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McKinsey Survey: Indian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

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McKinsey Survey: Indian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

Indian consumers are optimistic about the economy and plan to spend more. They are open to new shopping behaviors as they transition to out-of-home activities.

These exhibits are based on survey data collected in India from October 15 to 22, 2021. Check back for regular updates on Indian consumer sentiments, behaviors, income, spending, and expectations.

Indian consumers are optimistic about the economy and plan to spend more. They are open to new shopping behaviors as they transition to out-of-home activities.

These exhibits are based on survey data collected in India from October 15 to 22, 2021. Check back for regular updates on Indian consumer sentiments, behaviors, income, spending, and expectations.

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McKinsey Survey: Indian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

  1. 1. McKinsey & Company 1 Five emerging consumer themes in October 2021 1 2 5 4 3 Optimism driving higher spending Optimism about an economic rebound has peaked, with young consumers being the most optimistic. Spending intent improved vs February 2021 and is positive for many categories Omnichannel is ascendant More than 60 percent of Indian consumers use omnichannel for purchasing in all categories, mostly influenced by social media Holiday spend revival Six in ten consumers say they were excited during the holiday shopping season, with social media and online advertising as the two key media for consumer research on shopping A tentative return to out-of-home Approximately one-third of consumers are engaging in “normal” out-of-home activities (shopping and local traveling) Loyalty shake-up continues Most Indian consumers (93 percent) have tried a new shopping behavior since COVID- 19, primarily to obtain value and quality
  2. 2. McKinsey & Company 2 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 15 14 13 17 17 22 21 32 41 49 52 50 50 46 65 67 44 37 35 33 33 32 14 1 Mixed The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Indian consumers are the likeliest ones to be optimistic about economic revival: 75 percent expect a rebound by early next year 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 US Germany 10/15–22 UK 10/15–22 10/9–15 Italy 10/15–22 France 10/15–22 Change in optimistic vs Feb survey, percentage points +3 +3 +13 +14 +18 Spain 10/15–22 +16 India 10/18–25 +3 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey China 10/17–22 +6 +2 Japan 10/18–20 22 74 5
  3. 3. McKinsey & Company 3 12 11 11 11 10 7 5 36 32 39 37 32 31 25 21 52 57 50 51 58 62 71 74 Mar 2020 Nov 2020 Sept 2020 June 2020 Apr 20202 May 2020 4 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Average of weekly pulse surveys shown for Mar and Apr 2020. Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Mixed: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID- 19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019; 11/9–11/20/2020, n = 1,091; 9/18–9/27/2020, n = 1,051; 6/19–6/22/2020, n = 624; 5/22–5/25/2020, n = 614; 5/1–5/4/2020, n = 648; 4/10–4/13/2020, n = 631; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 601; 3/27–3/30/2020, n = 582, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years Optimism about the economy in India has improved from about 50 percent optimistic to about 75 percent over the past 18 months Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-19,1 % of respondents
  4. 4. McKinsey & Company 4 Millennials and vaccinated consumers are relatively more optimistic Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 13 21 30 75 57 4 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 5 5 9 27 18 23 23 68 78 72 68 Gen Z Baby boomers2 Millennials Gen X 4 Optimistic Mixed Pessimistic Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years By generation By vaccination status
  5. 5. McKinsey & Company 5 Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 16 10 10 8 21 22 17 12 63 68 73 80 Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers3 10 20 20 12 70 68 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 11 19 70 Overall 1. Q: When do you expect your routines will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years In or after 2022 In 2021 Not affected/already returned By generation By vaccination status2 Younger generations are more optimistic about the return of normal routines; 80% of older consumers expect a longer lead time 20% of unvaccinated consumers are engaging in normal routines Just one in ten say their routines are back to normal, but most expect that normalcy will return to everyday routines in 2022 Expectations on routines returning to normal,1 % of respondents
