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Malaysia Budget 2012
Media analysis series
Issues detailing specific abilities of media analysis while providing insight on major topics of global interest
Malaysia Budget 2012



AN EVALUATION OF
NEWS MEDIA
COVERAGE (PRESS,
BROADCAST AND
ONLINE NEWS) AND
SOCIAL MEDIA
CONVERSATIONS OF
MALAYSIA'S BUDGET
PROPOSAL FOR
YEAR 2012.




                       3
Average favourability, net sentiment explained

                                            RATING                    SCALE              COLOUR USED

                                            Highly favourable             76 to 100

                                            Moderately favourable             56 to 75   Favourable

                                            Slightly favourable               51 to 55
    NewsMedia




                   Average Favourability
                            Rating
                                            Neutral/balanced                    50       Neutral
                   0to 100 scale where 50
                          is neutral
                                            Slightly unfavourable             45 to 49

                                            Moderately unfavourable           30 to 44   Unfavourable

                                            Highly unfavourable               0 to 30

                                            Very Positive                + 51 to +100
                                                                                         Positive
                                            Positive                      +1 to +50
    Social Media




                      Sentiment Scale
                     -100 to +100 scale     Neutral                              0       Neutral
                      where 0 is neutral
                                            Negative                      - 1 to -50
                                                                                         Negative
                                            Very Negative                 -51 to -100




                                                                                                        4
News media analysis methodology
Best Practice Media Analysis
Media Monitors uses the CARMA® media content analysis methodology, which is internationally recognised as one of the leading
commercial systems available. CARMA® (Computer Aided Research and Media Analysis) uses advanced technology to quantify media
content, and human intelligence to provide qualitative insight and analysis.


An aggregate score is calculated based on these multiple variables and presented on a 0–100 scale where 50 is neutral. This is an overall
rating of the favourability of each media report towards the client organisation (and, if relevant, other organisations or competitors). This
aggregate score is called the CARMA® Favourability Rating.


Average Favourability Explained



                                           News media analysis methodology




                                                                                                                                                5
Methodology explained

> Positioning

> Size

> Prominent placement

   (headline,image)

> Topics

> Spokespeople/

   Commentators

> Messages

> Tone




                        6
The Star, 8 October 2011
Social media analysis methodology & glossary of terms
                                                          Social Media Metrics Explained                                  Glossary of Terms
Brandtology social media analysis is based on
                                                          Engagement      Quantifies the content creation and response Category           This refers to the highest level referencing a
keywords and channels that have been identified by a
                                                          Index           level of a particular subject. This takes into                  logical grouping. A category may contain one
Social Media Consultant (SMCs). SMCs work closely
                                                                          account the number of conversations started,                    or more subjects.
with clients to determine what needs to be monitored,
                                                                          as well as the number of relevant comments
how best to do this and how to ensure the deliverables                                                                   Channel          A source being monitored for posts.
and reports meet the clients‟ objectives.                                 and responses to the subject.
                                                                                                                                          Examples are forums, reviews, blogs, etc.
Using these keywords and channels, relevant data –        Influence       Reflects the level of influence of a group of
such as author, content, date of content and influence    Index           online contributors discussing a certain        Influence       The influence score weights the importance of
of author – is extracted from forums, blogs, news,                        subject. Influencers are broken down into       Score           the author/commenter within his/her channel.
reviews, Q&As, microblogs, public pages on social                         bands of Very High, High, Moderate, Low and                     The score is within the range of 0 to 100.
networking sites and video sites (comments only) from                     Very Low Influence. Online contributors who
                                                                                                                          Keyword         A keyword is used as a search term in the
the internet.                                                             are active content posters or garner more
                                                                                                                                          matching process to tag posts to the
                                                                          responses to their content will command a
The extracted data is processed by multilingual natural                                                                                   associated subject.
                                                                          higher individual influence score. High
language processors to identify sentiments along a
                                                                          Influencers have a higher weightage in          Mentions        Number of mentions or posts online.
five-point scale (very negative, negative, neutral,
                                                                          determining the Influencer Index score. The
positive, and very positive).
                                                                          higher the total Influence Index score, the     Online Public   Online public refers to a person or persons
Processed data is stored in databases and accessible                      more influential the group of online                            discussing, writing, or posting on social media
via our Digital Conversation Management System                            contributors discussing the subject are                         platforms like blogs, forum sites, Q&A sites,
(DCMS). Analysis based on proprietary algorithms is                       considered to be.                                               review sites or microblogs.
performed on the data to derive statistics, trends,
indexes and charts.                                       Net Sentiment Measures the ratio of positive to negative       Sentiment        Very Negative, Negative, Neutral, Positive
                                                                        posts. A sentiment index value greater than 1 Scale               and Very Positive.
A priority rating is also calculated based on a                         indicates a higher proportion of positive posts.
combination of the site and author influence.                                                                            Voice            An author creating the post or a commenter
                                                          Reach         Measures the width and depth of the subject‟s                     that made a comment.
Social Media Analysts (SMAs) access the data via our
                                                                        reach across individual channels and unique
in-house ticketing system to ensure the relevancy and
                                                                        voices, respectively.                            Voice Growth     The Voice Growth chart shows the number of
accuracy of the data, as well as to train the system to
process data more efficiently on behalf of the clients.                                                                                   unique voices per day that have grown during
                                                                                                                                          the time period. This provides an indication of
Once SMAs have checked the posts for relevancy and                                                                                        a “viral” growth type of view to show how
sentiment, Social Media Research Analysts (SMRAs)                                                                                         many more people are mentioning the
check for trends and gather insights that would be                                                                                        subject.
relevant to the client, and produce a report.



