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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                     3rd July 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                17398.98          -0.18
                                                               Follow up buying remains elusive
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5278.60          -0.01
                                                       The domestic markets witnessed a firm opening. Buying
 NIFTY JULY FUT.            5295.60          -0.03
                                                       support was witnessed in the opening trade, however the
 India VIX                   19.01           -0.36     Nifty struggled to sustain above the 5300 level. Profit taking
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels as
                                                       markets turned range bound. However, increased buying
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       support was witnessed in the afternoon trade on back of
Support           5250       5114            5079
                                                       positive European market cues. The markets managed to
Resistance        5333       5379            5500      move above the 5300 level but once again failed to sustain.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  The markets ended the with marginal losses to close near the
50 Day SMA                  5047.23
                                                       lows for the day. The top gainers for the day were
100 Day SMA                 5190.42                    Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
200 Day SMA                 5079.01        ◄Critical   lower volumes, indicating lack of participation at current
                                                       levels. The global market cues are largely positive. The
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       domestic markets are likely to witness a firm opening.
Advances                     1542             991
                                                       The prevailing technical positives have helped the
Declines                      971             501      markets move higher but follow up buying support still
Same                          109               60     remains absent. The Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST all
Total                        2622            1552      are placed above their respective averages. The MACD
A/D Ratio                   1.59 : 1        1.98 : 1   and KST are also placed in the positive territory, which
                                                       augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               above the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
               02/07/12     29/06/12        % Chg.     The +DI continues to move higher, while the ADX line
BSE              2845        2845            0.00      and –DI line are moving sideways indicating buyers are
NSE              7003        7971           -12.14     gaining strength. These positive conditions would lead to
Total            9848        10816           -8.95     further buying support. The only technical negative
                                                       which would weigh on the market sentiment remains the
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               Nifty’s 50-day SMA being placed below its 100-day SMA
               02/07/12     29/06/12        % Chg.     and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would
BSE             3948.92     3948.92          0.00      result in regular bouts of profit taking. The market
NSE             9738.67    13143.73         -25.91
                                                       remains positive. However, it is now important that the
                                                       markets witness follow up buying support at higher
NSE F&O        78102.60    102978.12        -24.16
                                                       levels, which so far remains elusive. Intermediate bouts
Total          91790.19    120070.77        -23.55
                                                       of volatility would be witnessed as Nifty struggles to
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          sustain higher above the 5300 level. In the meanwhile the
               02/07/12     29/06/12        % Chg.
                                                       markets would take cues from Rupee, global markets and
                                                       the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Index Fut.      305611      511655          -40.27
                                                       5250, 5114, 5079, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty faces resistance
Stock Fut.      446619      518570          -13.87
                                                       at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels.
Index Opt.     2054058      2752440         -25.37
Stock Opt.      137076      143786           -4.67
Total          2943364      3926451         -17.96

NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                    (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                                Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
ACC                    1317.05       Buy Above       1320.00          1295          1.89        1375          4.17
Century Textiles        313.75       Buy Above           315.00         304         3.49         340          7.94
HDFC                   661.00    Buy Above         664.00               643         3.16         710          6.93
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.


                                                             Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17399                17416      17469      17540          17663        17346        17293        17169
S&P CNX NIFTY                5279                 5281       5299        5320          5359            5261        5243       5204
NIFTY JULY FUT.              5296                 5300       5321        5346          5393            5274        5253       5206




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Aban, ACC, Adani Ports, Arvind, Asia Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank, Bajaj Hind; Bombay Dying, Century Textiles,
Delta Corp; Divis Labs, DLF, DR. Reddys, HDFC, HDFC Bank, IRB Infra, Jubilant Foods, Kotak Bank, LITL, M&M, McDowell,
NMDC, NTPC, Oriental Bank, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg; Tata Coffee, Tech Mahindra, Uco Bank, ZEEL
Ashok Leyland, HUL, ITC




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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 030712

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 3rd July 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 17398.98 -0.18 Follow up buying remains elusive S&P CNX NIFTY 5278.60 -0.01 The domestic markets witnessed a firm opening. Buying NIFTY JULY FUT. 5295.60 -0.03 support was witnessed in the opening trade, however the India VIX 19.01 -0.36 Nifty struggled to sustain above the 5300 level. Profit taking S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels as markets turned range bound. However, increased buying Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 support was witnessed in the afternoon trade on back of Support 5250 5114 5079 positive European market cues. The markets managed to Resistance 5333 5379 5500 move above the 5300 level but once again failed to sustain. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY The markets ended the with marginal losses to close near the 50 Day SMA 5047.23 lows for the day. The top gainers for the day were 100 Day SMA 5190.42 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 200 Day SMA 5079.01 ◄Critical lower volumes, indicating lack of participation at current levels. The global market cues are largely positive. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE domestic markets are likely to witness a firm opening. Advances 1542 991 The prevailing technical positives have helped the Declines 971 501 markets move higher but follow up buying support still Same 109 60 remains absent. The Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST all Total 2622 1552 are placed above their respective averages. The MACD A/D Ratio 1.59 : 1 1.98 : 1 and KST are also placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed Volume (Lacs Shares) * above the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. 02/07/12 29/06/12 % Chg. The +DI continues to move higher, while the ADX line BSE 2845 2845 0.00 and –DI line are moving sideways indicating buyers are NSE 7003 7971 -12.14 gaining strength. These positive conditions would lead to Total 9848 10816 -8.95 further buying support. The only technical negative which would weigh on the market sentiment remains the Turnover ( ` Crores) * Nifty’s 50-day SMA being placed below its 100-day SMA 02/07/12 29/06/12 % Chg. and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would BSE 3948.92 3948.92 0.00 result in regular bouts of profit taking. The market NSE 9738.67 13143.73 -25.91 remains positive. However, it is now important that the markets witness follow up buying support at higher NSE F&O 78102.60 102978.12 -24.16 levels, which so far remains elusive. Intermediate bouts Total 91790.19 120070.77 -23.55 of volatility would be witnessed as Nifty struggles to F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * sustain higher above the 5300 level. In the meanwhile the 02/07/12 29/06/12 % Chg. markets would take cues from Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Index Fut. 305611 511655 -40.27 5250, 5114, 5079, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty faces resistance Stock Fut. 446619 518570 -13.87 at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels. Index Opt. 2054058 2752440 -25.37 Stock Opt. 137076 143786 -4.67 Total 2943364 3926451 -17.96 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ACC 1317.05 Buy Above 1320.00 1295 1.89 1375 4.17 Century Textiles 313.75 Buy Above 315.00 304 3.49 340 7.94 HDFC 661.00 Buy Above 664.00 643 3.16 710 6.93 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17399 17416 17469 17540 17663 17346 17293 17169 S&P CNX NIFTY 5279 5281 5299 5320 5359 5261 5243 5204 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5296 5300 5321 5346 5393 5274 5253 5206 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Aban, ACC, Adani Ports, Arvind, Asia Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank, Bajaj Hind; Bombay Dying, Century Textiles, Delta Corp; Divis Labs, DLF, DR. Reddys, HDFC, HDFC Bank, IRB Infra, Jubilant Foods, Kotak Bank, LITL, M&M, McDowell, NMDC, NTPC, Oriental Bank, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg; Tata Coffee, Tech Mahindra, Uco Bank, ZEEL Ashok Leyland, HUL, ITC Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com