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The role of livestock in
achieving the SDGs
16th Annual Meeting of the Inter-Agency Donor Group on
Pro-poor-livestock research and development
Berlin, 18 -20 November 2015
Shirley Tarawali, Assistant Director General, ILRI, Kenya
Animal sourcefoods: 5of6highest valueglobal
commodities (total valueofthese5=US Int$715 billion)
FAOSTAT 2015
(values for 2013)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0
50
100
150
200
250
Production(MT)millions
Netproductionvalue(Int$)billion
net production value (Int $) billion production (MT)
Cow milk has
overtaken rice
% growth in demand for livestock products
2000–2030
3
0
50
100
150
200
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
Beef
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
Pork
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
Poultry
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
Milk
FAO, 2011
Based on anticipated change in absolute tonnes of product comparing 2000 and 2030
Livestock and the SDGs?
- Relate to almost all SDGs
- In most cases:
- Positive and negative potential contributions
- Diverse and dependant on many factors (where;
system; commodity; etc……)
- Complex; trade-offs
- Dynamic – in transition
- Conspicuously absent from SDGs/indicators
- Too bold………?……….:
- Failing to give sufficient attention to this fastest
growing, often controversial agricultural sector
could impact significantly on attaining the SDGs
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Animal source foods for
nutrition and health
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Animal source foods for
nutrition and health
Livestock and sustainable
ecosystems
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Animal source foods for
nutrition and health
Livestock and sustainable
ecosystems
A valuable market: examples
• Livestock: 40% GDP and growing
• Market value of animal source foods
in Africa in 2050 estimated as US $
151 billion
• Globally disease reduces livestock
productivity by 25% - valued at US
$300 billion per year
• Annual global investment of US $ 25
billion in one health approaches
could save as much as US $100
billion annually
Herrero et al. 2014
Demand for livestock commodities in developing
economies will be met—the question is how
Scenario #1
Meeting livestock demand by
importing livestock products
Scenario #2
Meeting livestock demand by
importing livestock industrial production know-how
Scenario #3
Meeting livestock demand by
transforming smallholder livestock systems
Replacing the 90% of locally produced animal
commodities with imports is not feasible
Economically
Africa’s food import bill (2013): US $
44 billion
About one fifth is livestock (highest
after cereals):
Meat: US $ 5 billion; Milk: US $ 4
billion
Business as usual: the import bill
doubles
Various sources:
BMGF, FAO and ILRI
Smallholders still dominate
livestock production in many countries
Region
(definition of
‘smallholder’)
% production by smallholder livestock farms
Beef Chicken
meat
Sheep/goat
meat
Milk Pork Eggs
East Africa
(≤ 6 milking
animals)
60-90
Bangladesh
(< 3ha land)
65 77 78 65 77
India
(< 2ha land)
75 92 92 69 71
Vietnam
(small scale)
80
Philippines
(backyard)
50 35
Smallholders: part of the development
• Not sentimentality or a belief in “small is beautiful”
• Based on the evidence and the dual objectives of
– increasing animal source food supply to consumers
– supporting rural development and livelihoods
• The evidence:
– They produce the bulk of the livestock (and half of crop) products in
developing countries so need to be part of increase supply strategy
– They continue to be competitive so wont go away on their own
– Does not detract from investing in larger commercial systems
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Transforming
livestock VCs:
Opportunities for
business, youth,
SMEs
Not all smallholders
will be part of
the solution
Robust productivity solutions:
existing and new science
Delivery
Markets
Institutions
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Animal source foods for
nutrition and health
Livestock and sustainable
ecosystems
Livestock and livelihoods
• 70% of the world’s rural poor rely on livestock
for important parts of their livelihoods.
• Of the more than 600 million poor livestock
keepers in the world, around two-thirds are
rural women.
• Over 100 million landless people keep
livestock.
• For the vulnerable, up to 40% of benefits from
livestock keeping come from non-market,
intangible benefits, mostly insurance and
financing.
