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Investment Funds and Asset Management in Poland, 2018–2020
by Inteliace Research
September 2018
Version: 18.3
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
Table of contents
1. Executive Summary
2. Asset Management Market
Slide 1: Asset management market in Poland – Key Segments, 2018 H1
Slide 2: Assets under management evolution, 2014–2018 H1
Slide 3: Top asset managers (groups) by AuM, 2018 H1
3. Investment Funds
Slide 4: CEE 8 Investment fund industry – size vs. growth matrix, 2015–2018 H1
Slide 5: CEE investment funds penetration benchmarks, 2018 H1
Slide 6: Evolution of assets, number of funds & managers 2013–2018 H1
Slide 7: Fund assets by type of fund 1/2, 2014–2018 H1
Slide 8: Fund assets by type of fund 2/2, 2014–2018 H1
Slide 9: Top players in investment fund market, 2018 H1
Slide 10: Market share evolution of top fund managers, 2016–2018 H1
Slide 11: Products: Absolute return funds, 2013-2018 H1
Slide 12: Distribution channels for investment funds, 2018 H1
Slide 13: Innovation in distribution– online platforms, 2018
Slide 14: Investment fund assets flows, 2013 Q1– 2018 Q2
Slide 15: Fund assets structure, 2018 H1
Slide 16: Ownership of funds by groups (retail/financial/other), 2011–2018 Q1
Slide 17: Local funds invested in foreign assets and foreign funds, 2018 H1
Slide 18: Assets of foreign funds, 2013-2018 H1
Slide 19: Fees and commissions charged by top fund managers, 2018 H1
Slide 20: Revenues and costs of fund managers, 2017
Slide 21: Profitability tree for fund managers, 2014–2017
Slide 22: Top players’ profiles – Ipopema TFI
Slide 23: Top players’ profiles – PKO TFI
Slide 24: Top players’ profiles – PZU TFI
Slide 25: Top players’ profiles – Pekao TFI
Slide 26: Top players’ profiles – Santander TFI
Slide 27: M&A transactions including fund managers in Poland (2010-2015)
Slide 28: M&A transactions, 2016-2018, including pending deals
Slide 29: Regulations: Upcoming fixed fund management fee cap
4. Pension
Slide 30: Pillar II: Sector evolution, 1998-2018
Slide 31: Pillar II: Assets, members, average account value, 2014–2018 H1
Slide 32: Pillar II: Asset managers, 2018 H1
Slide 33: Pillar II: fund managers profitability tree, 2015–2018 H1
Slide 34: Pillar III (Voluntary) - Assets, members, 2015-2018 H1
Slide 35: Pillar III – Upcoming regulations - PPK vehicles
5. Insurance
Slide 36: Technical reserves by type evolution, 2013–2018 H1
Slide 37: Technical reserves by segment and by company , 2017
Slide 38: Profitability of life insurers, 2013–2017
Slide 39: Profitability of non-life insurers, 2013–2017
6. Forecasts
Slide 40: Asset Management Market: Mid-term forecast (investment fund
assets, pension assets, insurance investments) 2018–2020
7. Notes on methodology
2
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
The growth in investment fund assets across CEE has slowed down recently
3
64.0
19.0
11.8
8.7
6.6
3.0
2.7
0.7
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
-3 -1 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
Slovakia
* including: Poland, Czech Rep., Hungary, Slovakia, Slovenia, Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia.
