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McKinsey Survey: French consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

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McKinsey Survey: French consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

Optimism grows as categories recover
One-third (32%) of French consumers are optimistic for the future —the highest rate seen in our surveys; while net spending intent remains negative, it is trending up across all categories

Optimism grows as categories recover
One-third (32%) of French consumers are optimistic for the future —the highest rate seen in our surveys; while net spending intent remains negative, it is trending up across all categories

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McKinsey Survey: French consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

  1. 1. McKinsey & Company 1 Five emerging consumer themes in October 2021 1 2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Surveys 5 4 3 Optimism grows as categories recover One-third (32%) of French consumers are optimistic for the future —the highest rate seen in our surveys; while net spending intent remains negative, it is trending up across all categories A gradual return to out-of-home About half (52%) of French consumers are engaging again in “normal” out-of-home activities; however, 75% say they will engage more cautiously because of the Delta variant Loyalty is shaken Six in ten French consumers, including much larger shares of Gen Z and millennials, have changed some shopping behavior; value is a major driver of brand switch for more than half (54%) Holidays are back and in-person 57% of French consumers expect to browse in-store this season, and 30% started shopping early; more consumers than in 2020 report intent to travel to family gatherings this year Omnichannel is mainstream Shopping for groceries, home, and personal care still occurs in stores, but other categories are mainly omnichannel; about a third of consumers have bought online and picked up in store in the past 3 months and half of them are doing this more often
  2. 2. McKinsey & Company 2 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 15 14 13 17 17 21 22 32 41 49 52 50 50 65 74 67 44 37 35 33 33 14 5 1 Mixed The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 French consumers’ confidence in economic recovery improves by 14 points, but France remains the most pessimistic country 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021 US Germany 10/15–22 UK 10/15–22 10/9–15 Italy 10/15–22 Change in % optimistic vs Feb survey, percentage points +3 +3 +13 France 10/15–22 +14 +18 Spain 10/15–22 +16 India 10/18–25 +3 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey China 10/17–22 +6 +2 Japan 10/18–20 22 46 32
  3. 3. McKinsey & Company 3 36% 37% 38% 34% 35% 37% 32% 22% 48% 51% 50% 49% 53% 52% 50% 46% 16% 12% 12% 17% 12% 11% 18% 32% Oct 2021 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 June 2020 Mar 2020 May 2020 Apr 2020 Sept 2020 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Average of biweekly pulse surveys shown for Mar–May 2020. Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Mixed: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003; 11/9–11/16/2020, n = 1,000; 9/24–9/27/2020, n = 1,077; 6/18–6/21/2020, n = 1,006; 5/21–5/24/2020, n = 1,011; 4/30–5/3/2020, n = 1,011; 4/16–4/19/2020, n = 1,009; 4/2–4/5/2020, n = 1,011; 3/26–3/29/2020, n = 1,003; 3/20–3/22/2020, n = 1,008, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Overall optimism is at its highest level since the beginning of the pandemic in France Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-19,1 % of respondents 20202 2021 Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  4. 4. McKinsey & Company 4 Optimism has risen across all income groups, but higher-income consumers remain significantly more optimistic 12 18 25 13 32 13 25 46 5 25 0 35 20 15 10 30 40 45 50 15 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Sept 2020 39 40 29 34 28 22 31 26 10 40 20 25 0 30 5 35 10 15 45 50 Sept 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Optimism by income Pessimism by income Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003; 11/9–11/16/2020, n=1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-19 by income level,1 % of respondents Low (<€25k) Medium (€25k–50k) High (>€50k) Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  5. 5. McKinsey & Company 5 Gen Z and millennials boost optimism share, while unvaccinated people are likelier than vaccinated people to be pessimistic Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years By generation By vaccination status 20 28 47 42 33 30 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 10 20 25 26 42 45 48 46 48 35 27 28 Baby boomers2 Gen X Gen Z Millennials Optimistic Pessimistic Mixed Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  6. 