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Analisis Disinformasi dalam Pemilu 2019 dan Potensi 2024

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Analisis Disinformasi dalam Pemilu 2019 dan Potensi 2024

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• Jenis narasi:
• Ketidakpercayaan kepada KPU dan Pemerintah
• Kampanye hitam dan kampanye negatif terhadap lawan politik • Fitnah dan memecah belah kelompok
• Goal:
• Elektoral
• Polarisasi dan instabilitas
• Ancaman:
• Media ’click bait’
• Media mainstream yang tidak “cover all sides”
• Polarisasi di masyarakat produk kontestasi sebelumnya

• Jenis narasi:
• Ketidakpercayaan kepada KPU dan Pemerintah
• Kampanye hitam dan kampanye negatif terhadap lawan politik • Fitnah dan memecah belah kelompok
• Goal:
• Elektoral
• Polarisasi dan instabilitas
• Ancaman:
• Media ’click bait’
• Media mainstream yang tidak “cover all sides”
• Polarisasi di masyarakat produk kontestasi sebelumnya

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Analisis Disinformasi dalam Pemilu 2019 dan Potensi 2024

  1. 1. ANALISIS DISINFORMASI DALAM PEMILU 2019 DAN POTENSINYA DALAM PEMILU 2024 Ismail Fahmi, Ph.D. Direktur Media Kernels Indonesia (Drone Emprit) Dosen Universitas Islam Indonesia Wakil Ketua Komisi Infokom MUI Pusat WORKSHOP PERLUDEM 22 DESEMBER 2021
  2. 2. 2 1992 – 1997 Undergraduate, Electrical Engineering, ITB, Indonesia 2003 – 2004 Master, Information Science, University of Groningen, NL 2004 – 2009 Doctor, Information Science, University of Groningen, NL 2009 – Now Engineer at Weborama (Paris/Amsterdam) 2014 – Now Founder PT. Media Kernels Indonesia, a Drone Emprit Company 2015 – Now Consultant at Perpustakaan Nasional, Inisiator Indonesia OneSearch 2017 – Now Lecturer at the IT Magister Program of the Universitas Islam Indonesia 2021 – Now Wakil Ketua Komisi Infokom, Majelis Ulama Indonesia Pusat Ismail Fahmi, Ph.D. Ismail.fahmi@gmail.com
  3. 3. PELAKU DAN POLA ”CYBER WAR” SAAT KONTESTASI POLITIK
  4. 4. CYBER TROOPS 4 CYBER TROOPS: government, military or political party teams committed to developing or manipulating public opinion over social media.
  5. 5. COMPUTATIONAL PROPAGANDA 5 Since 2012 until now, we have seen bots, algorithms and other forms of automation are used by political actors in countries around the world to manipulate public opinion over major social networking platforms, such as Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube.
  6. 6. PENGGUNA TWITTER DI INDONESIA NAIK DARI 27% (2018) MENJADI 56% (2020) 6 27% 52% 56% 2018 2019 2020
  7. 7. MEMAHAMI MEDIA SOSIAL: ATTENTION ECONOMY
  8. 8. ATTENTION ECONOMY 8
  9. 9. MOBOKRASI DALAM SOSIAL MEDIA 9
  10. 10. HOAKS MUDAH MENYEBAR DI “HIGHLY CONNECTED AND POLARIZED NETWORK” 10 MIT researchers built a theoretical model to study how news spreads on a Twitter- like social network and found that when a network is highly connected or when the views of its members are sharply polarized, false news will spread wider than news that is seen as more credible. Contoh highly connected network: WhatsApp Group, FB Group, Telegram channel, cluster user di Twitter, dll. Warganet hanya menyebarkan konten yang dianggap menarik, sesuai dengan pandangannya, dan bisa mempengaruhi orang lain. https://news.mit.edu/2021/systems-false-news- social-media-1215
