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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                      31st August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.               Markets to remain range bound
 BSE SENSEX                17541.64          0.29
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5315.05          0.52      Mirroring the negative global market cues, the domestic
 NIFTY SEPT. FUT.           5330.15          0.76      markets witnessed a subdue opening. Selling pressure was
 India VIX                   16.67           -0.41     witnessed in the morning trade. The over all trend remained
                                                       range bound and choppy due to the derivative segment
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 expiry. Selective buying support and short covering was
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    witnessed in the afternoon trade ahead of the expiry. The
Support           5250       5215            5118      markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the
Resistance        5333       5386            5464      lows for the day. The top losers for the day were DLF, IDFC,
                                                       Hindalco, JP Associates, Kotak Bank, HDFC, PNB, Cipla,
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Powergrid and Bank of Baroda.
50 Day SMA                  5255.73
100 Day SMA                 5159.83                    Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst
200 Day SMA                 5119.86        ◄Critical   higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
                                                       The global market cues are negative. The domestic
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The
Advances                     1401             739      prevailing technical positive conditions led to short
Declines                     1327             726      covering and a positive closing. The prevailing technical
Same                          151               95     positives still hold good, which would lead to buying
Total                        2879            1560      support at regular intervals. The Stochastic has moved
A/D Ratio                   1.05 : 1        1.02 : 1
                                                       above its average and is also placed in the over sold
                                                       zone on the daily charts. Moreover, the MACD and KST
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               are still placed in the positive territory, which augurs well
               30/08/12    29/08/12         % Chg.     for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-
BSE              2005        1825            9.86
                                                       day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
                                                       Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
NSE              8425        5904            42.69
                                                       SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
Total           10430        7729            34.94
                                                       Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               buying support and short covering at lower levels.
               30/08/12    29/08/12         % Chg.
                                                       However, the prevailing technical negatives continue to
                                                       hold good and would weigh on the market sentiment The
BSE             2597.55     1838.90          41.26
                                                       ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways
NSE            15011.04     9069.75          65.51
                                                       indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment
NSE F&O        258919.86   170841.35         51.56     remains cautious. Now, it is important that markets
Total          276528.45   181750.00         52.15     witness buying support at regular intervals. In the
                                                       meanwhile the markets would take cues from the GDP
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *
                                                       data, Rupee, global market cues and the crude prices.
                                            % Chg.
               30/08/12    29/08/12
                                                       The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5250, 5215, 5118
Index Fut.      810761      535643           51.36     and 5047. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5333, 5386,
Stock Fut.     1216633      925968           31.39     5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels.
Index Opt.     7470240     4689365           59.30
Stock Opt.      312997      259006           20.85
Total          9810631     6409982           44.23

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net            Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                  Stop
                                                   Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
        Stock            Close       Action        Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)            Remarks
                                                                                                                        TGT of 705
                                                                                                                        Achieved
                                                                                                                        given Sell @
                                                                                                                        729 on
  ABB Fut                716.50     Sell Below           714.00           725      1.54          690           3.36     29/08/12


  Adani Ports            114.50     Buy Above            115.50           113      2.16          121           4.76
  Colgate              1208.60 Buy Above          1212.00                1188      1.98         1265           4.37
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                             Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close        Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17542                17505      17642         17743      17981             17404       17267       17029
S&P CNX NIFTY                5315                 5304          5354       5392          5480           5266          5217      5129
NIFTY SEPT. FUT.             5330                 5319          5348       5366          5413           5301          5272      5225




                                          Stocks To Watch Out Today
ABB, Apollo Tyre, Allahabad Bk; Andhra Bk; Axis Bk; Bajaj Hind; BoI, Crompton Greaves, Fortis, GAIL, Godrej Inds; Grasim,
GVK, HDIL, Hero Motocorp, Indusind Bk, LIC Hsg, Maruti, ONGC, REC, Rel, Infra, RPower, Sterlite, Sun Pharma, Tata Steel,
Tech Mahindra, TTK Prestige, vijaya Bank, Yes Bank
Aban, Adani Ports, Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, GMDC, HDFC, HUL, Idea, IDFC, ITC, Jindal Saw, Jubilant Foods, Kotak Bank
Lupin, Mphasis, NHPC, Powergrid, Siemens, Sun TV, Syndicatge Bk; Tata Comm; Tata Global, Tata Motors DVR, Tata Power
TCS, Uniphos, United Spirits, Videocon, VIP, Wipro


