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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                           4th December 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                            Markets consolidate
 BSE SENSEX                    19305.32             -0.18
                                                              Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5870.95             -0.15
                                                              markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets
 NIFTY DEC. FUT.                5911.60             0.04
                                                              failed to capitalize on morning gains and drifted lower on
 India VIX                        15.62             3.10      back of regular bouts of profit taking. The overall trend
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        remained range bound with markets witnessing stock specific
                                                              direction. The markets ended the day with marginal losses to
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3
                                                              close near the highs for the day. The top losers for the day
Support           5816          5747            5665
                                                              were HDFC bank, IDFC, Bharti Airtel, GAIL, ONGC, HCL
Resistance        5885          5912            5945          Tech; Grasim, BPCL, NTPC and Lupin.
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
50 Day SMA                     5682.60        ◄Positive
                                                              Technically, the market breadth remained positive
                                                              amidst lower volumes. The prevailing technical negative
100 Day SMA                    5489.25
                                                              conditions weighed on market sentiment, leading to
200 Day SMA                    5338.00
                                                              markets consolidating after four days rally. The
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreover, the
Advances                            1672               739
                                                              RSI and the Stochastic are placed in the over bought
                                                              zone. These negative technical conditions which lead to
Declines                            1255               409
                                                              intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure.
Same                                 124                 47
                                                              However, the prevailing positive technical conditions still
Total                               3051             1195     hold valid and would help the markets move higher. The
A/D Ratio                        1.33 : 1          1.81 : 1   MACD, KST and RSI all are placed above their respective
                                                              averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST have moved in
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *
                                                              the positive territory. The Nifty remains placed above its
               03/12/12        30/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
BSE                    2904         3373            -13.90    Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
NSE                    8393       12648             -33.65    SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
Total                 11297       16021             -29.49    Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
                                                              further buying support. Though, the +DI line is placed
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   above the 37 level, it is moving lower, indicating buyers
               03/12/12        30/11/12        % Chg.         have started booking profits. The market sentiment
BSE                  2471.02     2965.40            -16.67    remains upbeat as Nifty nears the 5885 resistance level.
NSE              12009.60       20385.99            -41.09    Now, it is important that the Nifty witnesses follow up
NSE F&O          86999.53 117333.79                 -25.85    buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the
Total           101480.15 140685.18                 -27.87
                                                              5912-5945 resistance levels. In the meanwhile the
                                                              markets would take cues from the on going parliament
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *              session, global markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The
               03/12/12        30/11/12        % Chg.         support levels for Nifty are placed at 5816, 5747, 5665,
Index Fut.           208254      334876             -37.81    5554 and 5447. The Nifty faces resistance at 5885, 5910
Stock Fut.           488124      681838             -28.41
                                                              and 5945 levels.
Index Opt.        2019926       2678544             -24.59
Stock Opt.           214215      272941             -21.52
Total             2930519       3968199             -18.08

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                     Stop
                                                      Initiation       Stop          Loss                     Target
       Stock             Close           Action         Price         Loss *          (%)       Target         (%)            Remarks
                                                                                                                          TGT of 1100
                                                                                                                          Achieved given
                                                                                                                          Buy @ 1055 on
AB Nuvo                  1097.35        Buy Above        1100.00      1085.00          1.36         1133          3.00    29/11/12
BHEL                      237.85        Buy Above           239.60        230.00       4.01          251          4.76
CESC                   316.00   Buy Above         318.00      313.50                   1.42          328          3.14
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
       Indices             Close           Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                    19305                 19326       19395        19486          19645        19236           19167    19008
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5871                5875          5895       5919           5964          5851           5830     5786
NIFTY DEC. FUT.                  5912                5911          5934       5956           6001          5889           5866     5821




                                              Stocks To Watch Out Today
AB Nuvo, ACC, Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank,
Bharat Forge, BHEL, Bhushan Steel, CBI, Century Textiles, CESC, Chambal Fert; Dabur, Dena Bank, GMR Infra, GSPL,
Hindalco, HPCL, Hind. Zinc, ICICI Bank, IDBI, IFCI, Indian Hotels, India Cement, Indusind Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Jain
Irrigation, JP Associates; JSW Energy, JSW Steel, Jubilant Foods, KTK Bank, LIC Hsg; M&M, Mphasis, MRF, NHPC, NMDC,
Pantaloon Retail, Petronet, PFC, PTC, Raymond, REC, SAIL, SBI, SCI, Siemens, SIB; Tata Chem; Tata Global, Tata Steel,
Tech Mahindra, UCO Bank, Vijaya Bank, Voltas, Wipro,
IOC, L&T, Sun Pharma, Tata Motors