Source: EFAMA, Eurostat, Inteliace Research
Poland
Czech Republic
Hungary
Slovenia
Romania
Average annual AuM growth (CAGR), 2015–2018 H1, in EUR, %
CEE 8 Investment fund assets: Size vs. growth matrix, 2015–2018 H1
x.x
Total investment
funds AuM, 2018 H1
in EUR billion
DevelopingEarlystage
AuMpercapita,2018H1,EUR
Bulgaria
INVESTMENT
FUNDS
DATA BY EFAMA
Croatia
CEE fund markets grow at
3.3% p.a. in EUR terms
(CEE 8 average)
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
Investment fund penetration across Eastern Europe varies significantly
15.4
13.7
7.8
6.3
6.1
6.1
4.6
1.3
Hungary
Poland
Slovakia
Slovenia
Croatia
Czech
Republic
Romania
Bulgaria
1942
1684
1300
1213
1110
731
444
95
Hungary
Poland
Slovenia
Slovakia
Czech
Republic
Croatia
Romania
Bulgaria
Fund assets per capita, 2018 H1
EUR
Fund assets per GDP, 2018 H1
percent
Source: EFAMA, IZFiA, Inteliace Research
CEE 8 weighted
average: 9.7
CEE 8 weighted
average: 1205
4
INVESTMENT
FUNDS
DATA BY EFAMA
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
Source: GUS, Inteliace Research
Investment fund managers: Revenues and profits: 2017
in PLN billion
Management
fees
Other
revenue
Total
revenues
Other costs EBIT
Net
profit
Taxes &
other items
Personnel
costs
100 21 1811 68 31090
As percent of total
revenues (%)
Revenues Costs Profits
Management fees
dominate in revenues
with 90% share.
ALL INVESTMENT FUNDS
3.42
0.37
3.79
0.40
2.58
0.81
0.13 0.68
Mostly 3rd party, acquisition
costs, Share of distributors in
management fees.
Share of personnel
costs is very low
5
In 2017, fund managers recorded nearly PLN 3.8 billion in total revenues and
earned PLN 0.68 billion in net profits
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
851
500
300
250
1000
200
100
n/a
6
Name
• mBank SFI
• Bossafund.pl
Platformsownedbybanks
&bank-ownedbrokers
Platformsownedbyother
funddistributors
Remarks
• Deutsche bank
Major sales platforms for investment funds in Poland, 2018
The rise of independent fund distributors is increasing the competition in offering
investment funds to retail investors
No. of funds
• The competition in retail
funds distribution is
heating up
• Non-bank, independent
sales platforms gain
market share and eat
into previously bank-
dominated business by
offering sophisticated
sales platforms and
advanced analytics or
advisory
• Alior bank
- Online platform for selected funds
- Investment tools, analytics
- Most funds are no-load
- Online platform for selected funds
- Load and no-load funds
- Online platform
- Investment tools, analytics
- Most funds are no-load
- Online platform
- Analytics
- No-load funds only
• F-trust
- Online platform
- Analytics
- Pension accounts IKE, IKZE
• KupFundusz.pl
• StarFunds
• IQ Money
- Online platform
- Advanced analytics & advisory
- Online platform
- Analytics & advisory
- Innovative interface
- Claiming to be the first robo-advisory
23
17
20
19
19
15
13
n/a
(top selection)
No.
managers
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
Fund manager profiles (1/5): Ipopema
• Ipopema TFI is a relatively new player in the fund management business. Ipopema
entered the market in 1997 and within few years managed to challenge major
established players thanks to focusing on underserved segments: wealthy individuals
& corporate clients
• Today Ipopema is a part of a financial group and it is growing by adding new services
and expanding into new areas e.g. business consulting etc.
Products
Key facts
Channels:
Background
• The key to Ipopema success is a focus on quickly growing client groups by offering
tax-friendly, dedicated solutions
• Ipopema offers customized investment vehicles for HNWI and corporate clients:
- Funds of non-public assets (private equity)
- Funds dedicated to manage HNWI assets (tax friendly)
- Corporate funds
- Third Party funds (e.g. Bank Pocztowy)
• New clients are acquired mostly by partners. Partner banks or brokers provide leads
to wealthy individuals or corporates.
• Acquisition and service terms are non-standard and are negotiated on a case-by-case
basis.
• Name: IPOPEMA Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych S.A.
