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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   15th June 2012
         Indices *          Close           % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16677.88          -1.20
                                                            Higher Inflation numbers spook markets
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5054.75          -1.30
                                                         Mirroring the subdued global market sentiment; the domestic
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5054.10          -1.34
                                                         markets witnessed a negative opening. The over all trend
 India VIX                   25.71            5.54       remained range bound as markets see-sawed ahead of the
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                   monthly inflation data. Increased selling pressure was
                                                         witnessed on back of disappointing inflation numbers creating
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                         doubts over RBI’s future course of action in the forthcoming
Support           4950       4824            4777
                                                         monetary policy review. The markets ended the day with
Resistance        5071       5114            5250        modest losses to close near the lows for the day. The top
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                    losers for the day were PNB, Tata Motors, SAIL, L&T, NTPC,
50 Day SMA                  5073.81
                                                         IDFC, ICICI Bank, Bank of Baroda, SBI and Rel. Infra.
100 Day SMA                 5199.38                      Technically, the market breadth remained negative
200 Day SMA                 5070.03        ◄ Positive    amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
                                                         divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                         flat to negative opening. The prevailing technical
Advances                     1011             429
                                                         negatives continued to cap upside gains. The Stochastic
Declines                     1701            1029        remains placed below its average and also around the
Same                          119                81      over bought zone. The Nifty remains placed below its
Total                        2831            1539        100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day
A/D Ratio                   0.59 : 1        0.42 : 1     SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. Moreover, Nifty’s
                                                         June Futures is now trading at a marginal discount
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                 These negative conditions would result in regular bouts
               14/06/12     13/06/12        % Chg.       of profit taking and selling pressure. However, a few
BSE              N.A.         N.A.               -       technical positives continue to hold good. The Nifty
NSE              5341        6081            -12.16      remains placed above its 50-day SMA. Moreover, the RSI,
Total            5341        6081            -12.16      MACD and KST all are still placed above their respective
                                                         averages. The KST and MACD are also placed in the
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                 positive territory, which augurs well for the markets.
               14/06/12     13/06/12        % Chg.       Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are
BSE              N.A.         N.A.               -       placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA.. These positive
NSE             8456.82     9733.72          -13.12
                                                         technical conditions would prompt buying support at
                                                         lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are
NSE F&O        105128.91   98406.06           6.83
                                                         moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The
Total          113585.73   108139.78          5.04
                                                         market sentiment has turned cautious as markets
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *           continue to remain at crossroads. Now it is important
               14/06/12     13/06/12        % Chg.
                                                         that the markets witness buying support for Nifty to
                                                         again move above its 200-day SMA. In the meanwhile the
Index Fut.      499941      447577           11.70
                                                         markets would take cues from, the Rupee, global markets
Stock Fut.      462393      480876           -3.84
                                                         and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed
Index Opt.     2991098      2745733           8.94       at 4950, 4824 and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the
Stock Opt.      210026      198347            5.89       5071, 5114, 5250, 5333 and 5379 levels.
Total          4163458      3872533           6.64

NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                                Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action          Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
                                                                                                                      TGT of 117
                                                                                                                      Achieved
                                                                                                                      given Sell @
                                                                                                                      123 on
Adani Ports Fut        114.95       Sell Below           114.00      117.60         3.16         106           7.02   12/06/12
Apollo Tyre Fut         79.50       Sell Below            79.00       82.60         4.56          71          10.13
BHEL Fut               217.00    Sell Below        216.00     221.00                2.31         205           5.09
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                             Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close          Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16678                 16753      16847      17015          17278        16584         16490       16228
S&P CNX NIFTY               5055                  5077       5107        5160          5242            5025        4995       4913
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             5054                  5080       5113        5172          5265            5021        4987       4895




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Adani Port, Bhushan Steel, Apollo Tyre, CESC, BHEL, Chambal Fert; Crompton Greaves, DCB, Delta Corp; Dena Bank, DLF,
Dr. Reddys, Educomp, FT, Godrej Inds; HCLTech; HDFC, HDFC Bank, IB Realestate, IDFC, Indusind Bank, Kotak Bank,
Maruti, McLeod Russel, NTPC, Tat Chemicals, Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Power, Welcorp; Yes Bank,
Ambuja Cements, Axis Bank, Colgate, Infosys Tech; ITC, Karnatak Bank, Piramal Healthcare, Tulip