                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 041212

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 4th December 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets consolidate BSE SENSEX 19305.32 -0.18 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic S&P CNX NIFTY 5870.95 -0.15 markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5911.60 0.04 failed to capitalize on morning gains and drifted lower on India VIX 15.62 3.10 back of regular bouts of profit taking. The overall trend S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels remained range bound with markets witnessing stock specific direction. The markets ended the day with marginal losses to Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 close near the highs for the day. The top losers for the day Support 5816 5747 5665 were HDFC bank, IDFC, Bharti Airtel, GAIL, ONGC, HCL Resistance 5885 5912 5945 Tech; Grasim, BPCL, NTPC and Lupin. Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 50 Day SMA 5682.60 ◄Positive Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst lower volumes. The prevailing technical negative 100 Day SMA 5489.25 conditions weighed on market sentiment, leading to 200 Day SMA 5338.00 markets consolidating after four days rally. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreover, the Advances 1672 739 RSI and the Stochastic are placed in the over bought zone. These negative technical conditions which lead to Declines 1255 409 intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. Same 124 47 However, the prevailing positive technical conditions still Total 3051 1195 hold valid and would help the markets move higher. The A/D Ratio 1.33 : 1 1.81 : 1 MACD, KST and RSI all are placed above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST have moved in Volume (Lacs Shares) * the positive territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 03/12/12 30/11/12 % Chg. 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the BSE 2904 3373 -13.90 Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day NSE 8393 12648 -33.65 SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Total 11297 16021 -29.49 Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to further buying support. Though, the +DI line is placed Turnover ( ` Crores) * above the 37 level, it is moving lower, indicating buyers 03/12/12 30/11/12 % Chg. have started booking profits. The market sentiment BSE 2471.02 2965.40 -16.67 remains upbeat as Nifty nears the 5885 resistance level. NSE 12009.60 20385.99 -41.09 Now, it is important that the Nifty witnesses follow up NSE F&O 86999.53 117333.79 -25.85 buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the Total 101480.15 140685.18 -27.87 5912-5945 resistance levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the on going parliament F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * session, global markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The 03/12/12 30/11/12 % Chg. support levels for Nifty are placed at 5816, 5747, 5665, Index Fut. 208254 334876 -37.81 5554 and 5447. The Nifty faces resistance at 5885, 5910 Stock Fut. 488124 681838 -28.41 and 5945 levels. Index Opt. 2019926 2678544 -24.59 Stock Opt. 214215 272941 -21.52 Total 2930519 3968199 -18.08 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 1100 Achieved given Buy @ 1055 on AB Nuvo 1097.35 Buy Above 1100.00 1085.00 1.36 1133 3.00 29/11/12 BHEL 237.85 Buy Above 239.60 230.00 4.01 251 4.76 CESC 316.00 Buy Above 318.00 313.50 1.42 328 3.14 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 19305 19326 19395 19486 19645 19236 19167 19008 S&P CNX NIFTY 5871 5875 5895 5919 5964 5851 5830 5786 NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5912 5911 5934 5956 6001 5889 5866 5821 Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, ACC, Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank, Bharat Forge, BHEL, Bhushan Steel, CBI, Century Textiles, CESC, Chambal Fert; Dabur, Dena Bank, GMR Infra, GSPL, Hindalco, HPCL, Hind. Zinc, ICICI Bank, IDBI, IFCI, Indian Hotels, India Cement, Indusind Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Jain Irrigation, JP Associates; JSW Energy, JSW Steel, Jubilant Foods, KTK Bank, LIC Hsg; M&M, Mphasis, MRF, NHPC, NMDC, Pantaloon Retail, Petronet, PFC, PTC, Raymond, REC, SAIL, SBI, SCI, Siemens, SIB; Tata Chem; Tata Global, Tata Steel, Tech Mahindra, UCO Bank, Vijaya Bank, Voltas, Wipro, IOC, L&T, Sun Pharma, Tata Motors Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com