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Resilience and Change in the
Aftermath of Floods: The case of
Somerset
Dr Catherine Butler and Dr Kate
Walker-Springett
Introduction
• Major UK floods; 1947; 1952/3; 1973; 1998; 2000; 2004;
2007; 2012; 2013/14
• At risk: 5.2 million homes
• Cost: £1.1 billion / €1.54 billion annually in flood
damages
£2.34 billion/ €3.26 billion 2011 – 2015 on flood
and coastal defense
• UK climate projections - increased flood events
2013/14 Winter Floods and Change
• Previous research has theorised that events offer opportunity for
change (Kingdon, 1995; Baumgartner and Jones, 1993) as
assemblages of publics, knowledge and politics are brought into
view
• Flood events have been identified as catalysts for the
transformation of environmental policy and human behaviour
(Johnson et al. 2004; 2005; Spence et al. 2011)
• How do the dynamic processes of reframing that occur in the
immediate aftermath of flood events determine the extent of
change and continuity in public policy and FRM practice? And what
are the implications over the longer-term?
Resilience and Adaptive Capacity
“The concept of adaptive capacity remains
contested, but can be broadly defined as the
ability of individuals, communities,
organizations, nations and other actors to adapt
to the current and likely future effects of
changes in the global climate” (Williams et al.
2015)
Resilience, Adaptation and Justice
• Publics are deeply implicated in the development and deployment
of adaptation strategies – citizens/voting; regulation; private scale
adaptations (Adger, 2008; Klinsky et al. 2012)
• Evidence of existing public conflict around proposed adaptation
strategies (e.g. Butler and Pidgeon, 2011)
• Vital to engage with publics on adaptation as they ‘may bring novel
information or perspectives into the discussion’ (Klinsky et al., 2012:
863 - Wynne, 1992; Leach et al. 2005).
• Importance of engagement with a wider set of framings for
delivering adaptation outcomes that are ‘just’ (Adger et al. 2011;
Leach et al. 2011)
In-depth longitudinal research – Somerset case study
Semi-structured interviews with flood affected public (n=36 x 2),
flood professionals (n=28 x 2), August 2014 - May 2015
Survey of flooded areas – Somerset and Boston
(June 2015)
Photo: Matilda Temperley
Somerset
Land of the Summer People
Winter Floods 2013/14
Flood Responsibility
Strategic Overview
Operational – Flood Risk Management
Institutional Problem Framings
“So if you’re looking for the causes of the floods, the cause of
the flood was that it rained a lot. Simply that.”
SH1 Conservation Organisation
“. . really high rainfall event like we had this winter, the rivers,
there’s no way they can take that volume of water”
SH3 National Government
That area floods every year anyway, it’s just that it flooded to a
greater extent because there was more rain. “
SH2 Engineering Consultancy
Public Problem Framings
“So this time of year … you would see large tractors and
dredging machines cleaning all the rhyne system out, which
meant the water could get away to at least the pumping station
... That ceased about 15 years ago and most of the ditches are
overgrown and not really cleaned out very much, and the
Department of Environment just kind of crossed them off their
list, I think.” P1
“This land has been managed since Roman times, and since the
founding the inauguration or whatever it is of the Environment
Agency, it's just stopped. Nobody voted for it being stopped, it
was very undemocratic.” P5
“Farming has changed and I think there is a cry that with the
change from grass, which is a binding nature for the soil, to
crops, then when the rain comes, the earth will flow off much
quicker and much easier and therefore more management will
be needed.” P2
Public Problem Framing
It was a lot of rain, it did feel like it rained the whole of winter,
it was particularly wet” P3
Social Divisions
The Somerset Levels and Moors has been a bit of a battleground between
environmentalists and the landowning and draining community – and peat
extraction as well – so it’s been one of the most difficult areas in the
country.”
SH1 Conservation Organisation
“I became quite fascinated by the different polls of opinion between say like
the scientists who’d done river flow assessments, compared with local
people whose the land had been in the family for generations and people
saying, “this house has never flooded in 100 years and now it’s flooded”, you
think surely that has to say something, even if people are using the land
badly or if things are in wrong in how people are using the land, it still tells
you something if it hasn’t flooded for 100 years and now it’s flooded’ P5
Social and Political Action
STOP THE FLOODING
DREDGE THE RIVERS!