                                                                                                                                                                                9
Story focus
NEWS MEDIA TOPICS                                                                        CHART 1


         600                                                                             60




                                                       55.2
                  54.9

                                                                             53.0
                                    51.8




                                                                                              FAVOURABILITY
                  339
VOLUME




         300                                                                             50




                                    171
                                                       140
                                                                             106




           0                                                                             40
               THE RAKYAT    OVERALL ECONOMY     PUBLIC SECTOR          PRIVATE SECTOR


                            UNFAV          NEU   FAV          AVG FAV


                                                                                                              10
Story focus
 SOCIAL MEDIA TOPICS                                                            CHART2


         300                                                                      100




                                                                                        NET SENTIMENT
VOLUME




                  145
         150                 141                                                  0
                                              -13.1
                  -13.8


                             -37.6                                     -37.7
                                               84


                                                                        53




           0                                                                      -100
               THE RAKYAT   OVERALL         PUBLIC                    PRIVATE
                            ECONOMY         SECTOR                    SECTOR

                            NEG       NEU   POS       NET SENTIMENT


                                                                                                        11
Leading topics
NEWS MEDIA                                                                                                                                    CHART 3

         400                                                                                                                                    60
                                                                                                   56.0        56.5
                                          54.9                         55.5
                  53.5        53.6                                                     53.4




                                                                                                                                                     FAVOURABILITY
                                                       52.9                                                                           52.5
                                                                                                                           50.8
VOLUME




                   206
         200                   175        165          160             160                                                                      50
                                                                                       142         128         117         111
                                                                                                                                      94



           0                                                                                                                                    40
               INDIVIDUAL     CIVIL      LIVING        BUDGET    PUBLIC             GROWTH       SOCIAL      MINISTRY     GLOBAL   CORPORATE
                 TAX &…     SERVANTS     COST       IMPLEMENT-…EDUCATION                        WELFARE     ALLOCATION   ECONOMY     TAX &…
                                                              UNFAV         NEU       FAV      AVG FAV

SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS)                                                                                                                 CHART 4


         200                                                                                                                                   100




                                                                                                                                                     NET SENTIMENT
VOLUME




                  -36.5                   -4.5                                                                                       -4.9
         100                  -14.8                                                               -14.3                                        0
                                                      -24.9                                                   -25.0
                   76                                                 -45.2           -47.0
                               57                                                                                         -47.4
                                           47
                                                       27              26
                                                                                       25          21          20          19         17
           0                                                                                                                                   -100
                 BUDGET       CIVIL    INDIVIDUAL   HOUSING       GROWTH           CORPORATE      SOCIAL     LIVING       GLOBAL EMPLOYMENT
               IMPLEMENT-   SERVANTS     TAX &                                        TAX &      WELFARE     COST        ECONOMY
                  ATION                SUBSIDIES                                    SUBSIDIES
                                                        NEG           NEU         POS       NET SENTIMENT



                                                                                                                                                   12
Leading messages - news
                                                                                            CHART 5



                                                                       VOLUME
                                          0    50                100    150     200   250      300


             IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT                                               240



      IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR                       89


    OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE
                                                         69
       THE WELL-BEING OF THE RAKYAT


         STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH                 56



                           IS INCLUSIVE             55


        DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE
                                              37
                DEVELOPMENT


     IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR       34


                                              FAV        UNFAV




                                                                                                      13
Leading messages – social media
                                                                                                                     CHART 6


                                                                                               VOLUME
                                                         0           5               10          15        20   25       30

                            IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT                                                          24

                                      IS NOT INCLUSIVE                                                15

          DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT                                        11

                     IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR                           8

  OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE WELL-BEING OF THE
                                                                                 8
                       RAKYAT

                                          IS INCLUSIVE                       7

                DOES NOT STIMULATE ECONOMIC GROWTH                           7

                        STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH                           7

                               IS NOT TRANSFORMATIVE                     6

                        IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT                   6

                IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR                   6

                                                  FAV        UNFAV



                                                                                                                               14
Media type

NEWS MEDIA                        CHART 7   SOCIALMEDIA                            CHART 8




                                                                        SOCIAL
             TV & RADIO                                               NETWORKING
                                                          MICROBLOG      SITE
                7.9%
                                                             1.4%        3.1%




                          PRESS                                         BLOG
             ONLINE       47.1%                                         44.4%
             NEWS                                         FORUM
              45.0%                                        51.1%




                                                                                       15
Language breakdown

NEWS MEDIA              CHART 9




                TAMIL
                 4.2%
      CHINESE
       11.5%                      SOCIAL MEDIA               CHART 10




                                                 CHINESE
                                                  6.4%
                        ENGLISH
                         49.5%




   MALAY
   34.8%                            MALAY
                                    35.1%

                                                           ENGLISH
                                                            58.5%




                                                                        16
Trend analysis
This chart shows the volume and favourability of articles analysed over the report period.                                                                            CHART 11

 NEWS MEDIA                                                                                                                           The media focus shifted to
                             The rakyat responded to various news              The media discussed the government‟s “over-            implementation of the
             200             articles, expressing their concerns about         optimistic” target of 2012‟s Budget deficit, and       Budget, specifically the              60
                             and expectations of the Budget.                   worrying debt levels in Malaysia.                      allocations to government
                                                                                                                                      ministries.




                                                                                                                                                                                 FAVOURABILITY
    VOLUME




             100                                                                                                                                                            50




                 0                                                                                                                                                          40
                     THU 6 OCT      FRI 7 OCT…        SAT 8 OCT          SUN 7 OCT    MON 8 OCT    TUE 9 OCT                WED 10 OCT      THU 11 OCT        FRI 12 OCT
                                                                                  VOL        AVG FAV

This chart shows the volume and net sentiment of online posts analysed over the report period.                                                                        CHART 12

   SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS)
         200                                                                                                            Discussions continue about the                       60
                                                                                                                        government‟s handouts, with suggestions
                                                                              Discussion of opposition party
                             Discussion related to speculation about                                                    that this was undertaken in order to win
                                                                              reviews of the government‟s
                             Budget allocation, particularly in terms                                                   public votes in the upcoming election.




