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Rate Design Pathways to Fair 
Utility Rates for Solar PV in a 
Distributed Energy Age 
Technological innovation and declining costs in solar PV have 
created irreversible momentum. A timely, clear-­‐‑eyed national 
conversation concerning how electricity providers and consumers 
alike may thrive in such an environment is essential. 
By Jim Kennerly 
Electricity Policy – the website ElectricityPolicy.com and the newsletter Electricity Daily – 
together comprise an essential source of information about the forces driving change in the electric 
power industry.
Technological innovation and declining costs in solar PV have 
created irreversible momentum. A timely, clear-­‐‑eyed national 
conversation concerning how electricity providers and consumers 
alike may thrive in such an environment is essential. 
1 
Rate Design Pathways to Fair 
Utility Rates for Solar PV in a 
Distributed Energy Age 
Page / December 2014 
By Jim Kennerly 
Introduction: The State of Play 
After experiencing significant cost 
declines over the past decade, 64% of the 
cost of rooftop solar photovoltaics (PV) is 
now associated not with the cost of the 
physical system hardware, but with non-hardware 
“soft” costs. Thus, high soft 
costs constitute the major remaining 
cluster of barriers to cost-effective 
rooftop solar PV. 
As PV has experienced dramatic cost 
declines, however, electric utilities have 
Jim Kennerly is the North Carolina 
Clean Energy Technology Center's principal 
energy policy researcher, and a lead analyst 
for the Database of State Incentives for 
Renewables and Efficiency (DSIRE) project. 
He is the lead author of Rethinking Standby 
and Fixed Cost Charges, a technical report 
for the Department of Energy's SunShot 
Initiative that formed the basis for this 
article. He has previous experience as a 
utility regulatory analyst with the North 
Carolina Sustainable Energy Association.
2 
Page / December 2014 
concurrently experienced persistent cost 
pressure due to a sluggish economy, 
offshoring of manufacturing, new 
investments in their energy delivery 
infrastructure, the increasing commodity 
cost of coal and, to an increasing degree, 
customer-initiated actions to save energy 
and money. Some industry observers 
have correctly noted that these factors, if 
they persist and spread, could undermine 
the basic structure and incentives built 
into the regulated utility business model. 
This is especially true if a large amount of 
utility fixed costs are recovered through 
variable “energy” rates.1 
hus, regulated utilities in leading 
solar PV markets are attempting to 
re-evaluate their strategic 
approaches. One way utilities have 
shifted their strategy is by claiming that 
customers’ installation of solar PV panels 
to offset some of their energy demands 
(and receive compensation through a 
mechanism called net energy metering2 
(NEM)) causes “cost shifts” that raise 
1 P. Kind, Disruptive Challenges: Financial Implications 
and Strategic Responses to a Changing Retail Electric 
Business. Prepared by Energy Infrastructure 
Advocates for the Edison Electric Institute, 
January 2013. Available at: 
http://www.eei.org/ourissues/finance/documents 
/disruptivechallenges.pdf, 
2 Net energy metering (NEM or “net metering”) is 
the practice by which customers sell their excess 
energy back to the utility at the retail rate at which 
they pay for electricity from their utility. At the end 
of the month, “net metering” customers pay a net 
bill that represents the net amount they consumed 
from the grid (or receive credit for the net 
production of solar energy that exceeded their grid 
electricity consumption). 
prices for non-solar customers, and 
thereby attempting to pay solar 
customers less than the retail rate. In 
response, solar advocates have argued that 
solar provides more benefit than costs, by 
partially offsetting peak loads and by 
easing the burden of transmission and 
distribution facilities. Thus, they argue, 
solar owners should be paid more than 
the utility’s retail rate for excess solar 
energy they provide to the utility. 
The dueling utility and solar industry 
perspectives have one fundamental flaw in 
common: both have long viewed solar PV 
in isolation as the key driver of disruptive 
change in the electric utility industry. 
Thus, neither of these perspectives fully 
captures the multi-layered, multi-faceted 
fixed cost recovery challenge (driven by 
multiple advanced energy technologies) 
most utilities face in an age of 
fundamental change. 
This article describes an integrated cost 
recovery approach for utilities, based on 
three relatively simple and inter-related 
regulated pricing approaches that would 
allow them to prepare for a certain, but 
radically different, future. 
Understanding Utility Costs: 
Precursors of Rate Design 
Before diving into proposed solutions, it 
is important to review the nature of 
electric utility costs, and how they are 
allocated. 
T
3 
Page / December 2014 
Figure 
1 
Ratemaking for 
regulated utilities, as 
has been noted time 
and again, typically 
utilizes cost-of-service 
approaches. A cost-of- 
service approach 
values what are known 
as a utility’s 
“embedded costs” of 
providing service, and passes those costs 
on through customer rates.3 These costs 
include fixed costs, which do not vary 
with usage, as well as variable costs, which 
vary based on the quantity of electricity 
produced and delivered. Utility costs are 
determined to be fixed or variable based 
on the results of a cost-of-service study. 
head of the rate design process, 
the cost-of-service study helps the 
utility and its regulators to allocate 
costs by: 
• Assigning costs by specific functions 
(e.g. electricity production, 
transmission, distribution, other), 
referred to as “cost functionalization”; 
• Classifying those costs as demand-related 
(intended to meet or reduce peak 
demand), energy-related (intended to 
meet total kilowatt-hour needs), or 
customer-related (costs not varying in any 
way with any usage or peak demand), 
3 For more on the embedded cost model, see the 
National Association of Regulatory Utility 
Commissioners (NARUC) Electric Utility Cost 
Allocation Manual, Jan. 1992, at 14. 
a process referred to as “cost 
classification”; and 
• Determining which costs of service 
are fixed and which are variable, and 
allocating them to the different classes 
of customers. 
