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How Should One Decide  Whom to Treat for Hypertension? Jay N. Cohn, M.D. Professor of Medicine Director, Rasmussen Center for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention University of Minnesota Medical School Minneapolis, MN
CV Mortality Risk Doubles with Each 20/10 mm Hg BP Increment* *Individuals aged 40-69 years, starting at BP 115/75 mm Hg. CV, cardiovascular; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure Lewington S, et al.  Lancet . 2002; 60:1903-1913. JNC VII.  JAMA.  2003. CV mortality risk SBP/DBP (mm Hg) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 115/75 135/85 155/95 175/105
Impact of “High-Normal” BP on CV Risk Data from the Framingham Heart Study 16 12 8 4 0 Optimal BP Normal BP 12 8 4 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Years Optimal BP Normal BP High-normal BP Women Men Cumulative  incidence of  CV events (%) High-normal BP Vasan et al.  N Engl J Med.  2001;345:1291-7. Optimal BP: <120/80 Normal BP: 120-129/80-84 High-normal BP: 130-139/85-89
Lower Is Better IHD Rates by SBP, DBP, and Age A: Systolic Blood Pressure 40-49 years 50-59 years 60-69 years 70-79 years 80-89 years Age at risk: IHD Mortality (Floating Absolute Risk and 95% CI) 256 128 64 32 16 8 4 2 1 120 140 160 180 Usual SBP (mm Hg) B: Diastolic Blood Pressure IHD Mortality (Floating Absolute Risk and 95% CI) 256 128 64 32 16 8 4 2 1 70 80 90 100 110 Usual DBP (mm Hg) Lewington et al.  Lancet.  2002;360:1903-1913. Age at risk: 40-49 years 50-59 years 60-69 years 70-79 years 80-89 years
Hypothesis The apparent linear relationship between blood pressure and ischemic disease events as well as age and ischemic disease events does not necessarily mean that age or blood pressure cause events but that both markers capture a progressively higher proportion of people with early disease.
Blood Pressure and Likelihood of Disease 100 Frequency in Population (%)   50       0   75 100 125 150 175 200 Systolic Blood Pressure (mmHg) No Disease Possible Disease Likely Disease
Systolic BP Reduction  and CVD Mortality     Systolic BP (control - experimental, mm Hg) Cardiovascular Mortality Odds Ratio Staessen JA et al.  Lancet.  2001;358:1305 -1315. 1.50 1.25 1. 00 0.75 0.50 0.25 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 P  =.003 MIDAS/NICS/VHAS UKPDS C vs A INSIGHT HOT L vs H HOT M vs H MRC1 MRC2 SHEP HEP EWPHE RCT70-80 Syst-Eur STONE Syst-China UKPDS L vs H HOPE PART2/SCAT ATMH STOP1 CAPPP STOP2/CCBs STOP2/ACEIs NORDIL
SBP Reductions as Little as  2 mm Hg Reduce the Risk of CV Events by  Up to 10% ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lewington S et al.  Lancet.  2002;360:1903-1913. 2 mm Hg decrease in mean SBP 10% reduction in risk of stroke mortality 7% reduction in risk of ischemic heart disease mortality
Benefits of Intensive BP Reduction HOT Study * Mean BP from 6 months of follow-up to end of study. Hansson L et al.  Lancet.  1998;351:1755-1762. Achieved DBP*  (mm Hg) 85.2 83.2 81.1 P =0.05 for trend Number of MIs  90 143.7 85.2  85 141.4 83.2  80 138.7 81.1 Target DBP (mm Hg) Achieved SBP (mm Hg) Achieved DBP* (mm Hg) 100 80 40 0 20 60
Hypothesis The apparent linear relationship between the magnitude of drug-induced BP fall and the reduction of morbid events does not necessarily indicate that blood pressure reduction prevents events but that the drugs protect the arteries and heart (while also lowering blood pressure).  A corollary: the greater the BP reduction from a drug the less the vascular disease - i.e., BP fall identifies a low-risk population.