  6. 6. McKinsey & Company 6 An increasing portion of consumers say their income, spending, and savings are stable compared with the same period last year Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 About the same Reduced slightly/a lot Increased slightly/a lot 20 20 Past 2 weeks 29 Past 2 weeks 51 33 47 24 35 41 Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 28 27 22 50 48 25 Past 2 weeks 29 28 43 Past 2 weeks 26 38 40 Past 2 weeks 20 Past 2 weeks 40 26 36 43 31 Past 2 weeks Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019; 9/18–9/27/2020, n = 1,051, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years 1. Q: How has the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis affected the following over the past 2 weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Household income Household spending Household savings Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Nov 2021 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Nov 2021 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Nov 2021 COVID-19 impact on household finances,1 % of respondents
  7. 7. McKinsey & Company 7 About 60 percent consumers say it will take until 2022 for their finances to be back to normal Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 25 17 18 24 16 22 13 7 59 61 69 69 Gen Z Millennials Gen X Baby boomers3 20 28 18 5 62 67 Unvaccinated Vaccinated In or after 2022 In 2021 Not affected/already returned 20 17 63 Overall 1. Q: When do you expect your personal/household finances will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years By generation By vaccination status2 Across generations, 20– 25% of consumers say their finances have not been affected or have already returned to normal Gen Z is the least affected age cohort Expectations on personal/household finances returning to normal,1 % of respondents
  8. 8. McKinsey & Company 8 Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 While a majority of consumers still want to splurge, the intent to spend has moderated among older and middle-income consumers 1. Q: With regard to products and services you will spend money on, do you plan to splurge/treat yourself in 2021? For example, are there categories of products or services you have spent less on over the last year and half which you feel you will spend more on now? 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years Do not plan on splurging Plan on splurging 26 74 83 17 Oct 2021 Feb 2021 Millennials Gen X Baby boomers2 77% −10 75% −19 Gen Z 73% −15 81% −15 87% 4 84% −5 67% −8 47% −25 51% −22 67% 33 63% −14 69% −3 Generation Respondents who plan/do not plan to splurge/treat themselves in 20211 % of respondents Low (<1M rupees/year) Middle (1M–2M rupees/year) High (>2M rupees/year) >70% <30% 50-70% 30-50% p.p. change from Feb 21 XX Respondents who plan to splurge, by household income, % Change < −10 pp .
  9. 9. McKinsey & Company 9 Top priorities for consumers wanting to treat themselves include dining out and travel, perhaps indicating more out-of-home activity Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021 Categories where consumers intend to treat themselves1 % of all respondents with intent to splurge 1. Q: You mentioned that you plan to splurge/treat yourself in next 6 months. Which categories do you intend to treat yourself to? Please select all that apply. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 47 46 45 43 43 40 37 35 35 33 31 24 18 Restaurants, dining out, bars Personal services Travel, lodging, vacation Apparel, shoes, accessories Makeup, skin-care products Electronics Fitness, sports, outdoors Items for your home Out-of-home entertainment Household essentials Sports apparel and equipment Pets Outdoor living Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 35 52 46 43 37 49 49 41 41 43 52 43 42 44 36 59 44 47 33 35 34 43 40 33 24 40 35 56 28 40 31 39 30 40 34 28 Generational cut 26 35 36 34 28 32 33 17 16 31 23 8 17 20 17 6 Change from Feb 2021, percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 −4 −2 −3 N/A N/A −8 −8 −8 −9 −2 N/A N/A N/A Categories Difference from all respondents percentage points
