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                                                                                  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

India Morning Note
    a       g
Wednesday, Ma 16, 2012
            ay

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                  May 14       May 15    Change (%)
                                                       )   • India shares s
                                                                  an          snapped five days of losing streak and
                                                             close on positive note ye
                                                                  ed                     esterday as Larsen & T Toubro
 Sensex             16,215.84     16,328.25      0.69%
                                                             surgged after poositive results, while an improvement in
                                                                                                     n
 CNX Nifty
   X                  4,907.80     4,942.80      0.71%
                                                             globbal risk s   sentiment and the central b       bank's
 BSE Mid-cap          5,888.95     5,925.77      0.63%       interrvention in currency m markets helpped provide some
 BSE IT               5,504.56     5,590.27      1.56%       stabbility. Europeean market also inche up follow
                                                                                          ts          ed        wing a
 BSE Banks          10,661.64     10,744.45      0.78%       betteer-than-exppected econ  nomic data. Indian ma  arkets
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       lost ~4.12% over the previous five sessions as w  worries
                                                             abou India's economic outlook have inten
                                                                  ut                                  h         nsified
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       following poor industrial output dat and con
                                                                                                     ta         ncerns
 14-M
    May                 2,101         1,697        404       abou inflation. The RBI als stepped in aggressiv
                                                                  ut                      so          i         vely in
 11-M
    May                 1,526         1,350        176       curreency marke  ets, after the rupee fell to as lo as
                                                                                                     f           ow
 Tota May
    al                 19,978        19,527        450       54.1 to the d
                                                                 15           dollar durin the day threatening to
                                                                                          ng         y,
 2012 YTD             256,356      212,445       43912       touc a record low of 54.30 hit in December. E
                                                                 ch                                             Except
                                                             FMCG, all secto oral indices closed on positive note with
                                                                                                     p           e
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      capital goods, m metal, IT and pharma st
                                                                                           d          tocks were major
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       gainers. Engine eering congl lomerate Laarsen and TToubro
 14-M
    May                   362          308          54       rose 5.42% a day afte reporting stronger-than-
                                                                 e                       er           g
 11-M
    May                   348          491         -144      expe ected earnings, guida  ance of 15  5-20% grow wth in
                                                             reveenue and go  ood order wwins. BPCL gained 2.1% after
                                                                                                     g         %
 Tota May
    al                  4,027         4,448        -422
                                                             its U.S. partner, Anadarko Petroleum Corp, said it had
                                                                 U
 2012 YTD              49,021        55,543       -6522
                                                             discoovered a m  major new gas field in Mozamb      bique.
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 Bhar rti Airtel fell 1.2% a Indian authorities were
                                                                                          as
                                      NSE          BSE       investigation th compan under provisions o the
                                                                              he         ny          p          of
                                                             counntry's mone launder
                                                                               ey         ring and fooreign exch hange
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                59.60         19.13
                                                             ruless.
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,728         1,924
                                                           • Mark
                                                                ket breadth was high
                                                                           h          her at ~1.0 03x as inve
                                                                                                            estors
 Advances                             789         1,365
                                                             boug large ca stocks. O provisiona basis, bot FIIs
                                                                ght        ap         On          al        th
 Declines                             663         1,329
                                                             and domestic institutions sold equitie worth `1
                                                                                                  es       1.84bn
 Unchanged                             85          132       and `0.83bn, re
                                                                           espectively.
 Tota
    al                              1,537         2,826    • Asia’s markets f fell sharply Wednesday after new that
                                                                                                   y,        ws
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       Greeece’s politic impasse would forc new elections
                                                                             cal         e         ce
                                                             in th country, raising concerns of an exit from the
                                                                 he                                a          m
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )
                                                             euro zone.
                                                                o
 DJIA
    A                            12,632.00      -0.50%
                                                           • We expect a w  weak openin for the Indian stoc
                                                                                        ng                   cks as
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,893.76      -0.30%
                                                             there is possible weakening of the Ind
                                                                             e                     dian rupee i line
                                                                                                              in
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,820.79      -0.90%
                                                             with the falling global currencies Euro sh
                                                                                                   s.         harply
 Hang Seng *                     19,447.06      -2.25%       declined agains dollar to 1
                                                                            st          1.273 levels (a 4 month low)
                                                                                                   s          h
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                      depicting stron sense o fear among the fo
                                                                            ng          of                    oreign
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     investors. Along with globa economic situation India's
                                                                            g           al         c
                                                             dommestic scenaario led by s
                                                                                        slow growth and high prices
                                                                                                   h
                                    Latest     Previous
                                    Quote         Close      is no very cond
                                                                 ot         ducive.
 Indian Rupee per $                  53.79        53.92    Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.50        69.17    • The Direct Taxxes Code ( (DTC) Bill, which seeeks to
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              92.87        93.98      over
                                                                rhaul the 5 year-old Income-ta laws, w
                                                                           50         d          ax       will be
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,541.40     1,556.80      brou
                                                                ught in Parrliament in the monso oon session and
                                                                                                           n
                                                             most of the recommen     ndations of the Sta  anding
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.69        28.05
                                                             Com
                                                               mmittee will be accepted.


