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McKinsey Survey: Indian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

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McKinsey Survey: Indian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

Indian consumers’ optimism has remained high since October 2021 and has reached the highest levels across other Asian markets since COVID-19 started.
Nearly three-quarters of India’s consumers are optimistic about economic recovery, and net intent to spend is growing and positive across many categories. Omnichannel usage continues across the majority of categories, and social-media influence is high, especially for Gen Z and millennials. More than 90 percent are engaging in social media and entertainment platforms. There is an upward trend for new technology, such as crypto and augmented reality/virtual reality, and consumers intend to continue digital activities as the COVID-19 crisis subsides.
About 40 percent of consumers are engaging in out-of-home activities, especially among the vaccinated segment. Most consumers have tried new shopping behaviors such as new retail outlets and new brands.

Indian consumers’ optimism has remained high since October 2021 and has reached the highest levels across other Asian markets since COVID-19 started.
Nearly three-quarters of India’s consumers are optimistic about economic recovery, and net intent to spend is growing and positive across many categories. Omnichannel usage continues across the majority of categories, and social-media influence is high, especially for Gen Z and millennials. More than 90 percent are engaging in social media and entertainment platforms. There is an upward trend for new technology, such as crypto and augmented reality/virtual reality, and consumers intend to continue digital activities as the COVID-19 crisis subsides.
About 40 percent of consumers are engaging in out-of-home activities, especially among the vaccinated segment. Most consumers have tried new shopping behaviors such as new retail outlets and new brands.

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McKinsey Survey: Indian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

  1. 1. McKinsey & Company 1 Five emerging consumer themes in March 2022 1 2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 5 4 3 Optimism driving higher spending Optimism for an economic rebound continues to grow, and intent to splurge has increased across generations Household finances have improved; about 60% of consumers say their finances are back to normal Omnichannel is ascendant More than six in ten consumers use omnichannel for purchase in most categories Social media and OTT use reached an all-time high with increasing influence on purchase decisions. Loyalty shakeup continues Most consumers, especially those younger or with higher incomes, are trying new shopping behaviors A quarter or more switch brands or retailers if a product is unavailable Home economy is pervasive 80–90% of consumers continue to invest in home improvement In contrast, about 40% of consumers report engaging in “normal” out-of-home activities Positive spend impact Almost all categories experienced continued positive intent to spend Premiumization and inflation have contributed to an increase in spend in certain categories
  2. 2. McKinsey & Company 2 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-19,1 % of respondents 11 15 15 21 14 29 32 29 29 34 46 56 51 63 48 47 59 68 55 38 28 27 23 23 21 12 3 20 75 5 Mixed: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Indian consumers are more likely than other countries’ consumers to be optimistic about their country’s economy 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Japan China 3/11–20 3/16–26 Australia 3/16–25 Korea 3/19–26 US 3/1–25 Change in optimistic vs last wave survey, percentage points −12 −6 −10 +15 −2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey India 3/11–24 +1 Oct 2021 Oct 2021 Oct 2021 Oct 2021 Indonesia 3/16–26 +15 Sept 2020 Nov 2020 June 2020 Germany 3/22–28 France 3/23–28 UK 3/22–29 −10 −9 −12 Oct 2021 Oct 2021 Oct 2021 Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022
