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Nedbank, Under-banked Stokvel Accounts
Kelley Connect Week, Summer 2015
Team 17
Evan Crouse ebcscr@gmail.com
Travis Kunnemann tkunnema@umail.iu.edu
Tom McGrew mcgrew.thomas@gmail.com
John Stillwagen john@stillwagen.com
Michael Yack michael_yack@praxair.com
The Situation
Since 2010, Nedbank’s retail market share has underperformed
compared to disruptive market entrant Capitec. Nedbank’s market
share has remained stagnant in segments which still have significant
opportunity for growth.
Under the current market conditions, how can Nedbank drive
profitability, new customer acquisition, and a higher market share
while aligning with their goal to be a leader in sustainability?
2
Fair Share Marketplace
Fair Share Digital Marketplace – Links Club Accounts together to
provide enhanced purchasing power.
New Affinity Club Account – Incentivize new individual transactional
accounts by linking new accounts to existing Club Accounts.
Data Analytics – Captures customer information to better meet the
market needs and enhance firm performance.
3
Net Present Value
R211 million
Existing South African Stokvel Markets
• Stokvels constitute a known market of over R44 billion per year
– Estimates up to R75 billion
– Experiencing a growth rate of R80-90 million per year
• Over 45% of households contribute to at least 1 Stokvel per month
• 400k+ Stokvels currently in South Africa consisting of 11.5M members
48%
52%
Stokvels tied to Formal
Institutions
Banked
Unbanked
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Savings Burials Groceries Birthdays Others Investments
Type of Stokvels Used
Source: Stokvels - A Hidden Economy Source: Stokvels - A Hidden Economy
4
Challenges for Nedbank in Stokvel Market
• Group savings accounts currently exist in marketplace
– Simple accounts for individual groups
– Nedbank “Club Account” is a highly competitive product
• Nedbank market share decline in the banked Stokvel segment
– 2010: R6.0B (22% market share)
– 2014: R1.5B (7% market share)
• Significant opportunity to better understand segment
– Industry wide lack of data collection
– Nedbank has very limited understanding
○ Only 3 signatures required to open account
○ Limited information required of signators
Source: Case Study
5
Fair Share Digital Marketplace
• Link Club Accounts to other similar goal Club Accounts
• Utilize a digital marketplace that brings economies of scale to
deliver low cost purchases supporting Fair Share 2030 goals
• Formally unable to pool enough resources to make significant large
scale purchases
• Marketplace provides venue for linking vendors with Club Accounts
• Value add to multiple market segments
6
Digital Marketplace: How Nedbank makes things happen!
7
Soweto Stokvel
Need: Solar Power
Segment: Transitioning ELB
Challenge: Unable to afford
community purchase!!!
Affinity Club Account
• Incentivize opening of a new individual Club Affinity Account, as well
as linkage to parent Club Accounts
• Drives incremental account generation and transactional revenue
• Drives incremental data collection
• Account rolls rewards into Club Accounts based on usage
• Utilizes existing fee structure and Affinity program
• Drives greater intimacy with customers
Club
Acct
Club
Affinity
Acct
Club
Affinity
Acct
Club
Affinity
Acct
8
Data Analytics
9
Customer behavior of the club account segment is an un-mined
market, and will provide a competitive edge to Nedbank
Multi-source Data Collection
• Club accounts
• Individual accounts
Benefits for Nedbank and Clients
Leverages existing platform to keep costs low
and reduce implementation time
Customer Centered
Innovation
Targeted
Marketing Increase Sales
Financial Summary
Net Present Value
84
127
115
145
137
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
RandinMillion
43
66
59
76
71
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
RandinMillion
R211 million
2014 2020
12.2% New Club Accounts
New Individual Accounts
9.2% 30k
850k
Entry Level Market Share Customer Acquisition
