riding the sad last year, the NYSE portfolio 3 year proof is 96.00%, i.e., 25.15% IRR pa. The 27 month NYSE rode half of its time through sad news to prove 35.31%, or 14.50% IRR pa. Nice. Cash is powerful only when invested as capital to hold and grow value, adding to your wealth. Let others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model that rarely works. So called “financial advisors” at institutions are risk sellers, Capital Appreciation Robbers, CAR sellers of ‘funky chicken’ products for fee-taking leaving none for you. Do not give those Artful Dodgers your wallet Less risk for more reward sounds unusual but “likeables” prove risk aversion is rewarded. Our proprietary information given in charity empowers small investors to “save your own bacon.” But you can be charitable. Consider paying-forward our charity by donating our usual 2&20 fee to social charity. Good social and corporate works deserve11 your help building society’s wealth. We seek accredited investors to advance what we have proven. Meanwhile enjoy our charity providing TaxCharityTM and BookBuilderTM portfolios as public service, because we can. Use our proprietary “likeables” information for the small investor to save your own bacon. Set the $topLosses indicated and get on with earning income from your business you know best. Expand your portfolio. You are ready for riding through more waves from comic behaviours in politics infused market gossip. Grow your wallet, ride those waves. You know how to work and save, so “save your own bacon” with our “likeables.” Accredited investors should call us for 12% bond12 . BookBuilderTM Portfolios Update List – 31 January 2016 NYSE BookBuilderTM "likeables" Firms (30 November 2012) Market Price Symbol SF (Risk Price) Stop/Loss (See prior posts for early trading history) Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each Callaway Golf Co. ($9.0 stopLoss 11jan16) 9.00 ELY 7 8.5 Huntington Bancshares Inc. ($10.8 stopLoss 04jan16) 10.80 HBAN 9 8.1 Janus Capital Group Inc. ($13.4 stopLoss 07jan16) 13.40 JNS 10 11.6 NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0 Peoples United Financial Inc. ($15.8 stopLoss 04jan16) 15.80 PBCT 14 14.0 ShoreTel Inc. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) 8.50 SHOR 6 6.7 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
  • 5. “ Page 5 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Atmel Corporation 8.06 ATML:US 7 7.3 Callaway Golf Co. ($8.4 stopLoss 03feb16) 8.71 ELY 7 8.5 Gannett Company Inc. ($13.9 stopLoss 17feb16) 14.84 GCI:US 12 14.0 Janus Capital Group Inc. ($11.3 stopLoss 02feb16) 12.23 JNS:US 10 11.6 Peoples United Financial Inc. ($13.9 stopLoss 03feb16) 14.37 PBCT:US 14 14.0 ShoreTel Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 03feb16) 8.21 SHOR 6 6.7 Talmer Bancorp Inc. ($15.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 16.06 TLMR 14 16.0 Wendys International Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 09feb16) 10.23 WEN:US 6 8.8 NYSE BookBuilderTM 2012 Portfolio *100 Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012 9588.50 /5460.00 Gain 39.0 months 75.61% IRR pa 18.92% Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jan16) 4.00 Net Cash * 100 (after stoploss sales) 8030.00 Net Current Cash Forward * 100 8034.00 Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Incorporated 7.39 ACHN 2 6.2 First Horizon National Corp 12.02 FHN:US 10 11.2 Gannett Company Inc 9.89 GCI:US 12 14.0 Himax Technologies Incorporated 15.33 HIMX:US 7 9.2 Logitech International S.A. 10.13 LOGI 8 14.6 Annaly Capital Management Incorporated 5.84 NLY 10 9.7 Wendys International Incorporated 9.37 WEN:US 6 8.8 Net Cash Forward * 100 (after no buy-ins 31oct15) 95.00 Cash Dividends earned 363.50 Total Cash Available 458.50 NYSE BookBuilderTM 2012 Portfolio *100 Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012 9588.50 /5460.00 Gain 39.0 months 75.61% IRR pa 18.92% Stop-loss settings intend to defend capital from unusual negative market volatility in case of such irrational market mavens’ pressures of Q3-2014 through Q3-2015. Irrationally volatile swings occurred without regard for reason as stock prices sharply rebounded. Capital was defended by stoploss settings as intended but you must rebuild the portfolio with successive replacement buy- ins as shown below. Staying in the market is the way to gain back. We have progressively tightened our stoploss settings to less than a standard deviation on a 52 week rolling range13 of a stock’s price. That does incur an added ‘churn’ cost of buying after selling at the triggered stoploss setting. That is a consequence of exercising capital safety. There
