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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                          7th October 2011

                                                             MCX GOLD (DEC 11) - Gold opened higher at 26490. It remained
                    Gold         Silver         Crude
                   (5 Dec-11)   (5 Dec-11)     (19 Oct-11)   range bound during the day. It touched intra-day high of 26600 and
                                                             intra-day low of 26280.
Open                   26490         51496           3928

High                   26600         53488           4070    The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
Low                    26280         51496           3908    support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic remains placed
                                                             below its average and would lead to selling pressure. The ADX, +DI
Close                  26510         53237           4038    line are moving sideways but โ€“DI line remains placed above the 30
Prev. Close            26434         51226           3916    level, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces
                                                             resistance at 27964, 28235, 28525, 28744 levels, while the supports
% Change               0.29%         3.93%          3.12%
                                                             are placed at 25360, 24992 and 23176 levels.
Source โ€“ MCX
                                                             MCX SILVER (DEC 11) - Silver opened higher at 51496, which
                   Volume (In 000's)                         incidentally was also its intra-day low level. It touched an intra-day
                   6/10/2011    5/10/2011       % Chg.       high of 53488 before closing the day at 53237 with handsome gains.

Gold (grms)          27,411.0      61,846.0       -55.68%    The RSI is placed above its average along with the Stochastic. Both
Silver (kgs)          1,765.2       2,891.7       -38.96%    these conditions would lead to regular bouts of buying support.
                                                             However, the Stochastic is nearing its over bought zone. The โ€“DI line
Crude (bbl)          17,291.2      20,892.2       -17.24%    remains placed at 39.03 indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX
Source โ€“ MCX                                                 Silver faces resistance at 54377, 56981 and 61708 levels, while the
                                                             supports are placed at 52365, 49828, 45824 and 42708 levels.
                   Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                             MCX CRUDE (OCT 11) - Crude opened higher at 3928 level. It
                   6/10/2011    5/10/2011       % Chg.       moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 3908 but managed a
Gold                724,565.6 1,615,271.1         -55.14%    bounce back to touch an intra-day high of 4070. It ended the day at
                                                             4038 to close with handsome gains.
Silver              924,599.3 1,444,720.1         -36.00%

Crude               685,702.9    805,965.6        -14.92%    The RSI is placed above its average. Moreso, the Stochastic is also
Source โ€“ MCX
                                                             placed above its average. Both these conditions would lead to buying
                                                             support. The โ€“DI line is however placed above the 30 level indicating
                                                             sellers have an upper hand. While the ADX and +DI line are moving
              Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                             sideways. It faces resistance at 4129, 4262 and 4301 levels, while
                   7/10/2011    6/10/2011       % Chg.       the supports are placed at 4038, 3916 and 3794 levels.
Gold (oz)            1,657.00      1,651.90         0.31%

Silver (oz)             31.90        31.97         -0.22%

Crude (bbl)             82.60        82.59          0.01%

Dollar Index            78.57        78.64         -0.09%
Source โ€“ www.cmegroup.com


                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                             Intra-day Support
 Commodities               Close             Pivot Point       R1             R2             R3            S1              S2               S3

 CRUDE OCT 11                    4038                4005         4103          4167           4329           3941          3843             3681

  GOLD DEC 11                   26510              26463        26647          26783          27103         26327          26143            25823

 SILVER DEC 11                  53237              52740        53985          54732          56724         51993          50748            48756


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India โ€“ 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                      Friday                      Tuesday                     Wednesday                     Thursday
       Oct. 06                      Oct. 07                      Oct. 11                     Oct. 12                       Oct. 13
                                                                                      MBA Purchase
Jobless Claims             Employment Situation         FOMC Minutes                                               International Trade
                                                                                      Applications
EIA Natural Gas                                         NFIB Small Business
                           Consumer Credit                                            10-Yr Note Auction           Jobless Claims
Report                                                  Optimism Index
                                                        4-Week Bill                                                EIA Petroleum Status
Chain Store Sales          Wholesale Trade
                                                        Announcement                                               Report
                           Monster Employment
                                                        3-Yr Note Auction                                          Treasury Budget
                           Index




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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India โ€“ 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India โ€“ 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote commodity daily report 071011

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 7th October 2011 MCX GOLD (DEC 11) - Gold opened higher at 26490. It remained Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-11) (5 Dec-11) (19 Oct-11) range bound during the day. It touched intra-day high of 26600 and intra-day low of 26280. Open 26490 51496 3928 High 26600 53488 4070 The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying Low 26280 51496 3908 support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic remains placed below its average and would lead to selling pressure. The ADX, +DI Close 26510 53237 4038 line are moving sideways but โ€“DI line remains placed above the 30 Prev. Close 26434 51226 3916 level, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27964, 28235, 28525, 28744 levels, while the supports % Change 0.29% 3.93% 3.12% are placed at 25360, 24992 and 23176 levels. Source โ€“ MCX MCX SILVER (DEC 11) - Silver opened higher at 51496, which Volume (In 000's) incidentally was also its intra-day low level. It touched an intra-day 6/10/2011 5/10/2011 % Chg. high of 53488 before closing the day at 53237 with handsome gains. Gold (grms) 27,411.0 61,846.0 -55.68% The RSI is placed above its average along with the Stochastic. Both Silver (kgs) 1,765.2 2,891.7 -38.96% these conditions would lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is nearing its over bought zone. The โ€“DI line Crude (bbl) 17,291.2 20,892.2 -17.24% remains placed at 39.03 indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX Source โ€“ MCX Silver faces resistance at 54377, 56981 and 61708 levels, while the supports are placed at 52365, 49828, 45824 and 42708 levels. Turnover (In Lacs) MCX CRUDE (OCT 11) - Crude opened higher at 3928 level. It 6/10/2011 5/10/2011 % Chg. moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 3908 but managed a Gold 724,565.6 1,615,271.1 -55.14% bounce back to touch an intra-day high of 4070. It ended the day at 4038 to close with handsome gains. Silver 924,599.3 1,444,720.1 -36.00% Crude 685,702.9 805,965.6 -14.92% The RSI is placed above its average. Moreso, the Stochastic is also Source โ€“ MCX placed above its average. Both these conditions would lead to buying support. The โ€“DI line is however placed above the 30 level indicating sellers have an upper hand. While the ADX and +DI line are moving Global Market (Nymex - $) sideways. It faces resistance at 4129, 4262 and 4301 levels, while 7/10/2011 6/10/2011 % Chg. the supports are placed at 4038, 3916 and 3794 levels. Gold (oz) 1,657.00 1,651.90 0.31% Silver (oz) 31.90 31.97 -0.22% Crude (bbl) 82.60 82.59 0.01% Dollar Index 78.57 78.64 -0.09% Source โ€“ www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE OCT 11 4038 4005 4103 4167 4329 3941 3843 3681 GOLD DEC 11 26510 26463 26647 26783 27103 26327 26143 25823 SILVER DEC 11 53237 52740 53985 54732 56724 51993 50748 48756 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India โ€“ 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Oct. 06 Oct. 07 Oct. 11 Oct. 12 Oct. 13 MBA Purchase Jobless Claims Employment Situation FOMC Minutes International Trade Applications EIA Natural Gas NFIB Small Business Consumer Credit 10-Yr Note Auction Jobless Claims Report Optimism Index 4-Week Bill EIA Petroleum Status Chain Store Sales Wholesale Trade Announcement Report Monster Employment 3-Yr Note Auction Treasury Budget Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India โ€“ 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stockโ€™s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a companyโ€™s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a companyโ€™s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltdโ€™s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India โ€“ 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com