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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   28th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16967.76          0.36
                                                                 Markets to remain range bound
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5141.90          0.41
                                                       Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5139.65          0.27
                                                       markets witnessed a firm opening. However, the over all
 India VIX                   20.37           0.69      trend continued to remain range bound and listless. The
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 markets continue d to struggle to find a direction as
                                                       participation remained on the lower side. The markets ended
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       the day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day.
Support           5114       5074            4950
                                                       The top gainers for the day were IDFC, Sesa Goa, Tata
Resistance        5250       5333            5379      Steel, HCL Tech; Tata Power, Rel. Infra, Sterlite, Hindalco,
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Cola India and bank of Baroda.
50 Day SMA                  5049.57
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
100 Day SMA                 5194.00                    higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
200 Day SMA                 5074.97        ◄Critical   The global market cues are positive. The domestic
                                                       markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The markets
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       continued to struggle to find a secular direction. The
Advances                     1462             810
                                                       prevailing technical positives have helped the markets
Declines                     1309             629      record marginal gains. The sideways movement has
Same                          142             107      shelped the oscillators bounce baovetheir averages. The
Total                        2913            1546      RSI, Stochastic and MACD all have moved above their
A/D Ratio                   1.12 : 1        1.29 : 1   respective averages. The KST is already placed above its
                                                       average. The MACD and KST are placed in the positive
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty is
               27/06/12     26/06/12        % Chg.     placed above the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These
BSE              1884        1569            20.08     positive conditions would lead to buying support.
NSE              5359        4855            10.38     However, a few prevailing technical negatives continue
Total            7243        6424            12.75     to The Nifty remains placed below its 100-day SMA.
                                                       Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would
               27/06/12     26/06/12        % Chg.     result in regular bouts of selling pressure especially at
BSE             1634.90     1562.39          4.64      higher levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are
NSE             8002.48     7616.00          5.07
                                                       moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The
                                                       market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important
NSE F&O        148134.39   156874.96         -5.57
                                                       that the markets witness follow up buying support at
Total          157771.77   166053.35         -4.99
                                                       higher levels for Nifty to move above the 5200 level.
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          Intermediate bouts of volatility and choppiness would be
               27/06/12     26/06/12        % Chg.
                                                       witnessed due to impending derivative segment expiry.
                                                       In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from
Index Fut.      496119      585085          -15.21
                                                       Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support
Stock Fut.      857025      864803           -0.90
                                                       levels for Nifty are placed at 5114, 5074, 4950, 4841 and
Index Opt.     4307531      4542189          -5.17     4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333, 5379
Stock Opt.      155575      161519           -3.68     and 5500 levels.
Total          5816250      6153596          -3.91

NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
       Stock          Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
APIL                   350.60       Buy Above           355.00      343.50         3.24         380          7.04
Bajaj Holdings         773.50       Buy Above           778.00      763.50         1.86         810          4.11
Colgate               1154.80    Buy Above        1157.00     1138.50              1.60        1198          3.54
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
       Indices          Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16968                16976      17021      17074          17173        16923        16877        16779
S&P CNX NIFTY               5142                 5144       5158        5175          5205            5127        5113       5082
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             5140                 5142       5160        5180          5218            5122        5104       5066




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

APIl, Bajaj Holdings, BoB, Coal India, Cummins, Dish TV, Divis Labs,FT, Grasim, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hexaware, Hindalco,
Jain Irrigation, JSW Steel, Opto Circuit, Petronet, PTC, REC, Rolta, Sesa goa, Sobha, Sun Pharma, Sun TV, Suzlon,
Syndicate Bank, Tata Global, TCS, Union Bank, Uniphos, ZEEL




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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote technicals daily report for 280612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 28th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16967.76 0.36 Markets to remain range bound S&P CNX NIFTY 5141.90 0.41 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5139.65 0.27 markets witnessed a firm opening. However, the over all India VIX 20.37 0.69 trend continued to remain range bound and listless. The S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets continue d to struggle to find a direction as participation remained on the lower side. The markets ended Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 the day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day. Support 5114 5074 4950 The top gainers for the day were IDFC, Sesa Goa, Tata Resistance 5250 5333 5379 Steel, HCL Tech; Tata Power, Rel. Infra, Sterlite, Hindalco, Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Cola India and bank of Baroda. 50 Day SMA 5049.57 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 100 Day SMA 5194.00 higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. 200 Day SMA 5074.97 ◄Critical The global market cues are positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The markets Market Breadth * BSE NSE continued to struggle to find a secular direction. The Advances 1462 810 prevailing technical positives have helped the markets Declines 1309 629 record marginal gains. The sideways movement has Same 142 107 shelped the oscillators bounce baovetheir averages. The Total 2913 1546 RSI, Stochastic and MACD all have moved above their A/D Ratio 1.12 : 1 1.29 : 1 respective averages. The KST is already placed above its average. The MACD and KST are placed in the positive Volume (Lacs Shares) * territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty is 27/06/12 26/06/12 % Chg. placed above the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These BSE 1884 1569 20.08 positive conditions would lead to buying support. NSE 5359 4855 10.38 However, a few prevailing technical negatives continue Total 7243 6424 12.75 to The Nifty remains placed below its 100-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day Turnover ( ` Crores) * SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would 27/06/12 26/06/12 % Chg. result in regular bouts of selling pressure especially at BSE 1634.90 1562.39 4.64 higher levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are NSE 8002.48 7616.00 5.07 moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important NSE F&O 148134.39 156874.96 -5.57 that the markets witness follow up buying support at Total 157771.77 166053.35 -4.99 higher levels for Nifty to move above the 5200 level. F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * Intermediate bouts of volatility and choppiness would be 27/06/12 26/06/12 % Chg. witnessed due to impending derivative segment expiry. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from Index Fut. 496119 585085 -15.21 Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support Stock Fut. 857025 864803 -0.90 levels for Nifty are placed at 5114, 5074, 4950, 4841 and Index Opt. 4307531 4542189 -5.17 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333, 5379 Stock Opt. 155575 161519 -3.68 and 5500 levels. Total 5816250 6153596 -3.91 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks APIL 350.60 Buy Above 355.00 343.50 3.24 380 7.04 Bajaj Holdings 773.50 Buy Above 778.00 763.50 1.86 810 4.11 Colgate 1154.80 Buy Above 1157.00 1138.50 1.60 1198 3.54 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16968 16976 17021 17074 17173 16923 16877 16779 S&P CNX NIFTY 5142 5144 5158 5175 5205 5127 5113 5082 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5140 5142 5160 5180 5218 5122 5104 5066 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today APIl, Bajaj Holdings, BoB, Coal India, Cummins, Dish TV, Divis Labs,FT, Grasim, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hexaware, Hindalco, Jain Irrigation, JSW Steel, Opto Circuit, Petronet, PTC, REC, Rolta, Sesa goa, Sobha, Sun Pharma, Sun TV, Suzlon, Syndicate Bank, Tata Global, TCS, Union Bank, Uniphos, ZEEL Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com