Chaos.pdf

CHAOS
CHAOS
ANALYSIS
ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION
INTRODUCTION
 THE
THE CREATOR
CREATOR OF
OF
CHAOS SYSTEM
CHAOS SYSTEM
• Bill M. Williams, Ph.D., is
Bill M. Williams, Ph.D., is
the founder of the
the founder of the
Profitunity Trading Group
Profitunity Trading Group
• Leader in the education of
Leader in the education of
traders and investors
traders and investors
• He is a trader with over 49
He is a trader with over 49
years of experience
years of experience
• He has taught seminars
He has taught seminars
throughout Europe, Asia
throughout Europe, Asia
and the United States on
and the United States on
subjects including the
subjects including the
Fractal of the Elliott Wave,
Fractal of the Elliott Wave,
the MFI, the Wise Men, and
the MFI, the Wise Men, and
the Profitunity "Alligator."
the Profitunity "Alligator."
2nd
BEST
TRADER
IN THE
WORLD !!!
Bill William trading group has done
Bill William trading group has done
more than 20 years of intensive
more than 20 years of intensive
research into applying the new
research into applying the new
science of chaos to the world of
science of chaos to the world of
stock and commodity trading
stock and commodity trading
SHE
REALLY
ROCK
MY WORLD !!
Name: Justine Williams-Lara
President of the Profitunity
Trading Group
Experienced 14 years in both the
stock and commodity
She has trained over one
thousand traders
Teaches all Private Tutorial
classes in her office in Southern
California
Specialty: teaching new traders
how to become consistent
winners in the markets
IF YOU ARE READY TO
IF YOU ARE READY TO
LEARN, WE CAN TEACH YOU
LEARN, WE CAN TEACH YOU
RIGHT NOW!
RIGHT NOW!
“
“LET GO YOUR MIND”
LET GO YOUR MIND”
TRADING IS SIMPLE !!!
TRADING IS SIMPLE !!!
TRADING IS SIMPLE !!!
TRADING IS SIMPLE !!!
WHAT YOU WILL LEARN
WHAT YOU WILL LEARN
TODAY ??
TODAY ??
•The Mighty Alligator
The Mighty Alligator
•The First Wise Man
The First Wise Man
•The Second Wise Man
The Second Wise Man
•The Third Wise Man
The Third Wise Man
The
The
Mighty
Mighty
Alligator
Alligator
OUR GOALS FOR TODAY
OUR GOALS FOR TODAY
• Introduce the Alligator (Gator)
Introduce the Alligator (Gator)
• Understand traders’ biggest
Understand traders’ biggest
problem
problem
• Discuss Anatomy of the
Discuss Anatomy of the
alligator
alligator
• How to set up “Gator” on chart
How to set up “Gator” on chart
THE MIGHTY ALLIGATOR
THE MIGHTY ALLIGATOR
Our Compass and Odds
Our Compass and Odds
Maker
Maker
• Serves as a compass to keep us
Serves as a compass to keep us
trading in the appropriate
trading in the appropriate
direction regardless of which way
direction regardless of which way
the immediate price is moving
the immediate price is moving
Traders’ biggest problem
Traders’ biggest problem
• MAKING PROFITS
MAKING PROFITS is not a problem
is not a problem
• KEEPING PROFITS
KEEPING PROFITS is the biggest
is the biggest
problem
problem
• Traders often say “making money is
Traders often say “making money is
easy, keeping it is hard”
easy, keeping it is hard”
• There IS a
There IS a solution
solution and we call it…
and we call it…
“
“ The Alligator ”
The Alligator ”
Chaos.pdf
SET UP
SET UP
ALLIGATOR
ALLIGATOR
Why use the Alligator?
Why use the Alligator?