Figure 1 is a simplified illustration of this 
three-step process. 
Rate Design Principles for a 
New Era: The New ‘Cost of 
Service’ 
In an age in which a growing number of 
customers are likely to supply a significant 
portion of their demand- and energy-related 
need for electricity with on-site 
renewable generation, however, it is 
necessary for the ratemaking paradigm to 
make a distinct and calculated shift. The 
shift utilities and their regulators must 
negotiate effectively is toward 
“unbundling” of various aspects of utility 
service, and toward utility investments in 
profit centers that are not dependent 
upon sales growth (such as distributed 
A
4 
Page / December 2014 
energy resources and aforementioned 
negawatts).4 
The foundation of greater unbundling is a 
utility’s ability to recover its most basic 
customer-related fixed costs, and an 
appropriate share of their demand and 
energy-related costs, necessary for 
providing total or supplementary service 
to the large majority of their own 
customers. These costs, frequently 
estimated using the “minimum system 
method,”5 include billing, metering, 
customer care, and part of the 
aboveground and underground 
distribution system that, in essence, 
cannot be avoided by customers who use 
no net energy. These “minimum system” 
customer-related costs can vary 
significantly, but generally can be 
observed at between $12-$25/month for 
residential customers.6 A review of 
residential tariffs shows that fixed 
monthly charges that appear on a 
customer’s bill are often merely a fraction 
of these costs. 
4 See Rocky Mountain Institute, Rate Design for the 
Distribution Edge, 26 Aug. 2014, available at: 
http://www.rmi.org/elab_rate_design 
5 NARUC, Ibid. 
6 See, e.g., Xcel Energy. Direct Testimony and 
Schedules of Michael A. Peppin: Class Cost of Service 
Study and Selected Rate Design. Before the North 
Dakota Public Utilities Commission, 20 
December 2010, and Rocky Mountain Power. 
Exhibit Accompanying the Direct Testimony of Joelle 
R. Steward: Calculation of Net Metering Facilities 
Charge. Utah Public Service Commission 
Docket No. 13-035-184. 
enerally, however, utilities have 
tended to favor requesting 
permission to impose PV 
G 
capacity-based or per-customer standby or 
fixed charges solely upon solar customers, 
reasoning that solar customers fail to bear 
their full share of these costs. In certain 
more limited cases, where solar PV-specific 
charges are prohibited by law 
(California, for example), utilities may 
choose to apply a fixed charge to all 
customers. 
There are three general problems with 
fixed or “standby” charges, be they 
applied to all customers, or merely to solar 
customers. 
1. Lack of Clarity Regarding Actual 
Cost Recovery from Solar Customers. 
With the exception of Arizona Public 
Service, utilities attempting to apply such 
charges generally have applied them by 
claiming the need to recover all of their 
“minimum system” customer-related costs 
being shifted to other customers.7 
However, a very cursory analysis suggests 
that this approach brings with it a very 
high risk of permitting utilities to enjoy a 
significant over-recovery of customer-related 
costs described above. 
7 Examples include Arizona Public Service, We 
Energies and Rocky Mountain Power.
5 
Page / December 2014 
2. Highly Selective Utility Concern 
Surrounding Cost Shifting. In addition, 
utilities’ idea to apply fixed charges to 
customers’ bills to address perceived 
inequities betrays a selective approach to 
addressing cost shifts. For example, 
utilities frequently offer rate discount 
programs to 
industrial 
customers and 
the indigent, or 
charge the same 
rates to rural and 
urban customers 
in the same class 
regardless of the cost of serving them. 
Such policies shift substantial costs to 
non-participating customers. Moreover, 
Instead, they pay the average cost of 
energy throughout the year. In California, 
imposition of average-cost rates has been 
estimated to create cost shifts from 
customers with highly variable usage to 
those with more consistent usage 
estimated at some $400 million annually.8 
verall, it is unclear why cost shifts 
associated with PV must be 
resolved immediately, while these 
others can remain untouched. 
8 A. Faruqui, Dynamic Pricing: The Bridge to a Smart 
Energy Future, presented to the World Smart Grid 
Forum (Berlin, DE), 25 Sept. 2013, at 20. 
Available at: 
http://www.brattle.com/system/publications/pdf 
s/000/004/925/original/Dynamic_pricing_- 
_the_bridge_to_a_smart_energy_future_Faruqui_ 
World_Smart_Grid_Forum_092513.pdf?13801186 
95 
3. Inaccurate Root Cause Analysis 
Related to Revenue Under-Recovery. 
Perhaps most importantly, focusing solely 
on solar customers as the driver of future 
declines in utility revenue expectations has 
the effect of masking the fact that PV is 
not even close to being the most 
significant driver of 
utility revenue and 
fixed cost under-recovery. 
For 
example, the “base 
case” of the US 
Energy Information 
Administration’s 
2014 Annual Energy Outlook (which 
assumes no development of future federal 
appliance standards as required by law) 
forecasts residential electricity usage per 
household to decline 4% overall from 
2012 to 2040.9 In addition, the 
Sacramento Municipal Utility District 
(SMUD) made this remarkable disclosure: 
75% of its customers did not pay their full 
share of fixed cost of service, even though 
fewer than 2% of them had installed 
rooftop solar PV.10 
9 National Appliance Energy Conservation Act 
(NAECA). Pub. L., No. 100-12, As Amended. 