                                                                                                                                                                                         NET SENTIMENT
                                                                              Budget allocations.
                             of a GST.
VOLUME




         100                                                                                                                                                                 0




             0                                                                                                                                                               -60
                     THU 6 OCT     FRI 7 OCT         SAT 8 OCT           SUN 7 OCT      MON 8 OCT          TUE 9 OCT        WED 10 OCT       THU 11 OCT        FRI 12 OCT
                                  BUDGET DAY                                         VOL          NET SENTIMENT



                                                                                                                                                                             17
Commentators/influencers
                                                    TABLE 1                                                       TABLE 2

                                                        AVG                                     INFLUENCE          SENT-
NEWS COMMENTATORS                                 VOL          INFLUENCERS    CHANNELS                      VOL
                                                        FAV                                         SCORE          IMENT

DATUK SERI NAJIB TUN RAZAK, MALAYSIA PRIME                                    LOWYAT.NET
                                                   67   58.0   ROBERTNGO                              100     3        0
MINISTER                                                                      FORUM– KOPITIAM

DATUK DR. AWANG ADEK HUSSEIN, DEPUTY FINANCE                                  LOWYAT.NET
                                                   15   55.0   JOE_MAMAK                              100     2       -13
MINISTER                                                                      FORUM– KOPITIAM
TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN YASSIN, MALAYSIA DEPUTY PRIME                               MIRI COMMUNITY
                                                   12   54.2   RYUNARUTO                               90     2        0
MINISTER                                                                      FORUM – LOUNGE

DATUK SERI LIOW TIONG LAI, MINISTER OF HEALTH      12   54.6                  LOWYAT.NET
                                                               FLAMING_LION                            72     1        0
                                                                              FORUM– KOPITIAM

DATUK MUKHRIZ TUN MAHATHIR, DEPUTY MINISTER
                                                   11   54.5                  LOWYAT.NET
OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE & INDUSTRY                              POLARIS                                 70    27        -8
                                                                              FORUM– KOPITIAM

DATUK SERI ANWAR IBRAHIM, OPPOSITION LEADER         9   44.4                  MIRI COMMUNITY
                                                               RELAXJACK                               65     2       -13
                                                                              FORUM – LOUNGE
                                                                              TWITTER –
DATUK SERI DR. NG YEN YEN, MINISTER OF TOURISM      8   55.0   READZZAL                                56     1        0
                                                                              MALAYSIA
                                                                              TWITTER –
CHUA HAK BIN, BANK OF AMERICA MERRILL LYNCH                    IDIN77                                  51     1        0
                                                    8   46.9                  MALAYSIA
ECONOMIST
                                                               THE BORNE      TWITTER –
                                                                                                       51     1        0
TONY PUA, MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT FOR PETALING                    POST           MALAYSIA
                                                    8   45.6
JAYA UTARA                                                                    THE BURSA M‟SIA
                                                                              FORUM –
DATUK SERI AHMAD HUSNI MOHAMAD HANADZLAH,                      SALAHDIN                                50     3        0
                                                    8   58.1                  PERSONAL
SECOND MINISTER OF FINANCE                                                    FINANCE


                                                                                                                     18
FURTHER ANALYSIS FROM NEWS MEDIA


News media findings
Stakeholder satisfaction

PUBLIC SECTOR                 CHART 13   PRIVATE SECTOR       CHART 15


      PUBLIC
                                              PRIVATE
     SECTOR IS
                                             SECTOR IS
       NOT
                                                NOT
     SATISFIED
                                             SATISFIED
     WITH THE
                                             WITH THE      PRIVATE
     BUDGET…            PUBLIC                BUDGET      SECTOR IS
                       SECTOR IS               28.2%      SATISFIED
                       SATISFIED
                                                          WITH THE
                       WITH THE
                                                           BUDGET
                        BUDGET
                                                            71.8%
                         89.3%



RAKYAT                        CHART 14


    RAKYAT IS
       NOT
    SATISFIED
    WITH THE
     BUDGET
      22.1%            RAKYAT IS
                       SATISFIED
                       WITH THE
                        BUDGET
                         77.9%




                                                                      20
Leading media by language
                                                               TABLE 3

                                                             AVERAGE
LANGUAGE     MEDIA OUTLETS        AUDIENCE     VOLUME
                                                        FAVOURABILITY

             THE STAR ONLINE        674,424        89             53.8

             YAHOO! MALAYSIA         60,630        58             53.3
ENGLISH

             MALAYSIAN INSIDER
                                    456,895        47             48.4
             (ALTERNATIVE NEWS)


             UTUSAN MALAYSIA      41,413,162       71             54.1

             UTUSAN ONLINE          407,925        58             56.1
MALAY

             HARAKAH DAILY
                                    349,027        20             42.3
             (ALTERNATIVE NEWS)

             SIN CHEW JIT POH     36,987,648       47             54.5
CHINESE
             CHINA PRESS          18,870,540       38             52.6

             MALAYSIA NANBAN       2,760,000       18             53.6
TAMIL
             MAKKAI OSAI             52,000        13             54.6




                                                                   21
Social media findings


“   @HORNBILL UNLEASHED.WORDPRESS.COM, 11 OCTOBER 2011

    “IN FACT, „ONE-OFF‟ PAYMENTS ARE AKIN TO PLACEBOS THAT GIVE
    SHORT-TERM RELIEFS. RELIEFS THAT ARE PLAYS ON THE MIND
    RATHER THAN REALISTIC SOLUTIONS TO A MEDICAL AILMENT. AND
    THIS IS THE ESSENCE OF BUDGET 2012. IT IS A SHORT TERM
    PLACEBO, MEANT TO GRANT A „FEEL GOOD‟ EFFECT AMONG A
    SELECT FEW OF THE POPULACE. JUST ENOUGH TO AFFECT THE 5%
    VOTE SWING BACK TO THE BARISANNASIONAL IN ORDER TO RETAIN
    THE TWO-THIRDS MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT. HOW ELSE CAN YOU
    EXPLAIN ITS IRRATIONALITY AND DISREGARD FOR FINANCIAL
    RESPONSIBILITY?”
Social media metrics


 .