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                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH


TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzin Stocks
                                                             ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                    • GAIL will be set
                                                              L           tting up a jo
                                                                                      oint venture with the T
                                                                                                 e          Tamil
                    Previous   Currennt   Change          Nad Industria Developm
                                                             du          al           ment Corpo oration (Tid
                                                                                                            dco).
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)          The new comp   pany will mmake an inv vestment to the
                                                                                                            o
 Unit
    ted Spirits      628.75
                          5     666.05      5.93          tune of `10,00
                                                              e          00Cr over t the next fiv years ac
                                                                                                 ve         cross
 Rash
    htriya Chem       54.15
                          5      57.35      5.91          Tam Nadu for setting up a power pla and pipe
                                                             mil                                 ant         eline
 JSW ENERGY           42.30
                          0      44.75      5.79          infra
                                                              astructure to carry LNGG.
 JSW Steel           619.55
                          5     653.20      5.43        • IVRC Limited has bagge orders worth `652.6
                                                             CL                       ed      w           65Cr
 L&T
   T                1159.80
                          0    1222.50      5.41          under its irrigat
                                                                          tion, buildin and wate divisions.
                                                                                      ngs      er
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                    • Adani Gas Ltd, a subsidiar of Adani Enterprises Ltd
                                                                                     ry                       s
                                                          has increased prices of compresse natural gas
                                                                                                  ed
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                             (CNG) and natu  ural gas for industrial consumers with
                                                                                     r            c
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 INDI
    IAB POWER         10.73      11.80       9.97         effect from midnight of M  May 15, 2012, a comp     pany
 India Infoline
     a                45.90      50.45       9.91         offic
                                                              cial informed. The company has at   ttributed hik in
                                                                                                              ke
 Nati
    ional Fert        72.20      77.55       7.41         gas prices to increase in price of im mported liqu uified
 Tube Invest         131.45     139.90       6.43         natuural gas (LNG) and fluctuation in curre
                                                                                                 ns           ency
                                                          exchhange rates s.
 Rash
    htriya Chem       54.15      57.35       5.91
                                                        • The CNG price are hike by `2.80 per kg f
                                                                       es       ed                    from
TOP LOSERS                                                `50.
                                                             .20 a kg to Rs 53 a kg. This in
                                                                       o                   ncludes 14.42%
                                                          exci duty and 15% value added tax (VAT).
                                                             ise       d        e
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                        • The Electrotherm (India a) Ltd ha
                                                                                          as approacched
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                             Supreme Cour challenging Gujarat High Court's
                                                                        rt
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Obe
   eroi Realty       246.50
                          0     238.70
                                     0      -3.16         rece
                                                             ent order to shut d down its steel and pipe
                                                                                          s
 NTPC                147.85
                          5     143.50
                                     0      -2.94         mannufacturing plant in Bhachau block of K
                                                                                          b        Kutch
 Eich Motors
    her             2074.70
                          0    2017.00
                                     0      -2.78
                                                          district.
 Adit
    tya Birla Nuv    828.85
                          5     807.30
                                     0      -2.60       • Vide
                                                             eocon Induustries will raise $5
                                                                                  l         51.02mn (over
 Maruti Suzuki      1246.90
                          0    1214.80
                                     0      -2.57         `270
                                                             0Cr) throug issue o securities on a private
                                                                       gh       of          s
                                                          plac
                                                             cement basi from over
                                                                       is         rseas marke
                                                                                            et.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                        US markets
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                           US markets declin
                                                                        ned Tuesday with the Dow indust
                                                                                   y,                     trials
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 REI Agro               9.79      9.14      -6.64       ending near a four-month low, with the la
                                                             g                                            atest
 FDC
   C                  80.65      77.50      -3.91       breakd
                                                             down in Gree         mpts to form a coalition.
                                                                        ece’s attem
 Fres
    senius Kabi      126.45     121.55      -3.88       The Do Jones Ind
                                                              ow         dustrial Ave
                                                                                    erage shed 63.35 point or
                                                                                               6         ts,
 Sadbhav Engr        135.35     130.20      -3.80       0.5%, to 12,632. T
                                                              t          The S&P 50 Index fell 7.69 point or
                                                                                    00         l         ts,
 S Mo
    obility           62.10      59.75      -3.78       0.6%, to 1,330.66. The N    Nasdaq Co omposite Inndex
                                                        decline 8.82 poin
                                                              ed        nts, or 0.3% to 2,893.7
                                                                                   %,         76.