• In the poorest countries, livestock manure
comprises over 70% of soil fertility
amendments.
• Many employed in local informal livestock
product markets
• 90% of animal products are produced and
consumed in the same country or region
• Over 70% of livestock products are sold
‘informally’
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Women in livestock raising, processing,
trading – gender transformative approaches
Inclusive dairy
development:
Target: 60 million
smallholders
in East Africa
Increased
economic
value
$260 million
per annum
Insuring the never-before insured against
catastrophic drought in the Horn
Beyond technology:
• New models for one billion to be part of
the livestock sector transformation; or to
exit positively
• Women, men, young people part of new
livestock business solutions
• Securing assets of the vulnerable
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Animal source foods for
nutrition and health
Livestock and sustainable
ecosystems
Nutritional divides among 7 billion people today
chronic hunger
inadequate diets
overweight
obese
balanced diets
Chronic disease
likely to cost $35
trillion by 2030
11% of GNP lost
annually in Africa
and Asia from
poor nutrition
Food insecurity and under nutrition remain persistent
72 developing countries have reached the 2015
MDG 1 target of halving the proportion of hungry
people
Hunger remains an everyday challenge for
almost 795 million people worldwide, including
780 million in developing regions
2014-2016
Most (75%) emerging diseases come from animals
and cost up to US $ 6 billion annually
ILRI report to DFID: Mapping of Poverty and Likely Zoonoses Hotspots, 2012
Emerging zoonotic disease events, 1940−2012
Animal source foods for
nutrition and health
Worldwide livestock antimicrobial
consumption is expected to rise by 67%
between 2010 and 2030.
5 million consumers
in Kenya and
1.5 in Assam are
benefiting from
safer milk
New research: MERS in camels
• Controlling zoonoses; preventing
pandemics
• Managing Anti-Microbial Resistance
• Improving food safety in informal markets
• Enhancing the nutritional benefits of
animal source foods
Livestock and inclusive,
sustainable
economic growth
Livestock and equitable
livelihoods
Animal source foods for
nutrition and health
Livestock and sustainable
ecosystems
Livestock and sustainable
ecosystems
Potential to double
productivity and halve
methane emissions.
In India that means I million
tonnes less methane per year
from dairy
Improve livestock efficiency to
produce more product per unit of
input − land, water, labour, capital −
and causing less environmental
harm
Good grazing management for
rangelands: potential to sequester
8.6 million tonnes carbon/year
• Reduce the environmental footprint of
livestock through improving productivity
• Generating emission indices to inform
appropriate policies in tropical countries
• Rangeland management and pasture
improvement for carbon sequestration
Livestock and SDGs: many initiatives
Several initiatives seek to advocate the role of livestock in SDGs:
- Global Agenda for Sustainable Livestock
- Livestock Global Alliance
- Livestock Research Group of the Global Research Alliance
- Global Agenda for Climate Smart Agriculture
- Committee on World Food Security - High Level Panel of
Experts on Food Security and Nutrition:
- Sustainable Agricultural Development for Food Security and
Nutrition, including the Role of Livestock
- IADG
- ……………
- Greater coordination without creating a new institution or
structure; build on and engage the existing
Bold or unrealistic?
Failing to give sufficient attention to this fastest
growing, often controversial agricultural sector
could impact significantly on attaining the SDGs
New evidence needed?
Better articulation of existing evidence?
Combination of global/regional/national data with
anecdotes?
Who should engage, where and how?
THANK YOU
•(food, manure, traction).
•Livestock are central to the lives and
well-being of developing-country
women, children and households.
•Women livestock producers,
processors and sellers are essential
to developing-country economies.