Incremental Cash FlowsIncremental Revenues
10
Path to Success
11
SHORT TERM INTERMEDIATE TERM LONG TERM
8 months 16 Months > 16 Months
Project Development and Analysis
Primary Survey of Current Accounts
Fair Share 2030 Digital Marketplace Development
Build Business Intelligence Capabilities for Stokvel Data
Build Analytic Tools for Making Data Based Decisions
Nedbank Brand Advertising Design and Creation
Build Vendor Relationships
Marketing and Outreach in Preparation Pending Launch
OOH Media Campaign (Wall Media, Taxis, Sign Posts)
Current Customer Outreach Marketing Campaign
--FAIR SHARE 2030 DIGITAL MARKETPLACE LAUNCH--
Outcome Analysis, Growth and Realignment
Validate Business Intelligence Algorithms and Incoming Data
First Targeted Product Communication w/ NCA Data
Re-Analyze Market Trends
CHRISTMAS LAUNCH
Stokvel Data Sales
Launch Nedbank Club Affinity Account
Risks & Mitigations
• Identify incentives to drive
legacy accounts to update
information
• Narrow product focus further to
ensure positive product buy-in
• Transition marketing program
to more direct focus, using
known information about
existing users
Risk Factors Mitigating Actions
• Unforeseen barriers to
collecting information on
existing Club Accounts
• Poor vendor partnership for
sustainable product offerings
• Lower than expected
acquisition of Club Affinity
accounts
X
X
X
RISK
SEVERITY
LIKELIHOODOFOCCURANCE
12
Make Things Happen
13
“There is no shortage of ideas about what needs to be done to
improve the economy of townships, the challenge is to incentivize
and mobilize local communities to urgently implement
appropriate solutions”
Asad Alam
World Bank Group Country Director for South Africa
To secure first mover advantage, the time to make things
happen is now!
14
Appendices
Cash Flow Analysis
WACC = 13.5%
Marginal Tax Rate = 45%
Rand in Million 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Incremental Revenues
Club Accounts 2.86 3.91 3.56 4.48 4.24
Individual Accounts 81.61 111.39 101.37 127.72 120.70
Data Analytics 0.00 11.53 10.49 13.22 12.49
Total Incremental Revenue 84.47 126.83 115.42 145.43 137.43
Incremetal Costs
- Electronic Marketplace (3.16) (6.25) (6.56) (6.89) (7.24) (7.60)
- Data Analytics (0.16) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04)
- Marketing & PR (0.50) (0.38) (0.39) (0.41) (0.43) (0.46)
Total Incremental Costs (3.81) (6.66) (6.99) (7.34) (7.71) (8.09)
EBIT (3.81) 77.81 119.84 108.08 137.72 129.33
Taxes 1.71 (35.02) (53.93) (48.63) (61.97) (58.20)
Net Cash Flow (2.10) 42.80 65.91 59.44 75.75 71.13
NPV @ WACC 210.84
CAGR 10.7%
15
Stokvel Demographics and Competitive Statistics
Stokvel Population vs. City Populations Stokvels and Banks
Stokvel by Category Stokvel Contributions
*http://www.africanresponse.co.za/PressReleases/Documents/2012StokvelHiddenEconomy.pdf
16
Club Affinity Account Linking
Nedbank
Club
Account
Club
Account
Club
Affinity
Acct
Club
Affinity
Acct
Club
Affinity
Acct
Club
Affinity
Acct
Club
Affinity
Acct
New Offering
17
Marketing Plan – Club Affinity Accounts
18
• One Week Television Blitz for product launch
• Nedbank Brochure and other physical advertising design and manufacture
• Nedbank Website Augmentation and SEO for new product
• Research and create list of viable vendors to build relationship with
• Negotiate market maker fees with vendors
• Taxis are estimated by the South African Advertising Research Foundation (SAARF) to be
the most viewed channel for OOH advertising, marginally ahead of street poles and
billboards. (South African entertainment and media outlook: 2013-2017)
• Average weekly reach, 2012 (% of population) Taxis 77%, Street poles 66%, Billboards
65%
• Website must be leader in class for digital marketplaces (e.g. Ebay, Amazon, Alibaba). As
such must be created with a strong focus on design, usability and market use testing.
• Christmas Season Target – Instead of buying gifts, buy solar for your group!
• Primary Marketing Survey – What is your group used for? What sorts of things are you
interested in purchasing for your Stokvel groups/Community?
