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Keynote technicals daily report for 090812

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Keynote technicals daily report for 090812

  1. 1. Daily Technical Outlook 9th August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Profit taking likely at higher levels BSE SENSEX 17600.56 -0.01 S&P CNX NIFTY 5338.00 0.02 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5354.75 0.13 markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets India VIX 16.37 0.98 struggled to sustain higher as it neared the 5386 resistance level. Profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed in the S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels morning trade. Buying momentum increased in the afternoon Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 trade on back of positive European market cues. However, Support 5333 5250 5108 Nifty struggled around the 5386 resistance level. Increased Resistance 5386 5464 5500 selling pressure was witnessed in the last hour of trade on back of negative views of BoE on England’s economy. The Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY markets ended the day flat to close near the lows for the day. 50 Day SMA 5160.16 The top gainers for the day were M&M, BPCL, Hindalco, 100 Day SMA 5146.79 HUL, Sterlite, Grasim, Infosys Tech; Ranbaxy, HCL Tech and 200 Day SMA 5110.10 ◄Critical Tata Motors. Market Breadth * BSE NSE Technically, the market breadth remained negative Advances 1245 602 amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the Declines 1606 892 markets. The global market cues are divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. As Same 115 78 we had indicated the markets witnessed intermediate Total 2966 1572 bouts of profit taking on back of the Stochastic being A/D Ratio 0.77 : 1 0.67 : 1 placed in the over bought zone. However, the prevailing Volume (Lacs Shares) * technical positives continue to hold good. The Stochastic RSI, KST and MACD all are still placed above 08/08/12 07/08/12 % Chg. their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD has BSE 2389 2013 18.68 moved in the positive territory, while the KST is already NSE 6697 5529 21.11 placed in the positive. The Nifty remains placed above its Total 9086 7542 20.46 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day Turnover ( ` Crores) * SMA and 200-day SMA. These positives would lead to 08/08/12 07/08/12 % Chg. buying support at regular intervals. However, the BSE 2436.83 2178.92 11.84 Stochastic still remains placed in the over bought zone, NSE 11348.35 9862.12 15.07 which would prompt intermediate bouts of profit taking NSE F&O 115863.47 110640.78 4.72 at regular intervals. The ADX line and the +DI line are Total 129648.65 122681.82 5.68 moving higher, while the -DI line is moving lower. The +DI line remains placed above the 32 level, indicating F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * buyers are gaining strength. The market sentiment 08/08/12 07/08/12 % Chg. remains positive but follow up buying support is needed Index Fut. 387815.00 372327 4.16 at higher levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take Stock Fut. 479291.00 441410 8.58 cues from the Rupee, global market cues and the crude Index Opt. 3212720.00 3091674 3.92 prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5108, 5047, 5000 and 4950. The Nifty faces resistance at the Stock Opt. 221292.00 223419 -0.95 5386, 5464 and 5500 levels. Total 4301118.00 4128830 2.88 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks AB Nuvo Fut 774.50 Sell Below 770 781 1.46 745 3.25 Federal Bank 424.70 Buy Above 427 417.50 2.22 448 4.92 Sterlite 105.75 Buy Above 107 103.75 2.58 113 5.63 Tata Motors 241.50 Buy Above 242 236.00 2.48 255 5.37 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17601 17637 17691 17781 17925 17547 17493 17349 S&P CNX NIFTY 5338 5349 5367 5395 5442 5320 5302 5256 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5355 5365 5384 5413 5461 5336 5317 5269 Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, Arvind, Aurobindo Pharma, Bharti Airtel, Bombay Dying, Cairn India, Dish TV, EKC, GMR Infra, GSPL, GVK, Idea, IVRCL, LIC Hsg; LITL, Lupin, Orchid Chemicals, Raymond, Sobha, Tata Communication, United Spirits ABB, ACC, Ambuja Cements, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto, Cummins, Federal Bank, Grasim, HDFC, Hexaware, Hindalco, HUL, Infosys Tech; Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, Jubilant Foods, M&M, MRPL, Neyveli Lignite, Reliance, Sterlite, Sun TV, Tata Motors Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com

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