Antihypertensive Drugs that  Slow Disease Progression in Known Doses Vascular Cardiac Ramipril Enalapril Perindopril Captopril ?other ACEIs Carvedilol   Amlodipine Metoprolol Valsartan Bucindolol Losartan Valsartan Hydrochlorothiazide Candesartan Spironolactone Eplerenone ISDN/hydralazine
Old Paradigm   BP Cholesterol Disease   Disease   Treatment   Treatment Normal   Normal GOAL : Target Response
Current Paradigm DISEASE BP   Cholesterol GOAL : ?Target Response TREATMENT
Pathophysiology of CV Continuum Genes Environment Ethnicity Diet Family Hx Exercise Polymorphisms Stress Proteomics Smoking Blood Vessel/ Heart Angiotensin Nitric Oxide   Progression Aldosterone Norepinephrine Cytokines Structural Remodeling CAD Cerebrovascular Disease Heart Failure Renal Failure PVD Dementia
Genes, Ethnicity, Diet, Exercise, Smoking, Obesity, Lipids Small Artery     Arterial Structural   Cardiac   Elasticity     Abnormalities   Abnormalities ( Endothelial   Microalbumin   LVM Dysfunction )   IMT   BNP BP   Retinal Vasculopathy   ECG PNE   Large Artery Elasticity AngII   Exercise BP   Resting BP   Disease     Drug Therapy RAAS Blockade Statins NO Enhancers Antihypertensives  Antioxidants ?Antiinflammatories
ASH Writing Group:  Proposed New Definition of Hypertension ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ASH Writing Group 2005.
† CVD designation is determined by the constellation of risk factors, early disease markers, and target-organ disease.  CVD,   cardiovascular disease. ASH Writing Group Definition and Classification of Hypertension ASH Writing Group 2005. Overtly present  with or without  CVD events Early signs  present None None Target-organ  Disease  Overtly present  with progression Overtly present Usually present None  Early Disease  Markers  Many Many Several None or few Cardiovascular  Risk Factors  Marked and  sustained BP elevations OR Advanced  CVD † Sustained BP elevations OR Progressive  CVD † Occasional or  intermittent BP elevations OR Early  CVD † Normal BP or rare  blood pressure  elevations AND No identifiable  CVD † Descriptive  Category Stage 3  hypertension Stage 2  hypertension Stage 1  hypertension Normal Classification
Early Markers for  Hypertensive Vascular Disease Blood Pressure -Exaggerated response to exercise -Widened pulse pressure Vascular -Reduced small artery elasticity -Reduced large artery elasticity -Endothelial dysfunction -Increased pulsewave velocity -Increased carotid intima-medial thickness -Retinal vascular changes -Microalbuminuria Cardiac -Increased LV wall thickness -Increased LV volume -Increased LV mass -Abnormal ECG -B-type natriuretic peptide
R   A  S  M  U  S  S  E  N C   E  N  T  E  R for CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE PREVENTION
RASMUSSEN CENTER Screening Tests for Early Detection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Vascular Evaluation
RASMUSSEN CENTER Screening Tests for Early Detection Cardiac Evaluation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
RASMUSSEN CENTER Screening Tests for Early Detection Modifiable Disease Contributors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results of Rasmussen Center Screening Frequency Rasmussen Score Low Risk 33% Modest Risk 36% High Risk 31%
Patient : 60-year-old female registered nurse Past History : negative except high cholesterol Family History : both parents smoked, no significant CV disease Physical Exam :  Height 5’4” Weight 126 lb. HR 64 b/min BP 132/66 mmHg Screening Results : C 1  = 8.5 ml/mmHg x10 (abnormal) C 2  = 2.4 ml/mmHg x100 (abnormal) Exercise BP = 173/64 mmHg (abnormal) Retinal photo = A:V nicking (abnormal) Microalbumin = 0.86 mg/mmol (abnormal) LV ultrasound = increased mass (abnormal) Rasmussen score = 12 points Blood Chemistry : LDL 187 mg/dl; HDL 70 mg/dl Interpretation :  Advanced CV Disease Treatment :  Antihypertensive, statin
