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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                    13th June 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 29798. It
                    Gold         Silver          Crude
                   (4 Aug-12)   (5 Jul-12)     (19 Jun-12)      moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29974. However, it
                                                                managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It
 Open                 29,798        54,668          4,651       touched an intra-day high of 30069. It ended the day with gains to
 High                 30,040        55,240          4,662       close at 29968.
 Low                  29,680        54,500          4,571
                                                                The RSI has moved above its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is
 Close                29,968        55,076          4,638       placed above its average. Both these conditions would lead to
                                                                buying support and short covering at regular intervals. However,
 Prev. Close          29,765        54,694          4,659
                                                                the Stochastic is also place in the over bought zone, which would
 % Change              0.68%        0.70%          -0.45%       lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI
Source – MCX                                                    line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
                                                                GOLD faces resistance at 30156, 30295 and 30500 while the
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                supports are placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels.

                   12/06/2012   11/06/2012         % Chg.       MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54668. It
                                                                moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55240. However it failed
 Gold (gms)          46,165.0     37,048.0         24.61%
                                                                to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
 Silver (kgs)         1,781.8       1,692.9         5.25%       54500. However, it managed to come off the lows for the day to
                                                                end the day with gains to close at 55076.
 Crude (bbl)         23,599.9     23,692.9         -0.39%
Source – MCX                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals.
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways,
                                                                indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at
                   12/06/2012   11/06/2012         % Chg.
                                                                55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are
Gold              1,378,238.9   1,099,119.1        25.39%       placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252 levels.
Silver              977,706.7    924,917.1          5.71%       MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 4651 level. It
Crude             1,089,612.8   1,117,232.0        -2.47%       moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4662. However it failed
                                                                to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
Source – MCX
                                                                4571. It ended the day with losses to close at 4638.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                       The Stochastic is placed below its average and would lead to
                   12/06/2012   12/06/2012         % Chg.       selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average but
                                                                is still placed around the over sold zone, which would lead to short
Gold (oz)            1,609.30     1,612.70         -0.21%
                                                                covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX line and –DI
Silver (oz)             28.79        28.94         -0.55%       line are placed above the 39 level but both have started coming
Crude (bbl)             82.98        83.32         -0.41%       down indicating shorts are getting covered. It faces resistance at
                                                                4720, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4624,
Dollar Index            82.52        82.42          0.11%
                                                                4421, 4259 and 3723.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                     Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
Commodities                      Close        Pivot Point
                                                                     R1          R2           R3         S1          S2          S3

CRUDE JUN 12                      4638              4624           4676        4715          4806      4585        4533        4442

GOLD AUG 12                      29968             29896          30112       30256         30616     29752       29536        29176

SILVER JUL 12                    55076             54939          55377      55679          56419     54637       54199        53459


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US Economic Calendar:

    Wednesday                 Thursday                  Friday                  Monday                  Tuesday
     Jun 13                    Jun 14                   Jun 15                  Jun 18                   Jun 19
Producer Price Index    Consumer Price Index     Industrial Production   Housing Market Index     Housing Starts

Retail Sales            Jobless Claims           Consumer Sentiment      4-Week Bill              FOMC Meeting
                                                                         Announcement             Begins
EIA Petroleum Status    Bloomberg Consumer       Empire State Mfg        3-Month Bill Auction     ICSC-Goldman Store
Report                  Comfort Index            Survey                                           Sales




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Keynote commodity daily report 130612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 13th June 2012 MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 29798. It Gold Silver Crude (4 Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29974. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It Open 29,798 54,668 4,651 touched an intra-day high of 30069. It ended the day with gains to High 30,040 55,240 4,662 close at 29968. Low 29,680 54,500 4,571 The RSI has moved above its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is Close 29,968 55,076 4,638 placed above its average. Both these conditions would lead to buying support and short covering at regular intervals. However, Prev. Close 29,765 54,694 4,659 the Stochastic is also place in the over bought zone, which would % Change 0.68% 0.70% -0.45% lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI Source – MCX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 30156, 30295 and 30500 while the Volume (In 000's) supports are placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels. 12/06/2012 11/06/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54668. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55240. However it failed Gold (gms) 46,165.0 37,048.0 24.61% to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Silver (kgs) 1,781.8 1,692.9 5.25% 54500. However, it managed to come off the lows for the day to end the day with gains to close at 55076. Crude (bbl) 23,599.9 23,692.9 -0.39% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. Turnover (In Lacs) The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 12/06/2012 11/06/2012 % Chg. 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are Gold 1,378,238.9 1,099,119.1 25.39% placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252 levels. Silver 977,706.7 924,917.1 5.71% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 4651 level. It Crude 1,089,612.8 1,117,232.0 -2.47% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4662. However it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Source – MCX 4571. It ended the day with losses to close at 4638. Global Market (Nymex - $) The Stochastic is placed below its average and would lead to 12/06/2012 12/06/2012 % Chg. selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average but is still placed around the over sold zone, which would lead to short Gold (oz) 1,609.30 1,612.70 -0.21% covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX line and –DI Silver (oz) 28.79 28.94 -0.55% line are placed above the 39 level but both have started coming Crude (bbl) 82.98 83.32 -0.41% down indicating shorts are getting covered. It faces resistance at 4720, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4624, Dollar Index 82.52 82.42 0.11% 4421, 4259 and 3723. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 4638 4624 4676 4715 4806 4585 4533 4442 GOLD AUG 12 29968 29896 30112 30256 30616 29752 29536 29176 SILVER JUL 12 55076 54939 55377 55679 56419 54637 54199 53459 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Jun 13 Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 18 Jun 19 Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Industrial Production Housing Market Index Housing Starts Retail Sales Jobless Claims Consumer Sentiment 4-Week Bill FOMC Meeting Announcement Begins EIA Petroleum Status Bloomberg Consumer Empire State Mfg 3-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Report Comfort Index Survey Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com