• To
To monitor
monitor the market’s momentum
the market’s momentum
• Simple indicator
Simple indicator – trend starts &
– trend starts &
stops
stops
• Protection device
Protection device – not to lose
– not to lose
money during non-trending, ranging
money during non-trending, ranging
market
market
• Provides an advanced indicator
Provides an advanced indicator
signal –
signal – Wise Man Signal
Wise Man Signal
Next Goals
Next Goals
• Understand how the
Understand how the
“Gator” works and
“Gator” works and
behaves on the chart
behaves on the chart
• How to use the “Gator” to
How to use the “Gator” to
filter our trades
filter our trades
Using the alligator on a Chart
Using the alligator on a Chart
Trending Market
Trending Market – the lines of
– the lines of
gator will be open
gator will be open
Corrective/ranging
Corrective/ranging – Gator
– Gator
lines are interwining
lines are interwining
The Trending Gator 1
The Trending Gator 1
The Trending Gator 2
The Trending Gator 2
The Trending Gator 3
The Trending Gator 3
The Trending Gator 4
The Trending Gator 4
Corrective/ranging/non-
Corrective/ranging/non-
trending
trending
Corrective/ranging/non-
Corrective/ranging/non-
trending
trending
Corrective/ranging/non-
Corrective/ranging/non-
trending
trending
GATOR SUMMARY
GATOR SUMMARY
Help us to buy, sell or stay out
Help us to buy, sell or stay out
Uptrend - BUY
Uptrend - BUY
Downtrend - SELL
Downtrend - SELL
Corrective/Ranging/Non
Corrective/Ranging/Non
trending-
trending- STAY OUT
STAY OUT
SIMPLE RIGHT?
FIRST WISEMAN
FIRST WISEMAN
SIGNAL
SIGNAL
HIGH
LOW
OPEN
CLOSE
Our Goal :
Our Goal :
•To learn how to
To learn how to
identify the
identify the Bearish
Bearish
Divergent Bar
Divergent Bar and
and
Bullish Divergent Bar
Bullish Divergent Bar
Bullish Divergent Bars
Bullish Divergent Bars
• Compare it to the previous bar
Compare it to the previous bar
• The current bar must have a
The current bar must have a
LOWER LOW than the previous
LOWER LOW than the previous
bar, AND
bar, AND
• The current bar must CLOSE in
The current bar must CLOSE in
the UPPER HALF of the bar
the UPPER HALF of the bar
Bullish Divergent Bars
Bullish Divergent Bars
Close in upper half Close in upper half Close in upper half
Lower low Lower low Lower low
Bearish Divergent Bars
Bearish Divergent Bars
• Compare it to the previous bar
Compare it to the previous bar
• The current bar must have a
The current bar must have a
HIGHER HIGH than the previous
HIGHER HIGH than the previous
bar, AND
bar, AND
• The current bar must CLOSE in
The current bar must CLOSE in
the LOWER HALF of the bar
the LOWER HALF of the bar
Bearish Divergent Bars
Bearish Divergent Bars
Higher high Higher high
Close in the lower
half
Higher high
Close in the lower
half
Close in the lower
half
MORE B/D/B RULES
MORE B/D/B RULES
• VALID DIVERGENT BAR MUST HAVE
VALID DIVERGENT BAR MUST HAVE
ANGULATION
ANGULATION
• VALID DIVERGENT MUST
VALID DIVERGENT MUST SATISFIED
SATISFIED
AO -
AO - AWESOME OSCILLATOR:
AWESOME OSCILLATOR:
Bull d/b : AO RED, BELOW 0
Bull d/b : AO RED, BELOW 0
Bearish d/b : AO GREEN, ABOVE 0
Bearish d/b : AO GREEN, ABOVE 0
ANGULATION
ANGULATION
Angulation have 4 rules
Angulation have 4 rules
- The angle between price bars and
alligator
- Imagine stretching a rubber band,
the further you stretch it the further it flies
ANGULATION RULES
ANGULATION RULES
1)
1) Begin where the price bars cross
Begin where the price bars cross
or go through the alligators mouth
or go through the alligators mouth
(Jaw,teeth,lips)
(Jaw,teeth,lips)
Chaos.pdf
ANGULATION RULES
ANGULATION RULES
2.