  3. 3. McKinsey & Company 3 12 11 11 11 10 7 5 5 36 32 39 37 32 31 25 21 20 52 57 50 51 58 62 71 74 75 Mar 2022 June 2020 Nov 2020 Sept 2020 Mar 2020 Apr 20202 Feb 2021 May 20202 4 Oct 2021 Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Average of weekly pulse surveys shown for March and April 2020. Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Mixed: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019; 11/9–11/20/2020, n = 1,091; 9/18–9/27/2020, n = 1,051; 6/19–6/22/2020, n = 624; 5/22–5/25/2020, n = 614; 5/1–5/4/2020, n = 648; 4/10–4/13/2020, n = 631; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 601; 3/27–3/30/2020, n = 582, sampled and weighted to match the India’s general population 18+ years Indian consumers’ overall optimism has steadily increased over the past two years Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-19,1 % of respondents
  4. 4. McKinsey & Company 4 Baby boomers, millennials, and vaccinated consumers are the most optimistic segments Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 21 20 21 76 59 4 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 6 9 23 18 21 17 71 79 70 81 Baby boomers2 Gen Z 3 2 Millennials Gen X Optimistic Mixed Pessimistic Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years By generation By vaccination status Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022
  5. 5. McKinsey & Company 5 24 19 17 22 36 30 35 14 40 51 48 64 Gen Z Millennials Gen X Baby boomers3 20 28 33 14 48 59 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 20 31 48 Overall 1. Q: When do you expect your routines will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years After June 2022 By June 2022 Not affected/already returned By generation By vaccination status2 Younger generations are more optimistic about the return, while ~60% of older consumers expect a longer lead time Vaccinated consumers expect to return to normalcy sooner than unvaccinated consumers Key findings Overall, nearly half of consumers expect pre-COVID-19 routines will return after June 2022 Expectations on routines returning to normal,1 % of respondents Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022
  6. 6. McKinsey & Company 6 More consumers than last year report that their incomes, spending, and savings have increased About the same Reduced slightly/a lot Increased slightly/a lot 47 33 20 Past 2 weeks 35 24 41 Past 2 weeks 31 30 39 Past month 28 48 25 27 Past 2 weeks 29 43 Past 2 weeks 34 26 40 Past month Past 2 weeks 43 38 26 Past 2 weeks 36 31 26 53 20 27 Past month Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n=1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 1. Q: How has the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis affected the following over the past 1 month/2 weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Household income1 % of respondents Household spending1 % of respondents Household savings1 % of respondents Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Mar 2022 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Mar 2022 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Mar 2022 Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022
  7. 7. McKinsey & Company 7 Almost six in ten consumers say their personal finances have returned to ‘normal’ or will have by Q2 2022 28 29 25 37 34 27 30 19 38 43 45 44 Gen Z Baby boomers3 Millennials Gen X 28 34 29 25 43 40 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 29 29 43 Overall 1. Q: When do you expect your personal/household finances will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years By generation By vaccination status2 ~40% of baby boomers say their finances either were not affected or are back to normal, vs ~30% of Gen Z and millennials Expectations on personal/household finances returning to ‘normal,’1 % of respondents By June 2022 After June 2022 Not affected/already returned Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022
  8. 8. McKinsey & Company 8 Consumers still want to ‘splurge,’ and the intent to spend is high across incomes and generations ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019 sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Feb 2021 83 17 17 74 26 Oct 2021 Plan on splurging 83 Mar 2022 Do not plan on splurging Millennials Gen X Baby boomers2 81% 4 88% 13 Gen Z 46% −26 75% −6 87% 0 93% 10 93% 26 60% 13 95% 44 74% 7 81% 18 91% 22 Generation 2 Respondents who plan/do not plan to ‘splurge’ or ‘treat themselves’ in 20221 % of respondents Low (<500,000 rupees) Middle (500,000–2M rupees) High (>2M rupees) >70% <30% 50–70% 30–50% p.p. change from Oct 21 XX Respondents who plan to splurge, by household income, % Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022 1. Q: With regard to products and services you will spend money on, do you plan to splurge/treat yourself in 2022? For example, are there categories of products or services you have spent less on over the last year and half which you feel you will spend more on in next 3 months? 2. Baby Boomers includes silent generation.
