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McKinsey Survey: Spanish consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

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McKinsey Survey: Spanish consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

In Spain, consumer optimism about the economy has doubled since February 2021, reaching 33 percent. Consumers indicated greater intent to spend, and almost half intended to splurge this year. At equal rates of 60 percent, Spanish consumers said they are omnichannel shoppers and have returned to participating in out-of-home activities (way up from 20 percent in February 2021). More than four in ten reported changing brands, mainly for price. Over one-third said more of their holiday shopping would be online in 2021 than in 2020, and about 40 percent said they would start shopping earlier.

In Spain, consumer optimism about the economy has doubled since February 2021, reaching 33 percent. Consumers indicated greater intent to spend, and almost half intended to splurge this year. At equal rates of 60 percent, Spanish consumers said they are omnichannel shoppers and have returned to participating in out-of-home activities (way up from 20 percent in February 2021). More than four in ten reported changing brands, mainly for price. Over one-third said more of their holiday shopping would be online in 2021 than in 2020, and about 40 percent said they would start shopping earlier.

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McKinsey Survey: Spanish consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

  1. 1. McKinsey & Company 1 Five emerging consumer themes in October 2021 1 2 5 4 3 Optimism returns and spend increases Optimism doubles to 33% in October (versus February) alongside growing intent to spend on most categories Almost half of consumers, especially younger and higher-income consumers, intend to splurge in the next six months Omnichannel sticks About six in ten Spanish consumers research and purchase products in an omnichannel way Social media exerts high levels of influence across categories, particularly with Gen Z and millennials Holiday shopping earlier and online About 40% of Spanish consumers expect to shop for the holidays earlier than usual, with more than 60% expecting to start by November Over one-third plan to shop online more this year than last year Out-of-home moves toward normal About 60% of consumers are back to participating in normal activities, in contrast with about 20% in February 2021 Top destinations in the last 2 weeks were the workplace (79%), social gatherings (71%), and malls (69%) Loyalty under threat Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, 45% of consumers have changed brands; price was the main reason, but 11% switched to more natural/organic and 7% to more sustainable brands
  2. 2. McKinsey & Company 2 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 15 14 13 17 22 21 22 32 41 49 52 50 46 65 74 67 44 37 35 33 32 14 5 1 Mixed The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Spanish consumers’ level of optimism is similar to that of consumers elsewhere in Europe 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 US Germany 10/15–22 UK 10/15–22 10/9–15 Italy 10/15–22 France 10/15–22 Change in % optimistic vs Feb survey, percentage points +3 +3 +13 +14 +18 Spain 10/15–22 +16 India 10/18–25 +3 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2021 China 10/17–22 +6 +2 Japan 10/18–20 17 50 33
  3. 3. McKinsey & Company 3 38 41 41 39 42 40 31 17 46 46 45 48 47 47 52 50 17 13 14 13 11 13 17 33 Sept 2020 Mar 2020 Apr 2020 May 2020 June 2020 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Average of biweekly pulse surveys shown for Mar–May 2020. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,005; 11/9–11/16/2020, n = 1,014; 9/24–9/27/2020, n = 1,054; 6/18–6/21/2020, n = 1,007; 5/21–5/24/2020, n = 1,010; 4/30–5/3/2020, n = 1,004; 4/16–4/19/2020, n = 1,006; 4/2–4/5/2020, n = 1,006; 3/26–3/29/2020, n = 1,003; 3/20–3/22/2020, n = 1,002, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Overall optimism about economic recovery increased notably between February and October Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-19,1 % of respondents Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Mixed: The economy will be impacted for 6-12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID- 19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression or fall into lengthy recession 20202 2021
  4. 4. McKinsey & Company 4 Middle- and high-income consumers are more optimistic than lower-income consumers Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 16 29 37 13 19 35 30 0 5 10 15 20 25 40 45 Feb 2021 11 9 Sept 2020 18 33 Oct 2021 High (>€50k) Low (<€25k) Medium (€25k–49k) 41 20 43 28 15 41 15 5 0 20 10 25 30 35 40 45 Sept 2020 32 35 Feb 2021 16 Oct 2021 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Optimism by income Pessimism by income Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/18–2/22/2021, n = 1,005; 9/24–9/27/2020, n = 1,054, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-19 by income level,1 % of respondents