10 See U.S. Energy Information Administration 
(EIA). EIA Form 826 and SMUD General Manager’s 
Report on Rates and Service, Vols. 1 and 2, p. 15. 
Available at: 
https://www.smud.org/en/residential/customer-service/ 
rate-information/rates-2014-2017.htm 
O 
Customers 
generally 
do 
not 
pay 
the 
full, 
true 
cost 
of 
the 
electricity 
they 
use, 
especially 
during 
peak 
or 
critical-­‐peak 
hours.
6 
Page / December 2014 
Inherent Risks of Current Rate 
Design Approaches for Solar PV 
and Utilities 
The utilities’ focus on solar PV and NEM 
in relation to the future viability of the 
utility business model is understandable. 
Like any emerging technology with great 
disruptive potential, PV draws a great deal 
of attention. What’s more, the pairing of 
highly modular PV installations with cost-effective 
energy storage, when it becomes 
available in customer-sized modules, 
could lead to increasing “grid defection” 
and a growing preponderance of stranded 
utility assets.11 
If these trends persist, they are quite likely 
to undermine the very foundation of the 
regulated utility business model. If 
utilities continue to press for 100% 
recovery of all of their fixed costs, 
emerging PV and storage pairings could 
cause commercial customers with higher 
demand charges to consider partially or 
totally exiting the grid, leaving the utility 
more dependent upon low load factor 
customers, further complicating efforts to 
spread fixed costs across its customer 
base. Higher rates of grid exit could 
accelerate declines in investor confidence, 
lead to higher fixed charges and further 
heighten customer interest in severing its 
relationship with the utility. This is the 
dreaded, but perhaps over-hyped, utility 
“death spiral.” 
11 Rocky Mountain Institute, The Economics of 
Grid Defection, Feb. 2014. Available at: 
http://www.rmi.org/electricity_grid_defection 
Unduly discriminatory charges could also 
negatively impact the steady pace of solar 
PV cost reduction goals important to 
national and regional policy makers. The 
US Department of Energy’s SunShot 
Initiative, which funded initial research in 
into how to reduce solar PV costs, has 
initiated efforts to target and reduce non-hardware 
“soft” costs. These efforts could 
be undone by standby and fixed cost 
charges that over-recover customer-related 
costs from residential customers. 
ronically, utility attempts to cry 
“subsidy” could end up backfiring on 
future utility plans to own solar PV. 
Indeed, utility action to limit payments for 
excess generation or apply added fees and 
charges to customers on net metering 
tariffs could have the effect of delaying the 
date by which rooftop PV technology no 
longer requires ratepayer and taxpayer 
incentives, and thus can be a “least-cost” 
investment target for a regulated utility. 
For example, Arizona Public Service is 
only able to consider owning customer-sited 
solar PV (and gaining a toehold in 
Arizona’s PV market) because of the 
existence of the Arizona’s Renewable 
Energy Standard (RES), which allows for 
ratepayer recovery of solar PV costs that 
exceeds the utility’s PURPA avoided 
cost.12 
12 Ryan Randazzo, “APS Plan to Offer Free Solar 
Faces Critics,” Arizona Republic, 25 Aug. 2014. 
Available at: 
http://www.azcentral.com/story/money/business 
/2014/08/25/aps-plan-offer-free-solar-faces-critics/ 
14578719/ 
I
7 
Page / December 2014 
Clearly, both utilities and the solar 
industry have a deeply vested interest in 
PV soft cost reduction. 
Case Study: We Energies 
(Wisconsin) 2014 Rate Request 
An outstanding example of the problems 
with standby and fixed cost charges can 
be seen in We Energies’ recently approved 
request to add both across-the-board (as 
well as solar-specific) fixed charges, which 
was recently approved by the Wisconsin 
Public Service Commission. We Energies 
framed its request to change its net 
metering policy, saying that solar PV 
customers are paying an insufficient 
amount to cover its most basic 
infrastructure costs, including those the 
utility would incur if the customer used no 
net energy. 
Thus, We Energies requested recovery of: 
§ 100% of its “customer-related” costs 
(as described above) through a fixed 
charge on all customers (non-solar 
and solar alike); 
§ A new solar-specific standby “demand 
charge” to recover the costs of 
supplying solar customers with 
standby energy. 
Table 1 of page 6 compares the 
components of the rates a solar customer 
would pay under current rates and the We 
Energies proposal. 
As justification for these charges, We 
Energies’ lead rate case witness explicitly 
suggested in pre-filed rebuttal testimony 
that across the board, solar PV customers 
were not paying their “customer-related” 
costs, nor their share of the cost of 
“standby” energy, which We Energies 
asserts is the cost it must recover from 
them.13 
owever, it is possible to evaluate 
We Energies’ claim by modeling 
the bills a customer in Milwaukee 
H 
would pay using the National Renewable 
Energy Laboratory’s System Advisor 
Model (SAM). These monthly bills with 
solar can be compared to the amount We 
Energies claims to require, which is the 
total of customer-related charges plus the 
solar-specific demand charge. Table 2, 
13 We Energies. Direct and Rebuttal Testimony of Eric 
A. Rogers. Joint Application of Wisconsin Electric 
Power Company and Wisconsin Gas LLC, both 
d/b/a We Energies, to Conduct a Biennial Review 
of Costs and Rates – Test Year 2015 Rates. Before 
the Wisconsin Public Service Commission, Docket 
No. 05-UR-107.
