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Does cognitive heuristics help
electorate make better decisions
and vote for right candidate?

Zhou Hao 11186119
Kittikun Sangnin 11307345
Jiayuan Huang 11472267
Introduction
• Cognitive Heuristics
• Our question
• Why is it Interesting?
   public issues
   effectiveness of decision making process by voters
   right leader?
Literature Review
• Political Cognitive Heuristics
  Party Affiliation
  Ideology
  Endorsements
  Polls result
  Candidates’ Appearance

• Lau and Redlawsk’s Hypotheses
  All voters employ heuristics
  Effectiveness vs. Sophistication
  Complexity of Situation vs. Frequency/Accuracy of
   Use
Literature Review (Continue)
• Methodology : Dynamic Process Tracing, Mock
  Election

• Analysis of Result

• Their Discussion
Discussion

• Result of using cognitive heuristic
  Efficiency
      Political experts

  Biases
      Direct Measure
      Political Sophistication
      Situational Factors
Reflection
• Limitations of article
  Research design lack in “mundane realism”
  Evaluation of the candidates’ effectiveness lack in
   the appropriate measurement
  Study is held on the large scale of area, it should be
   carried out the small primary election
Conclusion
• voters applied the cognitive heuristics in
  decision making
• It is reasonable to conclude that the political
  sophistication result in the better use of
  cognitive heuristic.
• In the complex environment, there is an
  increase in the probability of application of the
  cognitive heuristic by voters.
Reference
• Lau, Richard R., Redlawsk, David P., 2001.
  ‘Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive
  Heuristics in Political Decision Making’.
  American Journal of Political Science
  45(October):951-971.
• Kahneman, Daniel, Paul Slovic, and Amos
  Tversky, Eds. 1982. ‘Judgement Under
  Uncertainty:Heuristics and Biases’. N` ew York:
  Cambridge.

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Cognitive heuristic

  • 1. Does cognitive heuristics help electorate make better decisions and vote for right candidate? Zhou Hao 11186119 Kittikun Sangnin 11307345 Jiayuan Huang 11472267
  • 2. Introduction • Cognitive Heuristics • Our question • Why is it Interesting?  public issues  effectiveness of decision making process by voters  right leader?
  • 3. Literature Review • Political Cognitive Heuristics Party Affiliation Ideology Endorsements Polls result Candidates’ Appearance • Lau and Redlawsk’s Hypotheses All voters employ heuristics Effectiveness vs. Sophistication Complexity of Situation vs. Frequency/Accuracy of Use
  • 4. Literature Review (Continue) • Methodology : Dynamic Process Tracing, Mock Election • Analysis of Result • Their Discussion
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Discussion • Result of using cognitive heuristic  Efficiency  Political experts  Biases  Direct Measure  Political Sophistication  Situational Factors
  • 11. Reflection • Limitations of article Research design lack in “mundane realism” Evaluation of the candidates’ effectiveness lack in the appropriate measurement Study is held on the large scale of area, it should be carried out the small primary election
  • 12. Conclusion • voters applied the cognitive heuristics in decision making • It is reasonable to conclude that the political sophistication result in the better use of cognitive heuristic. • In the complex environment, there is an increase in the probability of application of the cognitive heuristic by voters.
  • 13. Reference • Lau, Richard R., Redlawsk, David P., 2001. ‘Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive Heuristics in Political Decision Making’. American Journal of Political Science 45(October):951-971. • Kahneman, Daniel, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, Eds. 1982. ‘Judgement Under Uncertainty:Heuristics and Biases’. N` ew York: Cambridge.