  9. 9. McKinsey & Company 9 Splurging on household items and entertainment has seen a spike since last year Categories where consumers intend to treat themselves1 % of all respondents with intent to splurge 1. Q: You mentioned that you plan to splurge/treat yourself in next 6 months. Which categories do you intend to treat yourself to? Please select all that apply. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 47 46 45 44 43 41 40 39 37 35 30 29 11 Personal services Electronics Restaurants, dining out, bars Travel, lodging, vacation Apparel, shoes, accessories Items for your home Makeup, skin care products Out-of-home entertainment Fitness, sports, outdoors Household essentials Sports apparel and equipment Pets Outdoor living Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 1 1 −5 7 −3 2 −2 6 4 2 −6 −5 3 0 −2 −4 −4 3 −4 12 3 4 −5 −11 0 −1 1 0 6 1 −6 −4 −5 2 −2 10 Generational cut 5 2 −4 −12 −4 6 −6 1 −2 3 0 −11 2 1 −1 −9 Change from Oct 2021, percentage points ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 0 −2 0 1 −3 6 2 6 0 3 −1 −7 5 Categories Difference from all respondents, percentage points Optimism driving higher spending | Current as of March 2022
  10. 10. McKinsey & Company 10 More than 60 percent of consumers use omnichannel for purchases in most of the categories 1. Q: Which best describes how you have researched the following categories over the last 3 months? 2. Q: Which best describes how you have purchased the following categories over the last 3 months? 21 7 15 15 10 21 10 20 7 14 9 18 15 12 9 20 64 54 62 64 65 58 65 64 65 62 67 64 69 71 67 60 15 39 23 21 24 21 25 16 28 24 24 18 15 17 25 20 Food takeout/delivery Toys and baby supplies Groceries/food for home Household supplies Pet food and supplies Fitness and wellness services Personal-care products Vitamins, supplements, and OTC medicine Apparel Footwear Consumer electronics Home decoration and furniture Kitchen and dining Home improvement and gardening supplies Skin care and makeup Books, magazines, newspapers Research and purchase only in stores Research and purchase only online Omnichannel Product searches1 and purchases2 by channel % of respondents who purchased and searched in these categories in the last 3 months ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  11. 11. McKinsey & Company 11 Social media influences purchase decisions across most categories for Gen Z and millennials 1. Q: Think about the purchases you have made in the following categories over the past 3 months. Were you influenced toward a certain brand by a post on social media in the following categories?. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 63 55 70 76 67 65 73 69 68 63 70 59 62 67 75 59 Groceries/food for home Apparel Jewelry Skin care and makeup Household supplies Personal care products Footwear Accessories Consumer electronics Home improvement and garden supplies Sports and outdoors equipment, supplies Kitchen and dining Pet food and supplies Home decoration and furniture Fitness and wellness services Vitamins, supplements, and OTC medicine Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 10 −6 −23 −5 6 0 −16 2 3 −4 −12 4 1 −4 −10 9 5 −3 −27 6 1 −2 −15 7 3 −6 −26 −1 −4 10 −19 1 −2 0 5 Generational cut 0 4 −10 5 −11 7 −4 1 −4 8 −4 −24 −10 3 6 −19 ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 Categories Categories where respondents were influenced by social media1 % of all respondents −5 −3 −3 0 4 3 5 −4 −3 −4 7 −2 −10 Difference from all respondents, percentage points ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  12. 12. McKinsey & Company 12 Almost all respondents engage on some social-media platforms at least once a week Frequency of engagement with social-media platforms1 % of all respondents 1. Q: What social-media platforms do you engage with, and if so, how frequently? ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 99 97 91 87 75 71 66 64 52 3 9 13 25 29 34 36 48 LinkedIn 1 Instagram Pinterest Overall YouTube Twitter Facebook Snapchat Reddit Never/less than weekly Weekly or more ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  13. 13. McKinsey & Company 13 More than 90 percent of consumers view content on OTT platforms at least once a week Frequency of engagement with entertainment platforms1 % of all respondents 1. Q: What entertainment platforms do you engage with, and if so, how frequently? ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 93 80 78 75 64 47 7 20 22 25 36 53 Other OTT platform (eg, Zee5, MxPlayer) Overall Sony Liv Amazon Prime Netflix Disney Hotstar Never/less than weekly Weekly or more ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  14. 