Patient : 62-year-old female florist Past History : Asymptomatic, plays tennis and golf Elevated cholesterol: Atorvastatin, 10 mg Family History : Negative Physical Exam :  Height 5’5” Weight 128 lb. HR 74 b/min BP 140/80 mmHg Screening Results : C 1  = 8.7 ml/mmHg x10 (abnormal) C 2  = 1.6 ml/mmHg x100 (abnormal) Exercise BP = 182/80 mmHg (abnormal) Retinal photo = decreased A:V ratio (borderline) Microalbumin = 1.98 mg/mmol (abnormal) Rasmussen score = 9 points Blood Chemistry : LDL 137 mg/dl; HDL 129 mg/dl; CRP 0.13 mg/dl Interpretation :  Advancing CV Disease Treatment :  ACE/ARB; BP Control; Increase atorvastatin
Patient : 49-year-old male executive Past History : Overweight, elevated BP, asymptomatic, no therapy Family History : Hypertension, coronary disease Physical Exam :  Height 5’8” Weight 240 lb. HR 76 b/min BP 144/84 mmHg Screening Results : C 1  = 16.1 ml/mmHg x10 (normal) C 2  = 6.4 ml/mmHg x100 (normal) Exercise BP = 154/74 mmHg (normal) All other tests normal Rasmussen score = 2 points (BP only) Blood Chemistry :  LDL 172 mg/dl; HDL 38 mg/dl;  FBS 108 mg/dl; CRP 1.0 mg/dl Interpretation :  No CV Disease Treatment :  Diet, ?statin
Strategies for Aggressive Treatment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategies for Aggressive Treatment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risk Factors Biomarkers Cardiac and Vascular Structural Abnormalities Death Non-Fatal Morbid Events Recurrence Progression Primary Prevention Secondary Prevention Tertiary Prevention
Who to Treat with Antihypertensives  (Pressure Orientation) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Who to Treat with Antihypertensives  (Pathophysiologic Orientation)   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Future Paradigm   Early Disease Statin RAAS Blockade Antihypertensives NO donor/enhancer Innovative Therapy   Slow Progression GOAL : ?Target Dose
Strategies to Identify At-Risk Population ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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How Should One Decide Whom to Treat for Hypertension? How Should One Decide Whom to Treat for Hypertension?

  • 1. How Should One Decide Whom to Treat for Hypertension? Jay N. Cohn, M.D. Professor of Medicine Director, Rasmussen Center for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention University of Minnesota Medical School Minneapolis, MN
  • 2. CV Mortality Risk Doubles with Each 20/10 mm Hg BP Increment* *Individuals aged 40-69 years, starting at BP 115/75 mm Hg. CV, cardiovascular; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure Lewington S, et al. Lancet . 2002; 60:1903-1913. JNC VII. JAMA. 2003. CV mortality risk SBP/DBP (mm Hg) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 115/75 135/85 155/95 175/105
  • 3. Impact of “High-Normal” BP on CV Risk Data from the Framingham Heart Study 16 12 8 4 0 Optimal BP Normal BP 12 8 4 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Years Optimal BP Normal BP High-normal BP Women Men Cumulative incidence of CV events (%) High-normal BP Vasan et al. N Engl J Med. 2001;345:1291-7. Optimal BP: <120/80 Normal BP: 120-129/80-84 High-normal BP: 130-139/85-89
  • 4. Lower Is Better IHD Rates by SBP, DBP, and Age A: Systolic Blood Pressure 40-49 years 50-59 years 60-69 years 70-79 years 80-89 years Age at risk: IHD Mortality (Floating Absolute Risk and 95% CI) 256 128 64 32 16 8 4 2 1 120 140 160 180 Usual SBP (mm Hg) B: Diastolic Blood Pressure IHD Mortality (Floating Absolute Risk and 95% CI) 256 128 64 32 16 8 4 2 1 70 80 90 100 110 Usual DBP (mm Hg) Lewington et al. Lancet. 2002;360:1903-1913. Age at risk: 40-49 years 50-59 years 60-69 years 70-79 years 80-89 years
  • 5. Hypothesis The apparent linear relationship between blood pressure and ischemic disease events as well as age and ischemic disease events does not necessarily mean that age or blood pressure cause events but that both markers capture a progressively higher proportion of people with early disease.