  5. 5. McKinsey & Company 5 Younger consumers are more optimistic about economic recovery Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 1. Q: What is your overall confidence level surrounding economic conditions after the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis subsides (ie, once there is herd immunity)? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15-10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years By generation By vaccination status 17 16 50 50 33 34 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 9 12 20 24 58 50 49 46 33 38 31 30 Millennials Gen Z Gen X Baby boomers2 Mixed Optimistic Pessimistic
  6. 6. McKinsey & Company 6 Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 28 23 21 26 17 15 10 6 55 62 69 68 Gen Z Millennials Baby boomers3 Gen X 24 21 11 13 65 66 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 24 11 65 Overall 1. Q: When do you expect your routines will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Not affected/already returned In or after 2022 In 2021 By generation By vaccination status2 Younger generations are more optimistic about the return, while two-thirds of older consumers expect a longer lead time Over 20% of unvaccinated consumers are engaging in their normal routine, as are a similar proportion of vaccinated consumers (24%) While ~25 percent say their routines are back to normal, most expect their routines to go back to normal in 2022 or later Expectations on routines returning to normal,1 % of respondents
  7. 7. McKinsey & Company 7 Income and consumption have grown in the last six months, seemingly at the expense of savings Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 Reduced slightly/a lot Increased slightly/a lot About the same 62 58 3 Past 2 weeks 39 35 Past 2 weeks 3 5 67 28 Past 2 weeks 10 12 41 47 Past 2 weeks 9 36 Past 2 weeks 55 Past 2 weeks 48 42 28 21 49 50 30 22 Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 28 51 21 Past 2 weeks Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15-10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,005; 11/9–11/16/2020, n = 1,014, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 1. Q: How has the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis affected the following over the past two weeks?; Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding Household income Household spending Household savings Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 COVID-19 impact on household finances,1 % of respondents
  8. 8. McKinsey & Company 8 While 45 percent of consumers say their finances are back to normal, almost 50 percent say it will take until 2022 or later Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: When do you expect your personal/household finances will return to normal? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: Which best describes your vaccination status? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years By generation By vaccination status2 60% of baby boomers say their finances are either not affected or back to normal, vs ~50% for Gen Z and millennials Unvaccinated individuals were less affected in economic terms; ~60% were not affected or have already recovered their personal finances Expectations on personal/household finances returning to normal,1 % of respondents 38 38 45 54 9 14 6 53 48 49 42 Baby boomers3 Gen Z 4 Gen X Millennials 44 49 8 10 48 41 Vaccinated Unvaccinated In 2021 In or after 2022 Not affected/already returned 45 8 47 Overall
  9. 9. McKinsey & Company 9 Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 Almost half of consumers plan to splurge, with higher rates for younger generations 1. Q: With regard to products and services you will spend money on, do you plan to splurge/treat yourself in 2021? For example, are there categories of products or services you have spent less on over the last year and half which you feel you will spend more on now? 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 3. Small base (n < 30). Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,005, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Millennials Gen X Baby boomers3 63% 7 68% 12 Gen Z 53%3 −11 43% −2 53% −4 87% 9 22% 5 35% 13 50% 17 31% 0 54% 17 49% 3 Generation 2 Respondents who plan/do not plan to splurge/treat themselves in 20211 % of respondents Low (<€25k/year) Middle (€25k–50k/year) High (>€50k/year) >70% <30% 50–70% 30–50% pp change from Feb 21 XX Respondents who plan to splurge, by household income, % 46 Plan on splurging 40 Feb 2021 60 54 Do not plan on splurging Oct 2021 Change < −10 pp .