  10. 10. McKinsey & Company 10 Consumers report positive net intent to spend across most categories; net intent has increased since February Net intent >1 Net intent −15 to 0 Net intent: < −15 7 34 21 24 24 27 26 21 30 28 21 8 17 27 20 23 13 45 22 35 28 30 30 24 30 27 26 29 38 35 32 27 32 30 33 Restaurant Groceries 10 Tobacco products Apparel Footwear Alcohol Food takeout and delivery Quick-service restaurant Jewelry Accessories Toys and baby supplies Household supplies Personal-care products Skin care and makeup Home and furniture Sports and outdoors Home improvement, garden Kitchen and dining Decrease Stay the same Increase 13 16 17 24 26 18 14 16 18 19 27 23 33 27 28 34 29 28 44 36 25 29 36 30 42 30 35 32 27 33 31 35 34 30 30 Entertainment at home Vitamins and OTC medicine Pet food and supplies Pet-care services Out-of-home entertainment Books, magazines, newspapers Consumer electronics Fitness and wellness Personal-care services Gasoline Vehicles 10 Short-term home rentals Hotel/resort stays Travel by car Cruises Adventures and tours International flights Domestic flights Net intent2 20 8 5 10 12 28 14 17 0 10 −2 8 6 −4 34 13 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. Expected spending per category over the next 2 weeks vs usual1 % of respondents 5 -10 +8 +3 +7 +12 +9 +18 +8 +10 -1 +3 +6 +8 +9 15 -3 +9 Change since Feb 2021 Change since Feb 2021 15 -1 +5 -3 +6 +9 +19 +1 +4 +8 +7 +10 +8 +10 -3 +18 +23 +20 1 +24 Net intent2 −3 38 8 30 0 −12 14 4 6 3 −2 9 −2 25 15 12 7 20 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18-10/25/2021, n = 1,002, 2/18-2/28/2021, n = 1,019; sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021
  11. 11. McKinsey & Company 11 −70 −80 −10 30 −20 −50 40 −60 −40 −30 0 10 20 May 2020 Mar 2020 Apr 2020 June 2020 Sept 2020 Nov 2020 Nov 2021 Feb 2021 Expected spending per category over the next 2–3 months vs usual1 Net intent2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019; 11/9–11/13/2020, n = 2,024; 10/23–10/27/2020, n = 2,021; 9/18–9/24/2020, n = 1,026; 8/19–8/23/2020, n = 2,026; 7/30–8/2/2020, n = 2,024; 7/7–7/12/2020, n = 1,923; 6/15–6/21/2020, n = 2,006; 6/1–6/7/2020, n = 1,966; 5/18–5/24/2020, n = 1,975; 5/11–5/17/2020, n = 2,002; 5/4–5/10/2020, n = 1,993; 4/27–5/3/2020, n = 2,105; 4/20–4/26/2020, n = 1,052; 4/13–4/19/2020, n = 1,052; 4/6–4/12/2020, n = 1,063; 3/30–4/5/2020, n = 1,484; 3/23–3/29/2020, n = 1,119; 3/20–3/22/2020, n = 1,073; 3/16–3/17/2020, n = 1,042, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years Net intent to spend has increased across all categories during the past year Skin care and makeup Groceries Consumer electronics Household supplies Fitness and wellness ​Personal-care products Apparel Domestic flights Meals at restaurant Out-of-home entertainment 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of October 2021
  12. 12. McKinsey & Company 12 1. Q: Which best described how you have researched the following categories over the last 3 months? 2. Q: Which best describes how you have purchased the following categories over the last 3 months? 13 12 10 14 15 13 14 6 13 14 28 13 8 8 9 8 68 62 63 61 62 65 62 60 67 57 59 67 59 59 62 58 19 26 27 25 23 22 24 34 20 29 13 20 33 33 29 34 Skin care and makeup Vitamins, supplements, OTC medicine Kitchen and dining Personal-care products Groceries Home improvement, gardening supplies Consumer electronics Household supplies Fitness and wellness services Footwear Pet food, supplies Jewelry Home decoration, furniture Apparel Accessories Sports and outdoors equipment, supplies Research and purchase only in stores Omnichannel Research and purchase only online Omnichannel ascending: Around 60 percent or more consumers use omnichannel for shopping and buying in all categories Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of October 2021 Product searches1 and purchases2 by channel % of respondents who purchased in these categories in the last 3 months Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  13. 13. McKinsey & Company 13 Millennials most influenced by social media for their purchases across all categories 1. Q: Think about the purchases you have made in the following categories over the past 3 months. Were you influenced toward a certain brand by a post on social media in the following categories? 