14. McKinsey & Company 14 70 35 54 76 65 30 70 40 64 45 56 60 25 58 66 68 82 72 74 78 80 0 50 5 55 10 15 20 Grocery delivery Shopped at a new store Purchased pre-owned product Used an app for same-day delivery Meal kit delivery Restaurant food delivery New store/restaurant app Drive-thru lane Changed my primary store Purchased directly from social media Personal care/grooming at home Downloaded/used deal-finding plug-ins Used an app for 2-hour or 1-hour delivery Buy online, pick up in store ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Intent to use when COVID-19 crisis subsides2 % of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity User growth since COVID-19 1 1. User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same or using less) on Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? 2. Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates percent who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. Consumers have shifted their loyalty and shopping behavior—and intend to continue the new patterns as the COVID-19 crisis subsides ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  15. 15. McKinsey & Company 15 ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 59 61 81 83 68 25 62 0 85 5 67 60 15 65 63 64 35 79 65 78 76 66 69 45 70 55 75 84 71 72 73 75 74 0 77 80 82 Social player/video app Social media Watching e-sports Video chat: personal Wellness app Remote learning: myself NFTs (digital assets) Online fitness Online streaming Playing online games Videoconferencing: professional Telemedicine: physical health Telemedicine: mental health Remote learning: my children Digital banking Augmented reality/ virtual reality Cryptocurrency Intent to use when COVID-19 crisis subsides2 % of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity User growth since COVID-19 1 1. User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same or using less) on Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? 2. Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) ) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. Intent to use digital services remains high, along with growth rate of new tech such as digital assets and augmented or virtual reality ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  16. 16. McKinsey & Company 16 33 37 29 32 32 7 New store/restaurant app Personal care/grooming at home 5 A drive-thru line for a fast-food restaurant 38 30 24 Buy online for in-store pickup 30 34 34 24 37 30 37 6 30 29 16 26 29 26 37 31 4 Deal-finding plug-ins 28 4 29 Augmented reality/virtual reality Social-media direct purchase 36 7 7 42 Online secondhand products 32 7 5 34 30 35 Cryptocurrency 36 4 3 Same-day delivery 33 Changed primary grocery store 4 36 5 NFTs (digital assets) Delivery within 2 hours or 1 hour 28 35 41 32 37 Do-it-yourself (DIY) project 28 8 Shopped at new store 24 5 20 Cooked regularly 41 36 6 18 37 25 33 1. Q: And have you used or done any of the following in the last 3 months? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “I have not used in the last 3 months”; “I have used in the last 3 months at the same rate as before”; “3.I have used this more in the past 3 month than before”; “I have used this less in the past 3 months than before.” 2. Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) ) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Intent to continue2 Consumers continue to explore new technology, and their use of services accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic 68 71 70 60 77 78 74 68 68 77 78 79 71 66 76 74 Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items?1 % of respondents who have used in the last 3 months Using more Just started using Using same Using less ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  17. 17. McKinsey & Company 17 Consumers’ usage of at-home alternatives to out-of-home activities has increased 1. Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” 2. Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 6 3 26 Playing online gaming 37 30 Online personal training, fitness 13 36 40 24 26 5 28 42 23 27 Wellness app 49 35 34 Virtual hangouts and video chats for personal use 3 7 14 Digital banking 37 33 5 Meal kit delivery 44 35 31 32 12 41 13 Grocery delivery Restaurant food delivery 46 7 15 31 Video conferencing for professional use 6 22 17 4 30 5 51 30 Online streaming Telemedicine for physical health care 40 51 41 33 41 29 18 23 6 Telemedicine for mental health care 21 4 Watching online gaming 34 32 6 28 5 Remote learning for myself 32 34 Remote learning for my kids 32 8 Social player/video app 53 32 6 10 Used social media 23 77 78 82 64 71 79 76 70 71 58 67 67 65 65 66 63 76 Intent to continue2 Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items?1 % of respondents who have used in the last 3 months Using same Using less Just started using Using more ​Omnichannel is ascendant | Current as of March 2022