SWOT
Opportunities Threats
• Large footprint in ZA
• Significant market penetration
within affluent and business
banking
• Losing stokvel market share
• Competitors have a stronger foothold
in entry-level banking sector
• Brand image associated with more
affluent banking sector
• Competitors imitate with a similar
product offering
• Nedbank has been disrupted before
• Percentage of unbanked stokvels
are high
• No digital group buying mechanism
exists today
Strengths Weaknesses
Source: Case Study
Source: Largest bank sites in ZA, Stokvels: A hidden economy Source: Case Study, Largest bank sites in ZA (i.e. Nedbank, FNB)
Source: Case Study, Stokvels: A hidden economy
19
Sources
20
1. Coetzee, G. "The role of community banks in South Africa - AgEcon Search." 2008.
http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/18039/1/wp020009.pdf
2. "TMS: Marketing Opportunity: Adding value to Stokvels who ..." 2013. 4 Jun. 2015
http://www.themarketingsite.com/knowledge/3361/marketing-opportunity-adding-value-to-stokvels-who-are-
sophisticated-business-entities
3. "How banking institutions can benefit from big data analytics." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015
http://www.caldwellpartners.com/how-banking-institutions-can-benefit-from-big-data-analytics/
4. "Know What Your Customers Want Before They Do - HBR." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 https://hbr.org/2011/12/know-what-
your-customers-want-before-they-do
5. "Mastercard Could Sell Consumer Data - Business Insider." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.businessinsider.com/r-
mastercard-expects-big-growth-from-big-data-insights-2014-11
6. "Analytics in Retail Banking - Infosys." 2010. 4 Jun. 2015
http://www.infosys.com/FINsights/Documents/pdf/issue8/analytics-retail-banking-why-how.pdf
7. "Stokvels - A Hidden Economy - African Response." 2012. 4 Jun. 2015
http://www.africanresponse.co.za/PressReleases/Documents/2012StokvelHiddenEconomy.pdf
8. "Investigate Vehicles for Banking the Unbanked - bankseta." 2012. 4 Jun. 2015
http://www.bankseta.org.za/downloads/Vehicles_for_Banking_the_Unbanked.ALP_Team2.pdf
9. "Investment in stokvels gaining ground | Fin24." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.fin24.com/Savings/Get-
Saving/Investment-stokvels-gaining-ground-20140709
10."Analyst presentation - Nedbank Group." 2015. 4 Jun. 2015
http://www.nedbankgroup.co.za/financial/2014AnnualResults/pdf/2014annual_group_results_presentation.pdf
11."Old Mutual | Emerging Markets Showcase." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015
<http://www.oldmutual.com/event/downloads.jsp?event-id=23182>

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Nedbank Targets Underbanked Stokvel Market

  • 1. Nedbank, Under-banked Stokvel Accounts Kelley Connect Week, Summer 2015 Team 17 Evan Crouse ebcscr@gmail.com Travis Kunnemann tkunnema@umail.iu.edu Tom McGrew mcgrew.thomas@gmail.com John Stillwagen john@stillwagen.com Michael Yack michael_yack@praxair.com
  • 2. The Situation Since 2010, Nedbank’s retail market share has underperformed compared to disruptive market entrant Capitec. Nedbank’s market share has remained stagnant in segments which still have significant opportunity for growth. Under the current market conditions, how can Nedbank drive profitability, new customer acquisition, and a higher market share while aligning with their goal to be a leader in sustainability? 2
  • 3. Fair Share Marketplace Fair Share Digital Marketplace – Links Club Accounts together to provide enhanced purchasing power. New Affinity Club Account – Incentivize new individual transactional accounts by linking new accounts to existing Club Accounts. Data Analytics – Captures customer information to better meet the market needs and enhance firm performance. 3 Net Present Value R211 million
  • 4. Existing South African Stokvel Markets • Stokvels constitute a known market of over R44 billion per year – Estimates up to R75 billion – Experiencing a growth rate of R80-90 million per year • Over 45% of households contribute to at least 1 Stokvel per month • 400k+ Stokvels currently in South Africa consisting of 11.5M members 48% 52% Stokvels tied to Formal Institutions Banked Unbanked 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Savings Burials Groceries Birthdays Others Investments Type of Stokvels Used Source: Stokvels - A Hidden Economy Source: Stokvels - A Hidden Economy 4
  • 5. Challenges for Nedbank in Stokvel Market • Group savings accounts currently exist in marketplace – Simple accounts for individual groups – Nedbank “Club Account” is a highly competitive product • Nedbank market share decline in the banked Stokvel segment – 2010: R6.0B (22% market share) – 2014: R1.5B (7% market share) • Significant opportunity to better understand segment – Industry wide lack of data collection – Nedbank has very limited understanding ○ Only 3 signatures required to open account ○ Limited information required of signators Source: Case Study 5
  • 6. Fair Share Digital Marketplace • Link Club Accounts to other similar goal Club Accounts • Utilize a digital marketplace that brings economies of scale to deliver low cost purchases supporting Fair Share 2030 goals • Formally unable to pool enough resources to make significant large scale purchases • Marketplace provides venue for linking vendors with Club Accounts • Value add to multiple market segments 6
  • 7. Digital Marketplace: How Nedbank makes things happen! 7 Soweto Stokvel Need: Solar Power Segment: Transitioning ELB Challenge: Unable to afford community purchase!!!