  10. 10. McKinsey & Company 10 Older consumers plan to splurge on experiences like traveling or eating out, while younger consumers focus on apparel Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 Categories where consumers intend to treat themselves1 % of all respondents with intent to splurge 1. Q: You mentioned that you plan to splurge/treat yourself in next 6 months. Which categories do you intend to treat yourself to? Please select all that apply. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 51 42 37 28 25 17 16 15 13 10 9 9 7 Sports apparel and equipment Travel, lodging, vacation Makeup, skin-care products Restaurants, dining out, bars Personal services Apparel, shoes, accessories Out-of-home entertainment Electronics Items for your home Household essentials Fitness, sports, outdoors Pets Outdoor living Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 38 47 51 70 37 35 49 48 46 40 31 33 23 32 28 26 20 25 27 29 19 19 19 10 14 19 15 16 26 16 12 10 7 18 13 9 Generational cut 10 11 8 11 11 11 5 7 12 9 9 6 4 11 3 8 Change from Feb 2021 percentage points Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 468; 2/18–2/22/2021, n = 400, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 −14 −3 2 3 −1 N/A −9 N/A −2 −1 −5 N/A N/A Categories Difference from all respondents, percentage points
  11. 11. McKinsey & Company 11 Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 Net intent >1 Net intent −15 to 1 Net intent: < −15 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,005, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 6 24 30 33 32 26 30 28 53 47 31 7 23 46 35 37 20 15 11 8 11 20 8 13 6 6 20 7 6 7 11 8 9 Restaurant Alcohol Kitchen and dining Tobacco products Groceries 5 Food takeout and delivery Quick-service restaurant Sports and outdoors 10 Footwear Apparel Jewelry Accessories Toys and baby 10 Home improvement, garden Household supplies Personal-care products Skin care and makeup Home and furniture Decrease Stay the same Increase 11 16 25 37 30 24 19 24 16 30 38 25 47 43 46 42 40 7 23 9 16 8 24 11 17 17 19 20 21 18 14 10 Pet food and supplies Entertainment at home Vitamins and OTC medicine 10 Fitness and wellness 10 10 Books, magazines, newspapers 10 Consumer electronics Personal-care services Out-of-home entertainment Pet-care services Gasoline Vehicles Travel by car Short-term home rentals Cruises Adventures and tours International flights Hotel/resort stays Domestic flights Net intent2 0 −15 −27 −7 −15 −3 −16 8 −21 −8 −28 −23 −25 −24 −6 −19 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. Expected spending per category over the next 2 weeks vs usual1 % of respondents who bought these categories at least once since 2019 1 −8 −4 2 16 36 23 26 8 30 −1 1 9 12 11 2 6 1 Change since Feb 2021 percentage points Change since Feb 2021 percentage points −4 1 14 0 7 12 49 13 27 11 37 23 37 31 25 30 51 43 −26 43 Net intent2 −47 9 −11 -3 −35 −19 −19 −25 −21 −6 −22 −15 −41 −1 −16 −25 −29 −11 Significant growth seen in Spanish consumers’ plans to spend, despite net intent remaining negative in most categories
  12. 12. McKinsey & Company 12 30 −30 −80 −10 −40 0 −70 10 −50 20 −60 −20 May 2020 Sept 2020 Apr 2020 June 2020 Consumer electronics Mar 2020 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Skin care and makeup Fitness and wellness Personal-care products Apparel Meal at restaurant Entertainment out of home Domestic flights Groceries Expected spending per category over the next 2–3 months vs usual1 Net intent2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/23–2/27/2021, n = 1,005; 11/9–11/16/2020, n = 1,014; 9/24–9/27/2020, n = 1,054; 6/18–6/21/2020, n = 1,007; 5/21–5/24/2020, n = 1,010; 4/30–5/3/2020, n = 1,004; 4/16–4/19/2020, n = 1,006; 4/2–4/5/2020, n = 1,006; 3/26–3/29/2020, n = 1,003; 3/20–3/22/2020, n = 1,002, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Intent to spend has increased steadily in all categories—especially leisure activities, where it approaches pre-COVID-19 levels 1. Q: Over the next 2–3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. Growth in optimism and spending | Current as of October 2021 2020 2021
  13. 13. McKinsey & Company 13 43 37 35 34 32 32 30 26 24 24 23 23 21 18 15 57 58 58 56 59 59 56 66 60 58 66 64 65 65 57 59 5 7 10 9 9 14 8 16 18 11 13 14 17 28 30 Vehicles Meal at restaurant Toys and baby supplies Kitchen and dining Meal at quick-service restaurant Fitness and wellness services Home improvement, gardening supplies Skin care and makeup Footwear Accessories (eg, handbags) Books, magazines, newspapers Home decoration and furniture Apparel Sports and outdoors equipment, supplies Food takeout, delivery 11 Consumer electronics Research and purchase only in-store Omnichannel Research and purchase only online A majority of Spanish consumers report they are shopping in an omnichannel way across categories Omnichannel sticks | Current as of October 2021 Product searches1 and purchases2 by channel % of respondents who purchased in these categories in the last 3 months Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22//2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 1. Q: Which best described how you have researched the following categories over the last 3 months? 2. Q: Which best describes how you have purchased the following categories over the last 3 months?