  18. 18. McKinsey & Company 18 −10 −60 −80 −70 −20 −30 −50 −40 0 10 20 30 40 Feb 2021 Mar 2020 Apr 2020 May 2020 June 2020 Sept 2020 Nov 2020 Oct 2021 Mar 2022 Expected spending per category over the next 2–3 months vs usual1 Net intent2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019; 11/9–11/20/2020, n = 1,091; 9/18–9/27/2020, n = 1,051; 6/19–6/22/2020, n = 624; 5/22–5/25/2020, n = 614; 5/1–5/4/2020, n = 648; 4/10–4/13/2020, n = 631; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 601; 3/27–3/30/2020, n = 582, sampled and weighted to match the India’s general population 18+ years Consumer electronics Groceries Household supplies Out-of-home entertainment Skin care and makeup Fitness and wellness ​Personal-care products Apparel Domestic flights Meals at restaurants 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. Positive spend impact | Current as of March 2022 Net intent to spend has increased across most of the categories since 2020, whereas grocery spend has stabilized
  19. 19. McKinsey & Company 19 Consumers report positive net intent across all categories except grocery, which is stabilizing Net intent >1 Net intent −15 to 0 Net intent: < −15 ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 19 25 21 25 24 31 25 24 28 31 22 12 11 17 27 18 20 15 39 39 28 29 30 35 25 31 36 26 33 38 33 37 31 34 37 33 Alcohol Personal-care products Groceries Tobacco products Footwear Food takeout and delivery Quick-service restaurant Restaurant Accessories Apparel Jewelry Toys and baby supplies Household supplies Skin care and makeup Home and furniture Sports and outdoors Home improvement, garden Kitchen and dining Decrease Stay the same Increase 16 15 15 15 21 23 23 15 16 17 22 24 21 25 24 19 30 21 35 41 37 28 34 34 37 42 37 38 32 34 36 39 32 47 31 33 Consumer electronics Out-of-home entertainment Adventures and tours Pet food and supplies Vitamins and OTC medicine Entertainment at home Books/magazines/newspapers Pet care services Hotel/resort stays Fitness and wellness Personal-care services Gasoline Vehicles Short-term home rentals Travel by car Cruises International flights Domestic flights Net intent2 22 13 13 11 14 27 21 21 10 15 13 8 28 2 25 11 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. Expected spending per category over the next 2–3 months vs usual1 % of respondents −18 +26 -6 +1 +1 +1 +2 -2 +11 -3 +3 -4 -3 +5 +3 +4 +10 -1 Change since Oct 2021 Change since Oct 2021 19 +4 -9 +2 +5 +8 +1 +2 -1 +7 +4 -2 +10 +5 +15 0 +22 +6 12 +11 Net intent2 8 20 11 26 3 14 8 5 7 4 0 7 −5 22 20 16 17 19 Positive spend impact | Current as of March 2022
  20. 20. McKinsey & Company 20 Vaccinated respondents plan to increase their discretionary spending more than those unlikely to get vaccinated ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 1. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. 2. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? +2 percentage points Likelihood of vaccinated vs unvaccinated people to spend For selected categories Net intent1 for expected spending per category over the next 2-3 months vs usual2 Unlikely Cautious Interested Vaccinated Groceries Food takeout and delivery Restaurant Quick-service restaurant Vitamins and supplements Skin care and makeup Personal-care services Apparel Consumer electronics International flights 45 −13 −23 −34 26 −7 14 −20 −59 0 47 9 5 20 35 38 −13 −6 11 48 21 29 20 7 −3 42 30 −5 11 69 20 7 4 7 26 19 22 7 14 27 Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 Positive spend impact | Current as of March 2022
  21. 21. McKinsey & Company 21 Among consumers who intend to spend more, roughly 30 percent say it is to get premium products, and about 25 percent say it is because prices are higher ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 20 16 17 13 25 11 12 17 12 16 15 14 14 25 15 9 12 15 25 27 38 30 24 32 31 38 24 24 25 28 21 25 25 25 26 24 20 31 26 32 23 29 35 22 39 30 34 32 39 28 32 29 37 34 35 26 20 25 27 28 22 23 25 29 27 26 26 21 28 37 25 27 Household supplies Meals at restaurants Groceries Pet care services Pet food and supplies Food takeout/delivery Vitamins and supplements Meals at quick-serve rest Vehicles Personal-care products Apparel Footwear Accessories Consumer electronics Home and decoration Kitchen and dining Skin care and makeup Personal-care services Increase in income Increase in price Larger quantity Premium brands/products 1. Q: Please indicate the main reason for planning to spend more on the following categories. Reasons for increase in spend1 % of respondents who increased spend Positive spend impact | Current as of March 2022