  • 8. Affinity Club Account • Incentivize opening of a new individual Club Affinity Account, as well as linkage to parent Club Accounts • Drives incremental account generation and transactional revenue • Drives incremental data collection • Account rolls rewards into Club Accounts based on usage • Utilizes existing fee structure and Affinity program • Drives greater intimacy with customers Club Acct Club Affinity Acct Club Affinity Acct Club Affinity Acct 8
  • 9. Data Analytics 9 Customer behavior of the club account segment is an un-mined market, and will provide a competitive edge to Nedbank Multi-source Data Collection • Club accounts • Individual accounts Benefits for Nedbank and Clients Leverages existing platform to keep costs low and reduce implementation time Customer Centered Innovation Targeted Marketing Increase Sales
  • 10. Financial Summary Net Present Value 84 127 115 145 137 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 RandinMillion 43 66 59 76 71 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 RandinMillion R211 million 2014 2020 12.2% New Club Accounts New Individual Accounts 9.2% 30k 850k Entry Level Market Share Customer Acquisition Incremental Cash FlowsIncremental Revenues 10
  • 11. Path to Success 11 SHORT TERM INTERMEDIATE TERM LONG TERM 8 months 16 Months > 16 Months Project Development and Analysis Primary Survey of Current Accounts Fair Share 2030 Digital Marketplace Development Build Business Intelligence Capabilities for Stokvel Data Build Analytic Tools for Making Data Based Decisions Nedbank Brand Advertising Design and Creation Build Vendor Relationships Marketing and Outreach in Preparation Pending Launch OOH Media Campaign (Wall Media, Taxis, Sign Posts) Current Customer Outreach Marketing Campaign --FAIR SHARE 2030 DIGITAL MARKETPLACE LAUNCH-- Outcome Analysis, Growth and Realignment Validate Business Intelligence Algorithms and Incoming Data First Targeted Product Communication w/ NCA Data Re-Analyze Market Trends CHRISTMAS LAUNCH Stokvel Data Sales Launch Nedbank Club Affinity Account
  • 12. Risks & Mitigations • Identify incentives to drive legacy accounts to update information • Narrow product focus further to ensure positive product buy-in • Transition marketing program to more direct focus, using known information about existing users Risk Factors Mitigating Actions • Unforeseen barriers to collecting information on existing Club Accounts • Poor vendor partnership for sustainable product offerings • Lower than expected acquisition of Club Affinity accounts X X X RISK SEVERITY LIKELIHOODOFOCCURANCE 12
  • 13. Make Things Happen 13 “There is no shortage of ideas about what needs to be done to improve the economy of townships, the challenge is to incentivize and mobilize local communities to urgently implement appropriate solutions” Asad Alam World Bank Group Country Director for South Africa To secure first mover advantage, the time to make things happen is now!