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 73 73 70 69 68 68 68 67 66 65 63 56 55 54 52 51 Home improvement and gardening supplies Fitness and wellness services Home decoration and furniture Accessories Sports and outdoors equipment and supplies Skin care and makeup Apparel Consumer electronics Kitchen and dining Personal-care products Jewelry Footwear Pet food and supplies Vitamins, supplements, over-the-counter medicine Groceries Household supplies Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 77 71 63 74 76 70 65 61 71 74 75 66 75 66 51 59 71 65 69 75 73 61 52 67 70 67 60 71 71 65 47 72 71 59 48 Generational cut 67 70 51 67 68 75 51 37 55 64 51 14 52 64 50 38 Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Categories Categories where respondents were influenced by social media1 % of all respondents who purchased in these categories in the last 3 months 49 51 66 45 68 61 63 46 47 44 30 28 34 Difference from all respondents percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of October 2021
  14. 14. McKinsey & Company 14 17 36 41 39 35 36 38 44 19 46 49 33 33 14 52 15 16 10 35 16 37 36 46 36 17 18 20 37 50 51 36 45 20 35 48 13 14 45 23 21 44 19 32 52 37 56 45 35 52 13 43 1. Q: And have you used or done any of the following in the last 3 months? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Self-reliance has remained stable, and usage of online portals has increased for Indian consumers in past three months Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of October 2021 19 15 52 21 17 35 27 17 27 35 22 32 38 19 29 40 44 Using less Using same Using more Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years Frequency of participating1 % shown among consumers who report participating in the activity in the last 3 months Used or did in last 3 months % of total respondents Drive-thru line for a fast-food restaurant Curbside pickup from a restaurant Used a food delivery provider Self-checkout or scan-and-go at a physical store Buy online, pick up in store Curbside delivery at a store Purchased secondhand products online Downloaded/used a new store/restaurant app Purchased directly from social media Used an app/website for same-day delivery Used an app/website for delivery within 2 hours Shopped at a store I had not shopped at before for groceries Cooked regularly for myself/my family Personal care, grooming at home Tried making something myself/DIY project Changed my primary grocery store Downloaded/used deal-finding plug-ins
  15. 15. McKinsey & Company 15 Consumers have acquired at-home alternatives to out-of-home activities, such as telemedicine, meal-kit delivery, and online games 1. Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of October 2021 32 32 20 60 61 68 49 34 16 41 30 25 39 32 69 5 32 34 7 63 42 60 34 60 11 55 6 33 50 63 8 35 5 65 31 4 65 32 3 28 63 30 7 63 4 65 30 5 28 57 3 36 8 57 35 31 6 69 66 6 Using less Using about the same Using more Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years Wellness app Online personal training/fitness Grocery delivery Restaurant food delivery Meal kit delivery Online streaming Video conferencing for professional use Virtual hangouts and video chats for personal use Telemedicine for physical health care Telemedicine for mental health care Playing online games Watching online games Remote learning for myself Remote learning for my kids Using social media Frequency of participating1 % shown among consumers who report participating in the activity in the last 3 months Used or did in last 3 months % of total respondents
  16. 16. McKinsey & Company 16 Consumers are more likely to substitute a retailer, brand, or product than to wait for products to become available 1. Q: Over the last 3 months, have you wanted to buy something and not been able to purchase it because it was out of stock or otherwise not available? 2. Q: The most recent time this happened (when you wanted to buy something and it was not available), what did you do? Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years 29 71 Oct 2021 Could not purchase at least 1 item Able to purchase all items Respondents who planned to purchase something but could not, due to unavailability1 % of respondents 44 31 10 10 5 Waited until product was available at the same retailer Did not buy anything Bought a different brand or similar product at a different retailer Bought the product at a different retailer Bought a different product at the same retailer Consumer responses to stockouts2 % of respondents who could not make a planned purchase Loyalty shake-up continues | Current as of October 2021
