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Keynote commodity daily report 060612

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Keynote commodity daily report 060612

  1. 1. Daily Commodity Report 6th June 2012 MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 29757. It Gold Silver Crude (4 Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29742. However, it managed t o bounce back from lower levels to move higher and Open 29,956 53,953 4,667 touch an intra-day high of 30150. It ended the day with moderate High 30,119 54,500 4,727 gains to close at 30011. Low 29,953 53,905 4,660 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average and Close 30,011 54,442 4,688 is also placed in the over bought zone along with the RSI. These Prev. Close 29,918 53,839 4,661 conditions would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line and +DI line are moving higher, while the –DI line is moving % Change 0.31% 1.12% 0.58% lower. The +DI line is placed above the 30 level indicating buyers Source – MCX are gaining strength a. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29929, 30000 and 30156 while the supports are placed at 29871, 29433, Volume (In 000's) 29212, 28960, 28084, 27855, 27557 and 26517 levels. 05/06/2012 04/06/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 53953. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 53905. However, it Gold (gms) 30,316.0 34,335.0 -11.71% managed t o bounce back from lower levels to move higher and Silver (kgs) 1,394.4 1,809.8 -22.95% touch an intra-day high of 54500. It ended the day with moderate Crude (bbl) 19,174.1 26,184.3 -26.77% gains to close at 54442. Source – MCX The RSI has moved above its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is already placed above its average, which would lead to buying Turnover (In Lacs) support at regular levels. However, the Stochastic is also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular 05/06/2012 04/06/2012 % Chg. intervals. The ADX line and the –DI line are moving lower but are still placed above the 30 level, indicating sellers are covering shorts. Gold 910,632.2 1,029,565.2 -11.55% MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and Silver 756,895.6 979,613.2 -22.74% 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels. Crude 900,223.3 1,202,609.2 -25.14% Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened higher at 4667 level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4660. However, it Global Market (Nymex - $) managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher and touch an intra-day high of 4727. It ended the day with moderate 06/06/2012 05/06/2012 % Chg. gains to close at 4688. Gold (oz) 1,625.00 1,615.20 0.61% The RSI is placed in the over sold zone but is still placed below its Silver (oz) 28.78 28.41 1.30% average. Moreover, the Stochastic is also placed in the over sold zone but has moved above its average. These conditions would Crude (bbl) 84.81 84.29 0.62% lead to short covering and buying support. The ADX line and –DI Dollar Index 82.54 82.83 -0.35% line are trending and are placed above the 37 level indicating sellers Source – www.cmegroup.com have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 4710, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4421, 4259 and 3723. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 4688 4692 4723 4759 4826 4656 4625 4558 GOLD AUG 12 30011 30028 30102 30194 30360 29936 29862 29696 SILVER JUL 12 54442 54282 54660 54877 55472 54065 53687 53092 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Jun 06 Jun 07 Jun 08 Jun 11 Jun 12 Productivity and Jobless Claims International Trade 4-Week Bill Import and Export Costs Data Announcement Prices EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas Wholesale Trade 3-Month Bill Auction Treasury Budget Report Report MBA Purchase Bloomberg Consumer 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Applications Comfort Index Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com

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