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India Morning Note
    a       g
Wednesday, July 04, 2012
              y

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                    Views on markets t
                                                                              today
                                                             • India markets ended hig
                                                                   an         s           gher yester  rday, althouugh it
 Nam of Index
   me                     Jul 2         Jul 3   Change (%)
                                                         )
                                                               gave up most g
                                                                   e          gains after h
                                                                                          hitting its hiighest level since
 Sensex             17,398.98      17,425.71       0.15%
                                                               mid--April, led by gains in telecom stocks suc as    ch
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,278.60      5,287.95       0.18%       Bhar Airtel, a
                                                                   rti        after a tribbunal's split verdict o 3G
                                                                                                        t          on
 BSE Mid-cap          6,209.24      6,209.24       0.00%       mutu roaming pacts. IT stocks, how
                                                                   ual         g                       wever, cont tinued
 BSE IT               5,749.48      5,720.60      -0.50%       to dr
                                                                   rag the inde
                                                                              exes, falling for the sec
                                                                                          g            cond day, on poor
                                                                                                                   n
 BSE Banks          11,987.67      12,060.45       0.61%       nearr-term demand outlook due to de      elays in deecision
                                                               makking by clients. Investo ors are also refrained from
FII A
    Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                               build
                                                                   ding large p
                                                                              positions ahhead of the beginning o the
                                                                                                                    of
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net       Q1 June 2012 earnings sea  ason next we  eek.
 02-Jul                 6,933          3,038        3895     • Unceertainty ove the mon
                                                                               er         nsoon couppled with ddoubts
 29-Jun                 2,065          3,155        -1090      abou whether t
                                                                   ut          the governm
                                                                                         ment will be able to wa the
                                                                                                    e          alk
 Tota Jul
    al                  6,933          3,038        3895       talk on policy reforms due to compulsions of coa
                                                                                         e                      alition
 2012 YTD             330,458       285,553        44905       polit
                                                                   tics seem to have added a cautio
                                                                               o                    ous undertone on
                                                               the prevailing o
                                                                   p          optimism.
MF A
   Activity                                         (`Cr)
                                                             • An Indian teleccoms tribunal gave a split verdict on a
                                                                                                     s         t
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net       challenge by mobile phone operators seekin      ng to
 02-Jul                   322           543          -221      overrturn a govvernment or rder requiring them to stop
                                                                                                               o
 29-Jun                   717           580          137       offer
                                                                   ring 3G se  ervices beyyond their licensed zones
 Tota Jul
    al                    322           543          -221      through mutual roaming pacts. Bharti Airtel rose 2.7%
                                                                               l                     i
                                                               while Idea Cellu
                                                                   e          ular gained 5
                                                                                          5.4%.
 2012 YTD              63,465         69,531        -6066
                                                             • Jeffe
                                                                   eries started coverage of Indian pharmace
                                                                                         e          n           eutical
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                   sector with "b  buy" rating on Sun Pharmace
                                                                                         gs                     eutical
                                       NSE           BSE       Induustries, Ranbaxy Laborratories and Cipla, citing its
                                                                                                    d
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                 75.09          25.55      prefeerence for companie with hig
                                                                                         es          gh exposure to
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     10,364          2,063      chroonic/complex therapie
                                                                               x         es and st   trong eme  erging
                                                               market presenc ce.
 Advances                              896          1,680
                                                             • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.4
                                                                               h                      41x as inve
                                                                                                                estors
 Declines                              560          1,194
                                                               boug small an mid cap stocks. On provisional basis,
                                                                   ght         nd
 Unchanged                              59            89
                                                               FIIs bought e    equity of `5.89bn while dom     mestic
 Tota
    al                               1,515          2,963      institutions sold equity of `
                                                                               d           `5.44bn in cash segmen
                                                                                                                nt.
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       • Asian markets a mostly higher, afte strong clo
                                                                             are                 er         ose of
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est               Change (%)
                                                         )     the US markets.
                                                                   U
 DJIA
    A                             12,943.66        0.56%     • We expect a positive opening for the Indian ma
                                                                                                   e         arkets
 NAS
   SDAQ                            2,976.08        0.84%
                                                               toda following the cues f
                                                                  ay,        g           from the As
                                                                                                   sian market and
                                                                                                             ts
                                                               impr
                                                                  roving sentiments of th foreign in
                                                                                        he         nvestors.
 Nikk *
    kei                            9,102.71        0.40%
                                                             Econom and Cor
                                                                  mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                    velopments
                                                                                             s
 Hang Seng *                      19,765.01        0.15%
                                                             • India
                                                                   a's monso oons should improv   ve next week,
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                               Agric
                                                                   culture Min
                                                                             nister Shara Pawar said, as con
                                                                                        ad                   ncerns
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                       grow that the progress of the crucial June-to-
                                                                  w           e          s
                                     Latest      Previous      Septtember rain has halte and has hit the sow
                                                                             ns         ed                  wing of
                                     Quote          Close      some crops in tthe major fo
                                                                                         ood producer and cons
                                                                                                             sumer
 Indian Rupee per $                   54.21         55.38         as.
                                                               area
 Indian Rupee per €                   68.34         69.70    • A te
                                                                  elecoms trib
                                                                             bunal gave a split verd dict on a pe
                                                                                                                etition
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)               87.38         87.66      by mobile pho
                                                                   m          one operato ors seeking to overtu
                                                                                                     g          urn a
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                              1,616.70      1,621.30      goveernment ord that ban them fro forming pacts
                                                                              der         ns         om
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                               28.20         28.26      to offer 3G se
                                                                  o           ervices out tside their licensed zzones,
                                                               delaying a resolution to a s
                                                                                          six-month dispute.


Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
                                                     als        h
Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                • Follo
                                                          owing the setback in its legal dispute with
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       Indr
                                                         raprastha G Gas (IGL), downstream oil regulator
                                                                                             m
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)          roleum and Natural Gas Reg
                                                      Petr                                   gulatory Board
 Adani Enter        222.25
                         5     231.60      4.21       (PNGGRB) has put on hol its order on the r
                                                                                 ld                     rates
 JUBL FOOD
    L              1165.85
                         5    1213.65      4.10       charged by ci   ity gas disstribution companies. The
                                                                                             c
 Lanc Infra
    co               14.94
                         4      15.47      3.55       reguulator is aw
                                                                     waiting clarity on its st
                                                                                             tatutory pow
                                                                                                        wers
 Brita
     annia Inds     524.80
                         0     543.00      3.47       befo proceeding on the c
                                                         ore                     contentious issue of rat
                                                                                                        tes.
 Crom
    mpton Greav
              v     121.20
                         0     124.95      3.09     • Titan announce beginning of its discounted sale on
                                                                      ed           g                    es
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  watcches startin from July 5. Commenting on Tit
                                                                      ng          y                      tan’s
                                                      disc
                                                         counted sal   les offer, N
                                                                                  Neeraj Verm ma, area ssales
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       mannager, Punjab region, said the sa season this
                                                                                              ale
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
                                                      year has been advanced by a month, compare to     ed
 Dew
   wan Housing      165.00     173.90       5.39
                                                      the previous y  year. “Last year, the wedding pe
                                                                                              w         eriod
 Mind
    dtree           645.40     680.05       5.37
                                                      conttinued till end of June, but this year, the wedding
 JUBL FOOD
    L              1165.85    1213.65       4.10
                                                      seasson is dry. To lend a s spurt to sale during th
                                                                                              es         hese
 Punj Lloyd
    j                48.85      50.85       4.09
                                                      lean months, discounts have been announced.”
                                                         n
 Arvind              73.75      76.55       3.80
                                                    • Inse
                                                         ecticides (India) is scou
                                                                                 uting for export markets in
TOP LOSERS                                            Japa Europe a
                                                         an,         and the Unitted States of America.
                                                                                            o
                                                    • GTL Infrastruc
                                                         L           cture has set up a committee to  e
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                      rest
                                                         tructure its outstanding dollar convertible bo
                                                                                g                     onds
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       due in Novemb this yea sending it shares up as
                                                                     ber        ar,
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
                                                      muc as nearly 20%.
                                                         ch          y
 Jinda Steel
     al             469.50
                         0    457.80
                                   0       -2.49
 Alsto T&D
     om             194.85
                         5    190.15
                                   5       -2.41    US markets
 Asho Leyland
    ok               24.95
                         5      24.35
                                    5      -2.40           ocks rose higher Tuesd
                                                    U.S. sto                    day after a surprise jum in
                                                                                            s          mp
 JPPO
    OWER             34.80
                         0      34.15
                                    5      -1.87    May faactory order and highe commodities prices that
                                                                      rs         er
 Man
   nap Gen Fin       31.35
                         5      30.80
                                    0      -1.75    booste investor s
                                                          ed          sentiments.