  • 6. “ Page 6 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update are benefits to doing that. New NYSE 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares (31 August 2013 ) 4397.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 31sep15 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) ACHN 2 6.2 Carrefour SA ADR ($6.3 stopLoss 13nov15) CRRFY:US 5 4.9 Monster Worldwide Inc. ($5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 2.0 Office Depot Inc. ($6.8 stopLoss 19nov15) ODP 4 4.3 Rite Aid Corporation 7.95 RAD:US 6 7.4 ShoreTel Inc. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.7 Buy-ins 30nov15 *100 shares each Mitsubishi UFJ Fin’l Inc. ADS ($6.2 stopLoss 11dec15) MTU:US 6 3.7 Office Depot Inc. ($6.1 stopLoss 07dec15) ODP 4 4.3 Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each ChemoCentryx Inc. ($7.4 stopLoss 04jan16) CCXI 6 2.2 Callaway Golf Co. ($9.0 stopLoss 11jan16) ELY 7 8.5 Monster Worldwide Inc. ( $5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 2.0 Office Depot Inc. ($5.2 stopLoss 12jan16) ODP 4 4.3 ShoreTel Inco. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.7 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 5.70 ACHN 2 6.2 Callaway Golf Co. ($8.4 stopLoss 03feb16) 8.40 ELY 7 8.5 JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd ADS ($8.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 8.30 JASO: 8 8.2 Office Depot Inc 5.08 ODP 4 4.3 SLM Corporation ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 5.70 SLM 6 4.9 ShoreTel Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 03feb16) 7.70 SHOR 6 6.7 BookBuildersTM 2013 NYSE Current Portfolio (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013 5081.60 /4397.00 Gain 30.0 months 15.57% IRR pa 5.96% This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is cause for celebratory hats and horns. This portfolio has gone through 18 months of volatile and negative market behaviour, more than half of its interval. This portfolio has demonstrated resilience even using the less effective stoploss regime. We know the pursuit of framing options to collar exit or holds guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative. Over these thirty months this portfolio has trebled the performance of the hedge funds. This
  • 7. “ Page 7 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update portfolio has proven stunningly better result for the small investor than any conventional finance industry product. The resulting gain obtained is vastly better than any fund, bond or mortgage and always is liquid for the small investor needing access in emergency to use their own wealth. Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 14.00 Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss) 3380.00 Net Current Cash * 3394.00 Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each BAE Systems PLC ORD 7.05 BAESF:US 6 6.7 Frontier Communications Corp 5.41 FTR:US 5 4.7 Opko Health Incorporated 9.30 OPK 9 7.3 Sirius XM Radio Inc. 3.72 SIRI:NASDAQ 3 3.5 ShoreTel Incorporated 7.39 SHOR 6 6.7 ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) 3.25 ZTCOY:US 3 2.8 Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jul2015) 15.00 Cash Dividends earned 113.30 Total Cash Available 128.30 BookBuildersTM 2013 NYSE Current Portfolio (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013 5081.60 /4397.00 Gain 30.0 months 15.57% IRR pa 5.96% (Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings) Peoples United Financial Incorporated 14.61 PBCT:US 14 14.0 Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation 25.36 SWHC:US 12 23.0 Western Union Company 18.26 WU:US 16 17.2 Vigilance while these below are nearing but still trading below Risk Price and not yet “likeables” so are still not risk averse buy-ins. Alcoa Inc 8.93 AA:US 10 7.4 Camtek Limited 1.91 CAMT 3 1.5 LM Ericsson Telephone Company 9.18 ERIC:NASDAQ 11 8.4 BookBuildersTM New NYSE 2014 Portfolio Set 31 August 2014 4925.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 30nov15 *100 shares each Carrefour SA ADR ($5.9 stopLoss 11dec15) CRRFY:US 5 4.9 MFA Financial Inc. ($6.6 stopLoss 14dec15) MFA 7 6.4 NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0 Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($4.0 stopLoss 08dec15) SIRI:NASDAQ 3 3.5
  • 8. “ Page 8 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update ZTE Corporation ADR ($3.9 stopLoss 07jan16) ZTCOY:US 3 2.8 Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each BAE Systems PLC ORD ($7.1 stopLoss 19jan16) BAESF:US 6 6.7 NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0 Carrefour SA ADR ($7.1 stopLoss 06jan16) CRRFY:US 5 4.9 Rite Aid Corporation 7.95 RAD:US 6 7.4 SLM Corporation ($6.0 stopLoss 07jan16) SLM 6 4.9 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 5.40 ACHN 2 6.2 MFA Financial Incorporated 6.81 MFA 7 6.4 NEC Corporation 3.23 NIPNF 3 3.0 Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.6 stopLoss 08feb16) 3.60 SIRI 3 3.5 ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) 3.25 ZTCOY:US 3 2.8 BookBuildersTM New NYSE 2014 Portfolio (including