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Keynote commodity daily report for 261012

Keynote Capitals Ltd.
26 Oct 2012
Keynote commodity daily report for 261012
Keynote commodity daily report for 261012
Keynote commodity daily report for 261012
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Keynote commodity daily report for 261012

  1. Daily Commodity Report 26th October 2012 MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) – Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-12) (5 Dec-12) (15 Nov-12) Gold opened higher at 30875. However, it failed to sustain higher Open 30,875 59,151 4,650 and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 31874. However, it managed bounce back and moved higher and touched an intra-day High 30,972 59,620 4,677 high of 31975. It ended the day with modest gains to close at Low 30,851 59,151 4,610 30926. Close 30,926 59,449 4,635 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Prev. Close 30,845 59,000 4,649 averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and the -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound % Change 0.26% 0.76% -0.30% trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31348, 31467, 31937, 32100, Source – MCX 32393 and 32421 while the support levels are placed at 30837, 30428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – 25-Oct-12 24-Oct-12 % Chg. Gold (gms) 23,444.0 14,092.0 66.36% Silver opened higher at 59151. Incidentally, this was the lowest price recorded for the day. It managed to move higher and touched Silver (kgs) 998.0 895.1 11.50% an intra-day high of 59620. It ended the day with moderate gains to Crude (bbl) 19,483.6 18,612.4 4.68% close at 59449. Source – MCX The Stochastic and the RSI have moved above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, the Turnover (In Lacs) +DI line and the -DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59512, 60750, 61398, 25-Oct-12 24-Oct-12 % Chg. 61912, 62273, and 64600 while the supports are placed at 56953 Gold 724,679.5 435,765.1 66.30% and 53621 levels. Silver 592,981.4 529,975.9 11.89% MCX CRUDE (15 NOVEMBER 12) – Crude 905,187.5 868,055.2 4.28% Crude opened higher at 4650. It moved further higher and touched Source – MCX an intra-day high of 4677. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4610. It ended the day Global Market (Nymex - $) with modest losses to close at 4635. 26/10/2012 25/10/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,707.60 1,713.00 -0.32% averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line is moving higher, while the -DI line has fallen but still remains placed Silver (oz) 31.87 32.08 -0.65% above the 30 level, indicating sellers are covering shorts at regular WTI Crude 85.53 86.05 -0.60% intervals. It faces resistance at 4692, 4760, 4892 and 4950 while Brent Crude 107.87 108.49 -0.57% the supports are placed at 4603, 4578 and 4467. Dollar Index 80.03 80.08 -0.06% NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Source – www.cmegroup.com Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. Commodity News: Brent rises towards $109 on positive economic data Brent crude oil rose to around $109 per barrel on Thursday, consolidating after seven days of falls as better-than- expected data suggested the world economy was recovering, but analysts said the overall outlook for oil prices was bearish. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, in a sign that the labor market of the world's top oil consumer is healing. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 23,000 to a seasonally adjusted 369,000, the U.S. Labor Department said on Thursday. Gold gains as dollar drops, Indian festivals may boost demand Gold today climbed for the first time in three days on signs the start of festivals in India has boosted purchases as a drop in the dollar may add to demand. The precious metal advanced by 0.8 per cent to USD 1,714.82 an ounce and silver jumped 1.2 per cent to USD 32.14 an ounce. The festive season in India, the biggest buyer of gold, began with Dussehra yesterday and ends in November with Diwali, followed by weddings. Indians traditionally buy gold during these months. Gold yesterday declined below USD 1,700 an ounce for the first time since September 7 as the dollar gained against the euro. Source : ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 26/Oct 29/Oct 30/Oct India Core Personal Consumption Gross Domestic Product S&P/Case-Shiller Home US Expenditure - Prices Index Annualized (Q3) Price Indices (YoY) (Aug) (YoY) (Sep) Gross Domestic Purchases Consumer Confidence (Oct) Price Index (Q3) Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Oct) Spain Unemployment Japan Vehicle Production Global UK Consumer Credit (Sep) Survey (Q3) (YoY) (Sep) Spain Gross Domestic Greece Producer Price Product - Estimated (QoQ) Index (YoY) (Sep) (Q3) Japan Unemployment Rate Euro Consumer Confidence (Sep) (Oct) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
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