 STORY FOCUS           ENGAGEMENT    INFLUENCE   REACH   NET SENTIMENT

 OVERALL ECONOMY
                             54.4%        57%    66.5%            -37.6


 PRIVATE SECTOR
                             51.9%        56%    66.6%            -37.7


 PUBLIC SECTOR
                             49.4%        56%    60.8%            -13.1


 THE RAKYAT
                             49.9%        54%    64.4%            -13.8




                                                                   23
Top 10 channels
.
                                                                                 CHART 16




                                     LOWYAT.NET FORUM - KOPITIAM


                                     FREE MALAYSIA TODAY

                  LOWYAT.NET         MALAYSIAN MIRROR BLOG
                    FORUM -
                   KOPITIAM
                     13.0%           LOWYAT.NET FORUM - FINANCE, BUSINESS & INVESTMENT
                            FREE
                          MALAYSIA
                           TODAY     HORNBILL UNLEASHED
                            10.5%
      OTHERS                         CARI CHINESE FORUM - LOCAL POLITICS
       42.6%
                                     CARIGOLD FORUM - ISU SEMASA


                                     DETIKDAILY.NET FORUM - POLITIK SEMASA


                                     LIM KIT SIANG BLOG


                                     CARI FORUM - ISU SEMASA (CURRENT ISSUES)


                                     OTHERS




                                                                                            24
Story line: 6 – 14 October 2011
 .

                                                                                         10 OCTOBER 2011                                       TOTAL MENTION: 417
7 OCTOBER 2011                                         TOTAL MENTION: 952
                                                                                         The volume of mentions increased on this day, after the opposition party reviewed the
The online discussions spiked when the Budget was announced. Discussions related
                                                                                         Budget allocation by the government. Engagement from representatives from the
to Budget allocation, in particularly speculation about the introduction of a GST, and
                                                                                         government and the opposition party was apparent in discussion across forums and
the implementation of the Budget. The online public perceived the 2012 Budget as a
                                                                                         blogs on this day. Conversations suggested that the Budget distribution is inadequate to
ploy by the government to gain electoral votes.
                                                                                         sustain Malaysia‟s global economic growth, with wide coverage of claims that the Budget
                                                                                         should cater to all levels of income groups.

 8 OCTOBER 2011                                   TOTAL MENTION: 691
                                                                                                12 OCTOBER 2011                               TOTAL MENTION: 325
 Conversations continued to suggest that the Budget has failed to address a possible
                                                                                                Discussions continued to relate to the government‟s cash handouts, again with
 global recession. Budget 2012 was again described as perceived as tool for the
                                                                                                claims that these handouts were allocated in order to win public votes in the
 government to win electoral votes. Middle-class citizens claimed they had received
                                                                                                upcoming election without consideration of the impact of the Budget on
 the least benefits from the Budget, and that finance aids were targeted only at lower
                                                                                                recession and low GDP growth.
 income groups.


                                                                                                                                                                 CHART 17
      1600                                                                                                                                                             100


      1200                                                                                                                                                             50




                                                                                                                                                                             NET SENTIMENT
     VOLUME




          800                                                                                                                                                          0


          400                                                                                                                                                          -50


              0                                                                                                                                                        -100
                  6/10/2011     7/10/2011         8/10/2011         9/10/2011   10/10/2011   11/10/2011            12/10/2011       13/10/2011       14/10/2011
                                                                            VOL     NET SENTIMENT



                                                                                                                                                                           25
Voice growth & channel growth
VOICE GROWTH                                                                                                                   CHART 18


           600


           450
VOLUME




           300


           150


               0
               04/10/11     05/10/11    06/10/11    07/10/11   08/10/11    09/10/11  10/10/11 11/10/11   12/10/11   13/10/11   14/10/11
                                                          NEW VOICES        CUMULATIVE GROWTH

CHANNEL GROWTH                                                                                                                 CHART 19

         100


         75
VOLUME




         50


         25


           0
          04/10/11        05/10/11     06/10/11    07/10/11   08/10/11    09/10/11   10/10/11 11/10/11   12/10/11   13/10/11   14/10/11
                                                         NEW CHANNELS         CUMULATIVE GROWTH




                                                                                                                                      26
Top influencers
                          13 OCTOBER 2011 01:11



                      “
                          COMPARISONS with other countries indicate that we have too many civil servants for the population. Some 1.3 million civil
                          servants, together with retirees, accounted for nearly two-fifths of the Federal Government‟s operating expenditure last year
                          of over RM150bil”. - http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2068415

USER                  CHANNEL                INFLUENCE       TOTAL POSTS        SENTIMENT        URL
Polaris               Lowyat.NET Forum –     70              32                 Negative         http://forum.lowyat.net/user/Polaris
                      Kopitiam