                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 310812

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 31st August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets to remain range bound BSE SENSEX 17541.64 0.29 S&P CNX NIFTY 5315.05 0.52 Mirroring the negative global market cues, the domestic NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5330.15 0.76 markets witnessed a subdue opening. Selling pressure was India VIX 16.67 -0.41 witnessed in the morning trade. The over all trend remained range bound and choppy due to the derivative segment S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels expiry. Selective buying support and short covering was Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 witnessed in the afternoon trade ahead of the expiry. The Support 5250 5215 5118 markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the Resistance 5333 5386 5464 lows for the day. The top losers for the day were DLF, IDFC, Hindalco, JP Associates, Kotak Bank, HDFC, PNB, Cipla, Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Powergrid and Bank of Baroda. 50 Day SMA 5255.73 100 Day SMA 5159.83 Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst 200 Day SMA 5119.86 ◄Critical higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. The global market cues are negative. The domestic Market Breadth * BSE NSE markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The Advances 1401 739 prevailing technical positive conditions led to short Declines 1327 726 covering and a positive closing. The prevailing technical Same 151 95 positives still hold good, which would lead to buying Total 2879 1560 support at regular intervals. The Stochastic has moved A/D Ratio 1.05 : 1 1.02 : 1 above its average and is also placed in the over sold zone on the daily charts. Moreover, the MACD and KST Volume (Lacs Shares) * are still placed in the positive territory, which augurs well 30/08/12 29/08/12 % Chg. for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50- BSE 2005 1825 9.86 day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day NSE 8425 5904 42.69 SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Total 10430 7729 34.94 Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to Turnover ( ` Crores) * buying support and short covering at lower levels. 30/08/12 29/08/12 % Chg. However, the prevailing technical negatives continue to hold good and would weigh on the market sentiment The BSE 2597.55 1838.90 41.26 ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways NSE 15011.04 9069.75 65.51 indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment NSE F&O 258919.86 170841.35 51.56 remains cautious. Now, it is important that markets Total 276528.45 181750.00 52.15 witness buying support at regular intervals. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the GDP F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * data, Rupee, global market cues and the crude prices. % Chg. 30/08/12 29/08/12 The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5250, 5215, 5118 Index Fut. 810761 535643 51.36 and 5047. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5333, 5386, Stock Fut. 1216633 925968 31.39 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels. Index Opt. 7470240 4689365 59.30 Stock Opt. 312997 259006 20.85 Total 9810631 6409982 44.23 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 705 Achieved given Sell @ 729 on ABB Fut 716.50 Sell Below 714.00 725 1.54 690 3.36 29/08/12 Adani Ports 114.50 Buy Above 115.50 113 2.16 121 4.76 Colgate 1208.60 Buy Above 1212.00 1188 1.98 1265 4.37 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17542 17505 17642 17743 17981 17404 17267 17029 S&P CNX NIFTY 5315 5304 5354 5392 5480 5266 5217 5129 NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5330 5319 5348 5366 5413 5301 5272 5225 Stocks To Watch Out Today ABB, Apollo Tyre, Allahabad Bk; Andhra Bk; Axis Bk; Bajaj Hind; BoI, Crompton Greaves, Fortis, GAIL, Godrej Inds; Grasim, GVK, HDIL, Hero Motocorp, Indusind Bk, LIC Hsg, Maruti, ONGC, REC, Rel, Infra, RPower, Sterlite, Sun Pharma, Tata Steel, Tech Mahindra, TTK Prestige, vijaya Bank, Yes Bank Aban, Adani Ports, Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, GMDC, HDFC, HUL, Idea, IDFC, ITC, Jindal Saw, Jubilant Foods, Kotak Bank Lupin, Mphasis, NHPC, Powergrid, Siemens, Sun TV, Syndicatge Bk; Tata Comm; Tata Global, Tata Motors DVR, Tata Power TCS, Uniphos, United Spirits, Videocon, VIP, Wipro Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com