  17. 17. McKinsey & Company 17 93 59 57 53 40 37 New shopping method2 Any new shopping behavior Different brand New digital shopping method Different retailer/store/website Private label/store brand Loyalty shake-up continues | Current as of October 2021 All consumers Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 1. Q: Over the past 3 months, which of the following have you done? 7% replied “None of these.” 2. “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Behaviors in past 3 months1 % of respondents Changes in shopping behavior have been more much extensive among younger consumers Difference from all respondents, percentage points Gen Z Millennials 95 97 58 59 64 58 52 58 39 50 38 42 Generational cut Gen X Baby boomers3 91 83 64 52 49 41 33 20 35 21 55 46 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  18. 18. McKinsey & Company 18 Reason for trying a new brand since COVID-19 began1 % of respondents selecting reason in top 3 Loyalty shake-up continues | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What were the main reasons that drove this decision? Select up to 3 relevant reasons. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand. Overarching reason based on % of individual respondents responding to at least 1 reason in the group. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Larger package sizes Better prices/promotions Available where I’m shopping (ie, in store or online) Better value Supporting local businesses 9 Better shipping/delivery cost 12 Wanted to treat myself Better quality Natural, organic Is more sustainable/better for the environment Shares my values 20 The company treats its employees well 16 Wanted to try a new brand I found Wanted to try a type of product I’ve never tried before 19 Wanted variety/change from my normal routine Is cleaner/safer Products are in stock 25 23 17 11 32 13 11 14 15 14 15 13 Availability 15 Value 60 Purpose-driven 39 Quality/organic 46 Novelty 32 Convenience 13 Health/hygiene 16 Personal choice 29 Baby boomers2 Gen Z + millennials Gen X 21 33 35 22 33 23 17 20 14 13 8 9 31 39 34 20 25 19 12 14 13 13 15 13 12 6 12 9 6 12 14 17 15 20 12 18 15 13 12 17 8 14 16 13 18 17 13 10 12 22 10 All consumers Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Value was overall primary reason for brand switch; 40 percent of baby boomers tried a new brand due to quality x Net % of respondents per category Difference from all respondents, percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  19. 19. McKinsey & Company 19 A tentative return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 33 36 24 28 22 20 Sept 2020 Oct 2021 Feb 2021 Nov 2020 June 2020 May 2020 Overall 21 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 34 38 Gen X Gen Z Millennials 21 34 Baby Boomers3 32 32 32 34 Low (<1M rupees) Medium (1M– 2M rupees) High (>2M rupees) 1. Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart shows those already participating in these activities. 2. Gen Z are people under 25 years old, millennials are 25–44 years old, Gen X are 45–54 years old, and baby boomers are 55 years old and above. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/22/2021, n = 1,019; 11/9–11/13/2020, n = 2,024; 9/18–9/24/2020, n = 1,026; 6/15– 6/21/2020, n = 2,006; 5/18–5/24/2020, n = 1,975, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years By generation2 By vaccination adoption By income 38% of Gen Z are doing out- of-home activities 32% of higher-income households are doing out-of-home activities 34% of people who are vaccinated are doing out-of-home activities Consumers engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities,1 % of respondents Almost one-third of Indian consumers say they are engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities
  20. 20. McKinsey & Company 20 Out-of-home activities done in the past 2 weeks1 % shown for respondents who engaged in the activity at least once prior to COVID-19 A tentative return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: Did you leave your house for the following activities over the past 2 weeks? Social Personal care Entertain- ment 57 40 40 36 43 52 60 56 56 Visit a crowded outdoor public place Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar Go out for family entertainment Attend an indoor cultural event Attend an outdoor event Go to the gym or fitness studio Go to a hair or nail salon Get together with family Get together with friends 69 76 60 60 57 54 60 32 39 36 42 Travel by airplane Work outside my home Shop for groceries/necessities Use a ride-sharing service Shop for non-necessities Go to a shopping mall Use public transportation Travel more than 2 hours by car Travel by train Stay in a hotel Rent a short-term home Work Shopping Transport/ travel ≥50% <50% Seven in ten consumers have started going back to work and grocery shopping; return is slower for travel and entertainment Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  21. 