dividends*) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014 3748.00 /4925.00 Gain 18.0 months 76.10% Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 14.00 Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss sales) 930.00 Net Current Cash 944.00 Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Frontier Communications Corp 5.41 FTR:US 5 4.7 Sirius XM Radio Inc. 3.72 SIRI 3 3.5 Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jan16) 14.00 Cash Dividends earned 35.00 Total Cash Available 49.00 BookBuildersTM New NYSE 2014 Portfolio (including dividends*) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014 3748.00 /4925.00 Gain 18.0 months 76.10% Fund managers are sitting on your money to lose it in their ‘Great Rotation’ to buy bonds, a churn which will freeze into ill-liquid lower interest less than inflation now to be discounted even more later when sold to regain liquidity. For this they claim fees, they win twice, so you lose twice. The pool of low price point range of ‘likeables’ is now smaller. The August 2014 started portfolio seems an unwelcome outlier, dogged by this group of low price ‘likeables’ in a highly negative volatility range. We stay in the market, to resist loss and wait for the rebound, always liquid. This portfolio is on a long hill to climb back up but only staying in the market can make that climb. The biggest miscall of the market gossips ‘sky fall’ driving volatility is that world gross production
  • 9. “ Page 9 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update still exceeds world population growth by a factor of 3. The world economy is growing. Consumers of high value added production remain consuming near 13 times more than population growth in the Euro-American nations. That should be aligned if the world economies were near stagnant. High value added production of Chinese (Indian Bengal Bay peninsula and Indonesian archipelago and others are not far behind) workshops to the world still exceeds the population growth of high income nations buying high value consumer goods by a factor of 13. The rising aspirations of a middle class consuming high value goods is being felt worldwide not just in the G8 economies. Chinese domestic consumption from its household formations is its own internal problem, while households’ formation buying durable goods in the rest of the developing world is still rising. These factors are driven by patents technology and money rents paid to leading Euro-American corporations. The Euro-American consumers’ appetites expressed as their GDPs are still rising at more than quintuple their rate of population growth though a seventh of the world. Durable goods needed to supply new households forming in Europe for war refugees rebuilding lives and opportunities will stimulate welcoming economies. Employment is rising there as lately reported. The five thousand year rivalry of tribal fiefs in their plundering for middle east spoils regardless of religious spurs will spoil over oil decline as fuel is overtaken by innovating entrepreneurship. The finest individuals of those fractious intrigues have escaped servility to seek their individual agency among the developed economies giving refuge for their energy and range. Those that do not return will spur innovation and growth in the receiving nations the middle east will be permanently denied the human resource agency ‘Arab Spring’ was about. The amiable educated and more able with finer dispositions will stay in refuge nation’s safety. The belligerents with short views return. The greatest export of the occident is the inspiration of individual agency that lies at the core of capitalism. We embrace the innovative when acting to our better angels, because that which can be made to work will enhance us all. We grant our finances and licence to architects of future business in their promise and our expectation they will enhance our expectations. That is what lies at the core of capitalism. The flow of ‘credit float’ we express to build those dreams ‘raises all our boats’ and why we created the fictitious person, the corporation, as a society bears as public liability the costs of its failure as we enjoy its success and promise. We invest in the hopeful return of a future income coming from that inspired act of highest charity, investment, just as Maimonides encouraged that we might gain strength to earn our own way through that endeavour. These are the fundamentals driving international trade and macroeconomics the gossips are blind from seeing. However as one pundit said, politics is all local, so is conventional vision of economics, plagued by not seeing the larger view. Volatility will settle as these notions make their corrective impact until market gossips find some other sky falling. As another pundit reminded, Stay Calm and Carry On. Stick to our knitting and climb back. By our effort dark times diminish.