  • 15. Cash Flow Analysis WACC = 13.5% Marginal Tax Rate = 45% Rand in Million 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Incremental Revenues Club Accounts 2.86 3.91 3.56 4.48 4.24 Individual Accounts 81.61 111.39 101.37 127.72 120.70 Data Analytics 0.00 11.53 10.49 13.22 12.49 Total Incremental Revenue 84.47 126.83 115.42 145.43 137.43 Incremetal Costs - Electronic Marketplace (3.16) (6.25) (6.56) (6.89) (7.24) (7.60) - Data Analytics (0.16) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04) - Marketing & PR (0.50) (0.38) (0.39) (0.41) (0.43) (0.46) Total Incremental Costs (3.81) (6.66) (6.99) (7.34) (7.71) (8.09) EBIT (3.81) 77.81 119.84 108.08 137.72 129.33 Taxes 1.71 (35.02) (53.93) (48.63) (61.97) (58.20) Net Cash Flow (2.10) 42.80 65.91 59.44 75.75 71.13 NPV @ WACC 210.84 CAGR 10.7% 15
  • 16. Stokvel Demographics and Competitive Statistics Stokvel Population vs. City Populations Stokvels and Banks Stokvel by Category Stokvel Contributions *http://www.africanresponse.co.za/PressReleases/Documents/2012StokvelHiddenEconomy.pdf 16
  • 17. Club Affinity Account Linking Nedbank Club Account Club Account Club Affinity Acct Club Affinity Acct Club Affinity Acct Club Affinity Acct Club Affinity Acct New Offering 17
  • 18. Marketing Plan – Club Affinity Accounts 18 • One Week Television Blitz for product launch • Nedbank Brochure and other physical advertising design and manufacture • Nedbank Website Augmentation and SEO for new product • Research and create list of viable vendors to build relationship with • Negotiate market maker fees with vendors • Taxis are estimated by the South African Advertising Research Foundation (SAARF) to be the most viewed channel for OOH advertising, marginally ahead of street poles and billboards. (South African entertainment and media outlook: 2013-2017) • Average weekly reach, 2012 (% of population) Taxis 77%, Street poles 66%, Billboards 65% • Website must be leader in class for digital marketplaces (e.g. Ebay, Amazon, Alibaba). As such must be created with a strong focus on design, usability and market use testing. • Christmas Season Target – Instead of buying gifts, buy solar for your group! • Primary Marketing Survey – What is your group used for? What sorts of things are you interested in purchasing for your Stokvel groups/Community?
  • 19. SWOT Opportunities Threats • Large footprint in ZA • Significant market penetration within affluent and business banking • Losing stokvel market share • Competitors have a stronger foothold in entry-level banking sector • Brand image associated with more affluent banking sector • Competitors imitate with a similar product offering • Nedbank has been disrupted before • Percentage of unbanked stokvels are high • No digital group buying mechanism exists today Strengths Weaknesses Source: Case Study Source: Largest bank sites in ZA, Stokvels: A hidden economy Source: Case Study, Largest bank sites in ZA (i.e. Nedbank, FNB) Source: Case Study, Stokvels: A hidden economy 19
  • 20. Sources 20 1. Coetzee, G. "The role of community banks in South Africa - AgEcon Search." 2008. http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/18039/1/wp020009.pdf 2. "TMS: Marketing Opportunity: Adding value to Stokvels who ..." 2013. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.themarketingsite.com/knowledge/3361/marketing-opportunity-adding-value-to-stokvels-who-are- sophisticated-business-entities 3. "How banking institutions can benefit from big data analytics." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.caldwellpartners.com/how-banking-institutions-can-benefit-from-big-data-analytics/ 4. "Know What Your Customers Want Before They Do - HBR." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 https://hbr.org/2011/12/know-what- your-customers-want-before-they-do 5. "Mastercard Could Sell Consumer Data - Business Insider." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.businessinsider.com/r- mastercard-expects-big-growth-from-big-data-insights-2014-11 6. "Analytics in Retail Banking - Infosys." 2010. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.infosys.com/FINsights/Documents/pdf/issue8/analytics-retail-banking-why-how.pdf 7. "Stokvels - A Hidden Economy - African Response." 2012. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.africanresponse.co.za/PressReleases/Documents/2012StokvelHiddenEconomy.pdf 8. "Investigate Vehicles for Banking the Unbanked - bankseta." 2012. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.bankseta.org.za/downloads/Vehicles_for_Banking_the_Unbanked.ALP_Team2.pdf 9. "Investment in stokvels gaining ground | Fin24." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.fin24.com/Savings/Get- Saving/Investment-stokvels-gaining-ground-20140709 10."Analyst presentation - Nedbank Group." 2015. 4 Jun. 2015 http://www.nedbankgroup.co.za/financial/2014AnnualResults/pdf/2014annual_group_results_presentation.pdf 11."Old Mutual | Emerging Markets Showcase." 2014. 4 Jun. 2015 <http://www.oldmutual.com/event/downloads.jsp?event-id=23182>

Editor's Notes

  1. Our team is challenged with presenting 2 innovative, scalable, and sustainable customer value propositions that drive profitability, new customer acquisition and higher market share.