  • 6. Blood Pressure and Likelihood of Disease 100 Frequency in Population (%) 50 0 75 100 125 150 175 200 Systolic Blood Pressure (mmHg) No Disease Possible Disease Likely Disease
  • 7. Systolic BP Reduction and CVD Mortality  Systolic BP (control - experimental, mm Hg) Cardiovascular Mortality Odds Ratio Staessen JA et al. Lancet. 2001;358:1305 -1315. 1.50 1.25 1. 00 0.75 0.50 0.25 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 P =.003 MIDAS/NICS/VHAS UKPDS C vs A INSIGHT HOT L vs H HOT M vs H MRC1 MRC2 SHEP HEP EWPHE RCT70-80 Syst-Eur STONE Syst-China UKPDS L vs H HOPE PART2/SCAT ATMH STOP1 CAPPP STOP2/CCBs STOP2/ACEIs NORDIL
  • 8.
  • 9. Benefits of Intensive BP Reduction HOT Study * Mean BP from 6 months of follow-up to end of study. Hansson L et al. Lancet. 1998;351:1755-1762. Achieved DBP* (mm Hg) 85.2 83.2 81.1 P =0.05 for trend Number of MIs  90 143.7 85.2  85 141.4 83.2  80 138.7 81.1 Target DBP (mm Hg) Achieved SBP (mm Hg) Achieved DBP* (mm Hg) 100 80 40 0 20 60
  • 10. Hypothesis The apparent linear relationship between the magnitude of drug-induced BP fall and the reduction of morbid events does not necessarily indicate that blood pressure reduction prevents events but that the drugs protect the arteries and heart (while also lowering blood pressure). A corollary: the greater the BP reduction from a drug the less the vascular disease - i.e., BP fall identifies a low-risk population.
  • 11. Antihypertensive Drugs that Slow Disease Progression in Known Doses Vascular Cardiac Ramipril Enalapril Perindopril Captopril ?other ACEIs Carvedilol Amlodipine Metoprolol Valsartan Bucindolol Losartan Valsartan Hydrochlorothiazide Candesartan Spironolactone Eplerenone ISDN/hydralazine
  • 12. Old Paradigm BP Cholesterol Disease Disease Treatment Treatment Normal Normal GOAL : Target Response
  • 13. Current Paradigm DISEASE BP Cholesterol GOAL : ?Target Response TREATMENT
  • 14. Pathophysiology of CV Continuum Genes Environment Ethnicity Diet Family Hx Exercise Polymorphisms Stress Proteomics Smoking Blood Vessel/ Heart Angiotensin Nitric Oxide Progression Aldosterone Norepinephrine Cytokines Structural Remodeling CAD Cerebrovascular Disease Heart Failure Renal Failure PVD Dementia
  • 15. Genes, Ethnicity, Diet, Exercise, Smoking, Obesity, Lipids Small Artery Arterial Structural Cardiac Elasticity Abnormalities Abnormalities ( Endothelial Microalbumin LVM Dysfunction ) IMT BNP BP Retinal Vasculopathy ECG PNE Large Artery Elasticity AngII Exercise BP Resting BP Disease Drug Therapy RAAS Blockade Statins NO Enhancers Antihypertensives Antioxidants ?Antiinflammatories
  • 16.