6. McKinsey & Company 6 26 39 40 52 10 11 7 8 64 50 53 40 Gen Z Millennials Gen X Baby boomers3 42 41 9 5 49 54 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 42 9 49 Overall 1. Q: When do you expect your routines will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. In or after 2022 In 2021 Not affected/already returned By generation By vaccination status2 Younger generations, especially Gen Z, tend to predict a later return to normal; only 26% of Gen Z are back to normal already, vs 52% of baby boomers Vaccination status is not significantly associated with expectations: ~50% of both vaccinated and unvaccinated consumers expect a return to normal in or after 2022 Half of consumers, including two-thirds of Gen Z, expect a return to normalcy in 2022 Expectations on routines returning to normal,1 % of respondents Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  7. 7. McKinsey & Company 7 Income increased slightly, which may encourage households to increase their spending and reduce their savings Reduced slightly/a lot About the same Increased slightly/a lot 33 3 33 64 65 Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 4 63 30 6 Past 2 weeks 32 Past 2 weeks 51 17 21 27 53 Past 2 weeks 13 55 32 Past 2 weeks 37 47 19 Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 42 39 Past 2 weeks 18 44 23 30 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003; 11/9–11/16/2020, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 1. Q: How has the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis affected the following over the past 2 weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Household income Household spending Household savings Nov 9–16 Feb 23–27 Oct 15–20 Nov 9–16 Feb 23–27 Oct 15–20 Nov 9–16 Feb 23–27 Oct 15–20 Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021 COVID-19 impact on household finances,1 % of respondents
  8. 8. McKinsey & Company 8 More than half of consumers say their finances are back to normal; another 40 percent say it will take at least until 2022 1. Q: When do you expect your personal/household finances will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. By generation By vaccination status2 Over 60% of baby boomers say their finances either were not affected or are back to normal, vs only 34% for Gen Z and less than 50% for other generations Vaccination status is not significantly associated with expectations of finances returning to normal Expectations on personal/household finances returning to normal,1 % of respondents 34 49 49 62 12 6 54 45 47 34 Gen X Millennials Gen Z 4 4 Baby boomers3 53 48 5 6 42 46 Vaccinated Unvaccinated In or after 2022 In 2021 Not affected/already returned 52 5 43 Overall Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  9. 9. McKinsey & Company 9 Three in ten consumers intend to treat themselves in 2021; this ratio is now higher in low-income groups than it was in February 1. Q: With regard to products and services you will spend money on, do you plan to splurge/treat yourself in 2021? For example, are there categories of products or services you have spent less on over the last year and a half that you feel you will spend more on now? 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 3. Low sample size, N<25. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Plan on splurging 32 68 Feb 2021 30 70 Oct 2021 Do not plan on splurging Millennials Gen X Baby boomers 53% +3 48% −3 Gen Z 73%3 +6 33% +1 33% −8 48% −7 17% +5 14% −6 35% +7 26% +6 29% 0 32% −1 Generation 2 Respondents who plan/do not plan to splurge/treat themselves in 20211 % of respondents Low (<€25K/year) Middle (€25–€50K/year) High (>€50K/year) >70% <30% 50–70% 30–50% pp change from Feb 21 XX Respondents who plan to splurge, by household income, % Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021 Change < −10 pp .
  10. 10. McKinsey & Company 10 All generations have a strong desire to splurge on restaurants and travel, except Gen Z, who would rather splurge on apparel Categories where consumers intend to treat themselves1 % of all respondents with intent to splurge 1. Q: You mentioned that you plan to splurge/treat yourself in next 6 months. Which categories do you intend to treat yourself to? Please select all that apply. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 47 40 35 26 26 23 21 18 15 13 13 10 9 Items for your home Out-of-home entertainment Restaurants, dining out, bars Sports apparel and equipment Travel, lodging, vacation Electronics Apparel, shoes, accessories Personal services Fitness, sports, outdoors Makeup, skin-care products Outdoor living Pets Household essentials Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 −16 3 5 3 −25 −1 1 25 10 4 2 −20 5 3 3 −13 1 3 −4 1 −2 7 0 −10 6 4 −7 −4 −3 0 1 2 0 4 −1 −3 Generational cut 8 4 −8 −3 −5 4 −3 2 −2 6 −2 −7 −3 5 −4 −1 Change from Feb 2021, percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 −12 −17 −4 0 −14 −4 N/A −13 −5 N/A N/A N/A −11 Categories Difference from all respondents, percentage points Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  11. 