  • 10. “ Page 10 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Engage “Likeables” and save your own bacon. Equities that tend to hold their value and gain are better than cash. We like risk aversion, Capital Safety and Liquidity because we have proven that works, for low risk and high AlphaSmartTM gains. For small savings it is needful but arbitrary you stock your portfolio from the low price-point end of "likeables" found in the market. These “likeables” are used in the BookBuildersTM fitting criteria for small investor portfolio needs. What is essential in your portfolios is that you buy a full complement of at least eight or preferably more equities at any time. (We prefer equal blocks of 100 shares. That allows us 'collaring options' an aggressive exit strategy to maximize gains (instead of passive stop-loss) as many “likeables” rebound so ‘collaring’ lets us hold through volatility and earn more gains14 ). Do not expect perfect of Risk Price. Tendency for gain is not the same as pin-the-point on the mule as most claim, encourage or seek. Let others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model. Risk Price is what investors need to know. Risk aversion comes of a diverse range of our “likeables” in your portfolio. Our proprietary “likeables” information allows small investors to save your own bacon. TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM “Likeables” Portfolio (set 30 November 2012) Market Price Symbol SF (Risk Price) Stoploss (See prior posts for early trading history) Buy-ins 31jul2015 *100 shares each Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ($7 stopLoss 10aug15) AAV 5 6.2 Choice Properties REIT ($11.1 stopLoss 21aug15) CHP.UN 10 12.1 Chorus Aviation Inc. (($5.7 stopLoss 21aug15) CHR.B 5 5.5 Heroux-Devtek Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 12.30 HRX 9 12.2 Buy-ins 31aug2015 *100 shares each BlackBerry Limited. ($9.0 stopLoss 25sep15) BB 8 9.2 Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 5.5 Extendicare Inc. ($9.4 stopLoss 04dec15) EXE 7 8.4 Martinrea Intl Inc. ($11.0 stopLoss 22sep15) MRE 10 7.5 NovaGold Resources Inc. ($4.4 stopLoss 06nov15) NG 4 5.9 Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.2 stopLoss 06nov15) PG 2 2.8 Buy-ins 30sepl2015 *100 shares each Cott Corp. ($12.6 stopLoss 10nov14) BCB 8 15.2 Choice Properties REIT ($11.4 stopLoss 06nov15) CHP.UN 10 12.1 Martinrea International Inc. ($10.4 stopLoss 26nov15) MRE 10 7.5 Buy-ins 30nov2015 *100 shares each Air Canada ($9.5 stopLoss 07jan16) AC.TO 8 5.5 Aecon Group Inc. ($14.5 stopLoss 08jan16) ARE 14 12.8 BlackBerry Ltd. ($11.7 stopLoss 06jan16) BB 8 9.2 Just Energy Group Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) JE 6 7.0 Martinrea International Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 14jan16) MRE 10 7.5
  • 11. “ Page 11 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Buy-ins 31dec2015 *100 shares each Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.3 stopLoss 15jan16) ASR 3 2.5 Lake Shore Gold Corp. 1.82 LSG 0 1.6 NovaGold Resources Inc. ($5.5 stopLoss 12jan16) NG 4 5.9 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each Aecon Group Inc. ($13.7 stopLoss 02feb16) 13.70 ARE 14 12.8 BlackBerry Ltd. ($9.3 stopLoss 09feb16) 9.30 BB 8 9.2 Cott Corp. ($13.6 stopLoss 08feb16) 13.60 BCB 8 15.2 CAE Inc. ($14.2 stopLoss 01feb16) 14.20 CAE 13 14.4 Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) 5.10 CHR.B 5 5.5 Just Energy Group Inc. ($8.8 stopLoss 10feb16) 8.80 JE 6 7.0 . TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM Portfolio Value (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012 8398.10 /6391.00 Gain 39.0 months 31.26% IRR pa 8.73% Net Current Cash after 31jan16 Buy-ins *100 shares 27.00 Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sales) 7690.00 Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 7717.