2. Draw or imagine a line that follows
Draw or imagine a line that follows
the alligator mouth. We usually pay
the alligator mouth. We usually pay
attention to the jaw and teeth more
attention to the jaw and teeth more
than the lips
than the lips
Chaos.pdf
ANGULATION RULES
ANGULATION RULES
3.
3. Draw or imagine another line that
Draw or imagine another line that
basically follows the edges of the
basically follows the edges of the
price bars.
price bars.
Chaos.pdf
ANGULATION RULES
ANGULATION RULES
4.
4. If those two lines show clearly that
If those two lines show clearly that
they are moving away from each
they are moving away from each
other, you have angulation
other, you have angulation
Chaos.pdf
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1
HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1
• BULLISH DIVERGENT BAR
BULLISH DIVERGENT BAR
• Entry
Entry - place buy stop 1 tick above
- place buy stop 1 tick above
the high price + spread
the high price + spread
• S.Loss
S.Loss -1 tick below the low price
-1 tick below the low price
Chaos.pdf
HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1
HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1
BEARISH DIVERGENT BAR
BEARISH DIVERGENT BAR
• Entry
Entry - place sell stop 1 tick below
- place sell stop 1 tick below
the low price
the low price
• S.Loss
S.Loss – 1 tick above the high price +
– 1 tick above the high price +
spread
spread
Chaos.pdf
TRADING IS SIMPLE !!!
TRADING IS SIMPLE !!!
W1 check – angulation, close
W1 check – angulation, close
price, AO
price, AO
Is a gambling phase but it can be
Is a gambling phase but it can be
The
The Best position in the world!
Best position in the world!
THE SECOND WISE
THE SECOND WISE
MAN SIGNAL
MAN SIGNAL
• Assume that you have entered
Assume that you have entered
position by using bullish /
position by using bullish /
bearish divergent bar
bearish divergent bar
• After that, we can
After that, we can add on
add on
position
position by using Second
by using Second
Wiseman –
Wiseman – “Super AO”
“Super AO”
WHAT IS AO ?
WHAT IS AO ?
WHAT IS AO ?
WHAT IS AO ?
• Stand for awesome oscillator
• The best and most accurate indicator
for 50 years
• Consist of 2 color
• Green = buying momentum
• Red = selling momentum
WHAT IS AO ?
WHAT IS AO ?
• Help to identify immediate trend:
Help to identify immediate trend:
• AO above 0 = UPTREND
AO above 0 = UPTREND
• AO below 0 = DOWNTREND
AO below 0 = DOWNTREND
Chaos.pdf
HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 2
HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 2
• Same w1 – pending order & SL
Same w1 – pending order & SL
• AO change green - at 3rd bar
AO change green - at 3rd bar
• New Super AO signal – must have
New Super AO signal – must have
another change in color
another change in color
• Super AO is an add on signal only
Super AO is an add on signal only
Chaos.pdf
Chaos.pdf
MORE SIMPLE TO TRADE
MORE SIMPLE TO TRADE
W2 just checking AO 3
W2 just checking AO 3
times!
times!
THE THIRD
THE THIRD
WISEMAN SIGNAL
WISEMAN SIGNAL
THIRD WISEMAN
THIRD WISEMAN
• WISEMAN FRACTAL –
WISEMAN FRACTAL – no matter
no matter
where it form and execute – only
where it form and execute – only
after w1,w2
after w1,w2
• BREAKOUT FRACTAL –
BREAKOUT FRACTAL – must be
must be
form and execute outside
form and execute outside
alligator – can be 1
alligator – can be 1st
st
signal
signal
HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 3
• FRACTAL BUY – Upper Section
FRACTAL BUY – Upper Section
• FRACTAL SELL – Lower Section
FRACTAL SELL – Lower Section
• Same W1, W2, - pending order, sl
Same W1, W2, - pending order, sl
Chaos.pdf
Chaos.pdf
• Once again, trading is SIMPLE
Once again, trading is SIMPLE
• W3 FRACTAL – anywhere, anytime
W3 FRACTAL – anywhere, anytime
after w1,w2
after w1,w2
• FRACTAL BREAKOUT – formed
FRACTAL BREAKOUT – formed
outside alligator
outside alligator
What Happens When
What Happens When
the
the
Wise Men Get
Wise Men Get
Together?