  11. 11. DISINFORMATION-FOR-PROFIT BUSINESS MODEL Logic dalam sistem rekomendasi di Twitter dan Facebook lebih memberi kemudahan bagi berita kontroversial untuk menyebar lebih cepat dari berita benar. Di Twitter hingga 6x lebih cepat. Mereka dapat profit. ~ The Social Dilemma, Film (Netflix) 11
  12. 12. DEEP POLARIZATION 12 Polarization Polarization Polarization INDONESIA
  13. 13. PROBLEM WITH SOCIAL MEDIA •It is designed to favor: • broadcasting over engagement, • posts over discussions • shallow comments over deep conversations. •Results: deep polarization. 13
  14. 14. THE DEVELOPMENT OF POLITICAL SOCIAL MEDIA POLARIZATION IN 2014 - 2017
  15. 15. JANUARY 2014, JOKOWI AS THE JAKARTA’S GOVERNOR MEDIA AND CYBER TROOP SUPPORTS PRO KONTRA 2014
  16. 16. JUNE-JULY 2014, JOKOWI AS A PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE DURING A CAMPAIGN PERIOD PRO KONTRA 2014
  17. 17. APRIL 2015, JOKOWI AS THE PRESIDENT FIRST YEAR PRO KONTRA 2015
  18. 18. SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER 2017, JOKOWI AS THE PRESIDENT AFTER THE JAKARTA GOVERNOR ELECTION 2017 PRO KONTRA 2017 PRO
  19. 19. CYBER TROOPS IN 2017 DKI JAKARTA GOVERNOR ELECTION
  20. 20. 20
  21. 21. 7-8 FEB 2017: JAKARTA GOVERNOR ELECTION 2017 SECOND DEBATE 21 Ahok-Djarot Anies-Sandi Agus-Sylvi MCA 2017
  22. 22. 12 FEB 2017: JAKARTA GOVERNOR ELECTION 2017 BEFORE THE 1ST ROUND ELECTION 22 Agus-Sylvi Anies-Sandy Ahok-Djarot MCA 2017
  23. 23. 17 MAR 2017: JAKARTA GOVERNOR ELECTION 2017 BEFORE THE 2ND ROUND ELECTION 23 Pro Anies Pro Ahok
  24. 24. PROBLEM DENGAN MEDIA
  25. 25. 25
  26. 26. 26
  27. 27. 27
  28. 28. 28
  29. 29. 29
  30. 30. 30
  31. 31. ISSUES DURING 2019 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN
  32. 32. ISSUES ON JOKOWI Unfulfilled Promises Claiming other’s works Anti Islam and Ulama PKI China Leadership
  33. 33. WHO PLAYED THE ISSUES ON JOKOWI
  34. 34. ISSUES ON PRABOWO Hoaxes Lack of experiences Religion Khilafah Temperamental Human Rights
  35. 35. WHO PLAYED THE ISSUES ON PRABOWO
  36. 36. CONTOH: HOAX 7 KONTAINER SURAT SUARA
  37. 37. 37 https://pers.droneemprit.id/hoax-7-kontainer-stop-hoax-mari-kawal-suara/
  38. 38. 38
  39. 39. 39
  40. 40. 40
  41. 41. 41
  42. 42. MEDIA CEK FAKTA
  43. 43. SOCIAL NETWORK BEFORE DEBATE 02 01
  44. 44. SOCIAL NETWORK DURING DEBATE WITH TOPICS 02 01 01 EXTRA CYBER TROOPS
  45. 45. ONLINE NEWS: INFORMATION ARBITRAGE
  46. 46. POTENSI DISINFORMASI DALAM PEMILU 2024
  47. 47. NARASI DISINFORMASI • Jenis narasi: • Ketidakpercayaan kepada KPU dan Pemerintah • Kampanye hitam dan kampanye negatif terhadap lawan politik • Fitnah dan memecah belah kelompok • Goal: • Elektoral • Polarisasi dan instabilitas • Ancaman: • Media ’click bait’ • Media mainstream yang tidak “cover all sides” • Polarisasi di masyarakat produk kontestasi sebelumnya 47
  48. 48. SOLUSI
  49. 49. Hasil penelitian dari sebuah Tim dari Universitas Kolumbia: Di Twittersphere, titik ungu = orang yg menyebar berita hoax. Titik kuning = orang yang mengcounter. Ternyata: di cluster kanan (tanpa counter) hoax menyebar luar biasa, di cluster kiri (dg 2 counter) hoax lebih sedikit disebar. PENTINGNYA HOAX BUSTER PENELITIAN Hoax Buster
  50. 50. KECEPATAN CEK FAKTA 50 AWAL ISU CONCERN: Pro-Kontra berhari-hari (media tidak cover all sides) KLARIFIKASI Perlu cek fakta yang lebih cepat
  51. 51. THANK YOU 51

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