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. 10.41 AQN 9 9.8 Choice Properties REIT 12.47 CHP.UN 10 12.1 Celestica Inc. 13.93 CLS 10 12.7 Chartwell Snrs Hsg REIT 12.96 CSH.UN 10 12.4 Guyana Goldfields Inc. 4.35 GUY 3 3.9 Just Energy Group Inc. 7.92 JE 6 7.0 Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 8.17 KGI 4 7.4 NovaGold Resources Inc. 6.70 NG 4 5.9 Net Current Cash after 31dec15 Buy-ins *100 shares 26.00 Cash Dividends earned 307.09 Total Cash Available 333.09 TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM Portfolio Value (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 30 November 2012 8398.10 /6391.00 Gain 39.0 months 31.26% IRR pa 8.73% Removal of ‘Quantitative Eating’ combined with oil and gas bloat made unusual down-side volatility in all markets these past 18 months. To fuel that, older Greece and newer China issues added spooky gossip, a ‘sea-change’ of stoplosses was triggered by these gossip storylines.
  • 12. “ Page 12 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Balance sheets did not flip-flop. Portfolio managers did, unrelated to ‘fundamentals’ of value investing15 . Our tighter $toploss values reduced risk of loss. All of the stocks in our public portfolios16 simply rebounded. Most, still trading well above Risk Price can be bought back for less. Take the ‘short-sell’ bonus and buy those back. We hear the ‘mooing’ as higher employment spreads through Europe despite stagnant oil price; and, Russian and Chinese theatres of proxy conflict. Less gossip, more go-sip a tea on your earned break, gets things done. Collaring options we prefer using give more gains but requires a lot more attention. Stoploss is a simpler approach. Again we must rebuild for gain hopeful calmer markets will soon return. Price has no mass - gravity like gossip fluctuates, apparently both being ‘dark energy’ forces. Political shift to fuller renewal of infrastructure is now at forefront with income equality. All the ‘canards’ and other ‘Daffy’ ‘Donalds” walk the political stage of this season while the real economy slowly inches recovery forward, absorbing those persons’ abuse of ‘credit float’ in the sea of moral hazard they had created. Manager avatars like ‘Donald’ have much to account. The reality that ‘treacle-down’ never worked is roosting, as much as, austerity is impoverishing in hard times when innovation and investment are needed to ‘credit float’ warranted investment in valiant business processes and enterprises in the real economy. Austerity drains ‘credit float’ from worthy enterprises as otherwise add worth and wealth in their business process, making ‘money’ to put in our pockets and allocate as we wish or save in ‘likeable’ equities hopeful of gain. Cash is better ‘cached’ into capital-creating ‘likeables’ equities, adding worth for you. New TSX 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares Set 31 August 2013 6282.