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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                      30th August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.           Markets over sold but under pressure
 BSE SENSEX                17490.81          -0.80
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5287.80          -0.88     Mirroring the divergent global market cues, the domestic
 NIFTY AUG. FUT.            5296.60          -0.92     markets witnessed a flat opening. The markets continued to
 India VIX                   16.74           2.38      witness sustained selling pressure ahead of the derivative
                                                       segment expiry. The markets failed to show any resilience as
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 buying support continued to remain elusive. The markets
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    ended the day with modest losses to close near the lows for
Support           5250       5215            5118      the day. The top losers for the day were JP Associates, SAIL,
Resistance        5333       5386            5464      Sesa Goa, DLF, Sterlite, Bajaj Auto, Hero Motocorp, Bharti
                                                       Airtel, BHEL and Hindalco.
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
50 Day SMA                  5251.51                    Technically, the market breadth remained negative
100 Day SMA                 5159.12                    amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
200 Day SMA                 5118.43        ◄Critical   negative ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman’s speech.
                                                       The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening.
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       The prevailing technical negatives continued to weigh on
Advances                     1060             457      the market sentiment leading to selling pressure. The
Declines                     1720            1008      MACD has slipped below its average. Moreover, the RSI,
Same                          150               94     KST and Stochastic are already placed below their
Total                        2930            1559      respective averages, which would lead to further selling
A/D Ratio                   0.61 : 1        0.45 : 1
                                                       pressure. However, a few prevailing technical positives
                                                       still hold good, which would lead to buying support at
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               lower levels. The Stochastic has moved in the over sold
               29/08/12    28/08/12         % Chg.     zone on the daily charts. Moreover, the MACD and KST
BSE              1825        2170           -15.90
                                                       are still placed in the positive territory, which augurs well
                                                       for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-
NSE              5904        6510            -9.31
                                                       day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
Total            7729        8680           -10.96
                                                       Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
               29/08/12    28/08/12         % Chg.
                                                       Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
                                                       buying support and short covering at lower levels. The
BSE             1838.90     2335.85         -21.27
                                                       ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways
NSE             9069.75     9500.81          -4.54
                                                       indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment
NSE F&O        170841.35   173663.23         -1.62     remains cautious. Buying support remains absent. Now,
Total          181750.00   185499.89         -2.02     it is important that markets witness buying support at
                                                       regular intervals. The markets are likely to witness
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *
                                                       intermediate bouts of volatility and choppiness due to
               29/08/12    28/08/12         % Chg.
                                                       impending derivative segment expiry. In the meanwhile
Index Fut.      535643      564218           -5.06     the markets would take cues from the Rupee, global
Stock Fut.      925968     1008221           -8.16     market cues and the crude prices. The support levels for
Index Opt.     4689365     4686532           0.06      Nifty are placed at 5250, 5215, 5118 and 5047. The Nifty
Stock Opt.      259006      267503           -3.18     faces resistance at the 5333, 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and
Total          6409982     6526474           -0.09     5607 levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net            Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                  Stop
                                                   Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
        Stock            Close        Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)           Remarks
  Allahabad Bank Fut     118.00     Sell Below           117.70        120.25      2.17         112            4.84
  Ashok Leyland Fut       20.50     Sell Below            20.30         21.75      7.14         17            16.26
  Bombay Dying Fut       442.60     Sell Below           442.00        452.00      2.26         420            4.98
  DLF Fut                190.55 Sell Below          190.00    194.50               2.37         180            5.26
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                             Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close        Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17491                 17539      17606         17721      17904            17423        17356     17173
S&P CNX NIFTY               5288                  5305          5328       5368          5431          5265           5243    5180
NIFTY AUG. FUT.             5297                  5313          5334       5371          5428          5276           5256    5198




                                          Stocks To Watch Out Today
BEL, BEML, Dabur, HUL, ITC, McLeod Russel, Oil India, United Spirits, Wipro
ABB, Allahabd Bk; Ashok Leyland, Axis Bk; Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Bajaj Holdings, BoI, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Canara Bank,
Crompton Greaves, Dish TV, Educomp, Escorts, Essar Oil, Godrej Inds; HDFC, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hero Motocorp, Hindalco,
Indusind Bk; Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, JP Associate, JSW Steel, L&T, ONGC, Pantaloon Retail, PFC, PNB, PTC, Punj Lloyd,
Raymond, RCOM, REC, Rel. Cap; SAIL, Sesa Goa, SIntex, Sterlite, TTK Prestige, Union Bank, Vijaya Bank, Yes Bank, ZEEL