• HQ: ul. Próżna 9, 00-107 Warszawa
• Majority shareholders: private investors, funds
• CEO: Jarosław Wikaliński
• Associated businesses: brokerage, corporate finance, business consulting
* Share by assets under management within funds tracked by IZFiA
Source: Asset Manager, GUS, IZFiA, Inteliace Research
Results
Net assets under management
PLN billion
Market
share*
In %
Number of managed funds & sub-funds
Non-public
funds
Other
Public
funds
Jump in
market
share in
2018
19.8
48.0 50.2 48.7
57.6
2014 2015 2016 2017 18H1
122 106 104
79 72
2014 2015 2016 2017 18H1
+36%
20.6
CAGR
In %, 100%= PLN 57.6 billion
3
97
1 1
98
Money
market
Net Assets, As of June 2018
By type of fund By asset class
7
Results
9.5 19.0 19.4 17.5
Debt
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
FX rates:
• As a general rule, all “end of year” balances such as assets, deposits, loans, and similar volumes have been converted from the local
currency into Euro using end of year (period) exchange rate
• All results achieved during a period of time like: profits, revenues, new sales etc. have been converted from the local currency into
Euro using average exchange rate
• Exchange rates used in the report:
Estimates and Forecasts:
• In some cases, recent or verified data was not available. Therefore, necessary short-term estimations have been done to fill the gaps.
Estimates are always indicated with the letter “E”
• When preparing forecasts “F” we have built models using latest observed trends, available forecasts of main economic indicators,
seasonal changes observed in the past, and other specific factors considered important.
Multiple sources:
• In some cases, multiple sources of similar data exist. In this situation we always try to select the most appropriate one /in our view/.
• The source is indicated in the footer area of each slide. Nevertheless, in specific cases before interpreting the data, we recommend
that you get a good understanding of the methodology of data collection by contacting the authors.
Changes vs. previous reports:
• Total investment fund assets: Figures published by GUS have been used in this report to illustrate the size of the whole fund industry.
• Figures provided by GUS are slightly higher than those reported by IZFiA since the former also include assets of few non-publicly
reporting investment funds.
EUR / PLN 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1
Average 3.99 4.12 4.19 4.20 4.19 4.18 4.36 4.26 4.22
End of period 3.96 4.42 4.09 4.15 4.26 4.26 4.42 4.17 4.36
Source: NBP
8
Notes on methodology
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
About the report and its authors
About Inteliace Research
Inteliace Research is an independent and privately owned
research firm based in the heart of Eastern Europe in
Warsaw / Poland.
Our company specializes in value-added research services
and tailored business intelligence solutions.
Through our customized research services we help our
clients to better understand their customers, competitors
and overall market dynamics.
The lead researcher and founder of Inteliace Research is
Marcin Mazurek.
Our contact details:
Inteliace Research
Foksal 17B / 31, 00-372 Warszawa, Poland
Tel. +48 22 408 66 20, Tel. +48 502 512 178
Fax. +48 22 349 21 40
mail: info @ inteliace.com
www: http://www.inteliace.com/en/publications.html
About this report
This report has been prepared using Inteliace Research
proprietary research and publicly available sources,
including: financial reports, press publications, industry
magazines, directories, financial databases and expert
opinions.
Views presented in this report reflect solely the
independent and unbiased opinion of Inteliace Research
and authors.
All due care has been taken in the production of this
report. However, Inteliace Research does not accept any
responsibility or liability for any omissions or inaccuracies
of the information contained in this publication.