  • 17. † CVD designation is determined by the constellation of risk factors, early disease markers, and target-organ disease. CVD, cardiovascular disease. ASH Writing Group Definition and Classification of Hypertension ASH Writing Group 2005. Overtly present with or without CVD events Early signs present None None Target-organ Disease Overtly present with progression Overtly present Usually present None Early Disease Markers Many Many Several None or few Cardiovascular Risk Factors Marked and sustained BP elevations OR Advanced CVD † Sustained BP elevations OR Progressive CVD † Occasional or intermittent BP elevations OR Early CVD † Normal BP or rare blood pressure elevations AND No identifiable CVD † Descriptive Category Stage 3 hypertension Stage 2 hypertension Stage 1 hypertension Normal Classification
  • 18. Early Markers for Hypertensive Vascular Disease Blood Pressure -Exaggerated response to exercise -Widened pulse pressure Vascular -Reduced small artery elasticity -Reduced large artery elasticity -Endothelial dysfunction -Increased pulsewave velocity -Increased carotid intima-medial thickness -Retinal vascular changes -Microalbuminuria Cardiac -Increased LV wall thickness -Increased LV volume -Increased LV mass -Abnormal ECG -B-type natriuretic peptide
  • 19. R A S M U S S E N C E N T E R for CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE PREVENTION
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Results of Rasmussen Center Screening Frequency Rasmussen Score Low Risk 33% Modest Risk 36% High Risk 31%
  • 24. Patient : 60-year-old female registered nurse Past History : negative except high cholesterol Family History : both parents smoked, no significant CV disease Physical Exam : Height 5’4” Weight 126 lb. HR 64 b/min BP 132/66 mmHg Screening Results : C 1 = 8.5 ml/mmHg x10 (abnormal) C 2 = 2.4 ml/mmHg x100 (abnormal) Exercise BP = 173/64 mmHg (abnormal) Retinal photo = A:V nicking (abnormal) Microalbumin = 0.86 mg/mmol (abnormal) LV ultrasound = increased mass (abnormal) Rasmussen score = 12 points Blood Chemistry : LDL 187 mg/dl; HDL 70 mg/dl Interpretation : Advanced CV Disease Treatment : Antihypertensive, statin
  • 25. Patient : 62-year-old female florist Past History : Asymptomatic, plays tennis and golf Elevated cholesterol: Atorvastatin, 10 mg Family History : Negative Physical Exam : Height 5’5” Weight 128 lb. HR 74 b/min BP 140/80 mmHg Screening Results : C 1 = 8.7 ml/mmHg x10 (abnormal) C 2 = 1.6 ml/mmHg x100 (abnormal) Exercise BP = 182/80 mmHg (abnormal) Retinal photo = decreased A:V ratio (borderline) Microalbumin = 1.98 mg/mmol (abnormal) Rasmussen score = 9 points Blood Chemistry : LDL 137 mg/dl; HDL 129 mg/dl; CRP 0.13 mg/dl Interpretation : Advancing CV Disease Treatment : ACE/ARB; BP Control; Increase atorvastatin
  • 26. Patient : 49-year-old male executive Past History : Overweight, elevated BP, asymptomatic, no therapy Family History : Hypertension, coronary disease Physical Exam : Height 5’8” Weight 240 lb. HR 76 b/min BP 144/84 mmHg Screening Results : C 1 = 16.1 ml/mmHg x10 (normal) C 2 = 6.4 ml/mmHg x100 (normal) Exercise BP = 154/74 mmHg (normal) All other tests normal Rasmussen score = 2 points (BP only) Blood Chemistry : LDL 172 mg/dl; HDL 38 mg/dl; FBS 108 mg/dl; CRP 1.0 mg/dl Interpretation : No CV Disease Treatment : Diet, ?statin
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Risk Factors Biomarkers Cardiac and Vascular Structural Abnormalities Death Non-Fatal Morbid Events Recurrence Progression Primary Prevention Secondary Prevention Tertiary Prevention
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Future Paradigm Early Disease Statin RAAS Blockade Antihypertensives NO donor/enhancer Innovative Therapy Slow Progression GOAL : ?Target Dose
  • 33.