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 31aug2015*100 shares each BlackBerry Limited ($9.0 stopLoss 25sep15) BB 8 9.2 Heroux-Devtek Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 12.30 HRX 9 12.2 Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 12nov15) KGI 4 7.4 Martinrea Intl Inc. ($11.0 stopLoss 22sep15) MRE 10 7.5 Buy-ins 30sep2015*100 shares each Altius Minerals Corp. ($11.8 stopLoss 06nov15) ALS 9 8.0 ATS Automtn Tooling Sys Inc. ($13.2 stopLoss 05nov15) ATA 11 8.7 RONA inc. ($13.0 stopLoss 09nov15) RON 12 20.8 Buy-ins 31oct2015*100 shares each Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 5.1 Silver Standard Resources Inc. ($8.4 stopLoss 05nov15) SSO.TO 8 5.4 Buy-ins 30nov2015*100 shares each
  • 13. “ Page 13 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ($6.5 stopLoss 11jan16) AAV 5 6.2 Algonquin Power & Utls Corp. ($10.5 stopLoss 18jan16) AQN 9 9.8 Altius Minerals Corp. ($11.0 stopLoss 03dec15) ALS 9 8.0 ATS Automation Tool Sys. Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 07dec15) ATA 11 8.7 Just Energy Group Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) JE 6 7.0 Silver Standard Resources Inc. ($6.5 stopLoss 14jan16) SSO.TO 8 6.7 Buy-ins 31dec2015*100 shares each Altius Minerals Corp. ($9.5 stopLoss 07jan16) ALS 9 8.0 ATS Automation Tlg Sys Inc. ($10.9 stopLoss 05jan16) ATA 11 8.7 Lake Shore Gold Corp. 1.82 LSG 0 1.6 Buy-ins 31jan16*100 shares each ATS Automtn Tool Systems Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 03feb16) 9.80 ATA 11 8.8 Choice Properties REIT ($11.7 stopLoss 08feb16) 11.70 CHP.UN 10 12.1 Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) 5.10 CHR.B 5 5.7 Intertape Polymer Grp Inc. 16.23 ITP 15 14.9 Just Energy Group Inc. ($8.8 stopLoss 10feb16) 8.80 JE 6 7.0 NovaGold Resources Inc. 6.70 NG 4 5.9 New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM Portfolio (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013 7453.40 /6282.00 Gain 30.0 months 18.65% IRR pa 7.08% Net Current Cash after 31jan16 Buy-ins *100 shares 21.00 Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sakes) 4770.00 Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 4791.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 29feb16*100 shares each Extendicare Incorporated 9.07 EXE 7 8.4 Guyana Goldfields Inc. 4.35 GUY 3 3.9 Just Energy Group Inc. 7.92 JE 6 7.0 Northland Power Inc. 19.02 NPI 15 18.4 OceanaGold Corporation 3.74 OGC 2 3.3 Premier Gold Mines Limited 3.22 PG 2 2.8 Net Current Cash after 31dec15 *100 share Buy-ins 59.00 Cash Dividends earned 187.40 Total Cash Available 246.40 New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM Portfolio (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2013 7453.40 /6282.00 Gain 30.0 months 18.65% IRR pa 7.08%
  • 14. “ Page 14 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update (Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings) Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 6.88 AAV 5 6.2 Choice Properties REIT 12.47 CHP.UN 10 12.1 Great Canadian Gaming Corp 18.61 GC 14 16.4 BookBuilderTM New TSX 2014 “Likeables” $5,000 Portfolio (31 August 2014 *100 share Buy-ins) 4871.