21. McKinsey & Company 21 1. Q: With the rise of the Delta variant of COVID-19, how, if at all, has your out-of-home behavior changed? 7 6 16 15 14 50 39 43 30 39 37 Medium (1M–2M rupees) 4 Low (<1M rupees) High (>2M rupees) A tentative return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 6 10 14 17 43 34 37 39 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 6 14 43 37 Engage more Overall Engage with adjusted behavior Engage less Engage same as before Delta By income By vaccination status Lower-income consumers are more likely to adjust out-of- home behavior rather than engaging less More than one-quarter of unvaccinated consumers have not reduced or changed their out-of-home behavior despite of Delta variant Adjustments to out-of-home behavior due to prevalence of Delta variant,1 % of respondents Roughly 40 percent of consumers—and more in the lower-income group—have adjusted how they engage in out-of-home activities Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  22. 22. McKinsey & Company 22 A tentative return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: Which best describes how you are engaging in each of these activities? Possible answers: “Not doing this at all”; “Doing this in the same way as pre-COVID-19, but less often”; “Doing this in a modified way vs. pre-COVID-19”; “Doing this just as much and in the same way as I did pre-COVID-19.” Work Shopping Transport/ travel Social Personal care Entertain- ment Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar 34 33 69 67 26 66 Go out for family entertainment 67 31 Go to a hair or nail salon Attend an indoor cultural event 36 64 Go to the gym or fitness studio Attend an outdoor event 35 74 Visit a crowded outdoor public place 65 30 70 33 67 Get together with family 33 Get together with friends 29 68 71 Work outside my home 32 69 Shop for groceries/necessities 35 Shop for non-necessities 34 Go to a shopping mall 66 32 33 32 68 31 68 Use public transportation 65 Use a ride-sharing service 31 69 Travel by airplane 37 63 24 Travel by train 67 Stay in a hotel 76 Rent a short-term home Travel more than 2 hours by car Doing less, doing in a modified way Doing as much as and in the same way as pre-COVID-19 The share of consumers who have modified their out-of-home behavior ranges from 63 to 76 percent, depending on the activity. Out-of-home activities engagement,1 % of respondents engaging in these activities today Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  23. 23. McKinsey & Company 23 Main life events done in the last 12 months as a result of COVID1 % of respondents A tentative return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 Change >3 pp 62 19 21 22 34 25 16 11 10 12 9 Set up a specific work-from-home space Started homeschooling children3 Decided to change jobs Worked more from home Got a new pet at home (eg, dog, cat) Renovated/remodeled my home Set up a gym at home Moved into a bigger home Moved into a smaller home Bought a property Sold a property Work/study change Oct 2021 Pet adoption House move Home renovation Investments/ divestments Total2 Change from Feb 2021, percentage points 4 5 −1 0 4 −2 −3 −1 6 1 8 16 75 19 55 19 1. Q: Which of the following have you done in the last 12 months as a result of the COVID-19 crisis? 2. Total percentage of people who choose option(s) in the category. Even though consumers have increased out-of-home activity, working from home continues to prevail Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  24. 24. McKinsey & Company 24 Almost 60 percent of consumers were excited for the holiday shopping season, especially high-income groups and millennials Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 17 17 20 14 28 19 26 43 55 64 54 42 Gen Z Millennials Gen X Baby boomers2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years 1. Q: Which best describes your general attitude toward the holiday shopping season? Selected from "Anxious," "Stressed," "Neutral," "Eager,“ "Excited," and "Other." 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 18 25 57 Stressed/ anxious Overall Excited/ eager Neutral Consumer attitudes toward the 2021 holiday shopping season1 % of respondents By annual income By generation 31 21 15 28 28 24 41 51 61 Low (<1M rupees) Medium (1M–2M rupees) High (>2M rupees)