This report is copyrighted. Any distribution, storage,
replication and usage is restricted to Inteliace Research
clients only. In case of any doubt please contact us at:
info @ inteliace.com
9
Inteliace Research
InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020
Recent publications by Inteliace Research
10
Visit http://www.inteliace.com for more details
Recent Reports:
2018
• February - Mortgage Lending in Poland ’18
• May - Bank outlets database ’18
• May - Banking Market in Poland ’18
• June - Insurance Market in Poland ’18
• September - Top 200 CEE banks ’18
• October - Investment Funds and Asset Mgmt. ’18
• November – Payments in Poland ’18 /upcoming/

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Investment funds & asset management in Poland 2018

  • 1. Investment Funds and Asset Management in Poland, 2018–2020 by Inteliace Research September 2018 Version: 18.3
  • 2. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 Table of contents 1. Executive Summary 2. Asset Management Market Slide 1: Asset management market in Poland – Key Segments, 2018 H1 Slide 2: Assets under management evolution, 2014–2018 H1 Slide 3: Top asset managers (groups) by AuM, 2018 H1 3. Investment Funds Slide 4: CEE 8 Investment fund industry – size vs. growth matrix, 2015–2018 H1 Slide 5: CEE investment funds penetration benchmarks, 2018 H1 Slide 6: Evolution of assets, number of funds & managers 2013–2018 H1 Slide 7: Fund assets by type of fund 1/2, 2014–2018 H1 Slide 8: Fund assets by type of fund 2/2, 2014–2018 H1 Slide 9: Top players in investment fund market, 2018 H1 Slide 10: Market share evolution of top fund managers, 2016–2018 H1 Slide 11: Products: Absolute return funds, 2013-2018 H1 Slide 12: Distribution channels for investment funds, 2018 H1 Slide 13: Innovation in distribution– online platforms, 2018 Slide 14: Investment fund assets flows, 2013 Q1– 2018 Q2 Slide 15: Fund assets structure, 2018 H1 Slide 16: Ownership of funds by groups (retail/financial/other), 2011–2018 Q1 Slide 17: Local funds invested in foreign assets and foreign funds, 2018 H1 Slide 18: Assets of foreign funds, 2013-2018 H1 Slide 19: Fees and commissions charged by top fund managers, 2018 H1 Slide 20: Revenues and costs of fund managers, 2017 Slide 21: Profitability tree for fund managers, 2014–2017 Slide 22: Top players’ profiles – Ipopema TFI Slide 23: Top players’ profiles – PKO TFI Slide 24: Top players’ profiles – PZU TFI Slide 25: Top players’ profiles – Pekao TFI Slide 26: Top players’ profiles – Santander TFI Slide 27: M&A transactions including fund managers in Poland (2010-2015) Slide 28: M&A transactions, 2016-2018, including pending deals Slide 29: Regulations: Upcoming fixed fund management fee cap 4. Pension Slide 30: Pillar II: Sector evolution, 1998-2018 Slide 31: Pillar II: Assets, members, average account value, 2014–2018 H1 Slide 32: Pillar II: Asset managers, 2018 H1 Slide 33: Pillar II: fund managers profitability tree, 2015–2018 H1 Slide 34: Pillar III (Voluntary) - Assets, members, 2015-2018 H1 Slide 35: Pillar III – Upcoming regulations - PPK vehicles 5. Insurance Slide 36: Technical reserves by type evolution, 2013–2018 H1 Slide 37: Technical reserves by segment and by company , 2017 Slide 38: Profitability of life insurers, 2013–2017 Slide 39: Profitability of non-life insurers, 2013–2017 6. Forecasts Slide 40: Asset Management Market: Mid-term forecast (investment fund assets, pension assets, insurance investments) 2018–2020 7. Notes on methodology 2
  • 3. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 The growth in investment fund assets across CEE has slowed down recently 3 64.0 19.0 11.8 8.7 6.6 3.0 2.7 0.7 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 -3 -1 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Slovakia * including: Poland, Czech Rep., Hungary, Slovakia, Slovenia, Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia. Source: EFAMA, Eurostat, Inteliace Research Poland Czech Republic Hungary Slovenia Romania Average annual AuM growth (CAGR), 2015–2018 H1, in EUR, % CEE 8 Investment fund assets: Size vs. growth matrix, 2015–2018 H1 x.x Total investment funds AuM, 2018 H1 in EUR billion DevelopingEarlystage AuMpercapita,2018H1,EUR Bulgaria INVESTMENT FUNDS DATA BY EFAMA Croatia CEE fund markets grow at 3.3% p.a. in EUR terms (CEE 8 average)