                      “
                          11 OCTOBER 2011 18:20
                          But beyond the lofty promises and glossy numbers, the so-called shadow budget, if ever it is implemented, could hurt
                          rather than benefit ordinary Malaysians.”- http://www.malaysianmirror.com/media-buzz-detail/6-nation/55159-putting-
                          pakatans-flawed-budget-under-scrutiny
USER                   CHANNEL               INFLUENCE       TOTAL POSTS        SENTIMENT       URL
Malaysian Mirror       Blog                  43              24                 Negative        http://www.malaysianmirror.com/index.html




                      “
                          11 OCTOBER 2011 3:38
                          A government is more than a budget. It is not all money and mega projects and subsidies. The poor will remain poor no
                          matter what multi-billion ringgit transformation projects are rolled out.”-
                          http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/2011/10/11/battle-of-the-budgets/
USER                    CHANNEL              INFLUENCE       TOTAL POSTS         SENTIMENT       URL
Free Malaysia Today     Blog                 43              14                  Negative        http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/




                      “
                           8 OCTOBER 2011 00:00
                           This Budget 2012 measures to put cash in the pockets of voters ahead of a general election expected soon.” -
                           http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com/2011/10/08/24226/.

 USER                   CHANNEL              INFLUENCE       TOTAL POSTS         SENTIMENT         URL
 Hornbill Unleashed     Blog                 43              27                  Negative          http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com


                                                                                                                                                  27
Conclusions

> Given the wide concerns expressed about the economic                > Future news and social media tracking should relate to the
  sustainability of the Budget proposals, the government could          implementation process and results of high-profile projects, which
  consider more proactively communicating specific details about        are commonly the focus of media and public interest. This would
  the proposals to the public. This could include providing more        include financial aid offers for lower-income groups; ministry
  information about the development and implementation of the           funding of projects such as the new women‟s and children‟s
  projects, and addressing queries from the public in a timely          hospitals; upgrades of rural clinics; Kedai 1Malaysia; the
  manner. This will help to boost public confidence about the           Langkawi tourism project; and upgrades for the Royal Malaysian
  government‟s accountability in delivering the promises made in        Police.
  the Budget, especially in the current global economic climate.

> Although the Prime Minister and government ministers have an
  undeniably strong presence in news media, opposition leaders
  seem to be utilising social media more effectively to communicate
  their messages. Government representatives are still lacking a
  presence in forums and blogs, whereas opposition leaders and
  members of the middle-class were active in these areas. A
  greater government engagement in the social media space is
  therefore encouraged.




                                                                                                                                     28
CO P YRI G HT © 2 0 11 ME DI A MO NI TO RS G RO UP.
A L L RI G HT S RE S E RV E D.

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Malaysia Budget 2012 Presentation