  25. 25. McKinsey & Company 25 Roughly three in ten consumers said they would spend more this year on travel for the holidays compared to last year Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 Out-of- home eating Family travel 31 26 38 35 43 29 36 Personal travel 24 41 31 45 Gifts (for myself and others) 23 39 Large household appliances 22 37 14 35 51 Redecorate my home, put out seasonal items 1. Q: If you compare the upcoming holidays 2021 with the ones last year, how much do you plan to change your spending level in the following categories? Will spend less Will spend more Will spend about the same 2021 holiday spending plans vs. spending in 20201 % of respondents who spent on the category during the holidays in 2020 Slightly more than half of consumers intended to reduce holiday spending on decorating the home Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years
  26. 26. McKinsey & Company 26 Shoppers researching holiday purchases expected to most often consult social media, online ads, and brand websites Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 51 45 43 29 27 23 23 15 15 Emails from relevant retailers Social media Offline advertisements2 Retailer websites Advertisements on TV or streaming media Brand websites Browsing in stores Browsing through holiday markets Browsing in pop-up stores Generational cut Gen Z 56 30 Millennials 51 26 Gen X 49 29 Baby boomers3 43 17 19 12 6 22 25 22 18 22 20 24 37 41 45 44 51 22 40 44 43 45 12 20 12 11 27 28 29 35 Research channels Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points 1. Q: Which channels are you planning to use to get new ideas and do research for your holiday shopping? Please select top 3. 2. Offline advertisements include catalogs, fliers, magazines, and newspaper advertisements. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Consumer research plans by channel for holiday 20211 % of all respondents Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  27. 27. McKinsey & Company 27 For those who expected to be influenced by social media, the most influential channels were YouTube, Facebook, and Instagram Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: How much influence do you expect social media to have on your holiday purchase decisions this season? Selected from "Significant influence," "Some influence," and "Will not influence." 2. Q: Which channels do you think will influence your holiday purchase decisions? Asked of respondents indicating social media would influence their 2021 holiday purchases. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Expected influence of social media on 2021 holiday purchases,1 % of respondents 90 92 93 90 72 10 8 7 10 28 Millennials Overall Gen Z Gen X Baby boomers3 Will not influence Will influence Most influential social-media channels2 % of respondents who expect social-media influence Top 3 platforms by % Twitter Snapchat Pinterest Facebook Instagram YouTube 26 28 28 52 88 88 46 33 27 85 79 92 37 21 23 84 62 84 32 17 17 78 44 88 38 28 25 77 74 89 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  28. 28. McKinsey & Company 28 Most consumers this year planned to limit the size of holiday get- togethers Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: What best describes what you expect to do for the holidays this year [2021]? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: What best describes your holiday get-togethers last year [2020]? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 18 41 17 24 Do not plan to travel and will limit getting together to immediate family only Will travel to a limited family get-together Will not travel but will have a family/friends get-together outside my immediate family Will travel to and attend a large get-together with family and friends Split by annual income Split by generation 19 23 14 7 20 19 18 10 33 36 44 37 39 46 11 47 20 19 16 21 18 15 −7 8 28 26 22 22 20 26 −11 34 Medium (1M–2M rupees) Low (<1M rupees) High (>2M rupees) Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers3 Change from 20202 percentage points Holiday plans in 20211 % of respondents < −3 Between −3 and 3 >3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey 10/9–10/15/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years