Social and Political Action
“But I have to say, I mustn’t forget, the EA and the IDB have been
down here putting a bund in, absolutely fantastic job. I went
down there and there was a feeling welling up, “Yes, this is going
to work.” P6
“I think it’s good now that they’ve brought back the idea of the
kind of inland water management group and engaging more
with people here in the community as well as those agencies
because I think local knowledge is really important.” P7
Governance Processes
“[the Environment Agency] with the community and probably
with the council and other partners, would draw up a plan for
how that flooding would be tackled or how that defence would
be built and it would be done kind of as a partnership of those
people”
SH5 Government Body
Final Thoughts
• Informal and formal processes of civic
engagement and resource allocation
– Potential for perpetuation of existing
structural inequality
• Flood events provide opening for civic
engagement but can obscure more
nuanced debate.
• Social contracts and underlying
expectations (Rawls, 1971; O’Brien et al.
2009; Adger et al. 2012)
Thank you
Photo: Matilda Temperley

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Resilience and Change in the Aftermath of Floods: The case of Somerset

  • 1. Resilience and Change in the Aftermath of Floods: The case of Somerset Dr Catherine Butler and Dr Kate Walker-Springett
  • 2. Introduction • Major UK floods; 1947; 1952/3; 1973; 1998; 2000; 2004; 2007; 2012; 2013/14 • At risk: 5.2 million homes • Cost: £1.1 billion / €1.54 billion annually in flood damages £2.34 billion/ €3.26 billion 2011 – 2015 on flood and coastal defense • UK climate projections - increased flood events
  • 3. 2013/14 Winter Floods and Change • Previous research has theorised that events offer opportunity for change (Kingdon, 1995; Baumgartner and Jones, 1993) as assemblages of publics, knowledge and politics are brought into view • Flood events have been identified as catalysts for the transformation of environmental policy and human behaviour (Johnson et al. 2004; 2005; Spence et al. 2011) • How do the dynamic processes of reframing that occur in the immediate aftermath of flood events determine the extent of change and continuity in public policy and FRM practice? And what are the implications over the longer-term?
  • 4. Resilience and Adaptive Capacity “The concept of adaptive capacity remains contested, but can be broadly defined as the ability of individuals, communities, organizations, nations and other actors to adapt to the current and likely future effects of changes in the global climate” (Williams et al. 2015)
  • 5. Resilience, Adaptation and Justice • Publics are deeply implicated in the development and deployment of adaptation strategies – citizens/voting; regulation; private scale adaptations (Adger, 2008; Klinsky et al. 2012) • Evidence of existing public conflict around proposed adaptation strategies (e.g. Butler and Pidgeon, 2011) • Vital to engage with publics on adaptation as they ‘may bring novel information or perspectives into the discussion’ (Klinsky et al., 2012: 863 - Wynne, 1992; Leach et al. 2005). • Importance of engagement with a wider set of framings for delivering adaptation outcomes that are ‘just’ (Adger et al. 2011; Leach et al. 2011)
  • 6. In-depth longitudinal research – Somerset case study Semi-structured interviews with flood affected public (n=36 x 2), flood professionals (n=28 x 2), August 2014 - May 2015 Survey of flooded areas – Somerset and Boston (June 2015) Photo: Matilda Temperley
  • 7. Somerset Land of the Summer People
  • 10. Institutional Problem Framings “So if you’re looking for the causes of the floods, the cause of the flood was that it rained a lot. Simply that.” SH1 Conservation Organisation “. . really high rainfall event like we had this winter, the rivers, there’s no way they can take that volume of water” SH3 National Government That area floods every year anyway, it’s just that it flooded to a greater extent because there was more rain. “ SH2 Engineering Consultancy
  • 11. Public Problem Framings “So this time of year … you would see large tractors and dredging machines cleaning all the rhyne system out, which meant the water could get away to at least the pumping station ... That ceased about 15 years ago and most of the ditches are overgrown and not really cleaned out very much, and the Department of Environment just kind of crossed them off their list, I think.” P1 “This land has been managed since Roman times, and since the founding the inauguration or whatever it is of the Environment Agency, it's just stopped. Nobody voted for it being stopped, it was very undemocratic.” P5
  • 12. “Farming has changed and I think there is a cry that with the change from grass, which is a binding nature for the soil, to crops, then when the rain comes, the earth will flow off much quicker and much easier and therefore more management will be needed.” P2 Public Problem Framing It was a lot of rain, it did feel like it rained the whole of winter, it was particularly wet” P3
  • 13. Social Divisions The Somerset Levels and Moors has been a bit of a battleground between environmentalists and the landowning and draining community – and peat extraction as well – so it’s been one of the most difficult areas in the country.” SH1 Conservation Organisation “I became quite fascinated by the different polls of opinion between say like the scientists who’d done river flow assessments, compared with local people whose the land had been in the family for generations and people saying, “this house has never flooded in 100 years and now it’s flooded”, you think surely that has to say something, even if people are using the land badly or if things are in wrong in how people are using the land, it still tells you something if it hasn’t flooded for 100 years and now it’s flooded’ P5
  • 14. Social and Political Action STOP THE FLOODING DREDGE THE RIVERS!