8 
Page / December 2014 
below, represents the results of the SAM 
simulation for PV systems of 3 kW, 4 kW, 
5 kW and 6 kW in size, installed on an 
average-sized residential home in 
Milwaukee with an average level of 
simulated electricity usage. 
Thus, these simulated solar PV customers 
at several of the most common system 
sizes actually paid, on average, between 
$8-$55 more than We Energies claims is 
needed to meet bare minimum revenue 
requirements for those customers.14 
Moving Beyond Risks for Utilities & 
for Solar PV Cost Reductions: 
Towards a ‘Softer’ Ratemaking Path 
It is important for utilities and regulators 
to consider carefully a broader, softer, 
more holistic strategy for recovering their 
fixed customer-related costs, as well as an 
appropriate share of the demand-related 
14 The model runs that produced this result utilized 
simulated system load data from Milwaukee, 
Wisconsin, at varying system sizes, and utilizing 
above-stated We Energies current and proposed 
rates. The System Advisor Model (SAM) is a 
publicly available model available at: 
http://sam.nrel.gov 
and energy-related costs that utilities incur 
to serve customers with on-site 
generation. 
well-designed and equitable 
strategy to do so should include: 
(1) revenue decoupling, in order 
A 
to ensure utilities can recover an 
appropriate degree of revenue regardless 
of sales, (2) a minimum monthly 
contribution (or “minimum bill”) all 
customers must pay to ensure that utilities 
collect the minimum required to serve all 
customers, regardless of energy use and 
(3) time-differentiated rates to ensure that 
solar and non-solar customers pay the true 
cost of their electricity, whenever they 
might need it. 
Implementing these three components 
will provide utilities with sufficient tools 
to recover their costs in an era of more 
distributed generation, and serve as an 
equitable substitute for standby and fixed 
cost charges on solar PV.
9 
Page / December 2014 
Figure 
2 
1. Revenue Decoupling. Recently, the 
investment branch of Barclays Bank 
advised its clients to reduce their exposure 
to securities underwritten by electric 
utilities with regulated operations. Indeed, 
due to a variety of factors unrelated to 
solar PV, Scott Madden & SNL Financial 
have found (as illustrated in Figure 2) 
that more and more utilities have begun to 
under-earn their regulated rates of 
return.15 
hus, more utilities (and those who 
regulate them) have decoupled 
their revenues from their sales. 
Notably, Consolidated Edison of New 
York (ConEd) recently saw an upgrade in 
its bond ratings due to adopting 
decoupling in the wake of Superstorm 
15 Scott Madden, Innovative Ratemaking: Multi-Year 
Rate Plans, Feb. 2014. Available at: 
http://www.scottmadden.com/insight/683/innov 
ative-ratemaking-multiyear-rate-plans.html 
Sandy.16 Unlike solar PV-specific 
rates and charges, 
decoupling mechanisms 
assess all utility customers 
an added charge—fixed 
or volumetric—if the 
utility does not recover a 
regulator-approved share 
of revenue during the 
year, or a refund to 
customers, with interest, 
if it exceeds that revenue 
recovery. 
Given that, as described 
above, residential customers are likely to 
use less energy per customer in the future, 
decoupling honors the ratemaking 
principles of fairness in lost fixed cost 
recovery, while also reducing a utility’s 
incentive to increase sales. By 
implementing it, a utility recognizes that 
innovative, behind-the-meter energy-saving 
approaches like solar PV (or, 
simply, run-of-the-mill energy 
conservation approaches) are becoming 
more common across its customer base 
and are facilitating considerable utility 
avoided costs that benefit all customers. 
2. Establishing Minimum 
Bills/”Minimum Monthly 
Contributions” for Low and Lowest- 
Usage Customers. However, adopting a 
16 Moody’s Investor Service. “Moody’s Changes 
Consolidated Edison’s Outlook to Positive”. 30 
July 2013. Available at: 
https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-changes- 
Consolidated-Edisons-outlook-to-positive-- 
PR_278150 
T
10 
Page / December 2014 
decoupling approach makes it absolutely 
crucial for a utility to adjust what are 
known as “minimum bills” or “minimum 
monthly contributions,” but only for 
customers that use zero net energy, given 
that these customers frequently do not 
even pay the bare minimum fixed cost 
contribution per month. A minimum bill, 
which is currently being contemplated in 
Massachusetts as a long-term approach to 
the Commonwealth’s net metering 
program, is assessed on all customers, but 
functionally impacts only zero net energy 
customers. Indeed, as Figure 3 shows, 
using the same $8/month and $0.13/kWh 
rates as above, minimum bills ensure that 
customers neither over-compensate 
utilities for their customer-related costs, 
nor impose rate increases, except for 
customers that offset 95% of their usage 
or more with solar. 
Indeed, the minimum bill approach makes 
a great deal of sense as a way to ensure 
that the decoupling surcharge has 
sufficient teeth when dealing with 
customers with low (or no) electricity 
usage, especially since many revenue 
decoupling bill adjustments are assessed 
on a per kWh basis. 
3. Default Time-Differentiated Rates. 
Another approach that can limit 
potentially unfair and discriminatory 
charges for solar PV customers is a 
phased-in or “default” time-of-use pricing
11 
Page / December 2014 
strategy. Today’s average hourly rates 
result in cost shifting from customers who 
use energy disproportionately on-peak to 
those who use it more regularly. Well-designed 
time-differentiated rates would 
more accurately reflect the true marginal 
costs of supplying all customers. Indeed, 
time-differentiated rates could help to 
ensure that customers with solar PV 
would pay a price closer to the true cost 
of the energy they use during periods in 
which they experience a need for grid 
energy. This is especially true during high-cost 
daily system peaks, which can occur 
when solar PV output is decreasing in late 
afternoon or early evening. In this way, 
time-differentiated rates can functionally 
substitute for standby or fixed cost 
charges without overcompensating the 
utility. 