11. McKinsey & Company 11 French consumers still report negative net intent to spend, despite positive increase on most categories relative to February 2021 Net intent >1 Net intent −15 to 0 Net intent: < −15 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 11 28 34 28 35 34 33 31 46 46 26 12 9 24 45 37 37 31 12 8 11 7 16 6 9 9 5 17 6 6 11 9 14 8 Footwear Groceries Tobacco products Accessories Food takeout and delivery Alcohol 10 Restaurant 5 Quick-service restaurant Toys and baby Apparel Jewelry Household supplies Personal-care products Skin care and makeup Home and furniture Sports and outdoors Home improvement, garden Kitchen and dining Stay the same Decrease Increase 9 22 14 27 37 33 22 25 22 17 34 31 28 46 33 40 42 37 8 9 9 6 7 17 8 7 31 12 17 18 15 18 13 16 Out-of-home entertainment Pet-care services Entertainment at home Pet food and supplies Vitamins and OTC medicine Books, magazines, newspapers Consumer electronics 10 Fitness and wellness Hotel/resort stays Personal-care services International flights Gasoline 10 Vehicles Short-term home rentals Travel by car Cruises Adventures and tours Domestic flights Net intent2 −5 −21 −30 16 −14 −15 −15 14 −19 −11 −28 −18 −22 −29 −13 −24 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. Expected spending per category over the next 2–3 months vs usual1 % of respondents who bought these categories at least once since 2019 −4 −6 −7 +6 +21 +50 +14 +15 +13 +11 +17 +14 +3 +8 +2 +3 −10 +7 Change since Feb 2021 Change since Feb 2021 −1 +5 +2 −3 −4 +4 +53 +7 +38 +17 +40 +12 +38 +30 +43 +47 +48 +42 −21 +50 Net intent2 −37 1 −9 −6 −34 −20 −23 −21 −25 −18 −27 −22 −41 −4 −18 −28 −23 −23 Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  12. 12. McKinsey & Company 12 −10 −80 −70 −60 −40 −50 −30 −20 0 10 Mar 2020 Apr 2020 May 2020 June 2020 Sept 2020 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Expected spending per category over the next 2–3 months vs usual1 Net intent2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003; 11/9–11/16/2020, n = 1,000; 9/24–9/27/2020, n = 1,077; 6/18–6/21/2020, n = 1,006; 5/21–5/24/2020, n = 1,011; 4/30–5/3/2020, n = 1,011; 4/16–4/19/2020, n = 1,009; 4/2–4/5/2020, n = 1,011; 3/26–3/29/2020, n = 1,003; 3/20–3/22/2020, n = 1,008, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Net spending intent is trending up in most categories except groceries and at-home entertainment 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. 2020 2021 Consumer electronics Skin care and makeup Groceries Household supplies Fitness and wellness Personal-care products Apparel Domestic flights International flights Out-of-home entertainment At-home entertainment Close trips (≤2 hours by car) Optimism grows as categories recover | Current as of October 2021
  13. 13. McKinsey & Company 13 1. Q: Which best described how you have researched the following categories over the last 3 months? 2. Q: Which best describes how you have purchased the following categories over the last 3 months? 47 45 44 40 34 32 31 30 27 27 27 26 23 22 19 14 50 51 53 47 59 56 59 61 68 56 56 60 66 62 68 57 3 4 3 13 7 12 10 9 5 17 17 14 11 16 13 29 Kitchen and dining Personal-care products Skin care and makeup Household supplies Fitness and wellness services Groceries Pet food, supplies Vitamins, supplements, OTC medicine Home improvement and gardening Footwear Jewelry Accessories Home decoration, furniture Apparel Sports and outdoors equipment, supplies Consumer electronics Research and purchase only in-store Omnichannel Research and purchase only online Omnichannel is mainstream in all categories, but groceries, home, and personal care still occur in stores Omnichannel is mainstream | Current as of October 2021 Product searches1 and purchases2 by channel % of respondents who purchased in these categories in the last 3 months Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years
  14. 14. McKinsey & Company 14 Younger generations are significantly influenced by social media, especially on home decoration, jewelry, skin care and makeup Omnichannel is mainstream | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: Think about the purchases you have made in the following categories over the past 3 months. Were you influenced toward a certain brand by a post on social media in the following categories? 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 27 25 23 22 22 21 21 20 20 19 15 15 10 9 8 8 Home decoration and furniture Skin care and makeup Jewelry Apparel Accessories Home improvement and gardening supplies Fitness and wellness services Kitchen and dining Consumer electronics Sports, outdoors equipment and supplies Footwear Vitamins, supplements, and over-the-counter medicine Personal-care products Pet food and supplies Groceries Household supplies Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 5 −7 −16 24 6 −15 −21 32 10 −10 −16 30 10 −9 −16 26 3 −11 −12 −13 14 −4 −14 11 12 −7 −11 12 6 −7 −7 21 5 −9 −11 Generational cut 34 4 −8 −12 8 7 −4 −7 14 7 0 −8 15 7 −3 −7 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 Categories Categories where respondents were influenced by social media1 % of respondents who purchased in these categories in the last 3 months 11 15 33 13 6 4 4 −4 −3 0 −5 −6 −7 Difference from all respondents, percentage points
