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SB 375
         What does it mean for Western Riverside County?
                               Leonard Transportation Center Forum
                                                      May 22, 2009
                                      Doubletree Hotel, Ontario, CA




                                                          Rick Bishop
                                                     Executive Director
                                               bishop@wrcog.cog.ca.us




www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Several ways to get to VMT reductions…

1.   Land use changes

2.   Transportation investments

3.   Transportation policies TDM -strategies to impact driving habits




              www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
How are we reacting to SB 375 thus far?




   1. Freaking out                   2. Asleep
            www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
3. Asleep but appearing to pay attention
www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
How should we be reacting?




 1. Perplexed/confused          2. Confident
          www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Why perplexed / confused?




1. Currently no sanctions against “non-conforming” SCS

2. The “Alternative Planning Scenario” (?)

3. Uncertain whether all jurisdictions need to comply with SCS

4. Uncertain about scope of what’s needed to reach targets

5. RHNA linkage

6. No funding for SCS preparation




             www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Why confident?
1. We know where we will end up…
    • WRCOG subregion will grow by 1.1 million by 2035
    • 40,000 new residents each year…
      It is foolish to act / plan as if it won’t happen…
      … the key is whether we can frontload the evolution.




   www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Why confident?




2. The majority of future households will be comprised of:

    - Single-parent households
                                               The traditional two-
    - Baby boomers                              parent household
    - Empty-nesters                                    with
                                               children is now less
    - Couples without children                than a quarter of the
                                                 population and
                                              getting proportionally
                                                     smaller.
                                              (Higher Density Development Myth and
                                                   Fact – Urban Land Institute)




             www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Why confident?




3. Signs point to greater acceptance among WRCOG residents of a
   changed land use mix in future


  42% expressed interest in living in a transit village in the next 2 years
  14% “very interested”
                                                  Source: WRCOG survey, 2007




              www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
TOD Demonstration Project Study generated significant interest



            RIVERSIDE
                       MARCH JPA

   CORONA


                          PERRIS
                                      HEMET




             www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
What’s TUMF got to do with it?

- Western Riverside Transportation Uniform Mitigation Fee
  (TUMF) Program
- Largest multi-jurisdictional transportation fee program in
  United States
- Will provide nearly $5 billion for improvements to WRCOG-area
  arterials, interchanges, intersections




           www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
600,000 MORE JOBS IN WESTERN RIVERSIDE BY 2035


- Could result in a significant commute shift in the region as thousands of
  freeway trips to coastal counties will be reduced in length or eliminated;
- BUT, those trips will be redistributed among the subregion’s local roads
  and arterials;
- If not planned for, could be a disaster for the subregion’s internal
  arterial system.




            www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Western Riverside Multiple Species Habitat Conservation Plan
• will conserve 153,000 acres of habitat
• de facto densification of the subregion?




              www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Some observations in general…

1. With 6 million more people coming (and 2 million more homes) we
   shouldn’t need SB 375 to help us “re-think” our planning
   approaches.

2. Greenhouse gas discussions here to stay
   “Environment vs. Economy” argument is weakening

3. What has “worked” in the past probably won’t in the future
   - changing demographics
   - transportation policies / priorities
   - water availability
   - energy constraints and costs




              www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Be confident… but realistic

Existing transportation network / policies Mistrust

of government Anti-growth            NIMBY
fear Community mind set Parochialism
RESISTANCE TO HIGHER DENSITY       No vision Lack
of positive media Unpredictability of
public financing No sense of
    urgency…

             www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
“Can Western Riverside get ahead of the urban
evolutional process and build TOD’s and higher densities
NOW rather than waiting?”

It needs to.




               www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
Four point plan for success

1.   Political leadership is vital
2.   Proactive planning among private and public sectors
3.   Multi-agency cooperation
4.   Need to stay the course




            www.wrcog.cog.ca.us

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LTC, Annual Forum, Greener California: Impacts of Senate Bill 375 and Winning Strategies for Southern California, 05/22/2009, Rick Bishop

  • 1. SB 375 What does it mean for Western Riverside County? Leonard Transportation Center Forum May 22, 2009 Doubletree Hotel, Ontario, CA Rick Bishop Executive Director bishop@wrcog.cog.ca.us www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 2. Several ways to get to VMT reductions… 1. Land use changes 2. Transportation investments 3. Transportation policies TDM -strategies to impact driving habits www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 3. How are we reacting to SB 375 thus far? 1. Freaking out 2. Asleep www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 4. 3. Asleep but appearing to pay attention www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 5. How should we be reacting? 1. Perplexed/confused 2. Confident www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 6. Why perplexed / confused? 1. Currently no sanctions against “non-conforming” SCS 2. The “Alternative Planning Scenario” (?) 3. Uncertain whether all jurisdictions need to comply with SCS 4. Uncertain about scope of what’s needed to reach targets 5. RHNA linkage 6. No funding for SCS preparation www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 7. Why confident? 1. We know where we will end up… • WRCOG subregion will grow by 1.1 million by 2035 • 40,000 new residents each year… It is foolish to act / plan as if it won’t happen… … the key is whether we can frontload the evolution. www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 8. Why confident? 2. The majority of future households will be comprised of: - Single-parent households The traditional two- - Baby boomers parent household - Empty-nesters with children is now less - Couples without children than a quarter of the population and getting proportionally smaller. (Higher Density Development Myth and Fact – Urban Land Institute) www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 9. Why confident? 3. Signs point to greater acceptance among WRCOG residents of a changed land use mix in future 42% expressed interest in living in a transit village in the next 2 years 14% “very interested” Source: WRCOG survey, 2007 www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 10. TOD Demonstration Project Study generated significant interest RIVERSIDE MARCH JPA CORONA PERRIS HEMET www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 11. What’s TUMF got to do with it? - Western Riverside Transportation Uniform Mitigation Fee (TUMF) Program - Largest multi-jurisdictional transportation fee program in United States - Will provide nearly $5 billion for improvements to WRCOG-area arterials, interchanges, intersections www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 12. 600,000 MORE JOBS IN WESTERN RIVERSIDE BY 2035 - Could result in a significant commute shift in the region as thousands of freeway trips to coastal counties will be reduced in length or eliminated; - BUT, those trips will be redistributed among the subregion’s local roads and arterials; - If not planned for, could be a disaster for the subregion’s internal arterial system. www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 13. Western Riverside Multiple Species Habitat Conservation Plan • will conserve 153,000 acres of habitat • de facto densification of the subregion? www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 14. Some observations in general… 1. With 6 million more people coming (and 2 million more homes) we shouldn’t need SB 375 to help us “re-think” our planning approaches. 2. Greenhouse gas discussions here to stay “Environment vs. Economy” argument is weakening 3. What has “worked” in the past probably won’t in the future - changing demographics - transportation policies / priorities - water availability - energy constraints and costs www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 15. Be confident… but realistic Existing transportation network / policies Mistrust of government Anti-growth NIMBY fear Community mind set Parochialism RESISTANCE TO HIGHER DENSITY No vision Lack of positive media Unpredictability of public financing No sense of urgency… www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 16. “Can Western Riverside get ahead of the urban evolutional process and build TOD’s and higher densities NOW rather than waiting?” It needs to. www.wrcog.cog.ca.us
  • 17. Four point plan for success 1. Political leadership is vital 2. Proactive planning among private and public sectors 3. Multi-agency cooperation 4. Need to stay the course www.wrcog.cog.ca.us