Keyn
   note Capitals Institutional Researc
                                     ch             (research@
                                                             @keynotecapitals.net)              (+
                                                                                                 +9122-3026
                                                                                                          66000)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                          INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c
    Countries /            Wedn
                              nesday                   Thu
                                                         ursday                     Friday
                                                                                    F                         Monday
                                                                                                              M

   Reg
     gions                   16/
                               /May                     17
                                                         7/May                     18/May                      21/May
                                                                                                               2

   Ind
     dia             M3 Money Supply
                            y                                              Forex Re
                                                                                  eserves Dat
                                                                                            ta

                                                                           Bank Loa Growth
                                                                                  an




   US                Housing S
                             Starts              Initial Job
                                                           bless Claims
                                                                      s    American Petroleumm         Chicago Fed
                                                                                                             o
                     (MoM)                                                 Institute Monthly
                                                                                   e                   Nationa Activity
                                                                                                             al
                                                                           Report                      Index
                      Industrial
                               l                Leading Indicators
                     Production (MoM)
                               n                (MoM)
                     FOMC Min nutes

   Glo
     obal             UK's Averrage             Japan Ind
                                                        dustrial           G8 Meet
                                                                                 ting
                     Earnings including         productio
                                                        on
                     Bonus (3M Mo/Yr)
                     Eurozone's
                     Consumer Price
                               r
                     Index (YoY and
                               Y)
                     (MoM)
                     UK's Bank of
                               k
                     England Q Quarterly
                     Inflation R
                               Report




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Keynote capitals india morning note may 16-'12