  15. 15. McKinsey & Company 15 12 51 14 67 8 62 27 53 6 37 8 44 39 3 49 7 53 40 35 8 39 68 62 39 24 12 51 10 51 11 53 60 30 7 9 28 40 51 44 49 12 35 12 47 10 29 30 52 37 11 64 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years French consumers continue to intensify their usage of pickup and delivery services Omnichannel is mainstream | Current as of October 2021 16 14 4 33 6 11 8 23 6 7 9 14 32 5 20 12 56 Using less Using same Using more 1. Q: And have you used or done any of the following in the last 3 months? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Frequency of participating1 % shown among consumers who have participated in the activity in the last 3 months Used or did in last 3 months % of total respondents Drive-thru line for a fast-food restaurant Curbside pickup from a restaurant Used a food delivery provider Self checkout or scan-and-go at a physical store Buy online, pick up in store Curbside delivery at a store Purchased secondhand products online Downloaded/used deal-finding plug-ins Downloaded/used a new store/restaurant app Purchased directly from social media Used an app/website for same-day delivery Used an app/website for delivery within 1 hour Shopped at a store I had not shopped at before for groceries Changed my primary grocery store Cooked regularly for myself/my family Personal care/grooming at home Tried making something myself/DIY project
  16. 16. McKinsey & Company 16 French consumers have acquired at-home alternatives to out-of- home activities, mainly online streaming and social-media use Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Omnichannel is mainstream | Current as of October 2021 46 11 8 33 54 54 51 10 46 12 4 52 44 41 42 40 43 18 38 51 11 43 15 12 70 15 10 55 35 33 32 47 58 8 57 28 15 25 38 58 33 14 9 54 8 32 37 37 41 63 5 8 10 5 6 20 17 44 15 12 3 15 4 6 10 8 15 35 Using less Using same Using more 1. Q: Have you used or done any of the following in the last 3 months? Q: Which best describes how often you have used each of the following items in the past 3 months? Wellness app Digital workout bike or machine Online personal training/fitness Grocery delivery Restaurant food delivery Meal kit delivery Online streaming Video conferencing for professional use Virtual hangouts and video chats for personal use Telemedicine for physical health care Telemedicine for mental health care Playing online games Watching online games Remote learning for myself Remote learning for my kids Used social media Used TikTok Frequency of participating1 % shown among consumers who have participated in the activity in the last 3 months Used or did in last 3 months % of total respondents
  17. 17. McKinsey & Company 17 Nearly half of respondents have faced some product unavailability, and 44 percent of them have put their purchase on hold 1. Q: Over the last 3 months, have you wanted to buy something and not been able to purchase it because it was out of stock or otherwise not available? 2. Q: The most recent time this happened (when you wanted to buy something and it was not available), what did you do? Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Respondents who planned to purchase something but could not, due to unavailability1 % of respondents 27 25 24 19 4 Bought the product at different retailer Waited until product was available at the same retailer Did not buy anything Bought a different brand or similar product at a different retailer Bought a different product at the same retailer Consumer responses to stockouts2 % of respondents who could not make a planned purchase 53 47 Could not purchase at least 1 item Oct 2021 Able to purchase all items Loyalty is shaken | Current as of October 2021
  18. 18. McKinsey & Company 18 61 34 30 23 15 10 Different retailer/store/website Any new shopping behavior New shopping method3 Different brand Private label/store brand New digital shopping method Loyalty is shaken | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Low (<€25k/ year) Gen Z Baby boomers4 59 78 45 10 20 4 Income cut Generational cut All consumers Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 1. Q: Over the past 3 months, which of the following have you done? 39% replied “None of these” 2. Q: Which best describes whether or not you plan to continue with these shopping changes? Possible answers: “will go back to what I did before 3 months ago”; ”will keep doing both this and what I did before 3 months ago”; ”will keep doing this and NOT go back to what I did before 3 months ago.” Intent to continue includes respondents who selected “will keep doing both this and what I did before 3 months ago” and “will keep doing this and NOT go back to what I did before 3 months ago.” 3. “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps. 4. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Behaviors in the past 3 months1 % of respondents About six in ten consumers have changed some shopping behavior; this is significantly higher for Gen Z and millennials Difference from all respondents, percentage points Medium (€25k– 50k/year) 61 10 High (>€50k/ year) 66 14 Gen X 60 10 Millen- nials 74 14 29 42 23 36 38 34 43 29 42 20 31 31 29 39 22 31 14 22 25 23 30 14 29 6 15 18 12 23
