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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                               8th November 2012
                                                                  MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) โ€“
                    Gold            Silver             Crude
                   (5 Dec-12)      (5 Dec-12)      (15 Nov-12)    Gold opened marginally higher at 31274 and moved further higher
 Open                 31,274             60,000          4,804    to touch an intra-day high of 31444. However, it failed to sustain
                                                                  higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 31022. It
 High                 31,444             60,229          4,823
                                                                  ended the day with modest losses to close at 31206.
 Low                  31,022             58,385          4,617
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                31,206             59,252          4,643    averages, which would lead to buying support. Though the +DI line
 Prev. Close          31,273             59,910          4,794    is placed above the 33 level it is declining, indicating buyers are
                                                                  booking profits at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces resistance at
 % Change             -0.21%             -1.10%         -3.15%
                                                                  31348, 31467 and 31937 while the support levels are placed at
Source โ€“ MCX                                                      30837, 30428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859.

                    Volume (In 000's)                             MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) โ€“
                    7-Nov-12        6-Nov-12            % Chg.    Silver opened higher at 60000 and moved further higher to touch
 Gold (gms)          59,987.0           42,734.0        40.37%
                                                                  an intra-day high of 60229. However, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                                  moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 58385. It ended the day
 Silver (kgs)         3,250.7            2,128.5        52.72%    with moderate losses to close at 59252.
 Crude (bbl)         36,020.7           24,160.5        49.09%
                                                                  The Stochastic and the RSI are already placed above their
Source โ€“ MCX                                                      respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX
                                                                  line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                             bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59512, 60750, 61398,
                                                                  61912, 62273, and 64600 while the supports are placed at 57400,
                    7-Nov-12        6-Nov-12            % Chg.
                                                                  56953 and 53621 levels.
Gold              1,876,309.4     1,325,786.5           41.52%

Silver            1,934,709.8     1,258,452.3           53.74%    MCX CRUDE (15 NOVEMBER 12) โ€“
Crude             1,701,545.1     1,142,852.0           48.89%
                                                                  Crude opened higher at 4804 and moved further higher to touch an
Source โ€“ MCX                                                      intra-day high of 4823. However, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                                  moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4617. It ended the day
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                         with large losses to close at 4643.
                        08/11/2012        07/11/2012    % Chg.    The Stochastic and the RSI are already placed above their
 Gold (oz)                 1,716.70         1,714.00     0.16%    respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX
                                                                  line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range
 Silver (oz)                    31.80          31.66     0.44%
                                                                  bound trend. It faces resistance at 4692, 4760, 4892, 4950 and
 WTI Crude (bbl)                84.86          84.44     0.50%    5000 while the supports are placed at 4603, 4578 and 4467.
 Brent Crude (bbl)          107.33            106.82     0.48%
                                                                  NOTE โ€“ Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
 Dollar Index                   80.81          80.80     0.01%    Basis
Source โ€“ www.cmegroup.com




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai โ€“ 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Crude futures drop on rising supply
Oil fell from a two-week high in New York amid speculation that US crude inventories rose last week and as Greece
prepared to vote on austerity measures. Futures slid as much as 1.6% after surging 3.6% on Tuesday. Greek
parliamentarians will vote later on Wednesday on proposed spending cuts amid concern that Europe's debt crisis may
curb demand for fuels. US oil stockpiles probably increased last week for a fourth time in five weeks, an Energy
Department report may show on Wednesday.
Gold imports slow as prices steady near 2-week high
Gold importers in India, the world's biggest buyer of the yellow metal, slowed purchases in the peak festival season as
prices steadied near their highest level in more than two weeks. At 0923 GMT, the most-active gold for December
delivery on the Multi Commodity Exchange was 0.08 per cent higher at Rs 31,298 per 10 grams, after hitting a high of
Rs 31,393, nearing a level last seen on October 19.
Source: ET

Economic Calendar:

  Countries /                 Thursday                             Friday                            Monday

   Regions                      08/Nov                            09/Nov                             12/Nov

                                                                                         Indian Manufacturing Output
     India                                               Indian FX Reserves, USD
                                                                                                   (MoM)
                                                                                          Indian Industrial Production
                                                                                                     (YoY)




      US             Continuing Jobless Claims          Import Price Index (MoM)

