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Keynote commodity daily report 200112

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Keynote commodity daily report 200112

  1. 1. Daily Commodity Report 20th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27490. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 27569. However, it failed to sustain and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27308 on Open 27,490 53,428 5,109 back of profit taking and selling pressure. It ended the day with High 27,569 53,860 5,168 modest losses to close at 27347. Low 27,308 53,232 5,080 The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, Close 27,347 53,387 5,091 which would result in selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed near the over sold zone, which would result in Prev. Close 27,475 53,428 5,096 intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support. The ADX % Change -0.47% -0.08% -0.10% line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 Source – MCX and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) 19/1/2012 18/1/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened unchanged at 53428. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 53860. However, it failed Gold (gms) 40,116.0 48,561.0 -17.39% to sustain and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 53232 on Silver (kgs) 1,769.8 2,111.7 -16.19% back of profit taking and selling pressure. It ended the day flat to close at 53387. Crude (bbl) 10,128.4 20,063.7 -49.52% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX line, -DI Turnover (In Lacs) line are moving sideways but +DI line is placed at 32.16 level, indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance 19/1/2012 18/1/2012 % Chg. at 53874, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at Gold 1,101,126.0 1,333,141.0 -17.40% 53200, 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels. Silver 947,777.7 1,123,195.3 -15.62% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened at 5109 level. It managed Crude 519,965.0 1,024,892.9 -49.27% to move higher on back of short covering and buying support. It touched an intra-day high of 5168. However, it failed to sustain and Source – MCX moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5080. It ended the day with modest losses to close the day at 5091. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, 20/1/2012 19/1/2012 % Chg. which would result in intermediate bouts of selling pressure. Gold (oz) 1,654.90 1,654.50 0.02% However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX line Silver (oz) 30.57 30.49 0.25% and +DI line are moving sideways. However, -DI line is placed at Crude (bbl) 100.35 100.39 -0.04% 31.67 indicating sellers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at Dollar Index 80.44 80.48 -0.05% 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports are placed at 5003, 4950 and 4903 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 5091 5113 5146 5201 5289 5058 5025 4937 GOLD FEB 12 27347 27408 27508 27669 27930 27247 27147 26886 SILVER MAR 12 53387 53493 53754 54121 54749 53126 52865 52237 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Jan. 20 Jan. 23 Jan. 24 Jan. 25 Jan. 26 Existing Home Sales 4-Week Bill FOMC Meeting Begins FOMC Meeting Jobless Claims Announcement Announcement 3-Month Bill Auction US President Barack Pending Home Sales Durable Goods Orders Obama Speaks Index 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status New Home Sales Sales Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com

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