  • 4. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 Investment fund penetration across Eastern Europe varies significantly 15.4 13.7 7.8 6.3 6.1 6.1 4.6 1.3 Hungary Poland Slovakia Slovenia Croatia Czech Republic Romania Bulgaria 1942 1684 1300 1213 1110 731 444 95 Hungary Poland Slovenia Slovakia Czech Republic Croatia Romania Bulgaria Fund assets per capita, 2018 H1 EUR Fund assets per GDP, 2018 H1 percent Source: EFAMA, IZFiA, Inteliace Research CEE 8 weighted average: 9.7 CEE 8 weighted average: 1205 4 INVESTMENT FUNDS DATA BY EFAMA
  • 5. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 Source: GUS, Inteliace Research Investment fund managers: Revenues and profits: 2017 in PLN billion Management fees Other revenue Total revenues Other costs EBIT Net profit Taxes & other items Personnel costs 100 21 1811 68 31090 As percent of total revenues (%) Revenues Costs Profits Management fees dominate in revenues with 90% share. ALL INVESTMENT FUNDS 3.42 0.37 3.79 0.40 2.58 0.81 0.13 0.68 Mostly 3rd party, acquisition costs, Share of distributors in management fees. Share of personnel costs is very low 5 In 2017, fund managers recorded nearly PLN 3.8 billion in total revenues and earned PLN 0.68 billion in net profits
  • 6. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 851 500 300 250 1000 200 100 n/a 6 Name • mBank SFI • Bossafund.pl Platformsownedbybanks &bank-ownedbrokers Platformsownedbyother funddistributors Remarks • Deutsche bank Major sales platforms for investment funds in Poland, 2018 The rise of independent fund distributors is increasing the competition in offering investment funds to retail investors No. of funds • The competition in retail funds distribution is heating up • Non-bank, independent sales platforms gain market share and eat into previously bank- dominated business by offering sophisticated sales platforms and advanced analytics or advisory • Alior bank - Online platform for selected funds - Investment tools, analytics - Most funds are no-load - Online platform for selected funds - Load and no-load funds - Online platform - Investment tools, analytics - Most funds are no-load - Online platform - Analytics - No-load funds only • F-trust - Online platform - Analytics - Pension accounts IKE, IKZE • KupFundusz.pl • StarFunds • IQ Money - Online platform - Advanced analytics & advisory - Online platform - Analytics & advisory - Innovative interface - Claiming to be the first robo-advisory 23 17 20 19 19 15 13 n/a (top selection) No. managers
  • 7. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 Fund manager profiles (1/5): Ipopema • Ipopema TFI is a relatively new player in the fund management business. Ipopema entered the market in 1997 and within few years managed to challenge major established players thanks to focusing on underserved segments: wealthy individuals & corporate clients • Today Ipopema is a part of a financial group and it is growing by adding new services and expanding into new areas e.g. business consulting etc. Products Key facts Channels: Background • The key to Ipopema success is a focus on quickly growing client groups by offering tax-friendly, dedicated solutions • Ipopema offers customized investment vehicles for HNWI and corporate clients: - Funds of non-public assets (private equity) - Funds dedicated to manage HNWI assets (tax friendly) - Corporate funds - Third Party funds (e.g. Bank Pocztowy) • New clients are acquired mostly by partners. Partner banks or brokers provide leads to wealthy individuals or corporates. • Acquisition and service terms are non-standard and are negotiated on a case-by-case basis. • Name: IPOPEMA Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych S.A. • HQ: ul. Próżna 9, 00-107 Warszawa • Majority shareholders: private investors, funds • CEO: Jarosław Wikaliński • Associated businesses: brokerage, corporate finance, business consulting * Share by assets under management within funds tracked by IZFiA Source: Asset Manager, GUS, IZFiA, Inteliace Research Results Net assets under management PLN billion Market share* In % Number of managed funds & sub-funds Non-public funds Other Public funds Jump in market share in 2018 19.8 48.0 50.2 48.7 57.6 2014 2015 2016 2017 18H1 122 106 104 79 72 2014 2015 2016 2017 18H1 +36% 20.6 CAGR In %, 100%= PLN 57.6 billion 3 97 1 1 98 Money market Net Assets, As of June 2018 By type of fund By asset class 7 Results 9.5 19.0 19.4 17.5 Debt
