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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           7th February 2012

                                                                  MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 27990. It moved
                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)     (20 Feb-12)
                                                                  higher to touch an intra-day low of 28030. However, it failed to
                                                                  sustain on back of selling pressure and touched an intra-day low of
 Open                    27,990        56,207          4,765      27808. It ended the day flat to close at 27936.
 High                    28,030        56,539          4,803
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Low                     27,808        55,675          4,746
                                                                  averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling
 Close                   27,936        56,426          4,772      pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways,
 Prev. Close             27,891        56,157          4,767
                                                                  indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at
                                                                  27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at
 % Change                 0.16%        0.48%           0.10%      27557, 26347 and 25500 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                  MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 56207. It moved
                       Volume (In 000's)                          lower to touch an intra-day low of 55675. However, it managed to
                                                                  bounce back and moved higher on back of buying support. It
                        6/2/2012     4/2/2012         % Chg.      touched an intra-day high of 56539. It ended the day with modest
 Gold (gms)             36,872.0      4,087.0       802.18%       gains to close at 56426.

 Silver (kgs)            2,017.0           87.2    2213.56%
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Crude (bbl)            14,396.2        709.8      1928.21%       averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling
Source – MCX                                                      pressure. The ADX line, +DI Line and -DI line are moving sideways,
                                                                  indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at
                                                                  57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                  54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
                        6/2/2012     4/2/2012         % Chg.
                                                                  MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4765 level. It
Gold                 1,029,629.2    113,881.4       804.12%
                                                                  moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4746. However, it
Silver               1,132,312.3     48,917.0      2214.76%       managed to bounce back from the lows and moved higher on back
                                                                  of buying support. It touched an intra-day high of 4803.It ended the
Crude                  686,917.5     33,805.8      1931.95%
                                                                  day with marginal gains to close the day at 4772.
Source – MCX
                                                                  The RSI is placed below its average. However, the Stochastic is
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                      placed above its average. However, both are also placed in the over
                                                                  sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering
                        7/2/2012     6/2/2012         % Chg.
                                                                  and buying support. The +DI is moving lower, however, the ADX
Gold (oz)               1,723.50     1,722.80          0.04%      line and –DI line both are placed above the 30 level indicating
Silver (oz)                33.63        33.75         -0.36%
                                                                  sellers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 4877, 4903, 4950,
                                                                  5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports are placed at
Crude (bbl)                97.12        96.91          0.22%      4670, 4493 and 4421 levels.
Dollar Index               79.13        79.08          0.07%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close            Pivot Point             R1            R2          R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4772                     4774         4801          4831       4888          4744         4717        4660

 GOLD APR 12                         27936                  27925          28041          28147      28369        27819         27703       27481

 SILVER MAR 12                       56426                  56213          56752          57077      57941        55888         55349       54485


                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                    Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
      Feb. 07                     Feb. 08                        Feb. 09                       Feb. 10                      Feb. 13
ICSC-Goldman Store         EIA Petroleum Status          Jobless Claims Data          International Trade           4-Week Bill
Sales                      Report                                                     Data                          Announcement
Consumer Credit            Bank Reserve                  Wholesale Trade Data         Consumer Sentiment            3-Month Bill Auction
                           Settlement
3-Yr Note Auction          MBA Purchase                  Bloomberg Consumer           Treasury Budget               6-Month Bill Auction
                           Applications                  Comfort Index




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
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Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
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                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 070212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 7th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 27990. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) higher to touch an intra-day low of 28030. However, it failed to sustain on back of selling pressure and touched an intra-day low of Open 27,990 56,207 4,765 27808. It ended the day flat to close at 27936. High 28,030 56,539 4,803 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Low 27,808 55,675 4,746 averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling Close 27,936 56,426 4,772 pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, Prev. Close 27,891 56,157 4,767 indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at % Change 0.16% 0.48% 0.10% 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 56207. It moved Volume (In 000's) lower to touch an intra-day low of 55675. However, it managed to bounce back and moved higher on back of buying support. It 6/2/2012 4/2/2012 % Chg. touched an intra-day high of 56539. It ended the day with modest Gold (gms) 36,872.0 4,087.0 802.18% gains to close at 56426. Silver (kgs) 2,017.0 87.2 2213.56% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Crude (bbl) 14,396.2 709.8 1928.21% averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling Source – MCX pressure. The ADX line, +DI Line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at Turnover (In Lacs) 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. 6/2/2012 4/2/2012 % Chg. MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4765 level. It Gold 1,029,629.2 113,881.4 804.12% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4746. However, it Silver 1,132,312.3 48,917.0 2214.76% managed to bounce back from the lows and moved higher on back of buying support. It touched an intra-day high of 4803.It ended the Crude 686,917.5 33,805.8 1931.95% day with marginal gains to close the day at 4772. Source – MCX The RSI is placed below its average. However, the Stochastic is Global Market (Nymex - $) placed above its average. However, both are also placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering 7/2/2012 6/2/2012 % Chg. and buying support. The +DI is moving lower, however, the ADX Gold (oz) 1,723.50 1,722.80 0.04% line and –DI line both are placed above the 30 level indicating Silver (oz) 33.63 33.75 -0.36% sellers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 4877, 4903, 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports are placed at Crude (bbl) 97.12 96.91 0.22% 4670, 4493 and 4421 levels. Dollar Index 79.13 79.08 0.07% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4772 4774 4801 4831 4888 4744 4717 4660 GOLD APR 12 27936 27925 28041 28147 28369 27819 27703 27481 SILVER MAR 12 56426 56213 56752 57077 57941 55888 55349 54485 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Feb. 07 Feb. 08 Feb. 09 Feb. 10 Feb. 13 ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims Data International Trade 4-Week Bill Sales Report Data Announcement Consumer Credit Bank Reserve Wholesale Trade Data Consumer Sentiment 3-Month Bill Auction Settlement 3-Yr Note Auction MBA Purchase Bloomberg Consumer Treasury Budget 6-Month Bill Auction Applications Comfort Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com