  14. 14. McKinsey & Company 14 Social media influences purchases to a greater extent among Gen Z and millennials than older generations Omnichannel sticks | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: Think about the purchases you have made in the following categories over the past 3 months. Were you influenced towards a certain brand by a post on social media in the following categories? 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 47 41 40 39 39 38 38 36 34 33 33 32 30 30 30 27 Accessories (eg, handbags, sunglasses) Jewelry Skin care and makeup Consumer electronics Home decoration and furniture Apparel Books, magazines, newspapers Toys and baby supplies Meal at restaurant Footwear Fitness and wellness services (eg, gym, workout classes) Sports and outdoors equipment, supplies Home improvement and gardening supplies Food takeout, delivery Vehicles Kitchen and dining Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers2 48 27 39 71 53 31 21 66 51 32 28 78 56 27 17 68 52 27 20 56 55 29 18 81 54 25 20 46 46 27 25 54 43 24 13 Generational cut 53 43 27 19 64 48 24 14 42 47 23 23 46 39 20 19 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/18–2/22/2021, n = 1,005, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Categories Categories where respondents were influenced by social media1 % of all respondents who purchased in these categories in the last 3 months 55 24 79 39 40 45 38 25 22 24 14 19 11 Difference from all respondents, percentage points Selection; additional data available
  15. 15. McKinsey & Company 15 14 47 34 52 34 58 49 47 43 8 38 35 17 17 43 43 15 47 41 12 39 9 12 44 38 18 39 43 12 44 37 37 20 11 52 52 40 46 44 14 55 45 8 34 11 14 63 29 35 55 10 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2020, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Many Spanish consumers continue to use new technologies to facilitate their retail and restaurant purchases Omnichannel sticks | Current as of October 2021 13 9 33 12 10 21 10 23 9 15 8 26 29 7 16 29 58 Using less Using about the same Using more 1. Q: And have you used or done any of the following in the last 3 months? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Frequency of participating1 % shown among consumers who have participated in the activity in the last 3 months Used or did in last 3 months % of total respondents Drive-thru line for a fast-food restaurant Curbside pickup from a restaurant Used a food delivery provider Self checkout or scan-and-go at a physical store Buy online, pick up in store Curbside delivery at a store Purchased secondhand products online Downloaded/used deal-finding plug-ins Downloaded/used a new store/restaurant app Purchased directly from social media Used an app/website for same-day delivery Used an app/website for delivery within 1 hour Shopped at a store I had not shopped at before for groceries Changed my primary grocery store Cooked regularly for myself/my family Personal care/grooming at home Tried making something myself/DIY project
  16. 16. McKinsey & Company 16 More than half of Spanish consumers used online streaming and social media in the past three months – and increasingly so Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2020, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Omnichannel sticks | Current as of October 2021 31 44 56 40 29 31 29 31 31 41 13 25 49 34 17 34 45 21 38 41 21 34 14 52 26 37 37 22 43 26 48 36 13 35 33 37 48 15 41 16 61 41 45 14 32 46 42 36 22 17 30 14 14 8 4 35 34 64 27 42 4 26 11 14 16 22 28 73 Using less Using more Using about the same 1. Q: Have you used or done any of the following in the last 3 months? If yes, Q: Which best describes how often you have used each of the following items in the past 3 months? Frequency of participating1 % shown among consumers who have participated in the activity in the last 3 months Used or did in last 3 months % of total respondents Wellness app Digital workout bike or machine Online personal training/fitness Grocery delivery Restaurant food delivery Meal kit delivery Online streaming Video conferencing for professional use Virtual hangouts and video chats for personal use Telemedicine for physical health care Telemedicine for mental health care Playing online games Watching online games Remote learning for myself Remote learning for my kids Used social media Used TikTok
  17. 17. McKinsey & Company 17 53 47 Could not purchase at least 1 item Oct 2021 Able to purchase all items When a product is not available, consumers are much more likely to switch retailers or brands than to wait until it is available Loyalty under threat | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: Over the last 3 months, have you wanted to buy something and not been able to purchase it because it was out of stock or otherwise not available? 2. Q: The most recent time this happened (when you wanted to buy something and it was not available), what did you do? Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Respondents who planned to purchase something but could not, due to unavailability1 % of respondents 30 25 22 18 6 Bought a different brand of a similar product at the same retailer Bought the product at a different store or website Did not buy anything Waited until it was available at the same retailer Bought a different product at the same retailer Consumer responses to stockouts2 % of respondents who could not make a planned purchase