  22. 22. McKinsey & Company 22 Among consumers intending to spend less, roughly 35 percent are value seekers, and about 30 percent are variety seekers ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 26 22 15 16 8 15 15 20 8 20 16 9 17 14 18 19 16 14 45 35 39 33 39 27 30 32 38 38 32 28 34 43 36 36 26 32 18 27 23 27 36 42 39 25 29 23 26 34 28 19 20 22 32 23 6 12 21 22 12 12 16 16 20 17 21 25 18 22 20 18 23 27 6 3 1 2 5 4 7 5 2 5 4 3 2 5 5 3 4 1 Meals at restaurants Household supplies Groceries Pet food and supplies Food takeout/delivery Meals at quick-serve rest Personal-care products Pet care services Vitamins and supplements Apparel Footwear Accessories Consumer electronics Vehicles Home and decoration Kitchen and dining Skin care and makeup Personal-care services Decrease in income Switch to less expensive Smaller quantity Spend more on other categories Reduced price 1. Q: Please indicate the main reason for planning to spend less on the following categories. Reasons for decrease in spend1 % of respondents who decreased spend Positive spend impact | Current as of March 2022
  23. 23. McKinsey & Company 23 41 33 36 24 28 22 20 June 2020 Mar 2022 Oct 2021 Feb 2021 Sep 2020 Nov 2020 May 2020 Overall 23 42 Vaccinated Unvaccinated Gen Z Millennials 38 46 Gen X 39 Baby boomers3 46 41 High (>2M rupees) Low (<500,000 rupees) 57 37 Medium (500,000–2M rupees) 1. Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart shows those already participating in these activities. 2. Gen Z are people under 25 years old, millennials are 25–44 years old, Gen X are people 45–54 years old, baby boomers are 55 years old and above. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. By generation2 By vaccination adoption By income ~46% of Gen X and baby boomers are doing out- of-home activities ~57% of higher-income households are doing out-of-home activities ~42% of people who are vaccinated are doing out-of-home activities Consumers engaging in out-of-home activities,1 % of respondents Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019; 11/9–11/20/2020, n = 1,091; 9/18–9/27/2020, n = 1,051; 6/19–6/22/2020, n = 624; 5/22–5/25/2020, n = 614; 5/1–5/4/2020, n = 648; 4/10–4/13/2020, n = 631; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 601; 3/27–3/30/2020, n = 582, sampled and weighted to match the India’s general population 18+ years Home economy is pervasive | Current as of March 2022 More Indian consumers say they are engaging in out-of-home activities, led by higher-income households and older generations
  24. 24. McKinsey & Company 24 Out-of-home activities currently engaged in1 % of respondents who say they are doing this in the same or a modified way 1. Q: Which best describes how you are engaging in each of these activities? ? Possible answers: “Not doing this all”; “Doing this in the same way as pre-COVID-19, but less often”; “Doing this in a modified way vs. pre-COVID-19”; “Doing this just as much and in the same way as I did pre-COVID-19.” Social Personal care Entertain- ment 88 76 78 77 78 89 88 89 86 Attend an outdoor event Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar Go out for family entertainment Attend an indoor cultural event Visit a crowded outdoor public place Go to a hair or nail salon Go to the gym or fitness studio Get together with family Get together with friends 90 96 91 89 93 84 89 86 81 82 86 Travel more than 2 hours by car Use public transportation Work outside my home Shop for groceries/necessities Shop for non-necessities Go to a shopping mall Use a ride-sharing service Travel by airplane Travel by train Stay in a hotel Rent a short-term home Work Shopping Transport/ travel 21 31 20 29 30 29 54 42 46 36 44 36 38 41 31 35 37 28 33 30 80% and above Less than 80% Change >10 pp Change from Oct 2021, percentage points Change from Oct 2021, percentage points Consumers increased all out-of-home activities since October 2021, with the biggest increase occurring in travel and entertainment ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/1–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Home economy is pervasive | Current as of March 2022