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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
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      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 150612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 15th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16677.88 -1.20 Higher Inflation numbers spook markets S&P CNX NIFTY 5054.75 -1.30 Mirroring the subdued global market sentiment; the domestic NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5054.10 -1.34 markets witnessed a negative opening. The over all trend India VIX 25.71 5.54 remained range bound as markets see-sawed ahead of the S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels monthly inflation data. Increased selling pressure was witnessed on back of disappointing inflation numbers creating Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 doubts over RBI’s future course of action in the forthcoming Support 4950 4824 4777 monetary policy review. The markets ended the day with Resistance 5071 5114 5250 modest losses to close near the lows for the day. The top Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY losers for the day were PNB, Tata Motors, SAIL, L&T, NTPC, 50 Day SMA 5073.81 IDFC, ICICI Bank, Bank of Baroda, SBI and Rel. Infra. 100 Day SMA 5199.38 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 200 Day SMA 5070.03 ◄ Positive amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a Market Breadth * BSE NSE flat to negative opening. The prevailing technical Advances 1011 429 negatives continued to cap upside gains. The Stochastic Declines 1701 1029 remains placed below its average and also around the Same 119 81 over bought zone. The Nifty remains placed below its Total 2831 1539 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day A/D Ratio 0.59 : 1 0.42 : 1 SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. Moreover, Nifty’s June Futures is now trading at a marginal discount Volume (Lacs Shares) * These negative conditions would result in regular bouts 14/06/12 13/06/12 % Chg. of profit taking and selling pressure. However, a few BSE N.A. N.A. - technical positives continue to hold good. The Nifty NSE 5341 6081 -12.16 remains placed above its 50-day SMA. Moreover, the RSI, Total 5341 6081 -12.16 MACD and KST all are still placed above their respective averages. The KST and MACD are also placed in the Turnover ( ` Crores) * positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. 14/06/12 13/06/12 % Chg. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are BSE N.A. N.A. - placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA.. These positive NSE 8456.82 9733.72 -13.12 technical conditions would prompt buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are NSE F&O 105128.91 98406.06 6.83 moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The Total 113585.73 108139.78 5.04 market sentiment has turned cautious as markets F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * continue to remain at crossroads. Now it is important 14/06/12 13/06/12 % Chg. that the markets witness buying support for Nifty to again move above its 200-day SMA. In the meanwhile the Index Fut. 499941 447577 11.70 markets would take cues from, the Rupee, global markets Stock Fut. 462393 480876 -3.84 and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed Index Opt. 2991098 2745733 8.94 at 4950, 4824 and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the Stock Opt. 210026 198347 5.89 5071, 5114, 5250, 5333 and 5379 levels. Total 4163458 3872533 6.64 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 117 Achieved given Sell @ 123 on Adani Ports Fut 114.95 Sell Below 114.00 117.60 3.16 106 7.02 12/06/12 Apollo Tyre Fut 79.50 Sell Below 79.00 82.60 4.56 71 10.13 BHEL Fut 217.00 Sell Below 216.00 221.00 2.31 205 5.09 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16678 16753 16847 17015 17278 16584 16490 16228 S&P CNX NIFTY 5055 5077 5107 5160 5242 5025 4995 4913 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5054 5080 5113 5172 5265 5021 4987 4895 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Adani Port, Bhushan Steel, Apollo Tyre, CESC, BHEL, Chambal Fert; Crompton Greaves, DCB, Delta Corp; Dena Bank, DLF, Dr. Reddys, Educomp, FT, Godrej Inds; HCLTech; HDFC, HDFC Bank, IB Realestate, IDFC, Indusind Bank, Kotak Bank, Maruti, McLeod Russel, NTPC, Tat Chemicals, Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Power, Welcorp; Yes Bank, Ambuja Cements, Axis Bank, Colgate, Infosys Tech; ITC, Karnatak Bank, Piramal Healthcare, Tulip Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com