Together?
Chaos.pdf
LASTYLY GUYS,
LASTYLY GUYS,
TRADING IS SIMPLE,
TRADING IS SIMPLE,
SO
SO
JUST MAKE IT SIMPLE
JUST MAKE IT SIMPLE
K!
K! 

1 sur 70

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Chaos.pdf

  • 3. • Bill M. Williams, Ph.D., is Bill M. Williams, Ph.D., is the founder of the the founder of the Profitunity Trading Group Profitunity Trading Group • Leader in the education of Leader in the education of traders and investors traders and investors • He is a trader with over 49 He is a trader with over 49 years of experience years of experience • He has taught seminars He has taught seminars throughout Europe, Asia throughout Europe, Asia and the United States on and the United States on subjects including the subjects including the Fractal of the Elliott Wave, Fractal of the Elliott Wave, the MFI, the Wise Men, and the MFI, the Wise Men, and the Profitunity "Alligator." the Profitunity "Alligator." 2nd BEST TRADER IN THE WORLD !!!
  • 4. Bill William trading group has done Bill William trading group has done more than 20 years of intensive more than 20 years of intensive research into applying the new research into applying the new science of chaos to the world of science of chaos to the world of stock and commodity trading stock and commodity trading
  • 5. SHE REALLY ROCK MY WORLD !! Name: Justine Williams-Lara President of the Profitunity Trading Group Experienced 14 years in both the stock and commodity She has trained over one thousand traders Teaches all Private Tutorial classes in her office in Southern California Specialty: teaching new traders how to become consistent winners in the markets
  • 6. IF YOU ARE READY TO IF YOU ARE READY TO LEARN, WE CAN TEACH YOU LEARN, WE CAN TEACH YOU RIGHT NOW! RIGHT NOW! “ “LET GO YOUR MIND” LET GO YOUR MIND” TRADING IS SIMPLE !!! TRADING IS SIMPLE !!! TRADING IS SIMPLE !!! TRADING IS SIMPLE !!!
  • 7. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN WHAT YOU WILL LEARN TODAY ?? TODAY ?? •The Mighty Alligator The Mighty Alligator •The First Wise Man The First Wise Man •The Second Wise Man The Second Wise Man •The Third Wise Man The Third Wise Man
  • 9. OUR GOALS FOR TODAY OUR GOALS FOR TODAY • Introduce the Alligator (Gator) Introduce the Alligator (Gator) • Understand traders’ biggest Understand traders’ biggest problem problem • Discuss Anatomy of the Discuss Anatomy of the alligator alligator • How to set up “Gator” on chart How to set up “Gator” on chart
  • 10. THE MIGHTY ALLIGATOR THE MIGHTY ALLIGATOR Our Compass and Odds Our Compass and Odds Maker Maker • Serves as a compass to keep us Serves as a compass to keep us trading in the appropriate trading in the appropriate direction regardless of which way direction regardless of which way the immediate price is moving the immediate price is moving
  • 11. Traders’ biggest problem Traders’ biggest problem • MAKING PROFITS MAKING PROFITS is not a problem is not a problem • KEEPING PROFITS KEEPING PROFITS is the biggest is the biggest problem problem • Traders often say “making money is Traders often say “making money is easy, keeping it is hard” easy, keeping it is hard” • There IS a There IS a solution solution and we call it… and we call it…
  • 12. “ “ The Alligator ” The Alligator ”
  • 15. Why use the Alligator? Why use the Alligator? • To To monitor monitor the market’s momentum the market’s momentum • Simple indicator Simple indicator – trend starts & – trend starts & stops stops • Protection device Protection device – not to lose – not to lose money during non-trending, ranging money during non-trending, ranging market market • Provides an advanced indicator Provides an advanced indicator signal – signal – Wise Man Signal Wise Man Signal