  • 1. 6 – 1 4 O CTO B E R 2 0 11 Malaysia Budget 2012
  • 2. Media analysis series Issues detailing specific abilities of media analysis while providing insight on major topics of global interest
  • 3. Malaysia Budget 2012 AN EVALUATION OF NEWS MEDIA COVERAGE (PRESS, BROADCAST AND ONLINE NEWS) AND SOCIAL MEDIA CONVERSATIONS OF MALAYSIA'S BUDGET PROPOSAL FOR YEAR 2012. 3
  • 4. Average favourability, net sentiment explained RATING SCALE COLOUR USED Highly favourable 76 to 100 Moderately favourable 56 to 75 Favourable Slightly favourable 51 to 55 NewsMedia Average Favourability Rating Neutral/balanced 50 Neutral 0to 100 scale where 50 is neutral Slightly unfavourable 45 to 49 Moderately unfavourable 30 to 44 Unfavourable Highly unfavourable 0 to 30 Very Positive + 51 to +100 Positive Positive +1 to +50 Social Media Sentiment Scale -100 to +100 scale Neutral 0 Neutral where 0 is neutral Negative - 1 to -50 Negative Very Negative -51 to -100 4
  • 5. News media analysis methodology Best Practice Media Analysis Media Monitors uses the CARMA® media content analysis methodology, which is internationally recognised as one of the leading commercial systems available. CARMA® (Computer Aided Research and Media Analysis) uses advanced technology to quantify media content, and human intelligence to provide qualitative insight and analysis. An aggregate score is calculated based on these multiple variables and presented on a 0–100 scale where 50 is neutral. This is an overall rating of the favourability of each media report towards the client organisation (and, if relevant, other organisations or competitors). This aggregate score is called the CARMA® Favourability Rating. Average Favourability Explained News media analysis methodology 5
  • 6. Methodology explained > Positioning > Size > Prominent placement (headline,image) > Topics > Spokespeople/ Commentators > Messages > Tone 6
  • 7. The Star, 8 October 2011
  • 8.
  • 9. Social media analysis methodology & glossary of terms Social Media Metrics Explained Glossary of Terms Brandtology social media analysis is based on Engagement Quantifies the content creation and response Category This refers to the highest level referencing a keywords and channels that have been identified by a Index level of a particular subject. This takes into logical grouping. A category may contain one Social Media Consultant (SMCs). SMCs work closely account the number of conversations started, or more subjects. with clients to determine what needs to be monitored, as well as the number of relevant comments how best to do this and how to ensure the deliverables Channel A source being monitored for posts. and reports meet the clients‟ objectives. and responses to the subject. Examples are forums, reviews, blogs, etc. Using these keywords and channels, relevant data – Influence Reflects the level of influence of a group of such as author, content, date of content and influence Index online contributors discussing a certain Influence The influence score weights the importance of of author – is extracted from forums, blogs, news, subject. Influencers are broken down into Score the author/commenter within his/her channel. reviews, Q&As, microblogs, public pages on social bands of Very High, High, Moderate, Low and The score is within the range of 0 to 100. networking sites and video sites (comments only) from Very Low Influence. Online contributors who Keyword A keyword is used as a search term in the the internet. are active content posters or garner more matching process to tag posts to the responses to their content will command a The extracted data is processed by multilingual natural associated subject. higher individual influence score. High language processors to identify sentiments along a Influencers have a higher weightage in Mentions Number of mentions or posts online. five-point scale (very negative, negative, neutral, determining the Influencer Index score. The positive, and very positive). higher the total Influence Index score, the Online Public Online public refers to a person or persons Processed data is stored in databases and accessible more influential the group of online discussing, writing, or posting on social media via our Digital Conversation Management System contributors discussing the subject are platforms like blogs, forum sites, Q&A sites, (DCMS). Analysis based on proprietary algorithms is considered to be. review sites or microblogs. performed on the data to derive statistics, trends, indexes and charts. Net Sentiment Measures the ratio of positive to negative Sentiment Very Negative, Negative, Neutral, Positive posts. A sentiment index value greater than 1 Scale and Very Positive. A priority rating is also calculated based on a indicates a higher proportion of positive posts. combination of the site and author influence. Voice An author creating the post or a commenter Reach Measures the width and depth of the subject‟s that made a comment. Social Media Analysts (SMAs) access the data via our reach across individual channels and unique in-house ticketing system to ensure the relevancy and voices, respectively. Voice Growth The Voice Growth chart shows the number of accuracy of the data, as well as to train the system to process data more efficiently on behalf of the clients. unique voices per day that have grown during the time period. This provides an indication of Once SMAs have checked the posts for relevancy and a “viral” growth type of view to show how sentiment, Social Media Research Analysts (SMRAs) many more people are mentioning the check for trends and gather insights that would be subject. relevant to the client, and produce a report. 9
  • 10. Story focus NEWS MEDIA TOPICS CHART 1 600 60 55.2 54.9 53.0 51.8 FAVOURABILITY 339 VOLUME 300 50 171 140 106 0 40 THE RAKYAT OVERALL ECONOMY PUBLIC SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR UNFAV NEU FAV AVG FAV 10
  • 11. Story focus SOCIAL MEDIA TOPICS CHART2 300 100 NET SENTIMENT VOLUME 145 150 141 0 -13.1 -13.8 -37.6 -37.7 84 53 0 -100 THE RAKYAT OVERALL PUBLIC PRIVATE ECONOMY SECTOR SECTOR NEG NEU POS NET SENTIMENT 11