  • 1.     INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note a g Wednesday, Ma 16, 2012 ay Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me May 14 May 15 Change (%) ) • India shares s an snapped five days of losing streak and close on positive note ye ed esterday as Larsen & T Toubro Sensex 16,215.84 16,328.25 0.69% surgged after poositive results, while an improvement in n CNX Nifty X 4,907.80 4,942.80 0.71% globbal risk s sentiment and the central b bank's BSE Mid-cap 5,888.95 5,925.77 0.63% interrvention in currency m markets helpped provide some BSE IT 5,504.56 5,590.27 1.56% stabbility. Europeean market also inche up follow ts ed wing a BSE Banks 10,661.64 10,744.45 0.78% betteer-than-exppected econ nomic data. Indian ma arkets FII A Activity (`Cr) lost ~4.12% over the previous five sessions as w worries abou India's economic outlook have inten ut h nsified Date e Buy Sell Net following poor industrial output dat and con ta ncerns 14-M May 2,101 1,697 404 abou inflation. The RBI als stepped in aggressiv ut so i vely in 11-M May 1,526 1,350 176 curreency marke ets, after the rupee fell to as lo as f ow Tota May al 19,978 19,527 450 54.1 to the d 15 dollar durin the day threatening to ng y, 2012 YTD 256,356 212,445 43912 touc a record low of 54.30 hit in December. E ch Except FMCG, all secto oral indices closed on positive note with p e MF A Activity (`Cr) capital goods, m metal, IT and pharma st d tocks were major Date e Buy Sell Net gainers. Engine eering congl lomerate Laarsen and TToubro 14-M May 362 308 54 rose 5.42% a day afte reporting stronger-than- e er g 11-M May 348 491 -144 expe ected earnings, guida ance of 15 5-20% grow wth in reveenue and go ood order wwins. BPCL gained 2.1% after g % Tota May al 4,027 4,448 -422 its U.S. partner, Anadarko Petroleum Corp, said it had U 2012 YTD 49,021 55,543 -6522 discoovered a m major new gas field in Mozamb bique. Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines Bhar rti Airtel fell 1.2% a Indian authorities were as NSE BSE investigation th compan under provisions o the he ny p of counntry's mone launder ey ring and fooreign exch hange Trad ding Volume (Cr) 59.60 19.13 ruless. Turn nover (`Cr) 9,728 1,924 • Mark ket breadth was high h her at ~1.0 03x as inve estors Advances 789 1,365 boug large ca stocks. O provisiona basis, bot FIIs ght ap On al th Declines 663 1,329 and domestic institutions sold equitie worth `1 es 1.84bn Unchanged 85 132 and `0.83bn, re espectively. Tota al 1,537 2,826 • Asia’s markets f fell sharply Wednesday after new that y, ws Glob Markets bal Greeece’s politic impasse would forc new elections cal e ce in th country, raising concerns of an exit from the he a m Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) euro zone. o DJIA A 12,632.00 -0.50% • We expect a w weak openin for the Indian stoc ng cks as NAS SDAQ 2,893.76 -0.30% there is possible weakening of the Ind e dian rupee i line in Nikk * kei 8,820.79 -0.90% with the falling global currencies Euro sh s. harply Hang Seng * 19,447.06 -2.25% declined agains dollar to 1 st 1.273 levels (a 4 month low) s h * as o 8.25AM IST of depicting stron sense o fear among the fo ng of oreign Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s investors. Along with globa economic situation India's g al c dommestic scenaario led by s slow growth and high prices h Latest Previous Quote Close is no very cond ot ducive. Indian Rupee per $ 53.79 53.92 Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Indian Rupee per € 68.50 69.17 • The Direct Taxxes Code ( (DTC) Bill, which seeeks to NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 92.87 93.98 over rhaul the 5 year-old Income-ta laws, w 50 d ax will be Gold ($/oz) d 1,541.40 1,556.80 brou ught in Parrliament in the monso oon session and n most of the recommen ndations of the Sta anding Silve ($/oz) er 27.69 28.05 Com mmittee will be accepted. Keyn note Capitals Institutional Researc ch (research@@keynotecapitals.net) (+ +9122-3026 66000) Keynote Capitals Insttitutional Res search is als available o so on Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Know wledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • GAIL will be set L tting up a jo oint venture with the T e Tamil Previous Currennt Change Nad Industria Developm du al ment Corpo oration (Tid dco). Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) The new comp pany will mmake an inv vestment to the o Unit ted Spirits 628.75 5 666.05 5.93 tune of `10,00 e 00Cr over t the next fiv years ac ve cross Rash htriya Chem 54.15 5 57.35 5.91 Tam Nadu for setting up a power pla and pipe mil ant eline JSW ENERGY 42.30 0 44.75 5.79 infra astructure to carry LNGG. JSW Steel 619.55 5 653.20 5.43 • IVRC Limited has bagge orders worth `652.6 CL ed w 65Cr L&T T 1159.80 0 1222.50 5.41 under its irrigat tion, buildin and wate divisions. ngs er (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Adani Gas Ltd, a subsidiar of Adani Enterprises Ltd ry s has increased prices of compresse natural gas ed Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e (CNG) and natu ural gas for industrial consumers with r c Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) INDI IAB POWER 10.73 11.80 9.97 effect from midnight of M May 15, 2012, a comp pany India Infoline a 45.90 50.45 9.91 offic cial informed. The company has at ttributed hik in ke Nati ional Fert 72.20 77.55 7.41 gas prices to increase in price of im mported liqu uified Tube Invest 131.45 139.90 6.43 natuural gas (LNG) and fluctuation in curre ns ency exchhange rates s. Rash htriya Chem 54.15 57.35 5.91 • The CNG price are hike by `2.80 per kg f es ed from TOP LOSERS `50. .20 a kg to Rs 53 a kg. This in o ncludes 14.42% exci duty and 15% value added tax (VAT). ise d e (BSE A-Group) E • The Electrotherm (India a) Ltd ha as approacched Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Supreme Cour challenging Gujarat High Court's rt Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Obe eroi Realty 246.50 0 238.70 0 -3.16 rece ent order to shut d down its steel and pipe s NTPC 147.85 5 143.50 0 -2.94 mannufacturing plant in Bhachau block of K b Kutch Eich Motors her 2074.70 0 2017.00 0 -2.78 district. Adit tya Birla Nuv 828.85 5 807.30 0 -2.60 • Vide eocon Induustries will raise $5 l 51.02mn (over Maruti Suzuki 1246.90 0 1214.80 0 -2.57 `270 0Cr) throug issue o securities on a private gh of s plac cement basi from over is rseas marke et. (BSE Mid-Cap) E US markets Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e US markets declin ned Tuesday with the Dow indust y, trials Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) REI Agro 9.79 9.14 -6.64 ending near a four-month low, with the la g atest FDC C 80.65 77.50 -3.91 breakd down in Gree mpts to form a coalition. ece’s attem Fres senius Kabi 126.45 121.55 -3.88 The Do Jones Ind ow dustrial Ave erage shed 63.35 point or 6 ts, Sadbhav Engr 135.35 130.20 -3.80 0.5%, to 12,632. T t The S&P 50 Index fell 7.69 point or 00 l ts, S Mo obility 62.10 59.75 -3.78 0.6%, to 1,330.66. The N Nasdaq Co omposite Inndex decline 8.82 poin ed nts, or 0.3% to 2,893.7 %, 76. Keyn note Capitals Institutional Researc ch (research@ @keynotecapitals.net) (+ +9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.     INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Wedn nesday Thu ursday Friday F Monday M Reg gions 16/ /May 17 7/May 18/May 21/May 2 Ind dia M3 Money Supply y Forex Re eserves Dat ta Bank Loa Growth an US Housing S Starts Initial Job bless Claims s American Petroleumm Chicago Fed o (MoM) Institute Monthly e Nationa Activity al Report Index Industrial l Leading Indicators Production (MoM) n (MoM) FOMC Min nutes Glo obal UK's Averrage Japan Ind dustrial G8 Meet ting Earnings including productio on Bonus (3M Mo/Yr) Eurozone's Consumer Price r Index (YoY and Y) (MoM) UK's Bank of k England Q Quarterly Inflation R Report KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re port has not been edited due to time c eport. The rep d constraints.