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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           14th February 2012

                                                                  MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28240. It moved
                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)     (20 Feb-12)     lower to touch an intra-day low of 28018. However, it managed a
                                                                  bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
 Open                    28,240        56,925          4,929
                                                                  28240. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 28119.
 High                    28,240        57,038          4,964

 Low                     28,018        56,433          4,901      The RSI has slipped below its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is
 Close                   28,119        56,664          4,953      already placed below its average and is still placed in the over
                                                                  bought zone. Both these conditions would lead to profit taking and
 Prev. Close             28,259        56,875          4,926
                                                                  selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving
 % Change                -0.50%       -0.37%           0.55%      sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces
Source – MCX                                                      resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are
                                                                  placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                       13/2/2012    11/2/2012         % Chg.      MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 56925. It moved
                                                                  higher to touch an intra-day high of 57038. However, it failed to
 Gold (gms)             35,898.0      1,362.0      2535.68%
                                                                  sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of
 Silver (kgs)            1,414.5           59.1    2293.35%       56433. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56664.
 Crude (bbl)            12,866.9        581.7      2111.95%
Source – MCX                                                      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                  averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                          pressure and profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are
                                                                  moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces
                       13/2/2012    11/2/2012         % Chg.      resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports
Gold                 1,009,805.9     38,488.4      2523.67%       are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.

Silver                 802,640.2     33,622.7      2287.20%
                                                                  MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4929 level. It
Crude                  634,544.8     28,649.7      2114.84%       moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4901. However, it
Source – MCX                                                      managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day
                                                                  high of 4964. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 4953.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)

                       14/2/2012    13/2/2012         % Chg.      The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular
                                                                  bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below
Gold (oz)               1,720.00     1,723.00         -0.17%
                                                                  its average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would
Silver (oz)                33.51        33.72         -0.63%      lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI
Crude (bbl)              100.53        100.91         -0.38%      line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It faces
                                                                  resistance at, 5003, 5065 and 5115, while the supports are placed
Dollar Index               79.21        78.78          0.54%
                                                                  at 4950, 4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close            Pivot Point             R1            R2          R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4953                     4939         4978          5002       5065          4915         4876        4813

 GOLD APR 12                         28119                  28126          28233          28348      28570        28011         27904       27682

 SILVER MAR 12                       56664                  56712          56990          57317      57922        56385         56107       55502


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US Economic Calendar:

       Tuesday                   Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Tuesday
       Feb. 14                    Feb. 15                        Feb. 16                       Feb. 17                      Feb. 21
Retail Sales Data          Industrial Production         Jobless Claims               Consumer Price Index          4-Week Bill
                                                                                                                    Announcement
Import and Export          FOMC Meeting                  Housing Starts               Leading Indicators            3-Month Bill Auction
Prices                     Minutes
Business Inventories       Housing Market Index          Producer Price Index                                       2-Year Note Auction




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Keynote commodity daily report 140212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 14th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28240. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 28018. However, it managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of Open 28,240 56,925 4,929 28240. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 28119. High 28,240 57,038 4,964 Low 28,018 56,433 4,901 The RSI has slipped below its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is Close 28,119 56,664 4,953 already placed below its average and is still placed in the over bought zone. Both these conditions would lead to profit taking and Prev. Close 28,259 56,875 4,926 selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving % Change -0.50% -0.37% 0.55% sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces Source – MCX resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) 13/2/2012 11/2/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 56925. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57038. However, it failed to Gold (gms) 35,898.0 1,362.0 2535.68% sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of Silver (kgs) 1,414.5 59.1 2293.35% 56433. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56664. Crude (bbl) 12,866.9 581.7 2111.95% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling Turnover (In Lacs) pressure and profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces 13/2/2012 11/2/2012 % Chg. resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports Gold 1,009,805.9 38,488.4 2523.67% are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Silver 802,640.2 33,622.7 2287.20% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4929 level. It Crude 634,544.8 28,649.7 2114.84% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4901. However, it Source – MCX managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of 4964. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 4953. Global Market (Nymex - $) 14/2/2012 13/2/2012 % Chg. The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below Gold (oz) 1,720.00 1,723.00 -0.17% its average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would Silver (oz) 33.51 33.72 -0.63% lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI Crude (bbl) 100.53 100.91 -0.38% line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It faces resistance at, 5003, 5065 and 5115, while the supports are placed Dollar Index 79.21 78.78 0.54% at 4950, 4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4953 4939 4978 5002 5065 4915 4876 4813 GOLD APR 12 28119 28126 28233 28348 28570 28011 27904 27682 SILVER MAR 12 56664 56712 56990 57317 57922 56385 56107 55502 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Tuesday Feb. 14 Feb. 15 Feb. 16 Feb. 17 Feb. 21 Retail Sales Data Industrial Production Jobless Claims Consumer Price Index 4-Week Bill Announcement Import and Export FOMC Meeting Housing Starts Leading Indicators 3-Month Bill Auction Prices Minutes Business Inventories Housing Market Index Producer Price Index 2-Year Note Auction Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com