  • 12. Leading topics NEWS MEDIA CHART 3 400 60 56.0 56.5 54.9 55.5 53.5 53.6 53.4 FAVOURABILITY 52.9 52.5 50.8 VOLUME 206 200 175 165 160 160 50 142 128 117 111 94 0 40 INDIVIDUAL CIVIL LIVING BUDGET PUBLIC GROWTH SOCIAL MINISTRY GLOBAL CORPORATE TAX &… SERVANTS COST IMPLEMENT-…EDUCATION WELFARE ALLOCATION ECONOMY TAX &… UNFAV NEU FAV AVG FAV SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS) CHART 4 200 100 NET SENTIMENT VOLUME -36.5 -4.5 -4.9 100 -14.8 -14.3 0 -24.9 -25.0 76 -45.2 -47.0 57 -47.4 47 27 26 25 21 20 19 17 0 -100 BUDGET CIVIL INDIVIDUAL HOUSING GROWTH CORPORATE SOCIAL LIVING GLOBAL EMPLOYMENT IMPLEMENT- SERVANTS TAX & TAX & WELFARE COST ECONOMY ATION SUBSIDIES SUBSIDIES NEG NEU POS NET SENTIMENT 12
  • 13. Leading messages - news CHART 5 VOLUME 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT 240 IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR 89 OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE 69 THE WELL-BEING OF THE RAKYAT STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH 56 IS INCLUSIVE 55 DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE 37 DEVELOPMENT IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR 34 FAV UNFAV 13
  • 14. Leading messages – social media CHART 6 VOLUME 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 IS IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT 24 IS NOT INCLUSIVE 15 DOES NOT PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 11 IS IN FAVOUR OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR 8 OFFERS CLEAR MEASURES TO ENHANCE WELL-BEING OF THE 8 RAKYAT IS INCLUSIVE 7 DOES NOT STIMULATE ECONOMIC GROWTH 7 STIMULATES ECONOMIC GROWTH 7 IS NOT TRANSFORMATIVE 6 IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE RAKYAT 6 IS NOT IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR 6 FAV UNFAV 14
  • 15. Media type NEWS MEDIA CHART 7 SOCIALMEDIA CHART 8 SOCIAL TV & RADIO NETWORKING MICROBLOG SITE 7.9% 1.4% 3.1% PRESS BLOG ONLINE 47.1% 44.4% NEWS FORUM 45.0% 51.1% 15
  • 16. Language breakdown NEWS MEDIA CHART 9 TAMIL 4.2% CHINESE 11.5% SOCIAL MEDIA CHART 10 CHINESE 6.4% ENGLISH 49.5% MALAY 34.8% MALAY 35.1% ENGLISH 58.5% 16
  • 17. Trend analysis This chart shows the volume and favourability of articles analysed over the report period. CHART 11 NEWS MEDIA The media focus shifted to The rakyat responded to various news The media discussed the government‟s “over- implementation of the 200 articles, expressing their concerns about optimistic” target of 2012‟s Budget deficit, and Budget, specifically the 60 and expectations of the Budget. worrying debt levels in Malaysia. allocations to government ministries. FAVOURABILITY VOLUME 100 50 0 40 THU 6 OCT FRI 7 OCT… SAT 8 OCT SUN 7 OCT MON 8 OCT TUE 9 OCT WED 10 OCT THU 11 OCT FRI 12 OCT VOL AVG FAV This chart shows the volume and net sentiment of online posts analysed over the report period. CHART 12 SOCIAL MEDIA (SAMPLED POSTS) 200 Discussions continue about the 60 government‟s handouts, with suggestions Discussion of opposition party Discussion related to speculation about that this was undertaken in order to win reviews of the government‟s Budget allocation, particularly in terms public votes in the upcoming election. NET SENTIMENT Budget allocations. of a GST. VOLUME 100 0 0 -60 THU 6 OCT FRI 7 OCT SAT 8 OCT SUN 7 OCT MON 8 OCT TUE 9 OCT WED 10 OCT THU 11 OCT FRI 12 OCT BUDGET DAY VOL NET SENTIMENT 17
  • 18. Commentators/influencers TABLE 1 TABLE 2 AVG INFLUENCE SENT- NEWS COMMENTATORS VOL INFLUENCERS CHANNELS VOL FAV SCORE IMENT DATUK SERI NAJIB TUN RAZAK, MALAYSIA PRIME LOWYAT.NET 67 58.0 ROBERTNGO 100 3 0 MINISTER FORUM– KOPITIAM DATUK DR. AWANG ADEK HUSSEIN, DEPUTY FINANCE LOWYAT.NET 15 55.0 JOE_MAMAK 100 2 -13 MINISTER FORUM– KOPITIAM TAN SRI MUHYIDDIN YASSIN, MALAYSIA DEPUTY PRIME MIRI COMMUNITY 12 54.2 RYUNARUTO 90 2 0 MINISTER FORUM – LOUNGE DATUK SERI LIOW TIONG LAI, MINISTER OF HEALTH 12 54.6 LOWYAT.NET FLAMING_LION 72 1 0 FORUM– KOPITIAM DATUK MUKHRIZ TUN MAHATHIR, DEPUTY MINISTER 11 54.5 LOWYAT.NET OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE & INDUSTRY POLARIS 70 27 -8 FORUM– KOPITIAM DATUK SERI ANWAR IBRAHIM, OPPOSITION LEADER 9 44.4 MIRI COMMUNITY RELAXJACK 65 2 -13 FORUM – LOUNGE TWITTER – DATUK SERI DR. NG YEN YEN, MINISTER OF TOURISM 8 55.0 READZZAL 56 1 0 MALAYSIA TWITTER – CHUA HAK BIN, BANK OF AMERICA MERRILL LYNCH IDIN77 51 1 0 8 46.9 MALAYSIA ECONOMIST THE BORNE TWITTER – 51 1 0 TONY PUA, MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT FOR PETALING POST MALAYSIA 8 45.6 JAYA UTARA THE BURSA M‟SIA FORUM – DATUK SERI AHMAD HUSNI MOHAMAD HANADZLAH, SALAHDIN 50 3 0 8 58.1 PERSONAL SECOND MINISTER OF FINANCE FINANCE 18
  • 19. FURTHER ANALYSIS FROM NEWS MEDIA News media findings
  • 20. Stakeholder satisfaction PUBLIC SECTOR CHART 13 PRIVATE SECTOR CHART 15 PUBLIC PRIVATE SECTOR IS SECTOR IS NOT NOT SATISFIED SATISFIED WITH THE WITH THE PRIVATE BUDGET… PUBLIC BUDGET SECTOR IS SECTOR IS 28.2% SATISFIED SATISFIED WITH THE WITH THE BUDGET BUDGET 71.8% 89.3% RAKYAT CHART 14 RAKYAT IS NOT SATISFIED WITH THE BUDGET 22.1% RAKYAT IS SATISFIED WITH THE BUDGET 77.9% 20
  • 21. Leading media by language TABLE 3 AVERAGE LANGUAGE MEDIA OUTLETS AUDIENCE VOLUME FAVOURABILITY THE STAR ONLINE 674,424 89 53.8 YAHOO! MALAYSIA 60,630 58 53.3 ENGLISH MALAYSIAN INSIDER 456,895 47 48.4 (ALTERNATIVE NEWS) UTUSAN MALAYSIA 41,413,162 71 54.1 UTUSAN ONLINE 407,925 58 56.1 MALAY HARAKAH DAILY 349,027 20 42.3 (ALTERNATIVE NEWS) SIN CHEW JIT POH 36,987,648 47 54.5 CHINESE CHINA PRESS 18,870,540 38 52.6 MALAYSIA NANBAN 2,760,000 18 53.6 TAMIL MAKKAI OSAI 52,000 13 54.6 21
  • 22. Social media findings “ @HORNBILL UNLEASHED.WORDPRESS.COM, 11 OCTOBER 2011 “IN FACT, „ONE-OFF‟ PAYMENTS ARE AKIN TO PLACEBOS THAT GIVE SHORT-TERM RELIEFS. RELIEFS THAT ARE PLAYS ON THE MIND RATHER THAN REALISTIC SOLUTIONS TO A MEDICAL AILMENT. AND THIS IS THE ESSENCE OF BUDGET 2012. IT IS A SHORT TERM PLACEBO, MEANT TO GRANT A „FEEL GOOD‟ EFFECT AMONG A SELECT FEW OF THE POPULACE. JUST ENOUGH TO AFFECT THE 5% VOTE SWING BACK TO THE BARISANNASIONAL IN ORDER TO RETAIN THE TWO-THIRDS MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT. HOW ELSE CAN YOU EXPLAIN ITS IRRATIONALITY AND DISREGARD FOR FINANCIAL RESPONSIBILITY?”