  • 16. Next Goals Next Goals • Understand how the Understand how the “Gator” works and “Gator” works and behaves on the chart behaves on the chart • How to use the “Gator” to How to use the “Gator” to filter our trades filter our trades
  • 17. Using the alligator on a Chart Using the alligator on a Chart Trending Market Trending Market – the lines of – the lines of gator will be open gator will be open Corrective/ranging Corrective/ranging – Gator – Gator lines are interwining lines are interwining
  • 18. The Trending Gator 1 The Trending Gator 1
  • 19. The Trending Gator 2 The Trending Gator 2
  • 20. The Trending Gator 3 The Trending Gator 3
  • 21. The Trending Gator 4 The Trending Gator 4
  • 25. GATOR SUMMARY GATOR SUMMARY Help us to buy, sell or stay out Help us to buy, sell or stay out Uptrend - BUY Uptrend - BUY Downtrend - SELL Downtrend - SELL Corrective/Ranging/Non Corrective/Ranging/Non trending- trending- STAY OUT STAY OUT SIMPLE RIGHT?
  • 28. Our Goal : Our Goal : •To learn how to To learn how to identify the identify the Bearish Bearish Divergent Bar Divergent Bar and and Bullish Divergent Bar Bullish Divergent Bar
  • 29. Bullish Divergent Bars Bullish Divergent Bars • Compare it to the previous bar Compare it to the previous bar • The current bar must have a The current bar must have a LOWER LOW than the previous LOWER LOW than the previous bar, AND bar, AND • The current bar must CLOSE in The current bar must CLOSE in the UPPER HALF of the bar the UPPER HALF of the bar
  • 30. Bullish Divergent Bars Bullish Divergent Bars Close in upper half Close in upper half Close in upper half Lower low Lower low Lower low
  • 31. Bearish Divergent Bars Bearish Divergent Bars • Compare it to the previous bar Compare it to the previous bar • The current bar must have a The current bar must have a HIGHER HIGH than the previous HIGHER HIGH than the previous bar, AND bar, AND • The current bar must CLOSE in The current bar must CLOSE in the LOWER HALF of the bar the LOWER HALF of the bar
  • 32. Bearish Divergent Bars Bearish Divergent Bars Higher high Higher high Close in the lower half Higher high Close in the lower half Close in the lower half
  • 33. MORE B/D/B RULES MORE B/D/B RULES • VALID DIVERGENT BAR MUST HAVE VALID DIVERGENT BAR MUST HAVE ANGULATION ANGULATION • VALID DIVERGENT MUST VALID DIVERGENT MUST SATISFIED SATISFIED AO - AO - AWESOME OSCILLATOR: AWESOME OSCILLATOR: Bull d/b : AO RED, BELOW 0 Bull d/b : AO RED, BELOW 0 Bearish d/b : AO GREEN, ABOVE 0 Bearish d/b : AO GREEN, ABOVE 0
  • 34. ANGULATION ANGULATION Angulation have 4 rules Angulation have 4 rules - The angle between price bars and alligator - Imagine stretching a rubber band, the further you stretch it the further it flies
  • 35. ANGULATION RULES ANGULATION RULES 1) 1) Begin where the price bars cross Begin where the price bars cross or go through the alligators mouth or go through the alligators mouth (Jaw,teeth,lips) (Jaw,teeth,lips)
  • 37. ANGULATION RULES ANGULATION RULES 2. 2. Draw or imagine a line that follows Draw or imagine a line that follows the alligator mouth. We usually pay the alligator mouth. We usually pay attention to the jaw and teeth more attention to the jaw and teeth more than the lips than the lips
  • 39. ANGULATION RULES ANGULATION RULES 3. 3. Draw or imagine another line that Draw or imagine another line that basically follows the edges of the basically follows the edges of the price bars. price bars.
