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2009 State of the Future   January 13, 2010 Jerome Glenn, Executive Director The Millennium Project www.millennium-project.org
Change over  the  last  25  years will appear  slow,  compared to  the  next  25  years.
Just 25 years ago, there were no  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What’s possible in next 25 years?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conscious-Technology ( Post- Information Age) When the distinction between these two trends becomes blurred, we will have reached the  Post -Information Age BUILT ENVIRONMENT  BECOMING INTELLIGENT HUMANS BECOMING CYBORGS 1985 2000 2015 2030
25 Years from Now:  What will be emerging? And from what?
Millennium Project …  May become a  TransInstitution UN Organizations NGOs Universities Governments Corporations
33 Millennium Project Nodes...   … are groups of experts and institutions that connect  global and local views around the world: ,[object Object]
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Both Futures Research Methods and Content
Sample of some items from the  2009 State of the Future: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some more items from the 2009 State of the Future: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some Elements of the Emerging Global Economic System  to improve  the human condition by 2030 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Top 10 Most Beneficial Element Elements over next 20 years Import Resp Agree 1 Ethics: a key element in economic exchanges 8.36 168 0.86 2 GDP definitions that include all forms of national wealth 7.96 164 0.78 3 Small tax on use of commons directed to global public goods 7.75 172 0.83 4 Collective intelligence: global commons for the knowledge economy 7.74 155 0.88 5 Education in the evolving economic system and its elements 7.64 154 0.83 6 Simultaneous knowing – time lags changed or eliminated in information dissemination with much greater transparency. 7.61 168 0.79 7 Value of natural resources used in production included in pricing 7.56 162 0.76 8 Women’s political-economic roles essentially on par with men 7.25 182 0.68 9 Increased disclosure of "tax havens" , secret accounts 7.10 153 0.68 10 Wealth, re-defined as experience and not the accumulation of money or physical things 6.83 161 0.62
Most Controversial –  bimodal distribution: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some other interesting elements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How can sustainable development be achieved for all while addressing global climate change? 1 How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict? 2 How can population growth and resources be brought into balance? 3 How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes? 4 How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives? 5 How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone? 6 How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor? 7 How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced?  8 How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change? 9 How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction? 10 How can the changing status of women improve the human condition? 11 How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises? 12 How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently? 13 How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition? 14 How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions? 15 How can sustainable development be achieved for all while addressing global climate change? How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict? How can population growth and resources be brought into balance? How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes? How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives? How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone? How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor? How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced?  How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change? How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction? How can the changing status of women improve the human condition? How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently? How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition? How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions? How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises? 15 Global Challenges–the Agenda today
Collective Intelligence ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Global Future Changes and Millennium Project

  • 1. 2009 State of the Future January 13, 2010 Jerome Glenn, Executive Director The Millennium Project www.millennium-project.org
  • 2. Change over the last 25 years will appear slow, compared to the next 25 years.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Conscious-Technology ( Post- Information Age) When the distinction between these two trends becomes blurred, we will have reached the Post -Information Age BUILT ENVIRONMENT BECOMING INTELLIGENT HUMANS BECOMING CYBORGS 1985 2000 2015 2030
  • 6. 25 Years from Now: What will be emerging? And from what?
  • 7. Millennium Project … May become a TransInstitution UN Organizations NGOs Universities Governments Corporations
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Both Futures Research Methods and Content
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Top 10 Most Beneficial Element Elements over next 20 years Import Resp Agree 1 Ethics: a key element in economic exchanges 8.36 168 0.86 2 GDP definitions that include all forms of national wealth 7.96 164 0.78 3 Small tax on use of commons directed to global public goods 7.75 172 0.83 4 Collective intelligence: global commons for the knowledge economy 7.74 155 0.88 5 Education in the evolving economic system and its elements 7.64 154 0.83 6 Simultaneous knowing – time lags changed or eliminated in information dissemination with much greater transparency. 7.61 168 0.79 7 Value of natural resources used in production included in pricing 7.56 162 0.76 8 Women’s political-economic roles essentially on par with men 7.25 182 0.68 9 Increased disclosure of "tax havens" , secret accounts 7.10 153 0.68 10 Wealth, re-defined as experience and not the accumulation of money or physical things 6.83 161 0.62
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. How can sustainable development be achieved for all while addressing global climate change? 1 How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict? 2 How can population growth and resources be brought into balance? 3 How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes? 4 How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives? 5 How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone? 6 How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor? 7 How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced? 8 How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change? 9 How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction? 10 How can the changing status of women improve the human condition? 11 How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises? 12 How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently? 13 How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition? 14 How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions? 15 How can sustainable development be achieved for all while addressing global climate change? How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict? How can population growth and resources be brought into balance? How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes? How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives? How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone? How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor? How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced? How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change? How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction? How can the changing status of women improve the human condition? How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently? How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition? How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions? How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises? 15 Global Challenges–the Agenda today
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.