                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Daily Technical Outlook for 30th August 2012

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 30th August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets over sold but under pressure BSE SENSEX 17490.81 -0.80 S&P CNX NIFTY 5287.80 -0.88 Mirroring the divergent global market cues, the domestic NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5296.60 -0.92 markets witnessed a flat opening. The markets continued to India VIX 16.74 2.38 witness sustained selling pressure ahead of the derivative segment expiry. The markets failed to show any resilience as S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels buying support continued to remain elusive. The markets Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 ended the day with modest losses to close near the lows for Support 5250 5215 5118 the day. The top losers for the day were JP Associates, SAIL, Resistance 5333 5386 5464 Sesa Goa, DLF, Sterlite, Bajaj Auto, Hero Motocorp, Bharti Airtel, BHEL and Hindalco. Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 50 Day SMA 5251.51 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 100 Day SMA 5159.12 amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are 200 Day SMA 5118.43 ◄Critical negative ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman’s speech. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. Market Breadth * BSE NSE The prevailing technical negatives continued to weigh on Advances 1060 457 the market sentiment leading to selling pressure. The Declines 1720 1008 MACD has slipped below its average. Moreover, the RSI, Same 150 94 KST and Stochastic are already placed below their Total 2930 1559 respective averages, which would lead to further selling A/D Ratio 0.61 : 1 0.45 : 1 pressure. However, a few prevailing technical positives still hold good, which would lead to buying support at Volume (Lacs Shares) * lower levels. The Stochastic has moved in the over sold 29/08/12 28/08/12 % Chg. zone on the daily charts. Moreover, the MACD and KST BSE 1825 2170 -15.90 are still placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50- NSE 5904 6510 -9.31 day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Total 7729 8680 -10.96 Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day Turnover ( ` Crores) * SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden 29/08/12 28/08/12 % Chg. Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to buying support and short covering at lower levels. The BSE 1838.90 2335.85 -21.27 ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways NSE 9069.75 9500.81 -4.54 indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment NSE F&O 170841.35 173663.23 -1.62 remains cautious. Buying support remains absent. Now, Total 181750.00 185499.89 -2.02 it is important that markets witness buying support at regular intervals. The markets are likely to witness F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * intermediate bouts of volatility and choppiness due to 29/08/12 28/08/12 % Chg. impending derivative segment expiry. In the meanwhile Index Fut. 535643 564218 -5.06 the markets would take cues from the Rupee, global Stock Fut. 925968 1008221 -8.16 market cues and the crude prices. The support levels for Index Opt. 4689365 4686532 0.06 Nifty are placed at 5250, 5215, 5118 and 5047. The Nifty Stock Opt. 259006 267503 -3.18 faces resistance at the 5333, 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and Total 6409982 6526474 -0.09 5607 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Allahabad Bank Fut 118.00 Sell Below 117.70 120.25 2.17 112 4.84 Ashok Leyland Fut 20.50 Sell Below 20.30 21.75 7.14 17 16.26 Bombay Dying Fut 442.60 Sell Below 442.00 452.00 2.26 420 4.98 DLF Fut 190.55 Sell Below 190.00 194.50 2.37 180 5.26 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17491 17539 17606 17721 17904 17423 17356 17173 S&P CNX NIFTY 5288 5305 5328 5368 5431 5265 5243 5180 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5297 5313 5334 5371 5428 5276 5256 5198 Stocks To Watch Out Today BEL, BEML, Dabur, HUL, ITC, McLeod Russel, Oil India, United Spirits, Wipro ABB, Allahabd Bk; Ashok Leyland, Axis Bk; Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Bajaj Holdings, BoI, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Canara Bank, Crompton Greaves, Dish TV, Educomp, Escorts, Essar Oil, Godrej Inds; HDFC, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hero Motocorp, Hindalco, Indusind Bk; Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, JP Associate, JSW Steel, L&T, ONGC, Pantaloon Retail, PFC, PNB, PTC, Punj Lloyd, Raymond, RCOM, REC, Rel. Cap; SAIL, Sesa Goa, SIntex, Sterlite, TTK Prestige, Union Bank, Vijaya Bank, Yes Bank, ZEEL Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com