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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                     30th August 2011

        Indices                Close       % Chg.      Mirroring the positive set of global cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                   16416.33      3.58       markets witnessed a gap up opening. Broad based buying
 S&P CNX NIFTY                 4919.60      3.62       support was witnessed as uncertainty over the Lokpal Bill and
 NIFTY SEP. FUT.               4933.15      3.74       Ben Bernake’s speech got over. However, the volumes
 India VIX                      26.07       -21.61
                                                       recorded remained lackluster. Though, profit taking and
                                                       selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels, the markets
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 managed to hold on to the gains. The markets ended the day
                    Level 1    Level 2     Level 3
                                                       with handsome gains to close near the highs for the day. The
                                                       top gainers for the day were Rel. Capital, TCS, Rel. Power,
Support              4806       4757        4563
                                                       Rel. Comm., HCL Tech., Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Kotak
Resistance           4987       5200        5325
                                                       Bank, Tata Steel and Cairn India.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)                      Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst
                  29/08/11    26/08/11     % Chg.      lower volumes. The global market set of cues are
BSE                 1888        2584        -26.93     positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
NSE                 5478        5941        -7.79      gap up opening; however, volumes are likely to remain
Total               7366        8525        -13.60     lackluster due to festive holidays during this week. The
Source – BSE & NSE                                     Nifty has managed to bounce back above the 4757-4806
                                                       resistance band, which is a positive sign and would lead
              Turnover ( ` Crores)
                                                       to further buying support. The RSI, KST and Stochastic
                  29/08/11    26/08/11     % Chg.
                                                       have moved above their respective averages, which
BSE                1849.88     2375.99      -22.14     would lead to further buying support. The – DI line and
NSE                9418.90    10267.59      -8.27      ADX have started falling but are still placed above the 35
NSE F&O           90130.66    101375.59     -11.09     level, while the DI line is flattening out. The MACD
Total             101399.44   114019.17     -11.07     continues to be placed in the over sold zone along with
Source – BSE & NSE                                     KST, which would lead to further buying support and
             Market Breadth (NSE)
                                                       short covering. The Nifty is likely to test the
                                                       psychologically important 5000 level if the global and
Advances                        1270
                                                       domestic market cues remain positive. However, a few
Declines                         218
                                                       technical negatives continue to hold good and would cap
Same                             32                    the upside gains. The Nifty continues to trade below its
Total                           1520                   200-day SMA. Further the 50-day SMA remains placed
A/D Ratio                      5.83 : 1                below the 100-day SMA. The markets will display
Source – NSE                                           occasional bouts of volatility as it tries to move above
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                    the 5000 level. In the meanwhile the markets would take
50 Day SMA                     5361.24
                                                       cues from the global markets. The support levels for Nifty
                                          ◄Negative    are placed at 4806, 4757 and 4563. The Nifty faces
100 Day SMA                    5478.24
                                                       resistance at the 4987, 5200 and 5325 levels.
200 Day SMA                    5598.38    ◄Negative

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices               Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                      16416                 16316     16563      16709          17102         16169        15922         15529
S&P CNX NIFTY                     4920                 4887      4967        5015          5143          4839          4758         4630
NIFTY SEP. FUT.                   4933                 4894      4987        5040          5186          4841          4749         4603


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                    Stop
                                                     Initiation       Stop          Loss                       Target
      Stock            Close         Action            Price         Loss *          (%)          Target        (%)           Remarks
ABG Shipyard            375.00      Buy Above                 383         371            3.13       408.00          6.53
Bajaj Auto             1566.00      Buy Above               1575         1541            2.16     1650.00           4.76
L&T                    1617.00      Buy Above               1625         1582            2.65     1720.00           5.85
TCS                    1018.20      Buy Above               1030          998            3.11     1100.00           6.80
Uniphos                 139.30      Buy Above                 142         136            4.23       155.00          9.15
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only.




                                                                Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
             4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
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arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
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grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report 300811

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 30th August 2011 Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the positive set of global cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 16416.33 3.58 markets witnessed a gap up opening. Broad based buying S&P CNX NIFTY 4919.60 3.62 support was witnessed as uncertainty over the Lokpal Bill and NIFTY SEP. FUT. 4933.15 3.74 Ben Bernake’s speech got over. However, the volumes India VIX 26.07 -21.61 recorded remained lackluster. Though, profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels, the markets S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels managed to hold on to the gains. The markets ended the day Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 with handsome gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Rel. Capital, TCS, Rel. Power, Support 4806 4757 4563 Rel. Comm., HCL Tech., Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Kotak Resistance 4987 5200 5325 Bank, Tata Steel and Cairn India. Volume (Lacs Shares) Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst 29/08/11 26/08/11 % Chg. lower volumes. The global market set of cues are BSE 1888 2584 -26.93 positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a NSE 5478 5941 -7.79 gap up opening; however, volumes are likely to remain Total 7366 8525 -13.60 lackluster due to festive holidays during this week. The Source – BSE & NSE Nifty has managed to bounce back above the 4757-4806 resistance band, which is a positive sign and would lead Turnover ( ` Crores) to further buying support. The RSI, KST and Stochastic 29/08/11 26/08/11 % Chg. have moved above their respective averages, which BSE 1849.88 2375.99 -22.14 would lead to further buying support. The – DI line and NSE 9418.90 10267.59 -8.27 ADX have started falling but are still placed above the 35 NSE F&O 90130.66 101375.59 -11.09 level, while the DI line is flattening out. The MACD Total 101399.44 114019.17 -11.07 continues to be placed in the over sold zone along with Source – BSE & NSE KST, which would lead to further buying support and Market Breadth (NSE) short covering. The Nifty is likely to test the psychologically important 5000 level if the global and Advances 1270 domestic market cues remain positive. However, a few Declines 218 technical negatives continue to hold good and would cap Same 32 the upside gains. The Nifty continues to trade below its Total 1520 200-day SMA. Further the 50-day SMA remains placed A/D Ratio 5.83 : 1 below the 100-day SMA. The markets will display Source – NSE occasional bouts of volatility as it tries to move above Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY the 5000 level. In the meanwhile the markets would take 50 Day SMA 5361.24 cues from the global markets. The support levels for Nifty ◄Negative are placed at 4806, 4757 and 4563. The Nifty faces 100 Day SMA 5478.24 resistance at the 4987, 5200 and 5325 levels. 200 Day SMA 5598.38 ◄Negative Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16416 16316 16563 16709 17102 16169 15922 15529 S&P CNX NIFTY 4920 4887 4967 5015 5143 4839 4758 4630 NIFTY SEP. FUT. 4933 4894 4987 5040 5186 4841 4749 4603 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ABG Shipyard 375.00 Buy Above 383 371 3.13 408.00 6.53 Bajaj Auto 1566.00 Buy Above 1575 1541 2.16 1650.00 4.76 L&T 1617.00 Buy Above 1625 1582 2.65 1720.00 5.85 TCS 1018.20 Buy Above 1030 998 3.11 1100.00 6.80 Uniphos 139.30 Buy Above 142 136 4.23 155.00 9.15 * Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com