Looking Ahead to a Distributed 
Energy Future: The Point at 
Which ‘If’ Becomes ‘When’ 
Customer-sited solar PV projects will 
continue to be integrated into the grid 
nation-wide at increasing rates for the 
foreseeable future. However, anticipating 
a future energy market with customers 
who feel strongly about establishing a 
greater degree of control over their own 
energy costs and supplies, it is vital for 
utilities, their regulators and other key 
stakeholders in the solar PV market to 
engage in a broader and more candid 
conversation regarding their business 
models than they have done thus far. 
ome stakeholders may believe that 
rapid expansion of advanced 
customer-sited energy technologies 
S 
are only temporary, and that the 
traditional regulatory system can survive 
while avoiding reform. However, the 
trend of increasing technological 
innovation and declining costs in solar PV 
have created irreversible momentum, 
rendering the question of whether such 
technologies will become commonplace as 
irrelevant. A clear-headed national 
conversation concerning how electric 
energy providers and consumers alike may 
thrive in such an environment is one that 
cannot be postponed.  
Time-­‐differentiated 
rates 
could 
help 
ensure 
that 
customers 
with 
solar 
PV 
pay 
a 
price 
closer 
to 
the 
true 
cost 
of 
the 
energy 
they 
use 
during 
peak 
periods.

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Rate Design Pathways to Fair Utility Rates for Solar PV

  • 1. Rate Design Pathways to Fair Utility Rates for Solar PV in a Distributed Energy Age Technological innovation and declining costs in solar PV have created irreversible momentum. A timely, clear-­‐‑eyed national conversation concerning how electricity providers and consumers alike may thrive in such an environment is essential. By Jim Kennerly Electricity Policy – the website ElectricityPolicy.com and the newsletter Electricity Daily – together comprise an essential source of information about the forces driving change in the electric power industry.
  • 2. Technological innovation and declining costs in solar PV have created irreversible momentum. A timely, clear-­‐‑eyed national conversation concerning how electricity providers and consumers alike may thrive in such an environment is essential. 1 Rate Design Pathways to Fair Utility Rates for Solar PV in a Distributed Energy Age Page / December 2014 By Jim Kennerly Introduction: The State of Play After experiencing significant cost declines over the past decade, 64% of the cost of rooftop solar photovoltaics (PV) is now associated not with the cost of the physical system hardware, but with non-hardware “soft” costs. Thus, high soft costs constitute the major remaining cluster of barriers to cost-effective rooftop solar PV. As PV has experienced dramatic cost declines, however, electric utilities have Jim Kennerly is the North Carolina Clean Energy Technology Center's principal energy policy researcher, and a lead analyst for the Database of State Incentives for Renewables and Efficiency (DSIRE) project. He is the lead author of Rethinking Standby and Fixed Cost Charges, a technical report for the Department of Energy's SunShot Initiative that formed the basis for this article. He has previous experience as a utility regulatory analyst with the North Carolina Sustainable Energy Association.
  • 3. 2 Page / December 2014 concurrently experienced persistent cost pressure due to a sluggish economy, offshoring of manufacturing, new investments in their energy delivery infrastructure, the increasing commodity cost of coal and, to an increasing degree, customer-initiated actions to save energy and money. Some industry observers have correctly noted that these factors, if they persist and spread, could undermine the basic structure and incentives built into the regulated utility business model. This is especially true if a large amount of utility fixed costs are recovered through variable “energy” rates.1 hus, regulated utilities in leading solar PV markets are attempting to re-evaluate their strategic approaches. One way utilities have shifted their strategy is by claiming that customers’ installation of solar PV panels to offset some of their energy demands (and receive compensation through a mechanism called net energy metering2 (NEM)) causes “cost shifts” that raise 1 P. Kind, Disruptive Challenges: Financial Implications and Strategic Responses to a Changing Retail Electric Business. Prepared by Energy Infrastructure Advocates for the Edison Electric Institute, January 2013. Available at: http://www.eei.org/ourissues/finance/documents /disruptivechallenges.pdf, 2 Net energy metering (NEM or “net metering”) is the practice by which customers sell their excess energy back to the utility at the retail rate at which they pay for electricity from their utility. At the end of the month, “net metering” customers pay a net bill that represents the net amount they consumed from the grid (or receive credit for the net production of solar energy that exceeded their grid electricity consumption). prices for non-solar customers, and thereby attempting to pay solar customers less than the retail rate. In response, solar advocates have argued that solar provides more benefit than costs, by partially offsetting peak loads and by easing the burden of transmission and distribution facilities. Thus, they argue, solar owners should be paid more than the utility’s retail rate for excess solar energy they provide to the utility. The dueling utility and solar industry perspectives have one fundamental flaw in common: both have long viewed solar PV in isolation as the key driver of disruptive change in the electric utility industry. Thus, neither of these perspectives fully captures the multi-layered, multi-faceted fixed cost recovery challenge (driven by multiple advanced energy technologies) most utilities face in an age of fundamental change. This article describes an integrated cost recovery approach for utilities, based on three relatively simple and inter-related regulated pricing approaches that would allow them to prepare for a certain, but radically different, future. Understanding Utility Costs: Precursors of Rate Design Before diving into proposed solutions, it is important to review the nature of electric utility costs, and how they are allocated. T