  • 23. Social media metrics . STORY FOCUS ENGAGEMENT INFLUENCE REACH NET SENTIMENT OVERALL ECONOMY 54.4% 57% 66.5% -37.6 PRIVATE SECTOR 51.9% 56% 66.6% -37.7 PUBLIC SECTOR 49.4% 56% 60.8% -13.1 THE RAKYAT 49.9% 54% 64.4% -13.8 23
  • 24. Top 10 channels . CHART 16 LOWYAT.NET FORUM - KOPITIAM FREE MALAYSIA TODAY LOWYAT.NET MALAYSIAN MIRROR BLOG FORUM - KOPITIAM 13.0% LOWYAT.NET FORUM - FINANCE, BUSINESS & INVESTMENT FREE MALAYSIA TODAY HORNBILL UNLEASHED 10.5% OTHERS CARI CHINESE FORUM - LOCAL POLITICS 42.6% CARIGOLD FORUM - ISU SEMASA DETIKDAILY.NET FORUM - POLITIK SEMASA LIM KIT SIANG BLOG CARI FORUM - ISU SEMASA (CURRENT ISSUES) OTHERS 24
  • 25. Story line: 6 – 14 October 2011 . 10 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 417 7 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 952 The volume of mentions increased on this day, after the opposition party reviewed the The online discussions spiked when the Budget was announced. Discussions related Budget allocation by the government. Engagement from representatives from the to Budget allocation, in particularly speculation about the introduction of a GST, and government and the opposition party was apparent in discussion across forums and the implementation of the Budget. The online public perceived the 2012 Budget as a blogs on this day. Conversations suggested that the Budget distribution is inadequate to ploy by the government to gain electoral votes. sustain Malaysia‟s global economic growth, with wide coverage of claims that the Budget should cater to all levels of income groups. 8 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 691 12 OCTOBER 2011 TOTAL MENTION: 325 Conversations continued to suggest that the Budget has failed to address a possible Discussions continued to relate to the government‟s cash handouts, again with global recession. Budget 2012 was again described as perceived as tool for the claims that these handouts were allocated in order to win public votes in the government to win electoral votes. Middle-class citizens claimed they had received upcoming election without consideration of the impact of the Budget on the least benefits from the Budget, and that finance aids were targeted only at lower recession and low GDP growth. income groups. CHART 17 1600 100 1200 50 NET SENTIMENT VOLUME 800 0 400 -50 0 -100 6/10/2011 7/10/2011 8/10/2011 9/10/2011 10/10/2011 11/10/2011 12/10/2011 13/10/2011 14/10/2011 VOL NET SENTIMENT 25
  • 26. Voice growth & channel growth VOICE GROWTH CHART 18 600 450 VOLUME 300 150 0 04/10/11 05/10/11 06/10/11 07/10/11 08/10/11 09/10/11 10/10/11 11/10/11 12/10/11 13/10/11 14/10/11 NEW VOICES CUMULATIVE GROWTH CHANNEL GROWTH CHART 19 100 75 VOLUME 50 25 0 04/10/11 05/10/11 06/10/11 07/10/11 08/10/11 09/10/11 10/10/11 11/10/11 12/10/11 13/10/11 14/10/11 NEW CHANNELS CUMULATIVE GROWTH 26
  • 27. Top influencers 13 OCTOBER 2011 01:11 “ COMPARISONS with other countries indicate that we have too many civil servants for the population. Some 1.3 million civil servants, together with retirees, accounted for nearly two-fifths of the Federal Government‟s operating expenditure last year of over RM150bil”. - http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2068415 USER CHANNEL INFLUENCE TOTAL POSTS SENTIMENT URL Polaris Lowyat.NET Forum – 70 32 Negative http://forum.lowyat.net/user/Polaris Kopitiam “ 11 OCTOBER 2011 18:20 But beyond the lofty promises and glossy numbers, the so-called shadow budget, if ever it is implemented, could hurt rather than benefit ordinary Malaysians.”- http://www.malaysianmirror.com/media-buzz-detail/6-nation/55159-putting- pakatans-flawed-budget-under-scrutiny USER CHANNEL INFLUENCE TOTAL POSTS SENTIMENT URL Malaysian Mirror Blog 43 24 Negative http://www.malaysianmirror.com/index.html “ 11 OCTOBER 2011 3:38 A government is more than a budget. It is not all money and mega projects and subsidies. The poor will remain poor no matter what multi-billion ringgit transformation projects are rolled out.”- http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/2011/10/11/battle-of-the-budgets/ USER CHANNEL INFLUENCE TOTAL POSTS SENTIMENT URL Free Malaysia Today Blog 43 14 Negative http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/ “ 8 OCTOBER 2011 00:00 This Budget 2012 measures to put cash in the pockets of voters ahead of a general election expected soon.” - http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com/2011/10/08/24226/. USER CHANNEL INFLUENCE TOTAL POSTS SENTIMENT URL Hornbill Unleashed Blog 43 27 Negative http://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com 27
  • 28. Conclusions > Given the wide concerns expressed about the economic > Future news and social media tracking should relate to the sustainability of the Budget proposals, the government could implementation process and results of high-profile projects, which consider more proactively communicating specific details about are commonly the focus of media and public interest. This would the proposals to the public. This could include providing more include financial aid offers for lower-income groups; ministry information about the development and implementation of the funding of projects such as the new women‟s and children‟s projects, and addressing queries from the public in a timely hospitals; upgrades of rural clinics; Kedai 1Malaysia; the manner. This will help to boost public confidence about the Langkawi tourism project; and upgrades for the Royal Malaysian government‟s accountability in delivering the promises made in Police. the Budget, especially in the current global economic climate. > Although the Prime Minister and government ministers have an undeniably strong presence in news media, opposition leaders seem to be utilising social media more effectively to communicate their messages. Government representatives are still lacking a presence in forums and blogs, whereas opposition leaders and members of the middle-class were active in these areas. A greater government engagement in the social media space is therefore encouraged. 28
  • 29. CO P YRI G HT © 2 0 11 ME DI A MO NI TO RS G RO UP. A L L RI G HT S RE S E RV E D.