  29. 29. McKinsey & Company 29 Number of in-person holiday-related events was expected to decrease compared with pre-COVID-19 across all generations Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: About how many in-person holiday-related events do you attend in a typical year without COVID-19? 2. Q: Compared with the number of in-person events you attended pre-COVID-19, about how many in-person events do you expect to attend over the holidays this coming year [2021]? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 7.3 6.7 6.4 Parties with friends Family gatherings Work-related gatherings Event type Between −1 and 1 < −1 >1 Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers3 Generational cut 6.8 7.7 7.1 7.3 6.5 7.2 6.5 5.7 6.0 6.9 6.3 5.7 Difference in number vs pre-COVID-19 −0.4 −0.6 −0.7 Holiday-related events consumers attended1 or expect to attend2 in 2021 Number of events Difference from all respondents, percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey 10/9–10/15/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years
  30. 30. McKinsey & Company 30 1. Q: Do you plan to shop for the holidays earlier or later in 2021 compared with last year’s holiday season [2020]? Possible answers: “significantly earlier”; “slightly earlier”; “starting at about the same time”; “slightly later”; “significantly later”; “I am not planning to do any holiday season shopping.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding; 4% of respondents surveyed indicated they do not plan on shopping for the holidays this year. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 3. Q: What are the primary reasons you plan to shop earlier for the holidays in 2021? 17 58 25 Low 63 15 Medium 21 52 27 21 High 54 Overall 26 20 About the same time Earlier Later Overall By income By generation Millennials 17 53 62 Gen Z 45 29 18 21 45 31 24 Gen X 29 26 Baby boomers2 More than half of Gen Z and millennials intended to start holiday shopping earlier this year Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 Main reasons for consumers to start shopping earlier3 % of respondents who plan to shop earlier in 2021 49% 47% 41% 34% Holiday shopping start vs last year1 % of respondents who plan to shop for the 2021 holidays of Indian consumers want to do something fun right now are concerned about unexpected challenges due to COVID-19 are concerned about shipping lead time Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years are concerned about availability
  31. 31. McKinsey & Company 31 Over half of respondents expect to shop somewhere new, with the reasons divided among safety, value, and broad selection Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 More value for money Safety Check more things off my list at once 59 25 62 26 28 Shop earlier Shop more at local/independent stores Shop at a different place Shop more in person Shop more online 1. Q: Please select all the ways you anticipate your holiday shopping might be different from last year. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Anticipated different holiday shopping behaviors1 % of respondents Reasons to change place to shop during holiday season % of respondents who intend to shop at a different place Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years 28 32 26
  32. 32. McKinsey & Company 32 Concerning where to shop, consumers most often say their decisions are based on quality and prices Holiday spend revival | Current as of October 2021 35 23 28 14 13 47 26 23 14 12 23 19 Product availability Better prices/promotions Better shipping/delivery costs Ability to see products in person Easy to shop across store and online Supporting local businesses Convenience Ability to purchase most gifts from 1 place Better quality Company treating its employees well Cleaner/better hygiene measures Offers unique items Generational cut Gen Z Millennials Gen X 21 32 30 26 46 36 33 33 22 24 21 25 20 28 26 29 9 11 16 11 15 14 14 13 12 12 15 13 3 11 16 9 14 21 18 21 53 44 46 51 39 15 23 24 Baby boomers2 22 23 25 20 1. Q: Please tell us what your primary considerations will be when deciding where to shop. Please select up to 3. 2. Baby boomers includes traditional or silent generation. Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Primary considerations when deciding where to shop1 % of respondents Convenience 45 Value 51 x Net % of respondents per category Availability 49 Quality 47 Uniqueness 19 Health/hygiene 23 Purpose-driven 24 Difference from all respondents, percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002, sampled and weighted to match India general population 18+ years

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