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Keynote commodity daily report 190112

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Keynote commodity daily report 190112

  1. 1. Daily Commodity Report 19th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27550. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 27582. However, it failed to sustain and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27327 on Open 27,550 53,099 5,119 back of profit taking and selling pressure. It ended the day with High 27,582 53,515 5,152 modest losses to close at 27475. Low 27,327 52,845 5,046 The RSI has slipped below its average, which would result in selling Close 27,475 53,428 5,062 pressure. However, the Stochastic still placed near the over sold Prev. Close 27,588 53,207 5,107 zone but is placed above its average, which would result in intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support. The ADX % Change -0.41% 0.42% -0.88% line and +DI line are moving sideways, while –DI line is placed Source – MCX above 30 indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports Volume (In 000's) are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. 18/1/2012 17/1/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 53099. It moved Gold (gms) 48,561.0 48,937.0 -0.77% lower to touch an intra-day low of 52845. However, it moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 53515. It ended the day with modest Silver (kgs) 2,111.7 2,659.8 -20.60% gains to close at 53428. Crude (bbl) 20,063.7 14,313.7 40.17% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line has moved above the 30 Turnover (In Lacs) level, indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces 18/1/2012 17/1/2012 % Chg. resistance at 53874, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 53200, 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels. Gold 1,333,141.0 1,353,847.9 -1.53% Silver 1,123,195.3 1,417,780.0 -20.78% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 5137 level. It managed to move higher on back of short covering and buying Crude 1,024,892.9 732,055.6 40.00% support. It touched an intra-day high of 5183. However, it moved Source – MCX lower to touch an intra-day low of 5083. It ended the day with modest losses to close the day at 5096. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in 19/1/2012 18/1/2012 % Chg. intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is Gold (oz) 1,663.00 1,659.50 0.21% placed above its average, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support and short covering. The ADX line and +DI line are Silver (oz) 30.55 30.52 0.10% moving sideways. However, -DI line is placed at 33.20 indicating Crude (bbl) 101.53 100.59 0.93% sellers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5115, 5174, 5200 Dollar Index 80.44 80.48 -0.05% and 5380, while the supports are placed at 5065, 4950 and 4903 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 5096 5121 5158 5221 5321 5058 5021 4921 GOLD FEB 12 27475 27461 27596 27716 27971 27341 27206 26951 SILVER MAR 12 53428 53263 53680 53933 54603 53010 52593 51923 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Jan. 19 Jan. 20 Jan. 23 Jan. 24 Jan. 25 Jobless Claims Existing Home Sales 4-Week Bill FOMC Meeting Begins FOMC Meeting Announcement Announcement Consumer Price Index 3-Month Bill Auction US President Barack Pending Home Sales Obama Speaks Index Housing Starts 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Sales Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com

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