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 30jun2015 *100 shares each Algonquin Power & Utilis Corp. ($9.2 stopLoss 09jul15) AQN 9 11.0 Heroux-Devtek Inc. ($12.3 stopLoss 08feb16) 12.30 HRX 9 12.3 Buy-ins 31jul2015 *100 shares each Atlantic Power Corp. ($3 stopLoss 06aug15) ATP 3 2.4 Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 12nov15) KGI 4 4.6 Lundin Mining Corp. ($4.2 stopLoss 19aug15) LUN 5 3.0 Nevsun Resources Ltd. ($4 stopLoss 05aug15) NSU 4 3.5 Buy-ins 31aug2015 *100 shares each Extendicare Inc. ($9.4 stopLoss 04dec15) EXE 7 8.8 Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($3.2 stopLoss 26oct15) GUY 3 3.4 NovaGold Resources Inc. ($4.4 stopLoss 06nov15) NG 4 5.5 OceanaGold Corp. ($2.0 stopLoss 28sep15) OGC 2 2.7 Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.2 stopLoss 06nov15) PG 2 2.3 Semafo Inc. ($3.0 stopLoss 03sep15) SMF 3 3.2 Buy-ins 30sep2015 *100 shares each Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.6 stopLoss 30oct15) ASR 3 2.0 Western Forest Products Inc. ($2.1 stopLoss 07jan16) WEF 1 1.9 Buy-ins 31oct2015 *100 shares each Lake Shore Gold Corp. ($1.0 stopLoss 23nov15) LSG 0 1.2 OceanaGold Corp. ($2.3 stopLoss 20nov15) OGC 2 2.7 Western Forest Products Inc. ($2.1 stopLoss 07jan16) WEF 1 1.9 Buy-ins 30nov2015 *100 shares each Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 5.1 Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 8.17 KGI 4 4.6 OceanaGold Corp. ($2.4 stopLoss 07dec15) OGC 2 2.7 Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.5 stopLoss 18jan16) PG 2 2.3 Buy-ins 31dec2015 *100 shares each Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.5 stopLoss 20jul15) ASR 3 2.0 Guyana Goldfields Inc. 4.35 GUY 3 3.4 Lake Shore Gold Corp. 1.82 LSG 0 1.2 NovaGold Resources Inc. ($5.5 stopLoss 12jan16) NG 4 5.5 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
  • 15. “ Page 15 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) 5.10 CHR.B 5 5.1 BlackBerry Limited ($9.3 stopLoss 09feb16) 9.30 BB 8 9.2 Premier Gold Mines Limited 3.22 PG 2 2.3 Western Forest Products Inc. ($1.9 stopLoss 03feb16) 1.90 WEF 1 1.9 BookBuilderTM New TSX 2014 “Likeables” (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014 4726.20 /4871.00 Gain 18.0 months 97.03% Net Current Cash (after 29feb16 *100 share Buy-ins) 44.00 Net Cash * 100 (on stoploss sales) 2860.00 Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 2904.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 6.88 AAV 5 6.2 Extendicare Incorporated 9.07 EXE 7 8.4 Just Energy Group Inc. 7.92 JE 6 7.0 Nevsun Resources Ltd. 4.40 NSU 4 4.0 Net Current Cash after 31dec15 Buy-ins *100 shares 77.00 Cash Dividends earned 54.20 Total Cash Available 131.20 BookBuilderTM New TSX 2014 “Likeables” (including dividendsª) 29 February 2016 / 31 August 2014 4726.20 /4871.00 Gain 18.0 months 97.03% This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is cause for celebratory hats and horns. This portfolio has gone through 18 months of volatile and negative market behaviour, its entire interval. The TSX is still down at 82.96% over the interval. This month this portfolio is 15.91% higher than the TSX, is demonstrating resilience even using the less effective stoploss regime. The modest ’short sell’ of not buying back at higher price than stoploss has limited capital erosion during these negative times, while showing the long term tendency for gain by staying in the market as it will gyrate on gossip. Risk Price is about knowing more than the rest, more than conventional fundamentals offer to the investor at any scale of portfolio. We know the pursuit of framing options to collar exit or holds guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative. That takes too much attention for the small investor who just wants to save and build wealth hopeful of gains better than inflation in the long term and be liquid all the while ready for difficult times.