  • 4. 3 Page / December 2014 Figure 1 Ratemaking for regulated utilities, as has been noted time and again, typically utilizes cost-of-service approaches. A cost-of- service approach values what are known as a utility’s “embedded costs” of providing service, and passes those costs on through customer rates.3 These costs include fixed costs, which do not vary with usage, as well as variable costs, which vary based on the quantity of electricity produced and delivered. Utility costs are determined to be fixed or variable based on the results of a cost-of-service study. head of the rate design process, the cost-of-service study helps the utility and its regulators to allocate costs by: • Assigning costs by specific functions (e.g. electricity production, transmission, distribution, other), referred to as “cost functionalization”; • Classifying those costs as demand-related (intended to meet or reduce peak demand), energy-related (intended to meet total kilowatt-hour needs), or customer-related (costs not varying in any way with any usage or peak demand), 3 For more on the embedded cost model, see the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC) Electric Utility Cost Allocation Manual, Jan. 1992, at 14. a process referred to as “cost classification”; and • Determining which costs of service are fixed and which are variable, and allocating them to the different classes of customers. Figure 1 is a simplified illustration of this three-step process. Rate Design Principles for a New Era: The New ‘Cost of Service’ In an age in which a growing number of customers are likely to supply a significant portion of their demand- and energy-related need for electricity with on-site renewable generation, however, it is necessary for the ratemaking paradigm to make a distinct and calculated shift. The shift utilities and their regulators must negotiate effectively is toward “unbundling” of various aspects of utility service, and toward utility investments in profit centers that are not dependent upon sales growth (such as distributed A
  • 5. 4 Page / December 2014 energy resources and aforementioned negawatts).4 The foundation of greater unbundling is a utility’s ability to recover its most basic customer-related fixed costs, and an appropriate share of their demand and energy-related costs, necessary for providing total or supplementary service to the large majority of their own customers. These costs, frequently estimated using the “minimum system method,”5 include billing, metering, customer care, and part of the aboveground and underground distribution system that, in essence, cannot be avoided by customers who use no net energy. These “minimum system” customer-related costs can vary significantly, but generally can be observed at between $12-$25/month for residential customers.6 A review of residential tariffs shows that fixed monthly charges that appear on a customer’s bill are often merely a fraction of these costs. 4 See Rocky Mountain Institute, Rate Design for the Distribution Edge, 26 Aug. 2014, available at: http://www.rmi.org/elab_rate_design 5 NARUC, Ibid. 6 See, e.g., Xcel Energy. Direct Testimony and Schedules of Michael A. Peppin: Class Cost of Service Study and Selected Rate Design. Before the North Dakota Public Utilities Commission, 20 December 2010, and Rocky Mountain Power. Exhibit Accompanying the Direct Testimony of Joelle R. Steward: Calculation of Net Metering Facilities Charge. Utah Public Service Commission Docket No. 13-035-184. enerally, however, utilities have tended to favor requesting permission to impose PV G capacity-based or per-customer standby or fixed charges solely upon solar customers, reasoning that solar customers fail to bear their full share of these costs. In certain more limited cases, where solar PV-specific charges are prohibited by law (California, for example), utilities may choose to apply a fixed charge to all customers. There are three general problems with fixed or “standby” charges, be they applied to all customers, or merely to solar customers. 1. Lack of Clarity Regarding Actual Cost Recovery from Solar Customers. With the exception of Arizona Public Service, utilities attempting to apply such charges generally have applied them by claiming the need to recover all of their “minimum system” customer-related costs being shifted to other customers.7 However, a very cursory analysis suggests that this approach brings with it a very high risk of permitting utilities to enjoy a significant over-recovery of customer-related costs described above. 7 Examples include Arizona Public Service, We Energies and Rocky Mountain Power.
  • 6. 5 Page / December 2014 2. Highly Selective Utility Concern Surrounding Cost Shifting. In addition, utilities’ idea to apply fixed charges to customers’ bills to address perceived inequities betrays a selective approach to addressing cost shifts. For example, utilities frequently offer rate discount programs to industrial customers and the indigent, or charge the same rates to rural and urban customers in the same class regardless of the cost of serving them. Such policies shift substantial costs to non-participating customers. Moreover, Instead, they pay the average cost of energy throughout the year. In California, imposition of average-cost rates has been estimated to create cost shifts from customers with highly variable usage to those with more consistent usage estimated at some $400 million annually.8 verall, it is unclear why cost shifts associated with PV must be resolved immediately, while these others can remain untouched. 8 A. Faruqui, Dynamic Pricing: The Bridge to a Smart Energy Future, presented to the World Smart Grid Forum (Berlin, DE), 25 Sept. 2013, at 20. Available at: http://www.brattle.com/system/publications/pdf s/000/004/925/original/Dynamic_pricing_- _the_bridge_to_a_smart_energy_future_Faruqui_ World_Smart_Grid_Forum_092513.pdf?13801186 95 3. Inaccurate Root Cause Analysis Related to Revenue Under-Recovery. Perhaps most importantly, focusing solely on solar customers as the driver of future declines in utility revenue expectations has the effect of masking the fact that PV is not even close to being the most significant driver of utility revenue and fixed cost under-recovery. For example, the “base case” of the US Energy Information Administration’s 2014 Annual Energy Outlook (which assumes no development of future federal appliance standards as required by law) forecasts residential electricity usage per household to decline 4% overall from 2012 to 2040.9 In addition, the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) made this remarkable disclosure: 75% of its customers did not pay their full share of fixed cost of service, even though fewer than 2% of them had installed rooftop solar PV.10 9 National Appliance Energy Conservation Act (NAECA). Pub. L., No. 100-12, As Amended. 10 See U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). EIA Form 826 and SMUD General Manager’s Report on Rates and Service, Vols. 1 and 2, p. 15. Available at: https://www.smud.org/en/residential/customer-service/ rate-information/rates-2014-2017.htm O Customers generally do not pay the full, true cost of the electricity they use, especially during peak or critical-­‐peak hours.