  19. 19. McKinsey & Company 19 Reason for trying a new brand since COVID-19 began1 % of respondents who tried a new brand since COVID-19 began Loyalty is shaken | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What were the main reasons that drove this decision? Select up to 3 relevant reasons. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand. Overarching reason based on % of individual respondents responding to at least 1 reason in the group. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Better value The company treats its employees well Larger package sizes Better shipping/delivery cost 17 16 Is available where I’m shopping (ie, in-store or online) Shares my values Supporting local businesses Is more sustainable/better for the environment Wanted to try a new brand I found Wanted to try a type of product I’ve never tried before Wanted to treat myself Better quality Wanted variety/a change from my normal routine 24 Better prices/promotions Products are in stock Is cleaner/safer 35 24 7 3 13 13 7 5 18 18 12 15 14 6 Is natural/organic Novelty Personal choice Purpose-driven Quality/organic Convenience Health/hygiene Availability 13 Value 54 33 27 32 14 6 32 Baby boomers2 Gen Z + millennials Gen x 34 29 44 20 30 26 4 2 3 10 3 5 11 24 15 11 19 11 6 6 9 7 3 3 20 17 12 16 25 14 27 22 20 11 14 12 16 14 20 15 14 15 14 14 15 13 16 9 9 3 3 All consumers Between −2 and +2 < −2 > +2 Value is driving brand switch for 54 percent of respondents, followed by purpose, novelty, and personal choice x Net % of respondents per category Difference from all respondents, percentage points
  20. 20. McKinsey & Company 20 A gradual return to out of home | Current as of October 2021 52 12 10 49 41 13 Nov 2020 Oct 2021 Feb 2021 June 2020 Sept 2020 May 2020 Overall 57% Vaccinated 28% Unvaccinated Millennials Gen Z Gen X 51% Baby boomers3 57% 54% 47% 60% Medium (€25k–50k) Low (<€25k) High (>€50k) 47% 53% 1. Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart shows those already participating in these activities. 2. Gen Z are people under 25 years old, millennials are 25–44 years old, Gen X are 45–54 years old, and baby boomers are 55 years old and above. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003; 11/9–11/16/2020, n = 1,000; 9/24–9/27/2020, n = 1,077; 6/18–6/21/2020, n = 1,006; 5/21–5/24/2020, n = 1,011; 4/30–5/3/2020, n = 1,011; 4/16–4/19/2020, n = 1,009; 4/2–4/5/2020, n = 1,011; 3/26–3/29/2020, n = 1,003; 3/20–3/22/2020, n = 1,008, sampled to match French general population 18+ years By generation2 By vaccination adoption By income 57% of baby boomers are doing out-of-home activities 60% of higher-income households are doing out-of-home activities 57% of people who are vaccinated are doing out-of-home activities Consumers engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities,1 % of respondents Over half of French consumers are again engaging in ‘normal’ out- of-home activities
  21. 21. McKinsey & Company 21 Out-of-home activities done in the past 2 weeks1 % shown for respondents who engaged in the activity at least once prior to COVID-19 A gradual return to out of home | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 1. Q: Did you leave your house for the following activities over the past 2 weeks? Social Personal care Entertain- ment 57 24 33 32 49 40 58 64 63 Go to the gym or fitness studio Attend an outdoor event Get together with family Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar Go out for family entertainment Attend an indoor cultural event Visit a crowded outdoor public place Go to a hair or nail salon Get together with friends 81 93 80 75 42 59 30 15 34 28 16 Shop for groceries/necessities Work outside my home Shop for non-necessities Travel by airplane Go to a shopping mall Use a ride-sharing service Travel more than 2 hours by car Use public transportation Travel by train Stay in a hotel Rent a short-term home Work Shopping Transport/ travel ≥50% <50% Consumers increased all out-of-home activity since February, especially social activities, dining indoors, and going to the gym
  22. 22. McKinsey & Company 22 1. Q: With the rise of the Delta variant of COVID-19, how, if at all, has your out-of-home behavior changed? Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 22 22 24 42 40 49 32 35 24 4 Low (<€25k) 3 Medium (€25k–50k) 3 High (>€50k) A gradual return to out of home | Current as of October 2021 21 28 43 44 32 24 4 Vaccinated 4 Unvaccinated 22 43 32 Engage with adjusted behavior Overall 3 Engage less Engage same as before Delta Engage more By income By vaccination status Higher-income consumers in France are likelier than others to engage with adjusted behavior and less likely to reduce engagement (24%, vs 32% for lower-income groups and 35% for medium) Vaccinated respondents are more cautious with the Delta variant than unvaccinated ones Adjustments to out-of-home behavior due to prevalence of Delta variant1 % of respondents Three-quarters of French consumers have changed the way they engage in out-of-home activities because of the Delta variant
