Account of the FISTERA project on Foresight for Information Society Technologies in Europe, featuring the scenarion and delphi work in particular.

1. Outcomes of European Foresight Projects – FISTERA http://fistera.jrc.es/ Presentation by Ian Miles, PREST [email_address] Note: this is a personal view, not necessarily consensus or majority view among project members!!

3. Workpackages PREST Workpackage 1 Review and Analysis of National Foresight Results Workpackage 2 Key European Technology Trajectories Workpackage 3 IST Actor Space Mapping Workpackage 4 IST Futures Forum Workpackage 5 Dissemination and Interaction with the Research Community Workpackage 6 Management IPTS ITAS ARCsys TiLab

5. Workpackage 2 Workpackage 2 Key European Technology Trajectories Workpackage 2 Key European Technology Trajectories

8. Workpackage 3 Workpackage 3 IST Actor Space Mapping Workpackage 3 IST Actor Space Mapping

10. Patent analysis of strengths

11. Workpackage 4 Workpackage 3 IST Actor Space Mapping Workpackage 4 IST Futures Forum Workpackage 4 IST Futures Forum

13. The Delphi Focus on Applications, not enabling technologies Asked about implications for EU goals, not about forecasts of when developments happen

14. 6 “Lisbon” Goals

15. European Capabilities Also inputs on Actions, Challenges, Impediments and Stakeholders

17. Each scenario seen as reflected to some extent WS1

18. Rough Mapping of 4 Scenarios on 8 Goals Competitive & Dynamic Catching-up Challenged Cohesive & Sustainable WS2 WS2

19. Views of a Success Scenario WS2 WS2 The orange line shows the most voted (mode) views for the success scenario The blue line shows average (mean) of the views for the success scenario

20. Priority-setting Results WS2 WS2 Importance

21. Top Right Corner… Ensure standards at EU level (standardisation, compatibility) ensure compatibility of past-present-future systems PC-4 Training for IST at all levels in society including SME development, educational programmes at all levels including universities. This includes lifelong learning for pleasure and for the workforce PA-3 E-government applications should drive change. Governments should move directly to adopt e-government services delivery PA-7 Let communities take control. To allow regional/local communities more say in major public IST investment (the principle of subsidiarity) PA-5 Research on security technology, hard and software, communication PC-8 Interdisciplinary R&D should be directly encouraged by the EU and governments PA-8 EU to sponsor education of end-users in security policies for user empowerment (to control the process) at EU level to balance security & privacy, and to educate users regulations to generate competence in the communities public debate, awareness raising, ethical curriculum to educate young people PC-1 Raising awareness of citizens and the business community, (in particular the SME community), to the importance of IST in the future economy of the EU PA-9

23. Impacts and Uses FISTERA did not `` change FP7 course” but ” had a multiplying effect” Contribution to EU IST policy support EC's advisory groups (eEurope, ISTAG), DGINFSO meetings, ERA National IST Forum, academic & policy conferences, presentation to Commissioner Reding’s Cab., National IST Research Directors Forum, DG RTD KTE group Contribution to national IST policy support FISTERA methodology employed in (running) Foresight Exercises in Romania, Hungary, Austria, Poland and Colombia. Impacts in Austria, etc. Contributions to Research community 20 Reports & Studies, 4 (+ 2) books, articles, CD ROMs; FISTERA reviewed by ETNO, SwissCom’s Vision 2015, NISTEP; links with ESTO, European Foresight Monitoring Network, FOR- LEARN ….

25. End of Presentation