  • 7. 6 Page / December 2014 Inherent Risks of Current Rate Design Approaches for Solar PV and Utilities The utilities’ focus on solar PV and NEM in relation to the future viability of the utility business model is understandable. Like any emerging technology with great disruptive potential, PV draws a great deal of attention. What’s more, the pairing of highly modular PV installations with cost-effective energy storage, when it becomes available in customer-sized modules, could lead to increasing “grid defection” and a growing preponderance of stranded utility assets.11 If these trends persist, they are quite likely to undermine the very foundation of the regulated utility business model. If utilities continue to press for 100% recovery of all of their fixed costs, emerging PV and storage pairings could cause commercial customers with higher demand charges to consider partially or totally exiting the grid, leaving the utility more dependent upon low load factor customers, further complicating efforts to spread fixed costs across its customer base. Higher rates of grid exit could accelerate declines in investor confidence, lead to higher fixed charges and further heighten customer interest in severing its relationship with the utility. This is the dreaded, but perhaps over-hyped, utility “death spiral.” 11 Rocky Mountain Institute, The Economics of Grid Defection, Feb. 2014. Available at: http://www.rmi.org/electricity_grid_defection Unduly discriminatory charges could also negatively impact the steady pace of solar PV cost reduction goals important to national and regional policy makers. The US Department of Energy’s SunShot Initiative, which funded initial research in into how to reduce solar PV costs, has initiated efforts to target and reduce non-hardware “soft” costs. These efforts could be undone by standby and fixed cost charges that over-recover customer-related costs from residential customers. ronically, utility attempts to cry “subsidy” could end up backfiring on future utility plans to own solar PV. Indeed, utility action to limit payments for excess generation or apply added fees and charges to customers on net metering tariffs could have the effect of delaying the date by which rooftop PV technology no longer requires ratepayer and taxpayer incentives, and thus can be a “least-cost” investment target for a regulated utility. For example, Arizona Public Service is only able to consider owning customer-sited solar PV (and gaining a toehold in Arizona’s PV market) because of the existence of the Arizona’s Renewable Energy Standard (RES), which allows for ratepayer recovery of solar PV costs that exceeds the utility’s PURPA avoided cost.12 12 Ryan Randazzo, “APS Plan to Offer Free Solar Faces Critics,” Arizona Republic, 25 Aug. 2014. Available at: http://www.azcentral.com/story/money/business /2014/08/25/aps-plan-offer-free-solar-faces-critics/ 14578719/ I
  • 8. 7 Page / December 2014 Clearly, both utilities and the solar industry have a deeply vested interest in PV soft cost reduction. Case Study: We Energies (Wisconsin) 2014 Rate Request An outstanding example of the problems with standby and fixed cost charges can be seen in We Energies’ recently approved request to add both across-the-board (as well as solar-specific) fixed charges, which was recently approved by the Wisconsin Public Service Commission. We Energies framed its request to change its net metering policy, saying that solar PV customers are paying an insufficient amount to cover its most basic infrastructure costs, including those the utility would incur if the customer used no net energy. Thus, We Energies requested recovery of: § 100% of its “customer-related” costs (as described above) through a fixed charge on all customers (non-solar and solar alike); § A new solar-specific standby “demand charge” to recover the costs of supplying solar customers with standby energy. Table 1 of page 6 compares the components of the rates a solar customer would pay under current rates and the We Energies proposal. As justification for these charges, We Energies’ lead rate case witness explicitly suggested in pre-filed rebuttal testimony that across the board, solar PV customers were not paying their “customer-related” costs, nor their share of the cost of “standby” energy, which We Energies asserts is the cost it must recover from them.13 owever, it is possible to evaluate We Energies’ claim by modeling the bills a customer in Milwaukee H would pay using the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s System Advisor Model (SAM). These monthly bills with solar can be compared to the amount We Energies claims to require, which is the total of customer-related charges plus the solar-specific demand charge. Table 2, 13 We Energies. Direct and Rebuttal Testimony of Eric A. Rogers. Joint Application of Wisconsin Electric Power Company and Wisconsin Gas LLC, both d/b/a We Energies, to Conduct a Biennial Review of Costs and Rates – Test Year 2015 Rates. Before the Wisconsin Public Service Commission, Docket No. 05-UR-107.