  25. 25. McKinsey & Company 25 1. Q: With the rise of the omicron variant of COVID-19, how, if at all, has your out-of-home behavior changed? ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 8 12 14 9 51 42 32 32 39 51 High (>2M rupees) 4 Medium (500,000–2M rupees) Low (<500,000 rupees) 4 11 13 21 44 41 39 28 4 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 13 44 38 Engage less 5 Engage more Overall Engage with adjusted behavior Engage same as before omicron By income By vaccination status More than half of lower-income consumers have adjusted their behavior when going out, whereas higher-income consumers are engaging less Vaccinated consumers are more cautious than the unvaccinated population Key findings Adjustments to out-of-home behavior due to prevalence of omicron variant,1 % of respondents About 45 percent of consumers have changed the way they engage in out-of-home activities because of the omicron variant Home economy is pervasive | Current as of March 2022
  26. 26. McKinsey & Company 26 1. Q: Which best describes how you are engaging in each of these activities? Possible answers: “Not doing this at all”; “Doing this in the same way as pre-COVID-19, but less often”; “Doing this in a modified way vs. pre-COVID-19”; “Doing this just as much and in the same way as I did pre-COVID-19.” Work Shopping Transport/ travel Social Personal care Entertain- ment Go out for family entertainment 75 25 27 79 ​Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar 21 73 Attend an outdoor event 26 74 Visit a crowded outdoor public place 27 73 Attend an indoor cultural event 25 75 Go to a hair or nail salon 33 24 67 Get together with friends 27 Go to the gym or fitness studio 73 76 Get together with family 79 24 78 73 Work outside my home 24 22 76 Go to a shopping mall Shop for groceries/necessities Shop for non-necessities 76 21 Stay in a hotel 76 24 27 25 Travel by train Rent a short-term home 78 25 75 Travel more than 2 hours by car 22 24 78 ​Use a ride-sharing service 75 Use public transportation Travel by airplane 22 76 Doing less, doing in a modified way Doing as much as and in the same way as pre-COVID-19 Out-of-home activities engagement,1 % of respondents having engaged in activity pre-COVID-19 Around 70 percent of consumers have modified their behavior when out of home across all categories ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Home economy is pervasive | Current as of March 2022
  27. 27. McKinsey & Company 27 Main life events done in the last 12 months as a result of COVID-19,1 % of respondents Change >3 pp 64 22 20 35 26 20 18 10 10 12 12 Moved into a bigger home Decided to change jobs Renovated/remodeled my home Worked more from home Started homeschooling children Set up a specific work-from-home space Set up a gym at home Got a new pet at home (eg, dog, cat) Moved into a smaller home Bought a property Sold a property Work/study change Mar 2022 Pet adoption House move Home renovation Investments/ divestments Total,2 % Change from Oct 2021, percentage points −2 1 −1 2 1 0 3 0 2 1 1 18 78 20 57 21 1. Q: Which of the following have you done in the last 12 months as a result of the COVID-19 crisis? 2. Total percentage of people who choose option(s) in the category. Even though consumers have increased out-of-home activity, they continue to invest in their home environment ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Home economy is pervasive | Current as of March 2022
  28. 28. McKinsey & Company 28 Milestones for the India population not yet engaging with out-of-home activities1 % of respondents awaiting each milestone before engaging 25 30 24 22 Government lifts restrictions Government lifts restrictions and other requirements Vaccination coverage COVID-19 no longer spreading 59% of people are not currently engaging in ‘normal’ out-of- home activities ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Vaccination coverage Government lifts restrictions and … 1. Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart rebased to exclude those already participating in these activities and those who do not deem any of these items important. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 9% Medical authorities deem safe 12% Stores, restaurants, and other indoor places start taking safety measures 8% I see other people returning 8% Vaccine is widely distributed 9% I have been vaccinated 7% Family member(s) vaccinated Around 60 percent of consumers are cautious about returning to out-of-home activities until social restrictions are completely lifted Home economy is pervasive | Current as of March 2022
