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What are the key innovations?
Fire?
Steam?
Electricity?
Computing?
Speech:
 10^7 bits
Writing:
 10^11 bits
Printing:
 10^17 bits
Digital:
 10^25 bits
Donald Robertson: New Renaissance
True enablers!
Speech:
 tribal communities
Writing:
 city cultures
Printing:
 industrial societies
Digital:
 ???
Donald Robertson: New Renaissance
True enablers!
Still, digitalisation is not the real change in our lives
Globalisation Environment Demographics
Digitalisation
BigData
Cybersec
MyData
BioHack
IoT
Robotisat.
Gamificat.
AIDisruptions in life and work
Our life and work
Products and services we use
mincedlife
familycare
Precariat
Retired
work
Startup
Nomadism
How to produce and deliver our services?
Megatrends
Trends
Phenomena
Questions
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 6
Image: Cyberdyne
Exosceletons replace rollators and enhance mobility
Megatrends intertwine
Any sufficiently advanced technology is
indistinguishable from magic.
- Arthur C. Clarke
We are on our way to a Hogwarts society
Understanding technology is general knowledge in a digital society
And we are not
talking about kids’
general knowledge
Digitalisation changes … everything
ATM’s were just a a beginning...
7.11.2015 11
You put robot milked cream to your morning coffee.
Image: Lely
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
Image: Energid Technologies
7.11.2015 12
Image: Dipali (Agricultural Robotics blog)
Soon you will eat robot farmed food.
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
Image: Energid Technologies
7.11.2015 13
Our banking services were automated already in the 1990’s.
CC BY-SA 3.0 Adrian Grycuk
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
CC 3.0 SA BY Heikki Valve
In the1970’s Finland had 100,000 lumbermen, now 3,500.
AI’s and algorithms are already running global stock markets
CC BY 2.0 Rafael Matsunaga - Flickr
When Hitachi replaced logistics foremen with an AI,
storemen work efficiency raised eight percent.
Ken Teegardin, CC BY-SA 2.0
The real changes are not technological…
but new processes, business models and cultures enabled by technology.
E.g. the old media industry business model
Creative work Publishing industry Consumer
Content
Products
Money
Money
Support
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
Creative work
Support sevices
Consumer
Service
providers
Network
operators
And the new one.
Content
MoneyMoney
FindMySong
Services
Fandom & merchandise
Spotify
Netflix
Kindle
Soundcloud
YouTube
Blogs
Crowdfunding
Kickstarter
Content
Logic Pro
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
No wonder the old publishing industry
has been making noises
New disruptive business models do not have powerful special
interest corporations and cannot afford lobbyists.
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 20
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 21
CC2.0BYPaulDowney
And what happens when old business models do not adapt to change?
Moore’s Law is still accelerating the change
Year 2035 is as close as 1815
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 22
William Sander II: Waterloon taistelu (1815)
Remember your code runs in the future!
We still need Fortran and Cobol programmers to maintain our old systems!
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 24
Remember your code runs in the future!
We still need Fortran and Cobol programmers to maintain our old systems!
You will be needed too even when you are 40.
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 25
Impacts over decades
 Most Finnish software companies
have been founded by programmers
that started with Commodore 64
publishded in 1982.
 In the 1980´s Finland had a vibrant home computer culture.
 Luckily, in spite of warnings, not all kids were pulled away from home computers.
 Particularly the Finnish Demoscene phenomenon boosted Finnish ICT sector.
 Where could we find corresponding inspiration for the children
of 2010’s to excel in 2030’s?
 E.g. In Pyhtää kids are learning to use 3D printers at school.
 Or do we leave finding the keys to future success to kids’ own devices, again?
7.11.2015 26
CC 2.5 Share Alike Attribution Bill Bertram
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
Finland, the underachiever of digitalisation
 Finland has the best prerequisites in the world for utilization of
IC technologies
 But as users of digital technologies, Finns are on the fifth place
 Particularly public sector is a weak ICT user (12. place)
 The impact of ICT on Finnish citizens’ lives is also weak (12. place).