  18. 18. McKinsey & Company 18 1. Q: Over the past 3 months, which of the following have you done? 25% replied “None of these.” 2. “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. . 75 45 42 42 24 17 Any new shopping behavior New shopping method2 Different brand Different retailer Private label New digital shopping method Loyalty Loyalty under threat | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Gen Z Millennials 75 88 87 39 52 54 45 55 53 35 48 38 8 26 14 11 34 24 Generational cut All consumers Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Behaviors in the past 3 months1 % of respondents More than 40 percent of consumers who have changed shopping behavior have changed brands or retailers or tried a private label Difference from all respondents percentage points 59 30 33 26 34 22 Gen X Baby boomers3
  19. 19. McKinsey & Company 19 Reason for trying a new brand since COVID-19 began1 % of respondents who tried a new brand since COVID-19 began Loyalty under threat | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What were the main reasons that drove this decision? Select up to 3 relevant reasons. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand. Overarching reason based on % of individual respondents responding to at least 1 reason in the group. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; sampled to match Spain’s general population 18+ years 13 25 Larger package sizes Is available where I’m shopping Is more sustainable/better for the environment Better shipping/delivery cost Better value Wanted to try a type of product I’ve never tried before Wanted to treat myself Shares my values Better prices/promotions 40 Wanted variety/a change from my normal routine Wanted to try a new brand I found 35 Supporting local businesses The company treats its employees well Better quality Is natural/organic Products are in stock Cleaner/has better hygiene measures 7 7 16 8 23 12 4 4 15 14 11 8 5 Quality/organic Convenience Personal choice Purpose-driven Availability Health/hygiene Novelty 42 Value 68 24 23 8 5 27 Baby boomers2 Gen Z + millennials Gen X 31 44 46 32 41 34 10 2 7 11 5 7 20 28 21 23 27 25 20 15 14 15 11 12 9 20 10 7 9 5 4 2 5 4 2 4 16 11 14 15 10 7 14 14 16 9 9 6 7 1 5 All consumers Between −2 and 2 < −2 >2 Though value is the main reason given for switching brands, some consumers switched in pursuit of more novelty x Net % of respondents per category Difference from all respondents, percentage points 15
  20. 20. McKinsey & Company 20 Return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 57 18 18 28 20 11 June 2020 Sept 2020 May 2020 Feb 2021 Oct 2021 Nov 2020 Overall 57 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 50 Gen Z Baby boomers3 Millennials 52 Gen X 66 56 61 Low (<€25k) 59 Medium (€25k–50k) High (>€50k) 61 54 1. Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart shows those already participating in these activities. 2. Gen Z are people under 25 years old, millennials are 25–44 years old, Gen X are 45–54 years old, and baby boomers are 55 years old and above. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/18–2/22/2021, n = 1,005; 11/9–11/16/2020, n = 1,014; 9/24–9/27/2020, n = 1,054; 6/18–6/21/2020, n = 1,007; 5/21–5/24/2020, n = 1,010, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years By generation2 By vaccination adoption By income 66% of Gen Z are doing out- of-home activities 61% of higher-income households are doing out-of-home activities 57% of people who are vaccinated are doing out-of-home activities Consumers engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities,1 % of respondents Nearly 60 percent of consumers are now engaging in ‘normal’ out- of-home activities, versus less than 20 percent in February
  21. 21. McKinsey & Company 21 Out-of-home activities done in the past 2 weeks1 % of respondents Return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/18–2/22/2021, n = 1,005, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 1. Q: Did you leave your house for the following activities over the past 2 weeks? Social Personal care Entertain- ment 65 18 32 29 63 44 51 73 71 Attend an outdoor event Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar Go out for family entertainment Visit a crowded outdoor public place Go to the gym or fitness studio Go to a hair or nail salon Attend an indoor cultural event Get together with family Get together with friends 79 94 71 69 44 59 34 14 32 21 19 Shop for non-necessities Work outside my home Use public transportation Shop for groceries/necessities Travel more than 2 hours by car Go to a shopping mall Use a ride-sharing service Travel by airplane Travel by train Stay in a hotel Rent a short-term home Work Shopping Transport/ travel ≥50% <50% Consumers are engaging in out-of-home activities, especially social activities, at relatively high levels