  29. 29. McKinsey & Company 29 97 64 60 59 53 45 41 Different brand Any new shopping behavior Different retailer/store/website Private label/store brand New social-commerce method New shopping method3 New digital shopping method ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009; 10/18–10/25/2021, n = 1,002; 2/18–2/28/2021, n = 1,019 sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 91 N/A 85 8 81 8 81 9 High (>2M rupees) Gen Z Millennials 98 99 98 60 87 11 67 63 61 60 58 61 67 62 62 55 57 53 41 41 Income cut Generational cut All consumers % of respondents Change from Oct 2021, percentage points Intent to continue behavior2 Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 1. Q: Over the past 3 months, which of the following have you done? 3% replied “None of these” 2. Q: Which best describes whether or not you plan to continue with these shopping changes? Possible answers: “will go back to what I did before 3 months ago”; ”will keep doing both this and what I did before 3 months ago”; ”will keep doing this and NOT go back to what I did before 3 months ago.” Intent to continue includes respondents who selected “will keep doing both this and what I did before 3 months ago” and “will keep doing this and NOT go back to what I did before 3 months ago.” 3. “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps. Behaviors since COVID-19 pandemic started1 % of respondents Consumers have tried new shopping behaviors, including new retailers and brands, during the COVID-19 pandemic Difference from all respondents, percentage points 86 10 47 56 44 Loyalty shakeup continues | Current as of March 2022
  30. 30. McKinsey & Company 30 1. Q: Over the last 3 months, have you wanted to buy something and not been able to purchase it because it was out of stock or otherwise not available? 2. Q: The most recent time this happened (when you wanted to buy something and it was not available), what did you do? ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/11–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years 23 77 Mar 2022 Could not purchase at least 1 item Able to purchase all items Respondents who planned to purchase something but could not, due to unavailability1 % of respondents 29 25 23 18 5 Bought the product at a different retailer Bought a different brand or similar product at a different retailer Waited until the product was available at the same retailer Did not buy anything Bought a different product at the same retailer All consumers who could not make a planned purchase2 % of respondents Loyalty shakeup continues | Current as of March 2022 When products are out of stock, consumers are more likely to substitute retailers or brands than to wait for products to become available
  31. 31. McKinsey & Company 31 Is available where I’m shopping Using eco-friendly ingredients Supporting local businesses Is natural/organic Better shipping/delivery cost Better prices/promotions 11 Better value Using recyclable packing materials Larger package sizes 12 Shares my values 7 The company treats its employees well 24 Products are in stock Better quality 11 32 Wanted to try a new brand I found Wanted to try a type of product I’ve never tried before Wanted variety/a change from my normal routine Wanted to treat myself Cleaner/has better hygiene measures 11 27 13 21 20 10 15 7 18 23 15 11 −1 7 0 Reason for trying a new brand since COVID-19 began,1 % of respondents selecting reason in top 3 ​Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 India Consumer Pulse Survey, 3/1–3/24/2022, n = 1,009, sampled and weighted to match the India general population 18+ years Personal choice Convenience Quality/organic Novelty Health/hygiene Availability Purpose driven Value 51 57 11 44 35 13 11 26 All consumers Between −3 and +3 < −3 > +3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points x Net % of respondents per category Gen Z/ millennials Baby boomers2 Gen X −3 36 −3 1 −9 0 −1 8 1 3 −12 −3 0 0 −1 −1 1 1 1 −10 −1 2 −7 −2 0 3 −2 −4 10 7 −3 6 5 −2 11 1 0 −3 1 2 −6 −4 0 −9 1 1. Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What were the main reasons that drove this decision? Select up to 3 relevant reasons. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand. Overarching reason based on % of individual respondents responding to at least 1 reason in the group. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Loyalty shakeup continues | Current as of March 2022 The top reasons consumers give for switching brands are to attain greater value and better quality −9 2 0 2 −8 −4

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