The presentation has a Creative Commons licence. You are free to re-use or distribute this work, provided credit is given to ILRI.
better lives through livestock
ilri.org

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The vital role of livestock in achieving sustainable development

  • 1. The role of livestock in achieving the SDGs 16th Annual Meeting of the Inter-Agency Donor Group on Pro-poor-livestock research and development Berlin, 18 -20 November 2015 Shirley Tarawali, Assistant Director General, ILRI, Kenya
  • 2. Animal sourcefoods: 5of6highest valueglobal commodities (total valueofthese5=US Int$715 billion) FAOSTAT 2015 (values for 2013) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 0 50 100 150 200 250 Production(MT)millions Netproductionvalue(Int$)billion net production value (Int $) billion production (MT) Cow milk has overtaken rice
  • 3. % growth in demand for livestock products 2000–2030 3 0 50 100 150 200 E.AsiaPacific China SouthAsia SSA Highincome Beef 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 E.AsiaPacific China SouthAsia SSA Highincome Pork 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 E.AsiaPacific China SouthAsia SSA Highincome Poultry 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 E.AsiaPacific China SouthAsia SSA Highincome Milk FAO, 2011 Based on anticipated change in absolute tonnes of product comparing 2000 and 2030
  • 4. Livestock and the SDGs? - Relate to almost all SDGs - In most cases: - Positive and negative potential contributions - Diverse and dependant on many factors (where; system; commodity; etc……) - Complex; trade-offs - Dynamic – in transition - Conspicuously absent from SDGs/indicators - Too bold………?……….: - Failing to give sufficient attention to this fastest growing, often controversial agricultural sector could impact significantly on attaining the SDGs
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 8. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Livestock and equitable livelihoods
  • 9. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Livestock and equitable livelihoods Animal source foods for nutrition and health
  • 10. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Livestock and equitable livelihoods Animal source foods for nutrition and health Livestock and sustainable ecosystems
  • 11. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Livestock and equitable livelihoods Animal source foods for nutrition and health Livestock and sustainable ecosystems
  • 12. A valuable market: examples • Livestock: 40% GDP and growing • Market value of animal source foods in Africa in 2050 estimated as US $ 151 billion • Globally disease reduces livestock productivity by 25% - valued at US $300 billion per year • Annual global investment of US $ 25 billion in one health approaches could save as much as US $100 billion annually Herrero et al. 2014
  • 13. Demand for livestock commodities in developing economies will be met—the question is how Scenario #1 Meeting livestock demand by importing livestock products Scenario #2 Meeting livestock demand by importing livestock industrial production know-how Scenario #3 Meeting livestock demand by transforming smallholder livestock systems
  • 14. Replacing the 90% of locally produced animal commodities with imports is not feasible Economically Africa’s food import bill (2013): US $ 44 billion About one fifth is livestock (highest after cereals): Meat: US $ 5 billion; Milk: US $ 4 billion Business as usual: the import bill doubles
  • 15. Various sources: BMGF, FAO and ILRI Smallholders still dominate livestock production in many countries Region (definition of ‘smallholder’) % production by smallholder livestock farms Beef Chicken meat Sheep/goat meat Milk Pork Eggs East Africa (≤ 6 milking animals) 60-90 Bangladesh (< 3ha land) 65 77 78 65 77 India (< 2ha land) 75 92 92 69 71 Vietnam (small scale) 80 Philippines (backyard) 50 35
  • 16. Smallholders: part of the development • Not sentimentality or a belief in “small is beautiful” • Based on the evidence and the dual objectives of – increasing animal source food supply to consumers – supporting rural development and livelihoods • The evidence: – They produce the bulk of the livestock (and half of crop) products in developing countries so need to be part of increase supply strategy – They continue to be competitive so wont go away on their own – Does not detract from investing in larger commercial systems
  • 17. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Transforming livestock VCs: Opportunities for business, youth, SMEs Not all smallholders will be part of the solution Robust productivity solutions: existing and new science Delivery Markets Institutions
  • 18. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Livestock and equitable livelihoods Animal source foods for nutrition and health Livestock and sustainable ecosystems