  23. 23. McKinsey & Company 23 A gradual return to out of home | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 1. Q: Which best describes how you are engaging in each of these activities? Possible answers: “Not doing this at all”; “Doing this in the same way as pre-COVID-19, but less often”; “Doing this in a modified way vs. pre-COVID-19”; “Doing this just as much and in the same way as I did pre-COVID-19.” Work Shopping Transport/ travel Social Personal care Entertain- ment 36 34 66 38 Get together with family Go out for family entertainment Visit a crowded outdoor public place 26 Attend an outdoor event Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar 64 62 Attend an indoor cultural event 38 62 74 29 68 71 Go to the gym or fitness studio Go to a hair or nail salon 23 77 30 70 32 Get together with friends 38 36 Work outside my home 34 24 21 Travel by train 79 Shop for non-necessities 20 71 80 76 29 71 Travel by airplane Shop for groceries/necessities 66 64 Use public transportation Travel more than 2 hours by car 28 72 Rent a short-term home 29 Use a ride-sharing service 37 63 36 64 Stay in a hotel 62 Go to a shopping mall Doing less, doing in a modified way Doing as much as and in the same way as pre-COVID-19 Out-of-home activities engagement,1 % of respondents When going out of home, more than 60 percent of French consumers have changed their behavior
  24. 24. McKinsey & Company 24 Main life events done in the last 12 months as a result of COVID-19,1 % of respondents A gradual return to out of home | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,003, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Change >3 pp 22 8 1 16 9 7 8 3 2 4 2 Moved into a bigger home Worked more from home Decided to change jobs Got a new pet at home (eg, dog, cat) Started homeschooling children Set up a gym at home Renovated/remodeled my home Set up a specific work-from-home space Moved into a smaller home Bought a property Sold a property Work/study change Oct 2021 Pet adoption House move Home renovation Investments/ divestments Total2 Change from Feb 2021, percentage points −2 −2 0 2 −2 0 −1 0 −4 3 N/A3 8 28 5 28 6 1. Q: Which of the following have you done in the last 12 months as a result of the COVID-19 crisis? 2. Total % of people who choose option(s) in the category. 3. Data not available in Nov 2020 survey or low sample size (<30). Even though consumers increasingly go out, they are still working from home and investing in their home environment
  25. 25. McKinsey & Company 25 Three themes are emerging among French consumers for the 2021 holiday shopping season Consumers indicate a return to stores Stores remain a central place place to research purchases, with 57% of consumers intent on browsing this holiday season; however, younger generations report outsize influence by brands and social media Spend pulled forward Loyalty switching at play About a third of consumers plan to start holiday shopping earlier this year, concerned mostly about availability Three in ten of consumers plan to shop at different retailers than last year, as they look for better value 1 2 3
  26. 26. McKinsey & Company 26 Younger generations are more excited and stressed by the end-of- year holidays Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 32 22 18 16 28 39 57 70 40 38 25 14 Baby boomers2 Gen Z Millennials Gen X Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 1. Q: Which best describes your general attitude toward the holiday shopping season? Selected from "Anxious," "Stressed," "Neutral," "Eager,“ "Excited," and "Other." 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 20 53 27 Overall Excited/ eager Neutral Stressed/ anxious Consumer attitudes toward the 2021 holiday shopping season1 % of respondents By annual income By generation 21 21 18 51 53 55 28 26 27 High (>€50k) Low (<€25k) Medium (€25k–50k)
  27. 27. McKinsey & Company 27 Vaccination status would seem to have no impact on sentiment toward the 2021 holiday shopping season Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 1. Q: Which best describes your general attitude toward the holiday shopping season? Selected from "Anxious," "Stressed," "Neutral," "Eager," "Excited," and "Other." Consumer attitudes toward the 2021 holiday shopping season1 % of respondents 20 53 27 Overall Excited/ eager Neutral Stressed/ anxious 20 18 53 57 27 24 Vaccinated Unvaccinated By vaccination status No differences reported when comparing overall respondent results to those of vaccinated consumers. Vaccinated consumers are slightly more excited and eager toward the 2021 holiday shopping season but also report being slightly more stressed
  28. 28. McKinsey & Company 28 One-fourth of French consumers plan to spend more on gifts for themselves or others Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 63 64 Gifts (for myself and others) 17 18 Personal travel 18 Family travel 20 7 59 80 13 Out-of- home eating 25 66 9 33 8 Redecorate my home, put out seasonal items 14 72 14 Large household appliances Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 1. Q: If you compare the upcoming holidays 2021 with the ones last year, how much do you plan to change your spending level in the following categories? Will spend more Will spend less Will spend about the same 2021 holiday spending plans vs. spending in 20201 % of respondents who spent on the category during the holidays in 2020 Majorities of consumers (59– 80%) plan to spend about the same amount as last year across all categories during 2021 However, 33% plan to spend more this year on home seasonal decoration, and 25% plan to spend more on gifts