  • 41. ANGULATION RULES ANGULATION RULES 4. 4. If those two lines show clearly that If those two lines show clearly that they are moving away from each they are moving away from each other, you have angulation other, you have angulation
  • 43. EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
  • 44. EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
  • 45. EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
  • 46. EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO EX: B/D/B WITH ANGULATION & AO
  • 47. HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1 HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1 • BULLISH DIVERGENT BAR BULLISH DIVERGENT BAR • Entry Entry - place buy stop 1 tick above - place buy stop 1 tick above the high price + spread the high price + spread • S.Loss S.Loss -1 tick below the low price -1 tick below the low price
  • 49. HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1 HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 1 BEARISH DIVERGENT BAR BEARISH DIVERGENT BAR • Entry Entry - place sell stop 1 tick below - place sell stop 1 tick below the low price the low price • S.Loss S.Loss – 1 tick above the high price + – 1 tick above the high price + spread spread
  • 51. TRADING IS SIMPLE !!! TRADING IS SIMPLE !!! W1 check – angulation, close W1 check – angulation, close price, AO price, AO Is a gambling phase but it can be Is a gambling phase but it can be The The Best position in the world! Best position in the world!
  • 52. THE SECOND WISE THE SECOND WISE MAN SIGNAL MAN SIGNAL
  • 53. • Assume that you have entered Assume that you have entered position by using bullish / position by using bullish / bearish divergent bar bearish divergent bar • After that, we can After that, we can add on add on position position by using Second by using Second Wiseman – Wiseman – “Super AO” “Super AO”
  • 54. WHAT IS AO ? WHAT IS AO ?
  • 55. WHAT IS AO ? WHAT IS AO ? • Stand for awesome oscillator • The best and most accurate indicator for 50 years • Consist of 2 color • Green = buying momentum • Red = selling momentum
  • 56. WHAT IS AO ? WHAT IS AO ? • Help to identify immediate trend: Help to identify immediate trend: • AO above 0 = UPTREND AO above 0 = UPTREND • AO below 0 = DOWNTREND AO below 0 = DOWNTREND
  • 58. HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 2 HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 2 • Same w1 – pending order & SL Same w1 – pending order & SL • AO change green - at 3rd bar AO change green - at 3rd bar • New Super AO signal – must have New Super AO signal – must have another change in color another change in color • Super AO is an add on signal only Super AO is an add on signal only
  • 61. MORE SIMPLE TO TRADE MORE SIMPLE TO TRADE W2 just checking AO 3 W2 just checking AO 3 times! times!
  • 62. THE THIRD THE THIRD WISEMAN SIGNAL WISEMAN SIGNAL
  • 63. THIRD WISEMAN THIRD WISEMAN • WISEMAN FRACTAL – WISEMAN FRACTAL – no matter no matter where it form and execute – only where it form and execute – only after w1,w2 after w1,w2 • BREAKOUT FRACTAL – BREAKOUT FRACTAL – must be must be form and execute outside form and execute outside alligator – can be 1 alligator – can be 1st st signal signal
  • 64. HOW TO TRADE WISEMAN 3 • FRACTAL BUY – Upper Section FRACTAL BUY – Upper Section • FRACTAL SELL – Lower Section FRACTAL SELL – Lower Section • Same W1, W2, - pending order, sl Same W1, W2, - pending order, sl
  • 67. • Once again, trading is SIMPLE Once again, trading is SIMPLE • W3 FRACTAL – anywhere, anytime W3 FRACTAL – anywhere, anytime after w1,w2 after w1,w2 • FRACTAL BREAKOUT – formed FRACTAL BREAKOUT – formed outside alligator outside alligator
  • 68. What Happens When What Happens When the the Wise Men Get Wise Men Get Together? Together?
  • 70. LASTYLY GUYS, LASTYLY GUYS, TRADING IS SIMPLE, TRADING IS SIMPLE, SO SO JUST MAKE IT SIMPLE JUST MAKE IT SIMPLE K! K!  