  • 15. Social and Political Action “But I have to say, I mustn’t forget, the EA and the IDB have been down here putting a bund in, absolutely fantastic job. I went down there and there was a feeling welling up, “Yes, this is going to work.” P6 “I think it’s good now that they’ve brought back the idea of the kind of inland water management group and engaging more with people here in the community as well as those agencies because I think local knowledge is really important.” P7
  • 16. Governance Processes “[the Environment Agency] with the community and probably with the council and other partners, would draw up a plan for how that flooding would be tackled or how that defence would be built and it would be done kind of as a partnership of those people” SH5 Government Body
  • 17. Final Thoughts • Informal and formal processes of civic engagement and resource allocation – Potential for perpetuation of existing structural inequality • Flood events provide opening for civic engagement but can obscure more nuanced debate. • Social contracts and underlying expectations (Rawls, 1971; O’Brien et al. 2009; Adger et al. 2012)

Editor's Notes

  1. Catherine Butler – University of Exeter - going to talk today about one of my ongoing projects which is examining the processes of social and political response to flooding in the aftermath of a major event – that being the 2013/14 winter floods. This work is funded by ESRC and National Institute for Health Research and just to mention my colleagues on this project – particularly Kate Walker-Springett – but also the rest of the team at Exeter Neil Adger, Saffron O’Neil and Louisa Evans who are collaborators on the research.
  2. Just to very briefly give a bit of background to the UK context and the project – we’ve had several major flood events in recent year with five of the nine most significant flood events occurring since 2000; and UK climate projections indicate that we can expect to see increases in flooding into the future at significant cost. So flooding major issue – and it’s not just a technical problem it is an inherently social and political one too… particularly when it comes to questions about the response to flooding
  3. So the background context - the project builds from the observation that major crises offer windows of opportunity for change (Kingdon, 1995; Baumgartner and Jones, 1993) with environmental events such as major floods being identified in previous analyses as catalysts for the transformation of environmental policy and human behaviour (Johnson et al. 2004; 2005; Spence et al. 2011). So we’ve seen changes in flood policy historically following major events (e.g. Making Space for Water post 1998-2000 floods or Pitt Review and Flood and Water Management Act post 2007). And in previous research though there has been a focus on change in many analyses of the responses to major events, why continuities persist is less well understood - So, the questions this project seeks to address are: How the processes of framing and reframing problems and solutions that occur in the aftermath of events determine the extent of change and/or continuity AND what this means over the longer term for public policy and practice. Crucially we’re are aiming to see what can we understand from the periods of response about the implications over the longer term. So, today I am just going to give a flavour of some very initial findings, as we are still at the data collection phase and have not yet started analysed the data but I will aim to offer some early thoughts into one aspect of this bigger question concerning the ways that response we’ve seen relate to questions about improving resilience and climate adaptation more widely.
  4. So just to say a little bit about resilience and adaptation –and locate these concepts in relation to literature around adaptive capacity and local resilience, in particular, as being an important factor in adaptation processes – but as also being connected to action at different scales – so this quote from a recent paper in Nature Climate Change highlights the this interaction across scales…