  29. 29. McKinsey & Company 29 Stores remain the main place to research purchases, but younger generations say they’re more influenced by brands and social media Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 57 36 33 23 22 16 10 10 9 Offline advertisements Advertisements on TV or streaming media Browsing in stores Brand websites Retailer websites Browsing through holiday markets Social media Browsing in pop-up stores Emails from relevant retailers Generational cut Gen Z 53 30 Millennials 51 26 Gen X 54 22 Baby boomers3 66 15 11 8 6 14 11 12 8 34 27 12 4 37 38 39 31 15 21 32 36 36 21 12 10 4 26 23 20 25 Research channels Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points 1. Q: Which channels are you planning to use to get new ideas and do research for your holiday shopping? Please select top 3. 2. Offline advertisements include catalogues, flyers, magazines, and newspaper advertisements. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Consumer research plans by channel for holiday 20211 % of all respondents Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years
  30. 30. McKinsey & Company 30 Social media is expected to have significant influence on holiday purchase decisions among younger consumers Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 1. Q: How much influence do you expect social media to have on your holiday purchase decisions this season? Selected from "Significant influence", "Some influence," and "Will not influence." 2. Q: Which channels do you think will influence your holiday purchase decisions? Asked of respondents indicating social media will influence their 2021 holiday purchases. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Expected influence of social media on 2021 holiday purchases,1 % of respondents 61 20 50 66 81 39 80 50 34 19 Overall Gen Z Millennials Baby boomers3 Gen X Will not influence Will influence 30 49 71 46 21 30 24 55 60 50 23 25 26 22 36 69 36 11 15 12 13 15 57 39 2 20 3 10 48 54 45 22 21 20 19 Most influential social-media channels2 % of respondents who expect social-media influence Top 3 platforms by % Facebook YouTube Instagram TikTok Twitter Snapchat Pinterest
  31. 31. McKinsey & Company 31 Plans to gather with family increase by 10 percent, but most consumers still plan to limit get-togethers for upcoming holidays Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: What best describes what you expect to do for the holidays this year [2021]? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: What best describes your holiday get togethers last year [2020]? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Split by annual income Split by generation 9 11 9 +4 5 8 13 5 16 23 31 31 22 21 +5 19 29 24 24 36 31 24 +1 20 51 45 31 24 36 46 −10 56 Medium (€25k– 50k) Low (<€25k) High (>€50k) Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers3 Change from 2020,2 percentage points Holiday plans in 20211 % of respondents < −3 Between −3 and +3 > +3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points 8 22 26 44 Will not travel but will have a family/friends get together outside my immediate family Will travel to and attend a large get together with family and friends Do not plan to travel and will limit getting together to immediate family only Will travel to a limited family get together
  32. 32. McKinsey & Company 32 Number of in-person holiday-related events is expected to decrease compared with before COVID-19, across all generations Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: About how many in-person holiday-related events do you attend in a typical year without COVID-19? 2. Q: Compared with the number of in-person events you attended pre-COVID-19, about how many in-person events do you expect to attend over the holidays this coming year [2021]? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 3.1 Family gatherings Work-related gatherings Parties with friends 4.3 1.4 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Event type Between −1 and +1 < −1 > +1 Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers3 Generational cut 4.9 4.9 3.2 4.3 4.4 3.6 2.4 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.6 0.4 Difference in number vs pre-COVID-19 −1.0 −1.1 −0.5 Holiday-related events consumers attended1 or expect to attend2 in 2021 Number of events Difference from all respondents, percentage points