  • 9. 8 Page / December 2014 below, represents the results of the SAM simulation for PV systems of 3 kW, 4 kW, 5 kW and 6 kW in size, installed on an average-sized residential home in Milwaukee with an average level of simulated electricity usage. Thus, these simulated solar PV customers at several of the most common system sizes actually paid, on average, between $8-$55 more than We Energies claims is needed to meet bare minimum revenue requirements for those customers.14 Moving Beyond Risks for Utilities & for Solar PV Cost Reductions: Towards a ‘Softer’ Ratemaking Path It is important for utilities and regulators to consider carefully a broader, softer, more holistic strategy for recovering their fixed customer-related costs, as well as an appropriate share of the demand-related 14 The model runs that produced this result utilized simulated system load data from Milwaukee, Wisconsin, at varying system sizes, and utilizing above-stated We Energies current and proposed rates. The System Advisor Model (SAM) is a publicly available model available at: http://sam.nrel.gov and energy-related costs that utilities incur to serve customers with on-site generation. well-designed and equitable strategy to do so should include: (1) revenue decoupling, in order A to ensure utilities can recover an appropriate degree of revenue regardless of sales, (2) a minimum monthly contribution (or “minimum bill”) all customers must pay to ensure that utilities collect the minimum required to serve all customers, regardless of energy use and (3) time-differentiated rates to ensure that solar and non-solar customers pay the true cost of their electricity, whenever they might need it. Implementing these three components will provide utilities with sufficient tools to recover their costs in an era of more distributed generation, and serve as an equitable substitute for standby and fixed cost charges on solar PV.
  • 10. 9 Page / December 2014 Figure 2 1. Revenue Decoupling. Recently, the investment branch of Barclays Bank advised its clients to reduce their exposure to securities underwritten by electric utilities with regulated operations. Indeed, due to a variety of factors unrelated to solar PV, Scott Madden & SNL Financial have found (as illustrated in Figure 2) that more and more utilities have begun to under-earn their regulated rates of return.15 hus, more utilities (and those who regulate them) have decoupled their revenues from their sales. Notably, Consolidated Edison of New York (ConEd) recently saw an upgrade in its bond ratings due to adopting decoupling in the wake of Superstorm 15 Scott Madden, Innovative Ratemaking: Multi-Year Rate Plans, Feb. 2014. Available at: http://www.scottmadden.com/insight/683/innov ative-ratemaking-multiyear-rate-plans.html Sandy.16 Unlike solar PV-specific rates and charges, decoupling mechanisms assess all utility customers an added charge—fixed or volumetric—if the utility does not recover a regulator-approved share of revenue during the year, or a refund to customers, with interest, if it exceeds that revenue recovery. Given that, as described above, residential customers are likely to use less energy per customer in the future, decoupling honors the ratemaking principles of fairness in lost fixed cost recovery, while also reducing a utility’s incentive to increase sales. By implementing it, a utility recognizes that innovative, behind-the-meter energy-saving approaches like solar PV (or, simply, run-of-the-mill energy conservation approaches) are becoming more common across its customer base and are facilitating considerable utility avoided costs that benefit all customers. 2. Establishing Minimum Bills/”Minimum Monthly Contributions” for Low and Lowest- Usage Customers. However, adopting a 16 Moody’s Investor Service. “Moody’s Changes Consolidated Edison’s Outlook to Positive”. 30 July 2013. Available at: https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-changes- Consolidated-Edisons-outlook-to-positive-- PR_278150 T
  • 11. 10 Page / December 2014 decoupling approach makes it absolutely crucial for a utility to adjust what are known as “minimum bills” or “minimum monthly contributions,” but only for customers that use zero net energy, given that these customers frequently do not even pay the bare minimum fixed cost contribution per month. A minimum bill, which is currently being contemplated in Massachusetts as a long-term approach to the Commonwealth’s net metering program, is assessed on all customers, but functionally impacts only zero net energy customers. Indeed, as Figure 3 shows, using the same $8/month and $0.13/kWh rates as above, minimum bills ensure that customers neither over-compensate utilities for their customer-related costs, nor impose rate increases, except for customers that offset 95% of their usage or more with solar. Indeed, the minimum bill approach makes a great deal of sense as a way to ensure that the decoupling surcharge has sufficient teeth when dealing with customers with low (or no) electricity usage, especially since many revenue decoupling bill adjustments are assessed on a per kWh basis. 3. Default Time-Differentiated Rates. Another approach that can limit potentially unfair and discriminatory charges for solar PV customers is a phased-in or “default” time-of-use pricing
  • 12. 11 Page / December 2014 strategy. Today’s average hourly rates result in cost shifting from customers who use energy disproportionately on-peak to those who use it more regularly. Well-designed time-differentiated rates would more accurately reflect the true marginal costs of supplying all customers. Indeed, time-differentiated rates could help to ensure that customers with solar PV would pay a price closer to the true cost of the energy they use during periods in which they experience a need for grid energy. This is especially true during high-cost daily system peaks, which can occur when solar PV output is decreasing in late afternoon or early evening. In this way, time-differentiated rates can functionally substitute for standby or fixed cost charges without overcompensating the utility. Looking Ahead to a Distributed Energy Future: The Point at Which ‘If’ Becomes ‘When’ Customer-sited solar PV projects will continue to be integrated into the grid nation-wide at increasing rates for the foreseeable future. However, anticipating a future energy market with customers who feel strongly about establishing a greater degree of control over their own energy costs and supplies, it is vital for utilities, their regulators and other key stakeholders in the solar PV market to engage in a broader and more candid conversation regarding their business models than they have done thus far. ome stakeholders may believe that rapid expansion of advanced customer-sited energy technologies S are only temporary, and that the traditional regulatory system can survive while avoiding reform. However, the trend of increasing technological innovation and declining costs in solar PV have created irreversible momentum, rendering the question of whether such technologies will become commonplace as irrelevant. A clear-headed national conversation concerning how electric energy providers and consumers alike may thrive in such an environment is one that cannot be postponed. Time-­‐differentiated rates could help ensure that customers with solar PV pay a price closer to the true cost of the energy they use during peak periods.