  • 19. Livestock and livelihoods • 70% of the world’s rural poor rely on livestock for important parts of their livelihoods. • Of the more than 600 million poor livestock keepers in the world, around two-thirds are rural women. • Over 100 million landless people keep livestock. • For the vulnerable, up to 40% of benefits from livestock keeping come from non-market, intangible benefits, mostly insurance and financing. • In the poorest countries, livestock manure comprises over 70% of soil fertility amendments. • Many employed in local informal livestock product markets • 90% of animal products are produced and consumed in the same country or region • Over 70% of livestock products are sold ‘informally’
  • 20. Livestock and equitable livelihoods Women in livestock raising, processing, trading – gender transformative approaches Inclusive dairy development: Target: 60 million smallholders in East Africa Increased economic value $260 million per annum Insuring the never-before insured against catastrophic drought in the Horn
  • 21. Beyond technology: • New models for one billion to be part of the livestock sector transformation; or to exit positively • Women, men, young people part of new livestock business solutions • Securing assets of the vulnerable
  • 22. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Livestock and equitable livelihoods Animal source foods for nutrition and health Livestock and sustainable ecosystems
  • 23. Nutritional divides among 7 billion people today chronic hunger inadequate diets overweight obese balanced diets Chronic disease likely to cost $35 trillion by 2030 11% of GNP lost annually in Africa and Asia from poor nutrition
  • 24. Food insecurity and under nutrition remain persistent 72 developing countries have reached the 2015 MDG 1 target of halving the proportion of hungry people Hunger remains an everyday challenge for almost 795 million people worldwide, including 780 million in developing regions 2014-2016
  • 25. Most (75%) emerging diseases come from animals and cost up to US $ 6 billion annually ILRI report to DFID: Mapping of Poverty and Likely Zoonoses Hotspots, 2012 Emerging zoonotic disease events, 1940−2012
  • 26. Animal source foods for nutrition and health Worldwide livestock antimicrobial consumption is expected to rise by 67% between 2010 and 2030. 5 million consumers in Kenya and 1.5 in Assam are benefiting from safer milk New research: MERS in camels
  • 27. • Controlling zoonoses; preventing pandemics • Managing Anti-Microbial Resistance • Improving food safety in informal markets • Enhancing the nutritional benefits of animal source foods
  • 28. Livestock and inclusive, sustainable economic growth Livestock and equitable livelihoods Animal source foods for nutrition and health Livestock and sustainable ecosystems
  • 29. Livestock and sustainable ecosystems Potential to double productivity and halve methane emissions. In India that means I million tonnes less methane per year from dairy Improve livestock efficiency to produce more product per unit of input − land, water, labour, capital − and causing less environmental harm Good grazing management for rangelands: potential to sequester 8.6 million tonnes carbon/year
  • 30. • Reduce the environmental footprint of livestock through improving productivity • Generating emission indices to inform appropriate policies in tropical countries • Rangeland management and pasture improvement for carbon sequestration
  • 31. Livestock and SDGs: many initiatives Several initiatives seek to advocate the role of livestock in SDGs: - Global Agenda for Sustainable Livestock - Livestock Global Alliance - Livestock Research Group of the Global Research Alliance - Global Agenda for Climate Smart Agriculture - Committee on World Food Security - High Level Panel of Experts on Food Security and Nutrition: - Sustainable Agricultural Development for Food Security and Nutrition, including the Role of Livestock - IADG - …………… - Greater coordination without creating a new institution or structure; build on and engage the existing
  • 32. Bold or unrealistic? Failing to give sufficient attention to this fastest growing, often controversial agricultural sector could impact significantly on attaining the SDGs New evidence needed? Better articulation of existing evidence? Combination of global/regional/national data with anecdotes? Who should engage, where and how?
  • 33. THANK YOU •(food, manure, traction). •Livestock are central to the lives and well-being of developing-country women, children and households. •Women livestock producers, processors and sellers are essential to developing-country economies.
  • 34. The presentation has a Creative Commons licence. You are free to re-use or distribute this work, provided credit is given to ILRI. better lives through livestock ilri.org