 E.g. the ICT equipment of Finnish
schools is among the best in Europe
 … but ICT is used less in Finnish schools
than in any other European country
7.11.2015
Source: Digibarometri 2015, www.digibarometri.fi
CC BY SA 3.0 Shritwod
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
… yes, less than in any other European country
7.11.2015 28
Survey of Schools: ICT in Education
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
yhteensä.
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 29
New challengers
In 2012 African mobile
payment markets were
bigger than U.S. and EU
combined (61.5 billion euros).
Kenya looks forward to
open a cargo drone route
in 2016.
Opportunities? E.g. cyber security!
 Finnish data security cluster is very strong
 SSH, F-Secure, Stonesoft, Blancco, Nixu, …
 Finnish mobile technology cluster is still there
 Especially mobile networks
 Finnish automation and robotics cluster needs work
 We are years behind competition
 Finnish usability research is good but application poor
 Our attitude towards end users definitely requires work
 Public commitment and jurisdiction still weak
 Minimalistic cyber threat monitoring and defence resources
 Public authority jurisdictions not sufficient for the task at hand
 Research and education requires bootstrapping
7.11.2015 30@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
For example our _new_ communication legislation
focuses on traditional mass media.
How about a 15.6 million view ”home video”?
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 31
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 32
Combining strengths with weaknesses
We need to rely on our strengths while we address our weaknesses in order
to build a Finnish cyber security cluster from these parts.
We need a cyber Commodore 64 to inspire our next generation.
Finland won’t be saved by wrecking ATMs and
milking robots …
… and distributing hand saws.
7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 33
Finnish challenge, why did our digitalisation stop?
E.g. mobile payments? Overwhelming for Finns?
7.11.2015 34
TimoSImell
@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
30.9.2010 www.kasvi.org 35
Sukupuolten välinen digikuilu?
Discussion
U.S. Army Photo

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Ultrahack Tech Talk

  • 1.
  • 2. What are the key innovations? Fire? Steam? Electricity? Computing?
  • 3. Speech:  10^7 bits Writing:  10^11 bits Printing:  10^17 bits Digital:  10^25 bits Donald Robertson: New Renaissance True enablers!
  • 4. Speech:  tribal communities Writing:  city cultures Printing:  industrial societies Digital:  ??? Donald Robertson: New Renaissance True enablers!
  • 5. Still, digitalisation is not the real change in our lives Globalisation Environment Demographics Digitalisation BigData Cybersec MyData BioHack IoT Robotisat. Gamificat. AIDisruptions in life and work Our life and work Products and services we use mincedlife familycare Precariat Retired work Startup Nomadism How to produce and deliver our services? Megatrends Trends Phenomena Questions @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 6. 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 6 Image: Cyberdyne Exosceletons replace rollators and enhance mobility Megatrends intertwine
  • 7. Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. - Arthur C. Clarke
  • 8. We are on our way to a Hogwarts society Understanding technology is general knowledge in a digital society
  • 9. And we are not talking about kids’ general knowledge
  • 10. Digitalisation changes … everything ATM’s were just a a beginning...
  • 11. 7.11.2015 11 You put robot milked cream to your morning coffee. Image: Lely @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 12. Image: Energid Technologies 7.11.2015 12 Image: Dipali (Agricultural Robotics blog) Soon you will eat robot farmed food. @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 13. Image: Energid Technologies 7.11.2015 13 Our banking services were automated already in the 1990’s. CC BY-SA 3.0 Adrian Grycuk @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 14. CC 3.0 SA BY Heikki Valve In the1970’s Finland had 100,000 lumbermen, now 3,500.
  • 15. AI’s and algorithms are already running global stock markets CC BY 2.0 Rafael Matsunaga - Flickr
  • 16. When Hitachi replaced logistics foremen with an AI, storemen work efficiency raised eight percent. Ken Teegardin, CC BY-SA 2.0
  • 17. The real changes are not technological… but new processes, business models and cultures enabled by technology.
