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Keynote commodity daily report 140512

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Keynote commodity daily report 140512

  1. 1. Daily Commodity Report 15th May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28344. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (21 May-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 28332. However, it managed to bounce back and move higher. It touched an intra-day high of Open 28,344 54,100 5,152 28389. It ended the day on a flat note to close at 28365. High 28,389 54,250 5,152 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Low 28,332 54,098 5,137 averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Close 28,365 54,130 5,146 Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line and the +DI line Prev. Close 28,357 54,140 5,161 are moving sideways but the -DI line is currently placed at 32.92 % Change 0.03% -0.02% -0.29% and has come off the recent highs indicating sellers are covering their shorts at lower levels. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, Source – MCX 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557 and 26517 levels. Volume (In 000's) 12/5/2012 11/5/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54100. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54250. However, it Gold (gms) 1,648.0 35,022.0 -95.29% failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Silver (kgs) 45.8 2,164.7 -97.89% 54098. It ended the day flat to close at 54130. Crude (bbl) 644.0 15,491.1 -95.84% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line, –DI Turnover (In Lacs) and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. 12/5/2012 11/5/2012 % Chg. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 Gold 46,730.1 993,665.8 -95.30% levels. Silver 24,782.8 1,169,340.5 -97.88% MCX CRUDE (21 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5152 level Crude 33,137.7 799,466.5 -95.86% Incidentally; this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower Source – MCX to touch an intra-day low of 5137. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 5146. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling 14/5/2012 12/5/2012 % Chg. pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and is placed in the over sold zone, while the RSI is on verge of moving Gold (oz) 1,582.00 1,584.00 -0.13% in the over sold territory. These conditions would lead to short Silver (oz) 28.78 28.87 -0.33% covering and buying at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. The -DI line is placed at 35.14 level and has Crude (bbl) 95.42 96.13 -0.74% come off the highs indicating sellers are covering their shorts at Dollar Index 80.43 80.26 0.20% regular intervals. It faces resistance at 5160, 5264 and 5392, while Source – www.cmegroup.com the supports are placed at 5057, 4905 and 4722 levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5146 5145 5153 5160 5175 5138 5130 5115 GOLD JUN 12 28365 28362 28392 28419 28476 28335 28305 28248 SILVER JUL 12 54130 54159 54221 54311 54463 54069 54007 53855 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Monday May 14 May 15 May 16 May 17 May 21 4-Week Bill Consumer Price Index Industrial Production Jobless Claims Chicago Fed National Announcement Activity Index 3-Month Bill Auction Retail Sales Data Housing Starts Bloomberg Consumer 4-Week Bill Comfort Index Announcement 6-Month Bill Auction Housing Market Index FOMC Minutes E-Commerce Retail 3-Month Bill Auction Announcements Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com

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