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Keynote commodity daily report for 270812
Keynote commodity daily report for 270812
Keynote commodity daily report for 270812
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Keynote commodity daily report for 270812

  1. Daily Commodity Report 27th August 2012 MCX GOLD (5 OCTOBER 12) – Gold Silver Crude (5 Oct-12) (5 Sept-12) (19 Sep-12) Gold opened higher at 30890 but moved lower to touch an intra- Open 30,890 56,995 5,346 day low of 30885. However, it managed to move higher to touch an intra-day high of 30955. It ended the day with modest gains to High 30,955 57,549 5,356 close at 30947. Low 30,885 56,995 5,337 The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective Close 30,947 57,508 5,354 averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. However, the RSI and Stochastic still remain placed in the over Prev. Close 30,877 56,949 5,346 bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The % Change 0.23% 0.98% 0.15% +DI line and ADX line are moving higher and are placed above the 47 level indicating buyers have an upper hand. MCX Gold faces Source – MCX resistance at 30960, 31000 and 31500 while the support levels are placed at 30840, 30428, 30340,30179, 29668 and 28859 Volume (In 000's) Positional Call – Book Profits MCX Gold (5 Oct 12) around 25/08/2012 24/08/2012 % Chg. 30947 given Buy @ 30340 on 22 & 23 August 2012 Gold (gms) 2,991.0 31,504.0 -90.51% MCX SILVER (5 SEPT 12) – Silver (kgs) 242.1 2,139.8 -88.68% Silver opened higher at 56995. Incidentally, this was the lowest price recorded for the day. It moved further higher to touch an intra- Crude (bbl) 565.2 25,318.5 -97.77% day high of 57549. It ended the day with moderate gains. It closed Source – MCX the day at 57508. The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective Turnover (In Lacs) averages, which would lead to buying support. However, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to regular 25/08/2012 24/08/2012 % Chg. bouts of profit taking. The ADX line and +DI line are moving higher, Gold 92,490.8 970,729.8 -90.47% indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57549, 57737 and 58000 while the supports are placed at Silver 138,892.5 1,213,769.8 -88.56% 57180, 57000, 56157, 55551, 54570 and 53675 levels. Crude 30,225.2 1,350,721.9 -97.76% MCX CRUDE (19 September 12) – Source – MCX Crude opened unchanged at 5346 but moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5337. However, it managed to move higher and Global Market (Nymex - $) touched an intra-day high of 5356. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 5354. 27/08/2012 25/08/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are already placed below their Gold (oz) 1,674.80 1,669.80 0.30% respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The Silver (oz) 31.07 30.62 1.47% ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a WTI Crude range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5366, 5408, 5516 and 97.40 96.15 1.30% (bbl) 5600 while the supports are placed at 5238, 5275, 5180, 5126 and Brent Crude 5093. 115.11 113.59 1.34% (bbl) Dollar Index 81.64 81.59 0.14% Positional Call – SELL MCX CRUDE (19 Sept 12)) around 5361, Source – www.cmegroup.com Stop Loss 5425 Target of 5225 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. Commodity News: • Nine brokerages fined over guar trading violation: NCDEX, the country's second largest commodity bourse, has penalised nine more brokerage firms on the direction of market regulator Forward Market Commission (FMC) for violating rules on collecting margin money from traders punting on guar gum futures. The direction is a part of FMC's probe into the abnormal rise of guar complex prices by 1,000% from November 2011 to April 2012 before the trade was finally banned. (ET) • Investors book profit as gold touches Rs 31,000: Investors, looking at short-term gains, have liquidated a portion of their holdings in gold in the last few days after the yellow metal touched Rs 31,000 per 10 gm. Jewellers and bullion dealers say that those who need immediate cash are selling gold now but they will again enter the market shortly as there is a feeling in the market that the yellow metal will touch Rs 32,500 around Diwali. (ET) Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Aug 27 Aug 28 Aug 29 Aug 30 India US Richmond Fed MBA Mortgage Initial Jobless Claims Manufacturing Index Applications Gross Domestic Personal Product Annualized Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) Core Personal EIA Natural Gas Consumption Storage change Expenditures (QoQ) Global Germany's Import Germany's Gfk Germany's Consumer Japan's price Index Consumer Price Index (MoM) Unemployment Rate Confidence Survey and (YoY) Germany's Business Germany's Retail Japan's Foreign bond Eurozone's Economic Climate Sales (MoM) and investment Sentiment Indicator (YoY) Japan's Retail Trade Germany's (YoY) Unemployment Change Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
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