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Info Edge India    367.05     357.05      -2.72
 TVS Motor           36.45      35.50      -2.61
 Alsto T&D
     om             194.85     190.15      -2.41
 Asho Leyland
    ok               24.95      24.35      -2.40
 COX KINGS
   X                131.60     129.05      -1.94




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)              (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /            Wedn
                              nesday                   Thu
                                                         ursday                     Friday
                                                                                    F                         Monday
                                                                                                              M

   Reg
     gions                     4-
                                -Jul                      5-Jul
                                                          5                          6-Jul                      9-Jul

   Ind
     dia                                                                   Forex Re
                                                                                  eserves Dat
                                                                                            ta

                                                                           Bank Loa Growth
                                                                                  an




   US                PMI Index services         MBA Mort tgage             Average Hourly
                                                                                  e                    Consum Credit
                                                                                                            mer
                                                Applicatio (Jun 23)
                                                         ons      )        Earnings (YoY &
                                                                                  s
                                                                           MoM) & Average
                                                                           Weekly HHours

                                                Continuin & Initial
                                                         ng                Unemplo
                                                                                 oyment Rate
                                                Jobless Claims (Jun
                                                24)

                                                ISM Non-                   Nonfarm Payroll
                                                                                 m
                                                Manufact
                                                       turing PMI
                                                (Jun)

   Glo
     obal            Germany PMI Index          UK BoE In
                                                        nterest Rate
                                                                   e       Eurozone President          German Trade
                                                                                                             ny
                     services                   Decision                   Draghi's Speech             Balance
                                                                                                             e

                                                European Monetary
                                                       n                   Japan Le
                                                                                  eading               Japanes Economic
                                                                                                             se       c
                                                Union ECB Interest         Economic Index &            Survey
                                                Rate Dec
                                                       cision              Coincide Index
                                                                                  ent

                                                                           UK Produ ucer Price         UK retail sales
                                                                           Index - Input &             monitorr
                                                                           Output ((YoY & MoM)
                                                                           n.s.a

                                                                           Germany Industrial
                                                                                   y
                                                                           Production (YoY &
                                                                           MoM)