  22. 22. McKinsey & Company 22 1. Q: With the rise of the Delta variant of COVID-19, how, if at all, has your out-of-home behavior changed? Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 29 25 25 35 40 43 33 32 29 Medium (€25k–50k) High (>€50k) 3 Low (<€25k) 3 3 Return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 26 32 39 33 32 34 3 Vaccinated Unvaccinated 1 27 38 32 Engage same as before Delta 3 Overall Engage less Engage with adjusted behavior Engage more By income By vaccination status Medium- and higher- income consumers are more cautious when going out A third of unvaccinated consumers have not reduced or changed their out-of-home behavior despite the Delta variant Adjustments to out-of-home behavior due to prevalence of Delta variant,1 % of respondents Seven in ten consumers have changed the way they engage in out- of-home activities because of the Delta variant
  23. 23. McKinsey & Company 23 Return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 1. Q: Which best describes how you are engaging in each of these activities? Possible answers: “Not doing this at all”; “Doing this in the same way as pre-COVID-19, but less often”; “Doing this in a modified way vs. pre-COVID-19”; “Doing this just as much and in the same way as I did pre-COVID-19.” Work Shopping Transport/ travel Social Personal care Entertain- ment 55 41 59 Go out for family entertainment Go to a hair or nail salon Dine indoors at a restaurant or bar 60 43 57 57 63 45 Attend an indoor cultural event 43 40 Attend an outdoor event 45 37 Visit a crowded outdoor public place 40 29 71 Go to the gym or fitness studio 60 Get together with family 55 Get together with friends 24 47 36 78 Work outside my home 65 53 35 60 76 Shop for groceries/necessities Shop for non-necessities 38 62 Go to a shopping mall 40 22 44 56 Travel more than 2 hours by car 37 Stay in a hotel Use public transportation 64 Use a ride-sharing service 44 56 Travel by airplane Travel by train 45 55 Rent a short-term home 63 Doing less, doing in a modified way Doing as much as and in the same way as pre-COVID-19 Engagement in out-of-home activities,1 % of respondents Over half of consumers have modified their behavior in out-of- home activities; three in four have modified work and shopping
  24. 24. McKinsey & Company 24 Main life events done in the last 12 months as a result of COVID,1 % of respondents Return to out-of-home | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023; 2/18–2/22/2021, n = 1,005, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Change >3 pp 28 7 3 18 14 12 10 5 3 4 3 Set up a gym at home Got a new pet at home (eg, dog, cat) Set up a specific work-from-home space Decided to change jobs Renovated/remodeled my home Worked more from home Started homeschooling children3 Bought a property Sold a property Moved into a bigger home Moved into a smaller home Work/study change Oct 2021 Pet adoption House move Home renovation Investments/ divestments Total2 Change from Feb 2021, percentage points −1 −2 3 −2 2 −1 −5 −1 0 −5 −4 10 34 8 34 7 1. Q: Which of the following have you done in the last 12 months as a result of the COVID-19 crisis? 2. Total percentage of people who choose option(s) in the category. As consumers have increased out-of-home activity, investments in their home have declined slightly since February
  25. 25. McKinsey & Company 25 Three themes are emerging among Spanish consumers for the 2021 holiday shopping season Consumers expect to shop more online 35% of consumers expect to shop more online, with almost equal shares planning to visit retailer or brand websites Spend pulled forward Decrease of loyalty and brand switching 40% of consumers plan to shop earlier, driven mostly by concerns about product shortages, shipping delays, and unexpected challenges related to COVID-19 Nearly three in ten consumers plan to shop at a different place this year, most often to find value for money and be able to consolidate shopping trips 1 2 3
  26. 26. McKinsey & Company 26 Consumers with higher incomes are the more excited for the 2021 holiday shopping season than consumers with low income Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 30 26 24 18 34 37 53 63 36 36 24 19 Gen Z Gen X Millennials Baby boomers2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/25/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 1. Q: Which best describes your general attitude toward the holiday shopping season? Selected from "Anxious," "Stressed," "Neutral," "Eager,“ "Excited," and "Other." 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 23 49 28 Overall Excited / eager Neutral Stressed / anxious Consumer attitudes toward the 2021 holiday shopping season1 % of respondents By annual income By generation 28 19 23 50 50 43 22 31 33 Medium (€25k– 50k/year) Low (<€25k/year) High (>€50k/year)
  27. 27. McKinsey & Company 27 Nearly two in three consumers plan to spend about the same as last year across all categories during the 2021 holidays 33 10 30 Family travel 33 Pesonal travel 20 57 57 10 26 60 14 Out-of- home eating 19 66 15 24 Gifts (for myself and others) Redecorate my home, put out seasonal items 11 65 50 Large household appliances Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/25/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 1. Q: If you compare the upcoming holidays [2021] with the ones last year, how much do you plan to change your spending level in the following categories? Will spend less Will spend more Will spend about the same 2021 holiday spending plans vs spending in 20201 % of respondents who spent on the category during the holidays in 2020 One-third of consumers plan to spend more on personal and family travel during the holidays, and one- fourth on eating out of home 30% plan to spend less on large appliances, and 24% on redecorating their home Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021