                                                           Michigan Consumer
                            Trade Balance
                                                               Sentiment

                        30-Year Bond Auction



                                                                                          Japan Industrial Production
    Global          Euro Interest Rate Decision         Chinese Retail Sales (YoY)
                                                                                                    (MoM)

                                                       UK CB Leading Index (MoM)




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai โ€“ 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stockโ€™s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a companyโ€™s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
companyโ€™s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
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No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltdโ€™s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai โ€“ 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 081112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 8th November 2012 MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) โ€“ Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-12) (5 Dec-12) (15 Nov-12) Gold opened marginally higher at 31274 and moved further higher Open 31,274 60,000 4,804 to touch an intra-day high of 31444. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 31022. It High 31,444 60,229 4,823 ended the day with modest losses to close at 31206. Low 31,022 58,385 4,617 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 31,206 59,252 4,643 averages, which would lead to buying support. Though the +DI line Prev. Close 31,273 59,910 4,794 is placed above the 33 level it is declining, indicating buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces resistance at % Change -0.21% -1.10% -3.15% 31348, 31467 and 31937 while the support levels are placed at Source โ€“ MCX 30837, 30428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) โ€“ 7-Nov-12 6-Nov-12 % Chg. Silver opened higher at 60000 and moved further higher to touch Gold (gms) 59,987.0 42,734.0 40.37% an intra-day high of 60229. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 58385. It ended the day Silver (kgs) 3,250.7 2,128.5 52.72% with moderate losses to close at 59252. Crude (bbl) 36,020.7 24,160.5 49.09% The Stochastic and the RSI are already placed above their Source โ€“ MCX respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range Turnover (In Lacs) bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59512, 60750, 61398, 61912, 62273, and 64600 while the supports are placed at 57400, 7-Nov-12 6-Nov-12 % Chg. 56953 and 53621 levels. Gold 1,876,309.4 1,325,786.5 41.52% Silver 1,934,709.8 1,258,452.3 53.74% MCX CRUDE (15 NOVEMBER 12) โ€“ Crude 1,701,545.1 1,142,852.0 48.89% Crude opened higher at 4804 and moved further higher to touch an Source โ€“ MCX intra-day high of 4823. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4617. It ended the day Global Market (Nymex - $) with large losses to close at 4643. 08/11/2012 07/11/2012 % Chg. The Stochastic and the RSI are already placed above their Gold (oz) 1,716.70 1,714.00 0.16% respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range Silver (oz) 31.80 31.66 0.44% bound trend. It faces resistance at 4692, 4760, 4892, 4950 and WTI Crude (bbl) 84.86 84.44 0.50% 5000 while the supports are placed at 4603, 4578 and 4467. Brent Crude (bbl) 107.33 106.82 0.48% NOTE โ€“ Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Dollar Index 80.81 80.80 0.01% Basis Source โ€“ www.cmegroup.com Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai โ€“ 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Crude futures drop on rising supply Oil fell from a two-week high in New York amid speculation that US crude inventories rose last week and as Greece prepared to vote on austerity measures. Futures slid as much as 1.6% after surging 3.6% on Tuesday. Greek parliamentarians will vote later on Wednesday on proposed spending cuts amid concern that Europe's debt crisis may curb demand for fuels. US oil stockpiles probably increased last week for a fourth time in five weeks, an Energy Department report may show on Wednesday. Gold imports slow as prices steady near 2-week high Gold importers in India, the world's biggest buyer of the yellow metal, slowed purchases in the peak festival season as prices steadied near their highest level in more than two weeks. At 0923 GMT, the most-active gold for December delivery on the Multi Commodity Exchange was 0.08 per cent higher at Rs 31,298 per 10 grams, after hitting a high of Rs 31,393, nearing a level last seen on October 19. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Regions 08/Nov 09/Nov 12/Nov Indian Manufacturing Output India Indian FX Reserves, USD (MoM) Indian Industrial Production (YoY) US Continuing Jobless Claims Import Price Index (MoM) Michigan Consumer Trade Balance Sentiment 30-Year Bond Auction Japan Industrial Production Global Euro Interest Rate Decision Chinese Retail Sales (YoY) (MoM) UK CB Leading Index (MoM) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai โ€“ 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stockโ€™s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a companyโ€™s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a companyโ€™s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltdโ€™s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai โ€“ 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com