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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                         24th January 2012

                                                                     MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27489. It moved
                       Gold          Silver            Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)        (20 Feb-12)
                                                                     lower to touch an intra-day low of 27408. However, it recovered and
                                                                     moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 27594 on back of short
 Open                    27,489        55,666              4,975     covering and buying support. It ended the day with marginal gains
 High                    27,594        56,490              5,029     to close at 27510.

 Low                     27,408        55,232              4,936     The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages,
 Close                   27,510        55,565              5,020     which would result in buying support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI
                                                                     line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
 Prev. Close             27,490        55,548              4,979
                                                                     GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while
 % Change                 0.07%         0.03%             0.82%      the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                     MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 55666. It moved
                                                                     higher to touch an intra-day high of 56490. However, it failed to
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                     sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 55232
                       23/1/2012     21/1/2012           % Chg.      on back of selling pressure and profit taking. It ended the day flat to
                                                                     close at 55565.
 Gold (gms)             33,663.0      2,365.00         1323.38%

 Silver (kgs)            2,873.6           186.4       1441.62%      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                     averages, which would result in buying support. However, the
 Crude (bbl)            18,040.0           473.1       3713.15%
                                                                     Stochastic is placed in the over bought territory and would lead to
Source – MCX                                                         profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving
                                                                     sideways but +DI line is placed at 40.32 level, indicating buyers are
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                             gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56578, 56952 and
                                                                     57190 levels, while the supports are placed at 53387, 52001, 51749
                       23/1/2012     21/1/2012           % Chg.      and 50218 levels.
Gold                   926,481.4     65,026.40         1324.78%
                                                                     MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4975 level. It
Silver               1,608,122.5    103,592.70         1452.35%      moved lower on back of selling pressure to touch an intra-day low of
Crude                  899,524.2     23,552.60         3719.21%
                                                                     4936. However, it managed to bounce back to touch an intra-day
                                                                     high of 5029. It ended the day with moderate gains to close the day
Source – MCX                                                         at 5020.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                         The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in
                                                                     intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is
                       24/1/2012     23/1/2012           % Chg.
                                                                     placed above its average and is also placed in the over sold zone,
Gold (oz)               1,675.90      1,678.30           -0.14%      which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying
Silver (oz)                32.40           32.25          0.46%
                                                                     support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways.. It
                                                                     faces resistance at 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports
Crude (bbl)                99.74           99.58          0.16%      are placed at 5003, 4950, 4903 and 4877 levels.
Dollar Index               79.92           79.80          0.15%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance               Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close           Pivot Point            R1                R2      R3              S1             S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                       5020                 4995           5054           5088        5181           4961           4902        4809

 GOLD FEB 12                       27510                27504          27600          27690      27876           27414          27318       27132

 SILVER MAR 12                     55565                55762          56293          57020      58278           55035          54504       53246


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US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                    Wednesday                     Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
       Jan. 24                    Jan. 25                       Jan. 26                       Jan. 27                      Jan. 30
FOMC Meeting Begins       FOMC Meeting                  Jobless Claims               US GDP Data                   Personal Income and
                          Announcement                                                                             Outlays
US President Barack       Pending Home Sales            Durable Goods Orders         Consumer Sentiment            4-Week Bill
Obama Speaks              Index                                                                                    Announcement
ICSC-Goldman Store        EIA Petroleum Status          New Home Sales                                             6-Month Bill Auction
Sales                     Report




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Keynote commodity daily report 240112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 24th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27489. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 27408. However, it recovered and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 27594 on back of short Open 27,489 55,666 4,975 covering and buying support. It ended the day with marginal gains High 27,594 56,490 5,029 to close at 27510. Low 27,408 55,232 4,936 The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, Close 27,510 55,565 5,020 which would result in buying support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Prev. Close 27,490 55,548 4,979 GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while % Change 0.07% 0.03% 0.82% the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 55666. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 56490. However, it failed to Volume (In 000's) sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 55232 23/1/2012 21/1/2012 % Chg. on back of selling pressure and profit taking. It ended the day flat to close at 55565. Gold (gms) 33,663.0 2,365.00 1323.38% Silver (kgs) 2,873.6 186.4 1441.62% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would result in buying support. However, the Crude (bbl) 18,040.0 473.1 3713.15% Stochastic is placed in the over bought territory and would lead to Source – MCX profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is placed at 40.32 level, indicating buyers are Turnover (In Lacs) gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56578, 56952 and 57190 levels, while the supports are placed at 53387, 52001, 51749 23/1/2012 21/1/2012 % Chg. and 50218 levels. Gold 926,481.4 65,026.40 1324.78% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4975 level. It Silver 1,608,122.5 103,592.70 1452.35% moved lower on back of selling pressure to touch an intra-day low of Crude 899,524.2 23,552.60 3719.21% 4936. However, it managed to bounce back to touch an intra-day high of 5029. It ended the day with moderate gains to close the day Source – MCX at 5020. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is 24/1/2012 23/1/2012 % Chg. placed above its average and is also placed in the over sold zone, Gold (oz) 1,675.90 1,678.30 -0.14% which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying Silver (oz) 32.40 32.25 0.46% support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways.. It faces resistance at 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports Crude (bbl) 99.74 99.58 0.16% are placed at 5003, 4950, 4903 and 4877 levels. Dollar Index 79.92 79.80 0.15% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 5020 4995 5054 5088 5181 4961 4902 4809 GOLD FEB 12 27510 27504 27600 27690 27876 27414 27318 27132 SILVER MAR 12 55565 55762 56293 57020 58278 55035 54504 53246 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Jan. 24 Jan. 25 Jan. 26 Jan. 27 Jan. 30 FOMC Meeting Begins FOMC Meeting Jobless Claims US GDP Data Personal Income and Announcement Outlays US President Barack Pending Home Sales Durable Goods Orders Consumer Sentiment 4-Week Bill Obama Speaks Index Announcement ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status New Home Sales 6-Month Bill Auction Sales Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com