  28. 28. McKinsey & Company 28 In-store browsing is expected to be the most popular research channel, with a large focus on social media for younger consumers Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 51 33 28 28 26 20 16 10 6 Social media Offline advertisements Browsing in stores Brand websites Emails from relevant retailers Retailer websites Browsing through holiday markets Advertisements on TV or streaming media Browsing in pop-up stores Generational cut Gen Z 48 23 Millennials 50 23 Gen X 50 30 Baby boomers3 56 10 7 6 2 20 19 16 12 18 16 20 26 41 39 34 24 26 57 44 17 12 10 10 13 7 16 32 31 28 Research channels Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points 1. Q: Which channels are you planning to use to get new ideas and do research for your holiday shopping? Please select top 3. 2. Offline advertisements include catalogs, fliers, magazines, and newspaper advertisements. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Consumer research plans by channel for holiday 20211 % of all respondents Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years
  29. 29. McKinsey & Company 29 Roughly eight in ten millennials and Gen Z consumers expect to be influenced by social media Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 1. Q: How much influence do you expect social media to have on your holiday purchase decisions this season? Selected from "Significant influence," "Some influence," and "Will not influence." 2. Q: Which channels do you think will influence your holiday purchase decisions? Asked of respondents indicating social media will influence their 2021 holiday purchases. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Expected influence of social media on 2021 holiday purchases,1 % of respondents 44 16 23 53 66 56 84 77 47 34 Baby boomers3 Millennials Overall Gen Z Gen X Will not influence Will influence 19 88 47 41 36 9 27 53 52 75 30 30 5 18 48 60 50 19 23 3 15 49 66 38 15 23 6 24 51 64 26 28 5 20 Most influential social-media channels2 % of respondents who expect social-media influence Top 3 platforms by % 50 Facebook YouTube Instagram TikTok Twitter Snapchat Pinterest
  30. 30. McKinsey & Company 30 Consumers expect to engage in family and friend gatherings this holiday season, though mainly in a limited way Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: What best describes what you expect to do for the holidays this year [2021]? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: What best describes your holiday get-togethers last year [2020]? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Split by annual income Split by generation 29 27 47 −23 48 36 36 54 25 25 26 39 24 24 7 21 17 23 25 17 29 20 6 18 9 15 13 16 20 9 10 7 Medium (€25k– 50k) Low (<€25k) High (>€50k) Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers3 Change from 2020,2 percentage points Holiday plans in 20211 % of respondents < −3 Between −3 and 3 >3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points 42 25 21 12 Do not plan to travel and will limit getting together to immediate family only Will travel to and attend a large get-together with family and friends Will travel to a limited family get-together Will not travel but will have a family/friends get-together outside my immediate family Will establish some limitations
  31. 31. McKinsey & Company 31 Across all generations, consumers expect the number of in-person holiday-related events to be lower than before COVID-19 Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 1. Q: About how many in-person holiday-related events do you attend in a typical year without COVID-19? 2. Q: Compared with the number of in-person events you attended pre-COVID-19, about how many in-person events do you expect to attend over the holidays this coming year [2021]? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. 4.2 Family gatherings Work-related gatherings Parties with friends 2.5 1.4 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Event type Between −1 and 1 < −1 >1 Millennials Gen X Gen Z Baby boomers3 Generational cut 4.1 4.3 4.5 3.8 4.1 2.9 2.3 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.6 0.6 Difference in number vs pre-COVID-19 −1.5 −1.6 −0.7 Holiday-related events consumers attended1 or expect to attend2 in 2021 Number of events Difference from all respondents, percentage points
