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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           13th January 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27689. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (19 Jan-12)
                                                                 higher to touch an intra-day high of 27816. However, it failed to
                                                                 sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure and touched
 Open                    27,689        52,710         5,274      an intra-day low of 27632. It ended the day flat to close at 27665.
 High                    27,816        53,400         5,308
                                                                 The RSI is placed above its average, which would result in buying
 Low                     27,632        52,603         5,241      support. Moreover, the Stochastic has also moved above its
 Close                   27,665        52,770         5,260      average and is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to
                                                                 intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support . The ADX
 Prev. Close             27,657        52,607         5,285
                                                                 line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating sellers
 % Change                 0.03%        0.31%         -0.47%      have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152,
                                                                 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500
Source – MCX
                                                                 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                 MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52710. It moved
                       12/1/2012    11/1/2012       % Chg.       higher to touch an intra-day high of 53400. However, it failed to
                                                                 sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure and touched
 Gold (gms)             35,570.0     37,308.0        -4.66%      an intra-day low of 52603. It ended the day with modest gains to
 Silver (kgs)            2,026.5       1,819.3      11.39%       close at 52770.
 Crude (bbl)            17,180.8     18,245.0        -5.83%
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
Source – MCX                                                     averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support.
                                                                 The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                         a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184,
                                                                 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477
                       12/1/2012    11/1/2012       % Chg.       and 45824 levels.
Gold                   986,721.4   1,031,604.0       -4.35%
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5274 it moved
Silver               1,074,980.2    957,987.2       12.21%       lower on back of selling pressure an touched an intra-day low of
Crude                  905,298.5    962,381.6        -5.93%
                                                                 5241. However, it managed to move higher on back of short
                                                                 covering and buying support to touch an intra-day high of 5308.
Source – MCX                                                     However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to close the
                                                                 day at 5260 recording modest losses.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                 The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in
                       13/1/2012    12/1/2012       % Chg.
                                                                 intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has
Gold (oz)               1,640.60     1,647.70        -0.43%      moved above its average and is placed in the over sold territory,
                                                                 which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying
Silver (oz)                29.96        30.10        -0.47%
                                                                 support. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways,
Crude (bbl)                99.57        99.10         0.47%      indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5380, 5464,
Dollar Index               80.84        80.83         0.00%      5475 and 5500 levels, while the supports are placed at 5200, 5174
                                                                 and 5115 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                             Intra-day Resistance                       Intra-day Support
 Commodities                       Close          Pivot Point             R1             R2         R3            S1            S2          S3

 CRUDE JAN 12                          5260                    5270         5298          5337        5404          5231         5203        5136

 GOLD FEB 12                          27665                 27704         27777          27888       28072        27593         27520       27336

 SILVER MAR 12                        52770                 52924         53246          53721       54518        52449         52127       51330


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US Economic Calendar:

        Friday                     Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
        Jan. 13                     Jan. 17                     Jan. 18                        Jan. 19                       Jan. 20
International Trade        Empire State Mfg              Producer Price Index         Consumer Price Index          Existing Home Sales
                           Survey
Consumer Sentiment         10-Yr Note Settlement         Industrial Production        Housing Starts

Import and Export          6-Month Bill Auction          Housing Market Index         Jobless Claims
Prices




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Keynote commodity daily report 130112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 13th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27689. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 27816. However, it failed to sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure and touched Open 27,689 52,710 5,274 an intra-day low of 27632. It ended the day flat to close at 27665. High 27,816 53,400 5,308 The RSI is placed above its average, which would result in buying Low 27,632 52,603 5,241 support. Moreover, the Stochastic has also moved above its Close 27,665 52,770 5,260 average and is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support . The ADX Prev. Close 27,657 52,607 5,285 line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating sellers % Change 0.03% 0.31% -0.47% have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 Source – MCX and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52710. It moved 12/1/2012 11/1/2012 % Chg. higher to touch an intra-day high of 53400. However, it failed to sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure and touched Gold (gms) 35,570.0 37,308.0 -4.66% an intra-day low of 52603. It ended the day with modest gains to Silver (kgs) 2,026.5 1,819.3 11.39% close at 52770. Crude (bbl) 17,180.8 18,245.0 -5.83% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating Turnover (In Lacs) a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 12/1/2012 11/1/2012 % Chg. and 45824 levels. Gold 986,721.4 1,031,604.0 -4.35% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5274 it moved Silver 1,074,980.2 957,987.2 12.21% lower on back of selling pressure an touched an intra-day low of Crude 905,298.5 962,381.6 -5.93% 5241. However, it managed to move higher on back of short covering and buying support to touch an intra-day high of 5308. Source – MCX However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to close the day at 5260 recording modest losses. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in 13/1/2012 12/1/2012 % Chg. intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has Gold (oz) 1,640.60 1,647.70 -0.43% moved above its average and is placed in the over sold territory, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying Silver (oz) 29.96 30.10 -0.47% support. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, Crude (bbl) 99.57 99.10 0.47% indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5380, 5464, Dollar Index 80.84 80.83 0.00% 5475 and 5500 levels, while the supports are placed at 5200, 5174 and 5115 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5260 5270 5298 5337 5404 5231 5203 5136 GOLD FEB 12 27665 27704 27777 27888 28072 27593 27520 27336 SILVER MAR 12 52770 52924 53246 53721 54518 52449 52127 51330 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Jan. 13 Jan. 17 Jan. 18 Jan. 19 Jan. 20 International Trade Empire State Mfg Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Existing Home Sales Survey Consumer Sentiment 10-Yr Note Settlement Industrial Production Housing Starts Import and Export 6-Month Bill Auction Housing Market Index Jobless Claims Prices Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com