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Keynote commodity daily report for 091012
Keynote commodity daily report for 091012
Keynote commodity daily report for 091012
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Keynote commodity daily report for 091012

  1. Daily Commodity Report 9th October 2012 MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) – Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-12) (5 Dec-12) (19 Oct-12) Gold opened lower at 31136 but moved lower to touch an intra-day Open 31,136 61,725 4,685 low of 31081. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to touch an intra-day high of 31362. It ended the day with High 31,362 61,725 4,719 moderate gains to close at 31331. Low 31,081 61,043 4,625 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 31,331 61,474 4,700 averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, +DI Prev. Close 31,167 61,800 4,678 line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31348, 31467, 31937, 32100, % Change 0.53% -0.53% 0.47% 32393 and 32421 while the support levels are placed at 30837, Source – MCX 30428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859. Positional Call – Buy MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) above Volume (In 000's) 31350, Stop Loss 31000 Target of 32100 08/10/2012 06/10/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – Gold (gms) 29,499.0 1,357.0 2073.84% Silver opened lower at 61725. Incidentally, this was the highest Silver (kgs) 1,398.6 54.3 2475.69% price recorded for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low Crude (bbl) 23,568.4 580.0 3963.52% of 61043. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 61474. Source – MCX The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average Turnover (In Lacs) and is still placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short 08/10/2012 06/10/2012 % Chg. covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. Gold 920,991.1 42,275.0 2078.57% MCX Silver faces resistance at 61912, 62273, 64600, 65723 and 66000 while the supports are placed at 61398, 60750 and 59512 Silver 858,361.7 33,552.8 2458.24% levels. Crude 1,102,209.3 27,138.0 3961.50% MCX CRUDE (19 OCTOBER 12) – Source – MCX Crude opened higher at 4685. It failed to sustain higher and moved Global Market (Nymex - $) lower to touch an intra-day low of 4625. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It moved higher to 09/10/2012 08/10/2012 % Chg. touch an intra-day high of 4719. It ended the day with modest gains Gold (oz) 1,780.70 1,775.70 0.28% to close at 4700. Silver (oz) 34.24 34.02 0.64% The RSI has moved above its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is WTI Crude 90.23 89.33 1.01% already placed above its average. Both the RSI and the Stochastic are still placed around the over sold zone. These conditions would Brent Crude 112.62 111.82 0.72% lead to regular bouts of short covering and buying support. The Dollar Index 79.53 79.60 -0.09% ADX line and –DI line are moving higher, indicating sellers are Source – www.cmegroup.com using higher levels as an opportunity to build fresh short positions. It faces resistance at 4760, 4892, 4950 and 5050 while the supports are placed at 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467 NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. Commodity News: Gold inches up after two-day slide; growth worries weigh Gold inched up after two days of decline, but persistent worries about the euro zone debt crisis and global growth could weigh on bullion, as these concerns keep the dollar strong. Speculative interest in gold remained strong, as stimulus measures launched by key central banks in September drive investors to gold, a hedge against inflation and currency debasement caused by looser monetary policy. Holdings in the gold-backed exchange-traded funds rose to a historic high of 74.73 million ounces by Oct. 7, up 6 percent over the past two months during which gold prices climbed nearly 10 percent. Silver futures fall on weak global trend Silver prices fell by Rs 603 to Rs 61,197 per kg in futures trade today after participants reduced positions amid a weak trend overseas. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, Silver for delivery in December fell by Rs 603, or 0.98 per cent, to Rs 61,197 per kg, with a business turnover of 15,356 lots. Similarly, the metal for delivery in March moved down by Rs 608, or 0.96 per cent, to Rs 62,898 per kg, with a business turnover of 562 lots. Source:ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Tuesday Thursday Wednesday Regions 09/Oct 10/Oct 11/Oct India IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Monthly Budget Statement US Wholesale Inventories (Aug) (MoM) (Oct) (Sep) NFIB Business Optimism 10-Year Note Auction 30-Year Bond Auction Index (Sep) GBP Trade Balance; non-EU JPY Bank lending (YoY) Spain Consumer Price Index Global (Aug) (Sep) (YoY) (Sep) Greece Consumer Price Germany Wholesale Price ECB Monthly Report (Oct) Index (YoY) (Sep) Index (MoM) (Sep) Japan Bank of Japan Monthly Greece Unemployment Rate Economic Survey (MoM) (Jul) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
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