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Ipsos MORI's Prediction Poll 2015

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Ipsos MORI's 2015 Prediction Poll on what Britons think 2015 holds in store

Publié dans : Actualités & Politique
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Ipsos MORI's Prediction Poll 2015

  1. 1. 1 Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 2015 Predictions Poll December 2014 Contacts: Bobby.Duffy@ipsos.com Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000
  2. 2. Predictions for 2015
  3. 3. 3Britons’ predictions for 2015 (1) Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor I’d now like to ask you some questions about what you think might happen in 2015. For each of the following, please tell me how or unlikely you think they are to happen. Base:1,012 British adults 18+, 13th -15th December 2014 8% 15% 24% 38% 21% 34% 33% 35% 36% 33% 25% 14% 29% 12% 14% 6% 6% 6% 4% 7% Boris Johnson will become leader of the Conservative Party A major terrorist attack will be carried out in the UK UKIP will win more than 10 seats at the general election The SNP will get more votes than Labour in Scotland at the General Election Very likely Fairly likely Fairly unlikely Very unlikely Don't know 20%73% 39%57% 45% 65% 49% 29%
  4. 4. 4Britons’ predictions for 2015 (2) Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor I’d now like to ask you some questions about what you think might happen in 2015. For each of the following, please tell me how or unlikely you think they are to happen. Base:1,012 British adults 18+, 13th -15th December 2014 4% 9% 11% 18% 10% 20% 26% 38% 19% 33% 30% 13% 62% 20% 15% 6% 5% 17% 19% 26% We will find life on Mars England will win the rugby World Cup Prince Harry will get engaged Benedict Cumberbatch will win an Oscar Very likely Fairly likely Fairly unlikely Very unlikely Don't know 19%56% 37% 45% 53%29% 14% 81%
  5. 5. 5 2015 predictions – comparisons with previous years Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor I’d now like to ask you some questions about what you think might happen in 2015. For each of the following, please tell me how or unlikely you think they are to happen. Base:1,012 British adults 18+, 13th -15th December 2014 *N.B. different wording from 2015 prediction ‘We will find life on Mars’ 5% 5% 4% 6% 9% 11% 14% 23% 10% 14% 35% 26% 29% 28% 19% 38% 30% 30% 47% 34% 62% 27% 13% 15% 5% 9% 5% 15% 12% 19% Very likely Fairly likely Fairly unlikely Very unlikely Don't know Prince Harry will get engaged (2015) We will find life on Mars (2015) Prince Harry will get engaged (2014) Prince Harry will get engaged (2013) The NASA Mars Rover will find life on Mars (2014)* The NASA Mars Rover will find life on Mars (2013)*
  6. 6. 6 47% 57% 21% 52% 30% 39% 31% 61% 36% 35% 13% 6% 17% 8% 33% 2% 6% 2% 4% 2% Rise Stay about the same Fall Don't know Britons’ thoughts on the economy for 2015 In 2015, do you think that each of the following will rise, fall, or stay about the same level? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase:1,012 British adults 18+, 13th -15th December 2014 The number of unemployed people in this country The rate of inflation Your own standard of living Mortgage interest rates The number of immigrants coming to this country
  7. 7. 7 38% 52% 57% 18% 19% 21% 56% 52% 52% 56% 44% 30% 51% 39% 31% 51% 63% 61% 36% 36% 36% 27% 27% 35% 4% 4% 6% 31% 17% 17% 5% 10% 8% 15% 29% 33% 6% 5% 6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% 2% Rise Stay about the same Fall Don't know Britons’ thoughts on the economy for 2015 compared to previous years In 2015, do you think that each of the following will rise, fall, or stay about the same level? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase:1,012 British adults 18+, 13th -15th December 2014 The number of unemployed people in this country (2015) The number of unemployed people in this country (2014) The number of unemployed people in this country (2013) The rate of inflation (2015) The rate of inflation (2014) The rate of inflation (2013) Your own standard of living (2015) Your own standard of living (2014) Your own standard of living (2013) Mortgage interest rates (2015) Mortgage interest rates (2014) Mortgage interest rates (2013)

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