  • 8. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 FX rates: • As a general rule, all “end of year” balances such as assets, deposits, loans, and similar volumes have been converted from the local currency into Euro using end of year (period) exchange rate • All results achieved during a period of time like: profits, revenues, new sales etc. have been converted from the local currency into Euro using average exchange rate • Exchange rates used in the report: Estimates and Forecasts: • In some cases, recent or verified data was not available. Therefore, necessary short-term estimations have been done to fill the gaps. Estimates are always indicated with the letter “E” • When preparing forecasts “F” we have built models using latest observed trends, available forecasts of main economic indicators, seasonal changes observed in the past, and other specific factors considered important. Multiple sources: • In some cases, multiple sources of similar data exist. In this situation we always try to select the most appropriate one /in our view/. • The source is indicated in the footer area of each slide. Nevertheless, in specific cases before interpreting the data, we recommend that you get a good understanding of the methodology of data collection by contacting the authors. Changes vs. previous reports: • Total investment fund assets: Figures published by GUS have been used in this report to illustrate the size of the whole fund industry. • Figures provided by GUS are slightly higher than those reported by IZFiA since the former also include assets of few non-publicly reporting investment funds. EUR / PLN 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1 Average 3.99 4.12 4.19 4.20 4.19 4.18 4.36 4.26 4.22 End of period 3.96 4.42 4.09 4.15 4.26 4.26 4.42 4.17 4.36 Source: NBP 8 Notes on methodology
  • 9. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 About the report and its authors About Inteliace Research Inteliace Research is an independent and privately owned research firm based in the heart of Eastern Europe in Warsaw / Poland. Our company specializes in value-added research services and tailored business intelligence solutions. Through our customized research services we help our clients to better understand their customers, competitors and overall market dynamics. The lead researcher and founder of Inteliace Research is Marcin Mazurek. Our contact details: Inteliace Research Foksal 17B / 31, 00-372 Warszawa, Poland Tel. +48 22 408 66 20, Tel. +48 502 512 178 Fax. +48 22 349 21 40 mail: info @ inteliace.com www: http://www.inteliace.com/en/publications.html About this report This report has been prepared using Inteliace Research proprietary research and publicly available sources, including: financial reports, press publications, industry magazines, directories, financial databases and expert opinions. Views presented in this report reflect solely the independent and unbiased opinion of Inteliace Research and authors. All due care has been taken in the production of this report. However, Inteliace Research does not accept any responsibility or liability for any omissions or inaccuracies of the information contained in this publication. This report is copyrighted. Any distribution, storage, replication and usage is restricted to Inteliace Research clients only. In case of any doubt please contact us at: info @ inteliace.com 9
  • 10. Inteliace Research InvestmentfundsandassetmanagementmarketinPoland,2018–2020 Recent publications by Inteliace Research 10 Visit http://www.inteliace.com for more details Recent Reports: 2018 • February - Mortgage Lending in Poland ’18 • May - Bank outlets database ’18 • May - Banking Market in Poland ’18 • June - Insurance Market in Poland ’18 • September - Top 200 CEE banks ’18 • October - Investment Funds and Asset Mgmt. ’18 • November – Payments in Poland ’18 /upcoming/