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Keynote commodity daily report 160112

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Keynote commodity daily report 160112

  1. 1. Daily Commodity Report 16th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27540. Incidentally, Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) this was the highest price for the day. However, it moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27450 on back of profit taking and selling Open 27,450 52,134 5,106 pressure. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 27507. High 27,540 52,172 5,125 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Low 27,450 52,100 5,101 averages, which would result in selling pressure. However, the Close 27,507 52,124 5,105 Stochastic is still placed in the over sold zone which, would lead to Prev. Close 27,427 52,001 5,082 intermediate bouts of short covering at lower levels. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, while the -DI line is placed at % Change 0.29% 0.24% 0.45% 32.26 level indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD Source – MCX faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52134. It moved 14/1/2012 13/1/2012 % Chg. higher to touch an intra-day high of 52172. However, it failed to Gold (gms) 2,227.0 46,660.0 -95.23% sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure and touched an intra-day low of 52100. It ended the day with modest gains to Silver (kgs) 50.3 1,918.2 -97.38% close at 52124. Crude (bbl) 543.2 21,922.3 -97.52% Source – MCX The RSI is placed above their respective averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average and would lead to profit Turnover (In Lacs) taking and selling pressure at higher levels. The ADX line, -DI line 14/1/2012 13/1/2012 % Chg. and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184, 56480 levels, while Gold 61,261.0 1,282,296.6 -95.22% the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels. Silver 26,197.6 1,001,170.1 -97.38% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5106 level. It Crude 27,755.5 1,120,987.9 -97.52% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5125. However, it failed Source – MCX to sustain and moved lower on back of selling pressure. It touched an intra-day low of 5101. It ended the day with modest gains to Global Market (Nymex - $) close the day at 5105. 16/1/2012 14/1/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,640.90 1,630.80 0.62% averages, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling pressure. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. Silver (oz) 29.53 29.49 0.11% However, -DI line is placed at 34.14 indicating sellers have an upper Crude (bbl) 98.86 98.70 0.16% hand. It faces resistance at 5115, 5174, 5200 and 5380, while the Dollar Index 81.56 81.46 0.13% supports are placed at 5065, 4950 and 4903 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5105 5110 5120 5134 5158 5096 5086 5062 GOLD FEB 12 27507 27499 27548 27589 27679 27458 27409 27319 SILVER MAR 12 52124 52132 52164 52204 52276 52092 52060 51988 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Jan. 17 Jan. 18 Jan. 19 Jan. 20 Jan. 23 Empire State Mfg Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Existing Home Sales 4-Week Bill Survey Announcement 10-Yr Note Settlement Industrial Production Housing Starts 3-Month Bill Auction 6-Month Bill Auction Housing Market Index Jobless Claims 6-Month Bill Auction Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com

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