  • 18. E.g. the old media industry business model Creative work Publishing industry Consumer Content Products Money Money Support @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 19. Creative work Support sevices Consumer Service providers Network operators And the new one. Content MoneyMoney FindMySong Services Fandom & merchandise Spotify Netflix Kindle Soundcloud YouTube Blogs Crowdfunding Kickstarter Content Logic Pro @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 20. No wonder the old publishing industry has been making noises New disruptive business models do not have powerful special interest corporations and cannot afford lobbyists. 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 20
  • 21. 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 21 CC2.0BYPaulDowney And what happens when old business models do not adapt to change?
  • 22. Moore’s Law is still accelerating the change Year 2035 is as close as 1815 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 22
  • 23. William Sander II: Waterloon taistelu (1815)
  • 24. Remember your code runs in the future! We still need Fortran and Cobol programmers to maintain our old systems! 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 24
  • 25. Remember your code runs in the future! We still need Fortran and Cobol programmers to maintain our old systems! You will be needed too even when you are 40. 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 25
  • 26. Impacts over decades  Most Finnish software companies have been founded by programmers that started with Commodore 64 publishded in 1982.  In the 1980´s Finland had a vibrant home computer culture.  Luckily, in spite of warnings, not all kids were pulled away from home computers.  Particularly the Finnish Demoscene phenomenon boosted Finnish ICT sector.  Where could we find corresponding inspiration for the children of 2010’s to excel in 2030’s?  E.g. In Pyhtää kids are learning to use 3D printers at school.  Or do we leave finding the keys to future success to kids’ own devices, again? 7.11.2015 26 CC 2.5 Share Alike Attribution Bill Bertram @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 27. Finland, the underachiever of digitalisation  Finland has the best prerequisites in the world for utilization of IC technologies  But as users of digital technologies, Finns are on the fifth place  Particularly public sector is a weak ICT user (12. place)  The impact of ICT on Finnish citizens’ lives is also weak (12. place).  E.g. the ICT equipment of Finnish schools is among the best in Europe  … but ICT is used less in Finnish schools than in any other European country 7.11.2015 Source: Digibarometri 2015, www.digibarometri.fi CC BY SA 3.0 Shritwod @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 28. … yes, less than in any other European country 7.11.2015 28 Survey of Schools: ICT in Education @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 29. yhteensä. 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 29 New challengers In 2012 African mobile payment markets were bigger than U.S. and EU combined (61.5 billion euros). Kenya looks forward to open a cargo drone route in 2016.
  • 30. Opportunities? E.g. cyber security!  Finnish data security cluster is very strong  SSH, F-Secure, Stonesoft, Blancco, Nixu, …  Finnish mobile technology cluster is still there  Especially mobile networks  Finnish automation and robotics cluster needs work  We are years behind competition  Finnish usability research is good but application poor  Our attitude towards end users definitely requires work  Public commitment and jurisdiction still weak  Minimalistic cyber threat monitoring and defence resources  Public authority jurisdictions not sufficient for the task at hand  Research and education requires bootstrapping 7.11.2015 30@jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 31. For example our _new_ communication legislation focuses on traditional mass media. How about a 15.6 million view ”home video”? 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 31
  • 32. 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 32 Combining strengths with weaknesses We need to rely on our strengths while we address our weaknesses in order to build a Finnish cyber security cluster from these parts. We need a cyber Commodore 64 to inspire our next generation.
  • 33. Finland won’t be saved by wrecking ATMs and milking robots … … and distributing hand saws. 7.11.2015 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 33
  • 34. Finnish challenge, why did our digitalisation stop? E.g. mobile payments? Overwhelming for Finns? 7.11.2015 34 TimoSImell @jyrkikasvi @tiekery
  • 35. 30.9.2010 www.kasvi.org 35 Sukupuolten välinen digikuilu? Discussion U.S. Army Photo