The document provides population projections and statistics from 2013 to 2045 on a global scale. Some of the key points summarized are:
- The world population is projected to increase from 7 billion in 2013 to over 9 billion in 2045, with most growth occurring in Africa and Asia.
- The top 10 countries by population in 2045 are projected to be India, China, United States, Nigeria, Pakistan, Indonesia, Brazil, Ethiopia, Philippines, and Bangladesh.
- Africa is projected to have the fastest growing countries while Eastern Europe is projected to have the fastest declining populations between 2013-2045.
- The median age globally and in most regions is projected to increase significantly between 2013-2045
2. Data Sources
• U.S. Census Bureau and International
Data Base (IDB)
– http://www.census.gov/population/international/data/idb/informati
onGateway.php
• Internet data from Internet World Stats
– http://www.internetworldstats.com/
5. Global Composition
Comparison
2013 Population 2045 Population
Latin
Northern America Northern
Oceania
Latin America and the America Oceania
America 0% 0%
5% Caribbean 5%
and the
Caribbean 8%
9% Africa
Africa
16%
23%
Europe
Europe
8%
10%
Asia
60% Asia
56%
6. Top 10 Countries
• Fragmentation – an increasing long tail of population
Top 10 Countries in 2013 Top 10 Countries in 2045
2013 Population 2045 Population 2013 Population 2045 Population
China 1,350 India 1,221
1,334 1,617
India 1,221 China 1,350
1,617 1,334
317 United 317
United States
408 States 408
Indonesia 251 Nigeria 175
310 365
Brazil 208 Indonesia 251
258 310
Pakistan 193 Top 10 Pakistan 193 Top 10
281 281
comprise comprise
Nigeria 175 58.5% of total Brazil 208 44.6% of total
365 258
pop. in 2013 pop. in 2045
Bangladesh 164 Ethiopia 97
243 246
Russia 137 Bangladesh 164
113 243
Japan 127 Philippines 106
111 164
8. Fastest Declining Countries
Fastest Declining Countries 2013-2045
Rank Country 2013 Population 2045 Population Percent Change
Earth 7,078,013,296 9,158,369,026 29.39%
1 Cook Islands 10,447 5,640 -46.01%
2 Saint Pierre and Miquelon 5,774 3,791 -34.34%
3 Moldova 3,619,925 2,431,772 -32.82%
4 Bulgaria 6,981,642 4,981,125 -28.65%
5 Estonia 1,266,375 920,750 -27.29%
6 Latvia 2,178,443 1,638,192 -24.80%
7 Micronesia 106,104 79,963 -24.64%
8 Ukraine 44,573,205 35,054,324 -21.36%
9 Tonga 106,322 87,100 -18.08%
10 Russia 137,410,006 112,920,157 -17.82%
Eastern Europe
Dominates
9. Median Age
• Median age will increase by 6.6 years globally from 2013 to 2045
• Asia’s median age will increase by 9.5 years
• Latin America’s will increase by 10 years
47.6
41.2 39.8
39.5 38.5 39.3
36.1 37.6
33.7
29.5 30 28.5
24.5
19.5
Africa Asia Europe Latin Northern
Total Earth America and America Oceania
the Caribbean
2013 Median Age 2045 Median Age
10. Median Age – under 25
• In 2013, there will be 80 countries with a
median age of less than 25 years
– These countries will comprise 23.4% of the
world’s population in 2013
• In 2045, there will be 24 countries with a
median age of less than 25 years
– These countries will comprise 14.4% of the
world’s population in 2045
11. Oldest and Youngest Countries
Youngest Oldest
2013 Median
Country Age Country 2013 Median Age
Uganda 15.1 Monaco 50.5
Niger 15.2 Japan 45.8
Mali 16.5 Germany 45.7
Zambia 16.5 Hong Kong 44.5
Ethiopia 16.8 Italy 44.2
Mozambique 16.9 Saint Pierre and Miquelon 43.9
Mayotte 17 Austria 43.8
Burundi 17 Greece 43.2
Burkina Faso 17.1 San Marino 43.1
Chad 17.1 Isle of Man 43.1
Congo (Brazzaville) 17.2 Slovenia 43.1
Malawi 17.4 Finland 42.9
Sao Tome and Principe 17.7 Belgium 42.8
Benin 17.7 Guernsey 42.7
Congo (Kinshasa) 17.8 Bermuda 42.6
Angola 17.9 Sweden 42.4
Somalia 17.9 Switzerland 42.3
Nigeria 18 Bulgaria 42.2
Afghanistan 18 Liechtenstein 42
Gaza Strip 18.1 Croatia 41.9
12. Average Life Expectancy
• Average life expectancy will increase by 6.8 years globally from 2013 to
2045
• Life expectancy in Africa will increase by 10.8 years
• Life expectancy in Asia will increase by 7.1 years
81.2 79.9 82.6 80.2
77.6 76.4 78.8 76.3
74.6 74.3
67.8 68.1 70.5
57.3
Africa Asia Europe Latin Northern
Total Earth America and America Oceania
the Caribbean
2013 Life expectancy 2045 Life expectancy
13. Life Expectancy – Over 80
• In 2013, there will be 36 countries with
average life expectancies of 80 years or more
– These countries will comprise 9.2% of the world’s
population in 2013
• In 2045, there will be 116 countries with
average life expectancies of 80 years or more
– These countries will comprise 35.6% of the
world’s population in 2045
14. Longest and Shortest Life Expectancies
Shortest Life Expectancy Longest Life Expectancy
2013 Life 2013 Life
Country expectancy Country expectancy
Chad 49.1 Monaco 89.6
South Africa 49.5 Macau 84.5
Guinea-Bissau 49.5 Japan 84.2
Swaziland 50 Singapore 84.1
Afghanistan 50.1 San Marino 83.1
Central African Republic 50.9 Andorra 82.6
Somalia 51.2 Guernsey 82.3
Namibia 52 Hong Kong 82.2
Gabon 52.2 Italy 82
Lesotho 52.3 Australia 82
Mozambique 52.3 Liechtenstein 81.6
Nigeria 52.5 Canada 81.6
Malawi 52.8 Jersey 81.6
Zambia 52.8 Spain 81.4
Tanzania 53.4 France 81.4
Mali 53.5 Sweden 81.3
Uganda 53.7 Switzerland 81.3
Zimbabwe 53.9 Israel 81.2
Niger 54.2 Iceland 81.1
Burkina Faso 54.4 Anguilla 81.1