  32. 32. McKinsey & Company 32 1. Q: Do you plan to shop for the holidays earlier or later in 2021 compared with last year’s holiday season [2020]? Possible answers: “significantly earlier”; “slightly earlier”; “starting at about the same time”; “slightly later”; “significantly later”; “I am not planning to do any holiday season shopping.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding; 8% of Spanish consumers surveyed indicated they do not plan to shop for the holidays this year. 2. Q: What are the primary reasons you plan to shop earlier for the holidays in 2021? 3. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Medium Low 5 43 58 52 5 37 59 36 5 High 39 55 About the same time Overall 5 Earlier Later Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years Overall By income By generation 50 Millennials 42 47 8 5 Gen Z 48 34 62 4 Gen X 32 66 2 Baby boomers3 Around 40 percent of consumers plan to start their holiday shopping earlier this year Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 Main reasons for consumers to start shopping earlier2 % of respondents who plan to shop earlier in 2021 51% 35% Holiday shopping start vs last year1 % of respondents who plan to shop for the holidays this year of Spanish consumers are concerned about availability are concerned about shipping lead time 16% want to do something fun right now 35% are concerned about unexpected challenges due to COVID-19
  33. 33. McKinsey & Company 33 Only a small percentage of Spanish consumers indicate an intent to start their holiday shopping before November Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 944; sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 16 50 33 1 In December In November I already started In January 14 61 25 75–100% of my shopping 50–74% of my shopping 1–49% of my shopping 1. Q: When do you plan to start your shopping for the seasonal holidays this year? Excludes 8% of Spanish consumers who indicated they do not plan to shop for the holidays this year; Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Q: How much of your holiday season shopping have you done so far? Question asked of respondents who have indicated they already started (n = 91). Timing of holiday shopping, 20211 % of respondents who plan to shop for the holidays this year Status of holiday shopping, 20212 % of respondents having already started
  34. 34. McKinsey & Company 34 Almost four in ten consumers plan to shop more online these holidays; more than 25 percent intend to shop at a different place Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 15 9 10 Check more things off my list at once Safety More value for money 81 35 28 27 26 24 Shop earlier Shop more online Any change on shopping behavior2 Shop more in person Shop more at local/independent stores Shop at a different place 1. Q: Please select all the ways you anticipate your holiday shopping might be different from last year. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Percent of respondents who picked at least 1 activity differing from how they shopped last year. Anticipated different holiday shopping behaviors1 % of respondents Reasons to change place to shop during holiday season % of respondents who say they will shop at a different place
  35. 35. McKinsey & Company 35 One-third of Spanish consumers plan to shop more online during the upcoming holidays Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 35 28 24 Shop more in person Shop earlier Shop more online Income cut Gen Z Millen- nials Gen X Baby boom- ers2 Shopping behaviors Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Difference from all respondents, percentage points 1. Q: Please select all the ways you anticipate your holiday shopping might be different compared to last year. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2. Baby boomers includes silent generation. Anticipated shopping behavior change for holiday 20211 % of respondents intending to shop differently this year Generational cut 39 38 45 21 29 25 28 31 36 27 20 17 33 36 36 27 29 29 23 23 25 Medium (€25k– 50k) Low (<€25k) High (>€50k) Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years
  36. 36. McKinsey & Company 36 Price, convenience, and availability are Spanish consumers’ top three considerations for where to shop Holiday outlook | Current as of October 2021 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Spain Consumer Pulse Survey, 10/15–10/22/2021, n = 1,023, sampled to match Spain general population 18+ years 46 17 31 19 14 31 18 21 6 24 14 11 Convenience Ability to see products in person Better prices/promotions Easy to shop across store and online Better shipping/delivery costs Cleaner/better hygiene measures Product availability Ability to purchase most gifts from 1 place Supporting local businesses Company treating its employees well Better quality Offers unique items Generational cut 18 44 11 28 35 16 11 14 5 29 21 Gen Z 14 49 21 23 34 22 20 5 8 17 25 10 Millennials 13 45 19 29 31 18 15 10 8 18 30 14 Gen X 12 47 19 39 28 17 12 12 5 19 22 21 Baby boomers2 25 1. Q: Please tell us what your primary considerations will be when deciding where to shop. Please select up to 3. 2. Baby boomers include traditional or silent generation. Between −3 and 3 < −3 >3 Primary considerations when deciding where to shop1 % of respondents Convenience Value Availability Purpose-driven Uniqueness Health/hygiene Quality 52 54 x Net % of respondents per category 45 25 24 14 11 Difference from all respondents, percentage points

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