  33. 33. McKinsey & Company 33 1. Q: Do you plan to shop for the holidays earlier or later in 2021 compared with last year’s holiday season [2020]? Possible answers: “significantly earlier”; “slightly earlier”; “starting at about the same time”; “slightly later”; “significantly later”; “I am not planning to do any holiday season shopping.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding; 7% of French consumers surveyed indicated they do not plan to shop for the holidays this year 2. Q: What are the primary reasons you plan to shop earlier for the holidays in 2021? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Low 5 32 35 60 62 6 Medium 28 69 3 High Earlier 5 32 Overall 62 Later About the same time Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years Overall By income By generation 3 48 43 53 9 44 Baby boomers3 6 Gen Z Millennials 27 67 Gen X 20 78 2 About a third of consumers plan to start holiday shopping earlier this year, concerned mostly about availability Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 Main reasons for consumers to start shopping earlier2 % of respondents who plan to shop earlier in 2021 50% 37% 20% 38% Holiday shopping start vs last year1 % of respondents who plan to shop for the holidays this year of French consumers are concerned about availability of French consumers are concerned about shipping lead time of French consumers want to do something fun right now of French consumers are concerned about unexpected challenges due to COVID-19
  34. 34. McKinsey & Company 34 About half of French consumers plan to start shopping in November this holiday season, and 29 percent have already started Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 29 48 22 1 I already started In November In December In January 18 19 63 75–100% of my shopping 50–74% of my shopping 1–49% of my shopping 1. Q: When do you plan to start your shopping for the seasonal holidays this year? Excludes 7% of French consumers who indicated they do not plan to shop for the holidays this year; Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: How much of your holiday season shopping have you done so far? Question asked of respondents who have indicated they already started. Holiday shopping timing, 20211 % of respondents who plan to shop for the holidays this year Holiday season shopping status, 20212 % of respondents having already started
  35. 35. McKinsey & Company 35 Three in ten consumers plan to shop at different retailers than last year, as they look for better value Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 21 8 6 Check more things off my list at once More value for money Safety 31 30 25 18 17 Shop more online Shop at a different place Shop more at local/independent stores Shop earlier Shop more in person 1. Q: Please select all the ways you anticipate your holiday shopping might be different from last year. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Anticipated different holiday shopping behaviors1 % of respondents who said they will do holiday shopping this year Reasons to change place to shop during holiday season % of respondents who said they will do holiday shopping this year
  36. 36. McKinsey & Company 36 31 percent of consumers plan to shop more online, and a quarter plan to shop early; younger generations are even more likely Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 31 18 25 Shop earlier Shop more in person Shop more online Income cut Gen Z Millen- nials Gen X Baby boom- ers2 Shopping behaviors Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points 1. Q: Please select all the ways you anticipate your holiday shopping might be different compared to last year. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Anticipated shopping behavior change for holiday 20211 % of respondents who anticipate shopping differently this year Generational cut 36 32 40 20 26 18 14 18 33 35 23 16 29 31 32 18 16 20 30 24 19 Medium (€25k– 50k) Low (<€25k) High (>€50k) Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years
  37. 37. McKinsey & Company 37 Better price and availability are the top two factors in consumers’ decisions about where to shop Holidays are back and in person | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 France Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/20/2021, n = 1,000, sampled to match French general population 18+ years 35 22 14 46 12 20 15 22 17 6 9 8 Easy to shop across store and online Unique items offered Convenience Product availability Better quality Better prices, promotions Ability to see products in person Ability to purchase most gifts from 1 place Better shipping, delivery costs Supporting local businesses Company treating employees well Cleaner, better hygiene measures Generational cut 12 33 34 15 26 15 7 10 21 17 2 Gen Z 14 25 17 17 16 19 14 8 13 29 12 44 Millennials 11 36 11 14 16 14 10 9 17 24 8 50 Gen X 12 41 21 11 19 13 9 7 15 23 4 48 Baby boomers2 41 1. Q: Please tell us what your primary considerations will be when deciding where to shop. Please select up to 3. 2. Baby boomers include Traditional or silent generation. Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 Primary considerations when deciding where to shop1 % of respondents Convenience Availability Value Quality Uniqueness Health/hygiene Purpose-driven 53 58 x Net % of respondents per category 33 22 22 9 8 Difference from all respondents, percentage points

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