1. Daily Technical Outlook
12th October 2012
Indices * Close % Chg. Markets find support at lower levels
BSE SENSEX 18804.75 0.93
S&P CNX NIFTY 5708.05 0.99 Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues the domestic
NIFTY OCT. FUT. 5739.35 1.18 markets witnessed a flat opening. The over all trend
India VIX 16.49 -2.02 remained range bound as markets moved in a narrow band.
The volume recorded also remained lackluster. However, the
S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets bounced back from 5630 support level, which led to
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 smart rally in the afternoon trade on back of buying support
Support 5703 5630 5607 which also led to short covering. The markets showed no
Resistance 5741 5884 5912 signs of weakness as broad based buying support were
witnessed. The markets ended the day with modest gains to
Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY close near the highs for the day. The top losers for the day
50 Day SMA 5451.67 were JP Associates, DLF, PNB, BoB, BHEL, Rel. Infra, Tata
100 Day SMA 5281.86 Motors, Axis Bank, L&T and Sesa Goa.
200 Day SMA 5227.04 ◄Positive
Technically, the market breadth remained positive,
Market Breadth * BSE NSE amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the
Advances 1656 725 markets. The prevailing technical positives helped the
Declines 1183 382 markets witness buying support. These continue to hold
Same 132 45 good. The KST and the MACD are still placed in the
Total 2971 1152 positive territory, which augurs well for the markets.
A/D Ratio 1.40 : 1 1.90 : 1
Moreover, the Nifty remains placed above its 50-day
SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s
Volume (Lacs Shares) * 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA
11/10/12 10/10/12 % Chg. and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
BSE 2681 2848 -5.86
Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
buying support at lower levels. However the technical
NSE 8551 7008 22.02
negatives continue to hold good and would weigh on the
Total 11232 9856 13.96
market sentiment at higher levels. The RSI, Stochastic,
Turnover ( ` Crores) * KST and MACD are still placed below their respective
11/10/12 10/10/12 % Chg.
averages. Moreover, the Stochastic is placed in the over
bought zone. These technical negatives would lead to
BSE 2479.38 2053.80 20.72
profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line and –DI
NSE 12677.27 10390.92 22.00
line are moving lower and, indicating sellers are covering
NSE F&O 138733.32 117568.37 18.00 shorts regularly The market sentiment remains cautious
Total 153889.97 130013.09 18.36 and tentative. In the meanwhile the markets would take
cues from the forthcoming quarterly results, global
F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) *
markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The support levels
% Chg.
11/10/12 10/10/12
for Nifty are placed at 5703, 5630, 5607, 5526, and 5448.
Index Fut. 411920 349364 17.91 The Nifty faces resistance at 5741, 5884, 5912 and 5945
Stock Fut. 580058 446215 30.00 levels.
Index Opt. 3364724 2989553 12.55
Stock Opt. 463901 264476 75.40
Total 4820603 4049608 14.19
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
Stop
Initiation Stop Loss Target
Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks
TGT of 160
Achieved given
buy @ 150 on
Aurobindo Pharma 159.50 Buy Above 160.50 157.00 2.18 168 4.67 10/10/12
Century Textiles 374.50 Buy Above 375.50 364.50 2.93 400 6.52
Federal Bank 479.85 Buy Above 481.00 473.00 1.66 499 3.74
JSW Steel 772.70 Buy Above 775.00 732.25 5.52 870 12.26
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.
Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support
Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
BSE SENSEX 18805 18745 18908 19011 19277 18642 18478 18212
S&P CNX NIFTY 5708 5689 5740 5773 5857 5656 5605 5520
NIFTY OCT. FUT. 5739 5715 5773 5808 5900 5681 5622 5529
Stocks To Watch Out Today
Aurobindo Pharma, Century Textiles, Crompton Greaves, Federal bank, FT, HUL, Hind. Zinc, Indian Hotels, India Cement,
ITC, JP Associates, JpPower, JSW Steel, Jubilant Food, L&T, PNB, REC, Tata Global, Tech Mahindra, Titan, Union Bank
Bharat Forge, Dish TV, GAIL, Hexaware, ICICI Bank, Lupin, M&M, Maruti
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
3. NOTE:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average
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