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
                             by,      or,                                   ai        8
                                    Tel. : +9
                                            9122-30266
                                                     6000         •   www
                                                                        w.keynotec
                                                                                 capitals.com
                                                                                            m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note july 4-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Wednesday, July 04, 2012 y Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today • India markets ended hig an s gher yester rday, althouugh it Nam of Index me Jul 2 Jul 3 Change (%) ) gave up most g e gains after h hitting its hiighest level since Sensex 17,398.98 17,425.71 0.15% mid--April, led by gains in telecom stocks suc as ch CNX Nifty X 5,278.60 5,287.95 0.18% Bhar Airtel, a rti after a tribbunal's split verdict o 3G t on BSE Mid-cap 6,209.24 6,209.24 0.00% mutu roaming pacts. IT stocks, how ual g wever, cont tinued BSE IT 5,749.48 5,720.60 -0.50% to dr rag the inde exes, falling for the sec g cond day, on poor n BSE Banks 11,987.67 12,060.45 0.61% nearr-term demand outlook due to de elays in deecision makking by clients. Investo ors are also refrained from FII A Activity (`Cr) build ding large p positions ahhead of the beginning o the of Date e Buy Sell Net Q1 June 2012 earnings sea ason next we eek. 02-Jul 6,933 3,038 3895 • Unceertainty ove the mon er nsoon couppled with ddoubts 29-Jun 2,065 3,155 -1090 abou whether t ut the governm ment will be able to wa the e alk Tota Jul al 6,933 3,038 3895 talk on policy reforms due to compulsions of coa e alition 2012 YTD 330,458 285,553 44905 polit tics seem to have added a cautio o ous undertone on the prevailing o p optimism. MF A Activity (`Cr) • An Indian teleccoms tribunal gave a split verdict on a s t Date e Buy Sell Net challenge by mobile phone operators seekin ng to 02-Jul 322 543 -221 overrturn a govvernment or rder requiring them to stop o 29-Jun 717 580 137 offer ring 3G se ervices beyyond their licensed zones Tota Jul al 322 543 -221 through mutual roaming pacts. Bharti Airtel rose 2.7% l i while Idea Cellu e ular gained 5 5.4%. 2012 YTD 63,465 69,531 -6066 • Jeffe eries started coverage of Indian pharmace e n eutical Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines sector with "b buy" rating on Sun Pharmace gs eutical NSE BSE Induustries, Ranbaxy Laborratories and Cipla, citing its d Trad ding Volume (Cr) 75.09 25.55 prefeerence for companie with hig es gh exposure to Turn nover (`Cr) 10,364 2,063 chroonic/complex therapie x es and st trong eme erging market presenc ce. Advances 896 1,680 • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.4 h 41x as inve estors Declines 560 1,194 boug small an mid cap stocks. On provisional basis, ght nd Unchanged 59 89 FIIs bought e equity of `5.89bn while dom mestic Tota al 1,515 2,963 institutions sold equity of ` d `5.44bn in cash segmen nt. Glob Markets bal • Asian markets a mostly higher, afte strong clo are er ose of Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) the US markets. U DJIA A 12,943.66 0.56% • We expect a positive opening for the Indian ma e arkets NAS SDAQ 2,976.08 0.84% toda following the cues f ay, g from the As sian market and ts impr roving sentiments of th foreign in he nvestors. Nikk * kei 9,102.71 0.40% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Hang Seng * 19,765.01 0.15% • India a's monso oons should improv ve next week, * as o 8.25AM IST of Agric culture Min nister Shara Pawar said, as con ad ncerns Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s grow that the progress of the crucial June-to- w e s Latest Previous Septtember rain has halte and has hit the sow ns ed wing of Quote Close some crops in tthe major fo ood producer and cons sumer Indian Rupee per $ 54.21 55.38 as. area Indian Rupee per € 68.34 69.70 • A te elecoms trib bunal gave a split verd dict on a pe etition NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 87.38 87.66 by mobile pho m one operato ors seeking to overtu g urn a Gold ($/oz) d 1,616.70 1,621.30 goveernment ord that ban them fro forming pacts der ns om Silve ($/oz) er 28.20 28.26 to offer 3G se o ervices out tside their licensed zzones, delaying a resolution to a s six-month dispute. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Follo owing the setback in its legal dispute with Previous Currennt Change Indr raprastha G Gas (IGL), downstream oil regulator m Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) roleum and Natural Gas Reg Petr gulatory Board Adani Enter 222.25 5 231.60 4.21 (PNGGRB) has put on hol its order on the r ld rates JUBL FOOD L 1165.85 5 1213.65 4.10 charged by ci ity gas disstribution companies. The c Lanc Infra co 14.94 4 15.47 3.55 reguulator is aw waiting clarity on its st tatutory pow wers Brita annia Inds 524.80 0 543.00 3.47 befo proceeding on the c ore contentious issue of rat tes. Crom mpton Greav v 121.20 0 124.95 3.09 • Titan announce beginning of its discounted sale on ed g es (BSE Mid-Cap) E watcches startin from July 5. Commenting on Tit ng y tan’s disc counted sal les offer, N Neeraj Verm ma, area ssales Previous Currennt Change mannager, Punjab region, said the sa season this ale Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) year has been advanced by a month, compare to ed Dew wan Housing 165.00 173.90 5.39 the previous y year. “Last year, the wedding pe w eriod Mind dtree 645.40 680.05 5.37 conttinued till end of June, but this year, the wedding JUBL FOOD L 1165.85 1213.65 4.10 seasson is dry. To lend a s spurt to sale during th es hese Punj Lloyd j 48.85 50.85 4.09 lean months, discounts have been announced.” n Arvind 73.75 76.55 3.80 • Inse ecticides (India) is scou uting for export markets in TOP LOSERS Japa Europe a an, and the Unitted States of America. o • GTL Infrastruc L cture has set up a committee to e (BSE A-Group) E rest tructure its outstanding dollar convertible bo g onds Previous Currennt Change due in Novemb this yea sending it shares up as ber ar, Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) muc as nearly 20%. ch y Jinda Steel al 469.50 0 457.80 0 -2.49 Alsto T&D om 194.85 5 190.15 5 -2.41 US markets Asho Leyland ok 24.95 5 24.35 5 -2.40 ocks rose higher Tuesd U.S. sto day after a surprise jum in s mp JPPO OWER 34.80 0 34.15 5 -1.87 May faactory order and highe commodities prices that rs er Man nap Gen Fin 31.35 5 30.80 0 -1.75 booste investor s ed sentiments. (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Info Edge India 367.05 357.05 -2.72 TVS Motor 36.45 35.50 -2.61 Alsto T&D om 194.85 190.15 -2.41 Asho Leyland ok 24.95 24.35 -2.40 COX KINGS X 131.60 129.05 -1.94 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Wedn nesday Thu ursday Friday F Monday M Reg gions 4- -Jul 5-Jul 5 6-Jul 9-Jul Ind dia Forex Re eserves Dat ta Bank Loa Growth an US PMI Index services MBA Mort tgage Average Hourly e Consum Credit mer Applicatio (Jun 23) ons ) Earnings (YoY & s MoM) & Average Weekly HHours Continuin & Initial ng Unemplo oyment Rate Jobless Claims (Jun 24) ISM Non- Nonfarm Payroll m Manufact turing PMI (Jun) Glo obal Germany PMI Index UK BoE In nterest Rate e Eurozone President German Trade ny services Decision Draghi's Speech Balance e European Monetary n Japan Le eading Japanes Economic se c Union ECB Interest Economic Index & Survey Rate Dec cision Coincide Index ent UK Produ ucer Price UK retail sales Index - Input & monitorr Output ((YoY & MoM) n.s.a Germany Industrial y Production (YoY & MoM) KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.