SABOR-(San Antonio Board of Realtors), celebrates 100 years this year, with the kick off our Housing Market Forecast today -at J.W. Marriot Resorts and Spa, with record attendance...
While there was a TON of great information offered "all in," Dr.Mark Doutzor, real estate economist, previous professor at Texas A&M University- again brought the big picture of our overall economy close to home...
Dotzour's confidence and bullish outlook are encouraging, resonating key attributes that continue to make the Texas brand compelling.
Dotzour leans in with, "We are playing ball in the 7th inning, I'm not "Polyanna"-I don't get paid to tell you good news..." Obviously this sounds a bit ominous, yet Dotzour rallies, "We have had a few recessions where Texas chose not to participate-3 things lead the economy, job growth, cheap money, and appreciation."
The preceding formula currently constitutes the overall "S.A." (situational analysis) of S.A.-where Dotzour believes that interest rates, (based on the 10 year treasury) will not increase as much as the press suggests, if significant at all.. Nor does oil, or performance of our stock market predicate the success of our entire economy, which is diverse and well stabilized for continued growth. Dotzour continues,"We must be the calm in any storm..."
The key point Dotzour illustrates that I most align with, is that we should not listen to everything we hear on the news or TV-which typically focuses on despair, and decline.
The imprint magnified overall today, is that continued focus, preparation and energy for all our improvements thus far, and forthcoming-combined with our trademark spirit and trust in the stock of our state-will allow us to continue to overcome any "roadblocks" in our economy, or otherwise...
Dotzour highlighted a famous quote by golfer Lee Trevino that seems to be a fitting close to his presentation, and everyone else-where golf is often used as a metaphor for the course of life and business. "You can talk to a fade, but a hook won't listen." Here's to a New Year of many more ACED HOOKS in 2016!
All the best,
JD.
6. Jan Feb Mar April May June Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov
MONTHS OF INVENTORY BY YEAR
Months
of
Inventory
Source: Texas A&M Real
Estate Research CenterMonth
2012
2013
2014
2015
Nov. 2015 –
Months of
Inventory:
3.6 months
7. 0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Jan Feb Mar April May June Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov
NUMBER OF MONTHLY ACTIVE
LISTINGS BY YEAR
Month
# of
Active
Listings
Source:
MLS
Nov. 2015 –
Number of
Active
Listings is
8,191
2012
2013
2014
2015
29. 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($500,000 and Up - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Southeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales
30. 0
50
100
150
200
250
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($500,000 and Up - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Northeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales
39. Atascosa County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 217
YoY %: -0.9%
Average Price: $161,290
YoY %: 8.2%
Median Price: $150,000
YoY %: 3.5%
40. Bexar County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 19,001
YoY %: 10.6%
Average Price: $221,375
YoY %: 5.4%
Median Price: $183,000
YoY %: 5.8%
41. Frio County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 19
YoY %: 26.7%
Average Price: $126,497
YoY %: -5.3%
Median Price: $120,500
YoY %: -1.2%
42. Karnes County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 5
YoY %: -37.5%
Average Price: $220,000
YoY %: 65.4%
Median Price: $165,000
YoY %: 12.2%
43. Kendall County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 567
YoY %: 22.7%
Average Price: $416,198
YoY %: 5.6%
Median Price: $335,000
YoY %: 15.8%
44. La Salle County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 1
YoY %: 0.0%
Average Price: $99,500
YoY %: 485.3%
Median Price: $99,500
YoY %: 485.3%
45. McMullen County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 0
YoY %: 0.0%
Average Price: $0
YoY %: 0%
Median Price: $0
YoY %: 0%
46. Medina County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 316
YoY %: 7.5%
Average Price: $212,319
YoY %: 11.7%
Median Price: $195,500
YoY %: 9.9%
47. Wilson County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 427
YoY %: 1.2%
Average Price: $259,709
YoY %: 6.5%
Median Price: $268,875
YoY %: 5.0%