  • 16. “ Page 16 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update Vigilance while these below are nearing but still trading below Risk Price and not yet “likeables” so are still not risk averse buy-ins. Artis Real Estate Investment Trust 12.40 AX.UN 14 11.6 Enerflex Ltd. 10.34 EFX 19 8.9 NuVista Energy Ltd. 4.42 NVA 8 2.9 Engage “likeables” and save your own bacon. The conventional investment industry cannot prove any of their assumptions underlying their methods, whose results are 1.03:1, like17 a coin toss. Avoid those Artful Dodgers playing dice with your wallet. Investors need a real compass18 . Risk Price shows their way19 . Our TaxCharityTM gives proof. In the spirit and tradition of real science of Bacon and Newton we feign nothing; our demonstrations are in real time with real consequences obtaining real benefit to investors’ wallets, because we can. In our Modal Geometry theory of the firm we make only two assumptions, clearly as follows: 1. there is a balance sheet of the firm (that the rule of law governs its information is possibly weak assumption but at an accuracy to at least the modest degree accountants are prepared to be responsible for); and, 2. the firm will vigorously negotiate, “what it owns” (in order to stay in business “what is owed to it” with “what it owes” and vice versa, to make the best of what it has, that is in its trading connections). The Modal Geometry theory of the firm has unfolded more by rigourous observation in the real world of corporate ledgers relation to balance sheets. That is aided with logic, epistemology, and some powerful mathematics, real science, not conventional assumptions with little relevance but gossip. Our reasons for having any equity in our portfolios are clear, concise and consistent. “likeables” are equities shown valued by investors, tending to continuing gain, which investors have demonstrated a determination to buy and hold at stock prices above the Risk Price. “AlphaSmartTM gains, Capital Safety and Liquidity” are consequences we obtain through risk aversion that our Risk Price enables. That is proven. Proof is positive, in our TaxCharityTM and BookBuilderTM portfolios extending our proprietary information to small investors. The BST-Solo50KTM and ABC-ZsTM suit larger wallets. Because we can, while the entire financial industry is so busy blowing bubbles20 with cash from your wallet. Know What You Have. Have What You Know. Our risk averse view works. The proof of our method is clear and forthrightly shown. Of course we require 2&20 fees for doing that, or utilize our 12% Bond. Mail us for our help.
  • 17. “ Page 17 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update It is the price of risk21 because that’s the price at which we can reasonably expect to get our money back with a possible and hopeful return that exceeds the rate of inflation. That proof is here in your hands, as we continue to show as above, because, we can. Know What You Have, and only, Have What You Know. Our view is risk averse. Of course we require 2&20 fees for doing that. Mail us for our help. Hans Goetze, Architypes Inc. architypes@gmail.com and StockTakers Limited Head Office 76 Midridge Close SE Calgary, AB T2X 1G1 351 Chemin Boulanger Sutton, PQ J0E 2K0 450 538-1270 1 http://riskwerk.com/2012/06/05/economics-is-confusing/ 2 http://riskwerk.com/2015/08/27/pi-extreme-economics-the-worlds-bubble-wrap/ 3 ‘Father’ of Modern Portfolio Theory, Peter L. Bernstein, became disaffected realizing it was exposing investors to risk while productive way for making the professionals a living http://www.e-m-h.org/Bernstein1999.pdf 4 E. Goetze,“The Modal Geometry of the Firm and the Balance Sheet Worth of the Trading Connections”, 2006 5 http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/ 6 http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block- capitalism-reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email 7 banks have paid nearly $230 billion in litigation costs since 2009 http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/13/us- banking-litigation-research-idUSKBN0KM10G20150113 8 http://www.marketwatch.com/story/only-a-black-swan-will-bring-back-stock-volatility-2014-05-18 These Goldilocks and the Black Swans are confused by the tales even the VIXens siren to investors. 9 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/medieval-diet 10 http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block- capitalism-reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email 11 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-corporate-social-on-our-best 12 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/stocktakers-12-bond 13 http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/ 14 http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/03/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market/ http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/21/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market-2/ http://riskwerk.com/2013/08/10/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market-3/ 15 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Intelligent_Investor 16 http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/18/the-real-intelligent-investor/ 17 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-grail-and-the-goat-portfolios on North American markets the combined average result of ‘managers’ investment models is 1.03:1, statistically no better than monkeys tossing coins or dice as compared to Risk Price driven ‘likeables’ portfolio showing 2.28:1 of the equities gain for long periods, the rest is ‘gardening’ 18 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/orienteering-among-magpies 19 http://riskwerk.com/2012/08/26/the-price-of-risk/ 20 http://riskwerk.com/2013/10/14/asset-bubbles-day-october-14-2013/
  • 18. “ Page 18 of 18 February 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 29 February 2016 Update 21 http://riskwerk.com/2012/08/26/the-price-of-risk/