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The Digital Decade Ahead
5 Webs 
Mobile 
Web 
Social 
Web 
Media 
Web 
Machine 
Web 
Realtime 
Web
H3: Create Future Business Model 
H2: Adapt Current Business Model 
H1: Manage Current Business Model
What can we say about 
Global Digital Futures 2020
Pathways to Digital Future: 
No Predictable Routes 
But 
Plausible Options
Prediction 
Imagination
What could 
we have predicted 
from this prototype? 
Possible Prediction? 
What could 
we have imagined 
from this prototype?
Disruptor of 
Advertising Industry?
1995 2014 2014
1980s
Early 2000s
2014
2014
The best 
way to 
predict the 
future is to 
invent it 
Alan Kay
Digital Business Strategy 2020 
1. How did you frame your recommendations? 
2. What arguments (internal and external) did you use to motivate 
them? 
3. What assumptions about the future did you make? What data 
did you use to anchor those assumptions? 
4. How convincing were you? How could you be more convincing?
Where Did You Focus Your Recommendations? 
1 2 3 4 
Exploration Experimentation Evaluation Execution
Where Did You Focus Your Recommendations? 
1 2 3 4 
Exploration Experimentation Evaluation Execution 
Horizon 3 Horizon 2 Horizon 1
• Clarity 
• Internal Consistency 
• Feasibility 
• Digital Drivers 
• Risk Mitigation 
• Partnerships 
• Organization | Teams 
• Metrics of Success 
Horizon 1 
Recommendations
• Plausible Futures 
• Technical Trends + Consumer Acceptance 
• Imagination Frontiers 
• Sustained Commitment 
• Risk Mitigation 
• Partnerships 
• Organization | Teams 
• Metrics of Success 
Horizon 3 
Recommendations
Insights & Lessons 
From Your 
Analysis and 
Reflections
The Digital Decade Ahead 
Opportunities & Challenges

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The Digital Decade Ahead

  • 2. 5 Webs Mobile Web Social Web Media Web Machine Web Realtime Web
  • 3. H3: Create Future Business Model H2: Adapt Current Business Model H1: Manage Current Business Model
  • 4. What can we say about Global Digital Futures 2020
  • 5. Pathways to Digital Future: No Predictable Routes But Plausible Options
  • 7. What could we have predicted from this prototype? Possible Prediction? What could we have imagined from this prototype?
  • 8.
  • 11. 1980s
  • 13. 2014
  • 14. 2014
  • 15. The best way to predict the future is to invent it Alan Kay
  • 16. Digital Business Strategy 2020 1. How did you frame your recommendations? 2. What arguments (internal and external) did you use to motivate them? 3. What assumptions about the future did you make? What data did you use to anchor those assumptions? 4. How convincing were you? How could you be more convincing?
  • 17. Where Did You Focus Your Recommendations? 1 2 3 4 Exploration Experimentation Evaluation Execution
  • 18. Where Did You Focus Your Recommendations? 1 2 3 4 Exploration Experimentation Evaluation Execution Horizon 3 Horizon 2 Horizon 1
  • 19. • Clarity • Internal Consistency • Feasibility • Digital Drivers • Risk Mitigation • Partnerships • Organization | Teams • Metrics of Success Horizon 1 Recommendations
  • 20. • Plausible Futures • Technical Trends + Consumer Acceptance • Imagination Frontiers • Sustained Commitment • Risk Mitigation • Partnerships • Organization | Teams • Metrics of Success Horizon 3 Recommendations
  • 21. Insights & Lessons From Your Analysis and Reflections
  • 22. The Digital Decade Ahead Opportunities & Challenges